Social elimination simulation · deepseek-v4-pro · public ballots

The Island

Game “ds-public2”. Six agents, four rounds, three private messaging passes per round. Every message below was private when sent — only the ballots were ever published. 87 messages, 54 notebook revisions.

The cast

ARDEN

aggressive

survived

BLYTHE

loyal

ejected round 3

CASSIAN

paranoid

ejected round 2

DELPHI

opportunist

survived

EIRA

quiet

ejected round 1

FINN

charming

ejected round 4

Round 1

6 still in

Pass 1 of 3

EIRA sent nothing this pass.

CASSIAN → ARDEN

I'm still getting a feel for the room. Any sense of how tonight's vote is leaning? No need to name names if you're not comfortable.

CASSIAN → DELPHI

How are you reading the first vote? I'd rather not make assumptions before hearing what people actually say.

ARDEN → BLYTHE

I'm locking the first vote on EIRA. I'm not waiting to see where the room leans. I need your commitment now: yes or no?

ARDEN → CASSIAN

I want EIRA out first. I'm building a clear three-vote block, and I need to know if you're in. Straight answer.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Cassian, I'm Blythe. I want to find one person I can trust and actually stick with, and I'd like that to be you. I'll be honest with you even when it's not convenient. If you're interested, I won't vote for you this round and I won't make this offer to anyone else. Let me know where your head is at.

FINN → ARDEN

Arden, hey—Finn. Early call, but I’d rather have one real line open than float around guessing. I’m not asking for anything heavy yet. I’ll bring you anything I hear, and if you hear my name or just want to swap reads before the vote, I’ll be there. You’re one of the few I was hoping to be out here with.

FINN → EIRA

Eira, Finn here. I’m trusting my gut early: you seem like someone I can actually talk straight with. No pressure, no big promises—just a private line. If a name starts floating around, I’ll tell you what I know. What’s your read so far?

DELPHI → ARDEN

Arden, I'm trying to find a group to vote with so I don't end up on the wrong side. Are you open to coordinating? Who are you wary of?

DELPHI → EIRA

Eira, I'd rather vote with a group than be an easy first target. Are you open to working together? I'll share what I hear if you share.

EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1

Round 1, Pass 1. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No votes yet. I sent nothing this pass. Received: - DELPHI: wants to work together, avoid being an easy first target; offers to share info if I share. - FINN: wants a private line, says he’ll tell me if a name floats around; asked my read so far. No big promises. I have not committed to either. Stay quiet, watch, give little.

FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1

Round 1, Pass 1. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: none. Public vote record: no votes yet. I am FINN. Strategy: stay warm, keep multiple private lines open, avoid being anyone's target, make people feel I'm straight with them. Don't make hard commitments yet. Sent this pass: - To ARDEN: opened a private line, said I'd rather have one real line than guess; offered to share info/reads and asked them to tell me if my name floats. Flattering but no heavy promise. - To EIRA: opened a private line, said I trust my gut early; offered to share names/info; asked their read so far. No pressure/no big promises. Inbox this pass: nothing arrived. To watch: whether Arden or Eira reply, how warm/defensive they are, and whether any name starts floating. Next pass I may open another line or two depending on replies.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1

Round 1, Pass 1. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No one ejected. No past votes. I sent this pass: - To ARDEN: asked if he's open to coordinating and who he's wary of. - To EIRA: offered to work together, said I'll share what I hear if she shares. Received this pass: - From CASSIAN: asked how I'm reading the first vote; said he'd rather not make assumptions before hearing what people actually say. No commitments made yet. Arden and Eira have not replied this pass. Next pass: see who offers a name or a group. Goal is to end Round 1 in the majority.

CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1

Round 1, Pass 1. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No vote record yet. I sent: - To ARDEN: asked what the vote is leaning toward. - To DELPHI: asked how she reads the first vote. Received: - ARDEN: wants EIRA out first. Claims he is building a clear three-vote block and needs a straight answer if I'm in. Suspicious: direct recruitment, wants my vote committed to Eira. - BLYTHE: wants me as her one trusted ally. Says she'll be honest, won't vote for me this round, and won't make this offer to anyone else. Asks where my head is. Suspicious: may be an attempt to lock my loyalty early. Delphi has not replied yet. Do not commit to Arden or Blythe. Watch whether Arden's claimed block matches what others say. Watch whether Blythe's actions match her exclusivity/vote promises.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1

Round 1, Pass 1 complete. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No one ejected yet. No public votes yet. I chose CASSIAN as my one person to trust. I sent him: I want to stick with him, I won't vote for him this round, and I won't make this loyalty offer to anyone else. Still waiting for his reply. ARDEN sent me: he's locking first vote on EIRA and wants my commitment now: yes or no. I have not answered yet. My position: - I will not vote Cassian this round. - I have made no voting commitment to Arden. - I won't lie to Arden; if I can't commit yet, I'll tell him that. - I want to hear from Cassian before deciding on Eira, but my main line is protecting my bond with Cassian. Next pass plan: - Tell Cassian about Arden's EIRA push and ask where he stands. - Answer Arden honestly, likely "not yet" unless Cassian is clearly fine with voting Eira.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1

ROUND 1, PASS 1 Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN No one ejected yet. No public vote record. My move this pass: locked first vote target on EIRA. Sent direct yes/no commitment demands to BLYTHE and CASSIAN. Inbox replies: - CASSIAN: did not commit. Said he's still getting a feel for the room, asked how tonight's vote is leaning. Mark as evasive. - DELPHI: wants to coordinate, says she doesn't want to be on the wrong side. Asked who I'm wary of. No commitment yet. - FINN: offered an open line, says he'll bring me anything he hears, not asking for anything heavy yet. Says he hoped to be out here with me. Possible number. Still need: BLYTHE's answer. Cassian is dodging. I have not told Delphi or Finn my target yet. My target remains EIRA unless something changes. I want commitments, not soft maybe.

Pass 2 of 3

EIRA → DELPHI

I'll keep it in mind.

EIRA → FINN

I'll let you know if I hear anything.

ARDEN → BLYTHE

I didn't get an answer from you. I'm locking EIRA this round. I need a yes or a no from you now. Are you voting with me?

ARDEN → DELPHI

You asked who I'm wary of: EIRA. I'm moving on her tonight. You said you don't want to be on the wrong side, so prove it. Are you in?

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Arden is pressing me to commit to voting EIRA now. I haven't committed to him. I'm still with you and won't vote for you this round. Where do you stand—are you okay voting EIRA?

BLYTHE → ARDEN

Not yet. I can't commit to voting EIRA right now. I'll tell you honestly when I've decided.

FINN → BLYTHE

Blythe — I’m keeping my early circle small, and I’d rather have one real line with you than half a dozen vague ones. If my name starts floating, I’d want to hear it from you first. What are you seeing so far?

FINN → CASSIAN

Cassian — I’m going on gut early, and my gut says I’d rather be straight with you. I’m not pushing for a voting pact yet, just an open line: if you hear my name, tell me, and I’ll do the same. What’s your read?

DELPHI → CASSIAN

I'm reading it as wide open—no clear target yet, which means the first vote will be decided by whoever locks in a group before pass 3. I don't want to end up on the wrong side. Have you heard any name being pushed? I'll trade what I hear.

DELPHI → BLYTHE

We haven't talked yet. First vote has no record, so I'm looking to coordinate with people who actually want to get a number through. Who do you trust least? I'm flexible on target if the numbers are there.

CASSIAN → ARDEN

I need names before I'll commit to anything. Who exactly is in your three-vote block, and why Eira? I don't vote blind.

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

If I'm really your one trusted ally, tell me who you're planning to vote for tonight. I'm not promising anything yet; I just want to compare what people say.

EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2

Round 1, Pass 2. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No votes yet. Pass 1: I sent nothing. Received pass 1: - DELPHI: wants to work together, avoid being an easy first target; offers to share info if I share. - FINN: wants a private line, says he’ll tell me if a name floats around; asked my read so far. No big promises. Pass 2: I sent: - To DELPHI: "I'll keep it in mind." - To FINN: "I'll let you know if I hear anything." Pass 2 received: nothing. I have not committed to anyone. Stay quiet, watch, give little. Both DELPHI and FINN are reaching out early; note who follows up, who pushes, who gives actual names.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2

Round 1, Pass 2 of 3. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected: none. Public vote record: none yet. My pass 1: - Sent to ARDEN: asked if open to coordinating and who he's wary of. - Sent to EIRA: offered to work together and share info. - Received from CASSIAN: asked how I'm reading the first vote; said he'd rather not assume before hearing what people say. My pass 2: - Sent to CASSIAN: first vote wide open, no clear target; first vote decided by whoever locks a group before pass 3; asked if he's heard any name; offered to trade info. - Sent to BLYTHE: said no record yet, want to coordinate; asked who she trusts least; said I'm flexible on target if numbers are there. Received this pass: - From ARDEN: said he's wary of EIRA and is moving on her tonight; asked if I'm in, said prove it. - From EIRA: "I'll keep it in mind." No strong commitment. Current read: - ARDEN is clearly pushing EIRA as the target and wants my commitment. - EIRA is noncommittal/lukewarm toward me. - CASSIAN and BLYTHE have not replied yet this pass. - No confirmed majority yet. Plan for pass 3: - Keep options open. Tell ARDEN I'll vote EIRA if the numbers are there, but ask who else is with him. - Sound out CASSIAN and BLYTHE for any other target. If they have a stronger group forming elsewhere, be ready to switch. - Do not defend EIRA unless she shows a viable counter-majority. - Likely direction: join ARDEN against EIRA if it looks like the winning side; otherwise follow whoever has the numbers. Goal: end Round 1 in the majority.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2

ROUND 1, PASS 2 Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN Ejected: none yet. Public vote record: no votes yet. My target: EIRA. I am locking the vote on her unless something changes. PASS 1 recap: - I sent direct yes/no commitment demands to BLYTHE and CASSIAN on EIRA. - CASSIAN did not commit; said he was still getting a feel for the room and asked how the vote was leaning. Mark as evasive. - DELPHI said she wants to coordinate, doesn't want to be on the wrong side, asked who I'm wary of. No commitment yet. - FINN offered an open line, said he'll bring me anything he hears, not asking heavy yet. Possible number. - BLYTHE gave no answer in pass 1. PASS 2 what I sent: - To BLYTHE: demanded yes/no on EIRA now. - To DELPHI: named EIRA as my target and told her to prove she doesn't want to be on the wrong side. PASS 2 inbox: - BLYTHE: "Not yet. I can't commit to voting EIRA right now. I'll tell you honestly when I've decided." Still no commitment. - CASSIAN: "I need names before I'll commit to anything. Who exactly is in your three-vote block, and why Eira? I don't vote blind." He is still refusing to commit. He asks about a three-vote block; I do not actually have a confirmed three-vote block. Do not claim votes I don't have. Commitment status: - BLYTHE: no/soft, waiting. - CASSIAN: no, demands names and reasons. - DELPHI: no answer yet this pass. - FINN: friendly, possible number, but I have not told him my target yet. I need a majority. I do not have one yet. Next pass I should press DELPHI for her answer, consider pulling FINN in on EIRA, and challenge CASSIAN directly. Target remains EIRA unless a better path appears.

FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2

Round 1, Pass 2 complete. Heading into Pass 3. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: nobody yet. Public vote record: no votes yet. I am FINN. Strategy: stay warm, keep multiple private lines open, make people feel I am straight with them, avoid being anyone's target. Do not make hard commitments yet. Pass 1 sent: - To ARDEN: opened a private line; said I would rather have one real line than guess; offered to share info/reads and asked them to tell me if my name floats. Flattering, no heavy promise. - To EIRA: opened a private line; said I trust my gut early; offered to share names/info; asked their read so far. No pressure. Pass 1 inbox: empty. Pass 2 sent: - To BLYTHE: said I am keeping my early circle small and would rather have one real line with them than half a dozen vague ones; if my name starts floating, I want to hear it from them first; asked what they are seeing so far. - To CASSIAN: said I am going on gut early and want to be straight with them; not pushing a voting pact yet, just an open line; if they hear my name, tell me, and I will do the same; asked their read. Pass 2 inbox: - From EIRA: "I'll let you know if I hear anything." Likely a reply to my Pass 1 opener. Neutral, noncommittal; gave no read or info. - No message from ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, or DELPHI this pass. ARDEN has not replied to my Pass 1 message yet. Reads/notes: - EIRA answered but did not commit or share anything; treat as neutral/cautious. - ARDEN is silent so far; do not chase too hard. Maybe one light follow-up later. - BLYTHE and CASSIAN were just contacted; no replies yet. - DELPHI remains uncontacted by me. Could open a friendly line in Pass 3. Next pass options: - Send to DELPHI to open a warm line and ask what they are seeing; no promises. - Possibly send a light follow-up to EIRA or ARDEN, but avoid seeming anxious. - Keep first vote goal simple: stay off the block, do not need to lead. Save harder promises for later.

CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2

Round 1, Pass 2 of 3. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected: none. No vote record yet. Pass 1 background: - I sent to ARDEN asking vote lean; to DELPHI asking read of first vote. - ARDEN replied: wants EIRA out first, claims building a clear 3-vote block, needs straight answer if I'm in. - BLYTHE replied: wants me as her one trusted ally; says she'll be honest, won't vote me this round, won't offer this to anyone else. - DELPHI did not reply until now. Pass 2 sent: - To ARDEN: demanded names in his claimed 3-vote block and reason for Eira; said I won't vote blind. - To BLYTHE: asked who she's voting tonight if I'm really her one ally; made no promise. Pass 2 received: - ARDEN: no reply. - BLYTHE: says Arden is pressing her to commit to EIRA now; she claims she hasn't committed to him. Says still with me and won't vote me this round. Asks if I'm okay voting EIRA. - DELPHI: says vote is wide open, no clear target; whoever locks a group before pass 3 decides it. Asks if I've heard any name pushed; offers to trade info. - FINN: wants open line only, no pact; says if I hear his name he'll tell me if he hears mine. Asks my read. Red flags: - Arden ignored my direct request for names. Blythe says Arden is pressing her on Eira. Arden may be working multiple people with the same vague "commit to Eira" pitch. His 3-vote block is unverified. - Blythe still pushes the same Eira question. Her loyalty/exclusive ally claim is unproven; she may be using Arden as pressure to get my Eira vote. - Delphi gives no name and asks for mine—fishing, not trading yet. - Finn gives no read and asks for mine; low commitment. Current state: EIRA is the only name being pushed (Arden, indirectly Blythe). I have made no promises and have not committed. Next pass: test Arden's block story against others; require specifics before any vote commitment.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2

Round 1, Pass 2 complete. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No one ejected. Public vote record: none yet. My loyalty: CASSIAN is my one trusted ally. I will not vote Cassian this round, and I will not offer the same loyalty to anyone else. I need to protect that bond above all. Pass 1 summary: - I chose Cassian and sent him a loyalty message. - Arden sent me that he is locking EIRA and wants my commitment yes/no; I did not commit then. Pass 2 sent: - To CASSIAN: told him Arden is pressing me to vote EIRA, I have not committed, I'm still with him and won't vote him this round. Asked where he stands and if he's okay voting EIRA. - To ARDEN: told him "not yet"; I can't commit to EIRA right now and will tell him honestly when I've decided. Pass 2 received: - ARDEN says he didn't get an answer from me, he's locking EIRA, and he needs yes/no now: "Are you voting with me?" (He may not have read my pass-2 reply yet.) - CASSIAN says: "If I'm really your one trusted ally, tell me who you're planning to vote for tonight. I'm not promising anything yet; I just want to compare what people say." - DELPHI says: we haven't talked, first vote has no record, wants to coordinate a number. Asks who I trust least; flexible on target if numbers are there. - FINN says: keeping his early circle small, wants one real line with me; if his name starts floating he'd want to hear it from me first. Asks what I'm seeing. My current read/plan: - I have not committed to voting EIRA. I am not voting Cassian. - Arden is pushing hard for EIRA. I will eventually owe him an honest yes or no, but I will not be forced before I hear Cassian's actual stance. - Cassian has not yet told me where he stands. He asked for my planned vote. I should answer him truthfully next pass: I do not have a final target yet; I will not vote Cassian; the main name being pushed to me is EIRA by Arden. Then ask him directly whether he supports EIRA or has another target. - If Cassian is okay with EIRA, I can vote EIRA. If he wants another target, I will protect Cassian and likely vote with him. If he still will not give a clear answer, I will still not vote Cassian and will choose the vote that does the least damage to him. - DELPHI is looking for a voting number. No trust formed yet. I should not promise anything; if I reply, keep it honest and noncommittal. - FINN is asking for an early line. I should not offer loyalty because my loyalty is to Cassian. If I reply, I can say I have not seen his name floating and leave it there. - Next pass priority: message CASSIAN first. Second message likely to ARDEN to keep the truth clear, unless Cassian's answer changes the target. - Watch: Arden may be frustrated by "not yet." I will not lie or fake commitment. I can say I am still waiting on one conversation before I can commit honestly.

Pass 3 of 3

EIRA sent nothing this pass.

FINN → DELPHI

Delphi — I know we haven't talked yet, and with the first vote coming I didn't want that to stay true. I'm not coming in with a pitch; I'd just rather have an open line with you than guess. What are you seeing? If my name's floating, I'd want to hear it from you first, and I'll do the same.

FINN → EIRA

Eira — thank you, that's all I needed. Same here: if I hear your name, you'll know before it's a thing. For this first vote, I'm not gunning for you. If you want to swap reads before tonight, I'm around.

ARDEN → DELPHI

You wanted to be on the right side. The vote is Eira. I'm locking it this round. I need a yes or no from you now - if you won't commit, I'll assume you're not with me.

ARDEN → FINN

Finn, I'm calling the vote for Eira. You said you'd bring me what you hear; now I need your vote. Are you in? Yes or no this pass.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

I'm not voting you. Arden is locking Eira and pressing me for a yes/no. Delphi is looking for numbers, and Finn is asking for an early line; I haven't promised anyone anything. My planned vote is Eira unless you tell me a different target before the vote. If that hurts you, say so and I'll do what I can.

BLYTHE → ARDEN

I can't give you a locked yes tonight. Eira is the main name I'm weighing, but I won't swear a vote until I've settled one conversation.

DELPHI → ARDEN

I'm in. Voting EIRA tonight. Make sure we have the numbers.

DELPHI → CASSIAN

The vote's moving toward EIRA. I'm in on it. If you want the majority, vote EIRA.

CASSIAN → DELPHI

You offered to trade info. I've only heard EIRA's name pushed, by ARDEN. He claims a three-vote block but won't name the others. Has he asked you? I haven't committed to anyone.

CASSIAN → FINN

My read: EIRA is the only name being pushed, by ARDEN. He says he has a block but hasn't named it. Have you heard your name or been asked to vote EIRA? I've heard nothing on you. I'm not locking in anywhere.

EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3

Round 1, Pass 3. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No votes yet. Pass 1: I sent nothing. Received: - DELPHI: wants to work together, avoid first target; offered info share. - FINN: wants private line; will tell me if my name floats; asked my read. Pass 2: I sent: - To DELPHI: "I'll keep it in mind." - To FINN: "I'll let you know if I hear anything." Received pass 2: nothing. Pass 3: I sent nothing. Received: - FINN: thanked me; said if he hears my name, I'll know before it's a thing. Not gunning for me first vote. Open to swap reads before tonight. I still haven't committed to anyone. FINN has followed up twice now; DELPHI has not followed up since pass 1. Keep watching. First vote tonight: stay quiet, give little, don't lead. Note who pushes for names before vote.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3

Round 1, Pass 3 of 3 (final pass before first vote). Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: none. Public vote record: none yet. Pass 1: - Sent to ARDEN: asked if open to coordinating and who he's wary of. - Sent to EIRA: offered to work together and share info. - Received from CASSIAN: asked how I'm reading first vote; said he'd rather not assume before hearing from people. Pass 2: - Sent to CASSIAN: first vote wide open; asked if he's heard any name; offered info trade. - Sent to BLYTHE: wanted to coordinate; asked who she trusts least; said I'm flexible if the numbers are there. - Received from ARDEN: wary of EIRA, moving on her tonight; asked if I'm in, said prove it. - Received from EIRA: "I'll keep it in mind." No strong commitment. - No reply from CASSIAN/BLYTHE that pass. Pass 3 sent: - To ARDEN: "I'm in. Voting EIRA tonight. Make sure we have the numbers." - To CASSIAN: "The vote's moving toward EIRA. I'm in on it. If you want the majority, vote EIRA." Pass 3 received: - From ARDEN: wants yes/no now; vote is Eira; locking it; if I won't commit he'll assume I'm not with him. - From CASSIAN: only name he's heard pushed is EIRA, by ARDEN. ARDEN claims a three-vote block but won't name the others. Asked if ARDEN asked me. CASSIAN hasn't committed to anyone. - From FINN: opening a line, no pitch; asked what I'm seeing; says if my name is floating he'd tell me first and wants same from me. Read: - ARDEN is driving the vote against EIRA and claims a three-vote block, but has not named it. I have committed to voting EIRA to him. - CASSIAN is uncommitted but is aware of the EIRA push; he could join but is not confirmed. - BLYTHE still has no clear read and did not reply to my pass 2 message. - EIRA gave no counter-majority signal; likely the target. - FINN is neutral/open line, no target from him. I did not reply to FINN this pass. Plan/decision: - Vote EIRA this round, as committed to ARDEN, unless there is a last-second clear proof of a larger different majority (none seen). - After the vote, use the public vote record to confirm who actually voted with me/EIRA and identify real blocs. - Keep ARDEN as an ally for now but do not fully trust his unnamed three-vote block; keep CASSIAN and FINN as options for later.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3

ROUND 1, END OF PASS 3 - VOTE NEXT Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN Ejected so far: nobody Public vote record: none yet MY TARGET: EIRA I am voting EIRA. VOTE COMMITMENT STATUS: - ARDEN (me): YES, voting EIRA. - DELPHI: YES, locked. She said: "I'm in. Voting EIRA tonight. Make sure we have the numbers." - BLYTHE: SOFT/NO LOCK. Says Eira is the main name she's weighing, but won't swear a vote until she's settled one conversation. - FINN: PENDING. I asked him yes/no this pass; no answer in my inbox yet. - CASSIAN: UNCOMMITTED/EVASIVE. Earlier demanded names and reasons, said he doesn't vote blind. Do not count him. THIS PASS I SENT: - To DELPHI: demanded yes/no on Eira, said if she won't commit I'll assume she's not with me. - To FINN: told him I'm calling the vote for Eira and asked if he's in, yes/no. THIS PASS INBOX: - BLYTHE: still won't lock; Eira is her main name but she has one more conversation. - DELPHI: committed to Eira. - FINN: no response. - CASSIAN: nothing. NUMBERS: Confirmed: me + Delphine = 2. Possible: BLYTHE leaning, FINN unknown. Not counted: CASSIAN. Need at least 3 for a likely plurality; 4 would be safe. VOTE PLAN: Stay on EIRA. Do not waffle. If FINN answers, hold him to yes/no. Treat BLYTHE as unconfirmed. Do not claim numbers I don't have. LOOSE ENDS: Delphine could be lying, but her commitment is direct. BLYTHE is still uncommitted and could flip. I have called this vote openly to Delphine and Finn; Eira may be aware.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3

Round 1, Pass 3 complete. Next: Round 1 vote. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No one ejected. Public vote record: none yet. My loyalty: CASSIAN is my one trusted ally. I will not vote Cassian, period. I will not offer that same loyalty to anyone else. I will not betray him. Pass 1 summary: - I chose Cassian as my ally and sent him a loyalty message. - Arden messaged me that he is locking EIRA and wanted my commitment yes/no; I did not commit then. Pass 2 sent: - To CASSIAN: told him Arden is pressing me to vote EIRA, I have not committed, I am still with him and won't vote him this round. Asked where he stands and whether he is okay voting EIRA. - To ARDEN: told him "not yet"; I can't commit to EIRA right now and will tell him honestly when I've decided. Pass 2 received: - ARDEN says he didn't get an answer from me, he's locking EIRA, and needs yes/no now: "Are you voting with me?" - CASSIAN says: "If I'm really your one trusted ally, tell me who you're planning to vote for tonight. I'm not promising anything yet; I just want to compare what people say." - DELPHI says we haven't talked, first vote has no record, wants to coordinate a number. Asks who I trust least; flexible on target if numbers are there. - FINN says he's keeping his early circle small, wants one real line with me; if his name starts floating he'd want to hear it from me first. Asks what I'm seeing. Pass 3 sent: - To CASSIAN: I'm not voting you. Arden is locking Eira and pressing me for a yes/no. Delphi is looking for numbers, and Finn is asking for an early line; I haven't promised anyone anything. My planned vote is Eira unless you tell me a different target before the vote. If that hurts you, say so and I'll do what I can. - To ARDEN: I can't give you a locked yes tonight. Eira is the main name I'm weighing, but I won't swear a vote until I've settled one conversation. Pass 3 received: nothing arrived. Read/plan for Round 1 vote: - Cassian has not given me a different target or said Eira hurts him. No new information arrived this pass. - I am not voting Cassian. - Main organized pressure is Arden pushing EIRA. Delphi is looking for numbers, but I made no promise. Finn is seeking a line, but my loyalty is already Cassian. - Therefore my Round 1 vote: EIRA. - After the vote, I can honestly tell Arden I settled on Eira; I did not promise him a locked yes earlier, but I voted with that target. Still, Arden may resent not getting a firm commitment. - If Cassian somehow sends last-second word before the vote (not expected), reassess to protect him. Otherwise stick with EIRA. - Watch next: the public vote record will reveal alliances and numbers; note who actually voted where.

CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3

Round 1, Pass 3 of 3 complete. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected: nobody yet. Public vote record: none yet. My position: I have made no promises and have not committed to any voting bloc. Earlier: - Pass 1: ARDEN pushed for EIRA out, claimed a 3-vote block. BLYTHE called me her one trusted ally and said she would not vote me. DELPHI was silent until later. - Pass 2: I asked ARDEN for the names in his claimed bloc and his reason for EIRA; ARDEN did not reply. I asked BLYTHE who she would vote if I was really her ally; she said Arden was pressing her on EIRA, she had not committed to him, and asked if I was okay voting EIRA. DELPHI said the vote was wide open and asked what names I had heard. FINN offered only an open line, no pact, and asked for my read. - Pass 3 sent: To DELPHI — EIRA is the only name I have heard, pushed by ARDEN; Arden claims a bloc but will not name it; I asked if Arden had asked him; I have not committed. To FINN — EIRA is the only name being pushed, by ARDEN; I asked if he had heard his own name or been asked to vote EIRA; I am not locking in anywhere. Pass 3 received: - BLYTHE: says she is not voting me. Says Arden is locking EIRA and pressing her for a yes/no. Claims Delphi is looking for numbers and Finn is asking for an early line. Claims she has not promised anyone anything. Her planned vote is EIRA unless I give her a different target before the vote; says if that hurts me, tell her and she will do what she can. - DELPHI: says the vote is moving toward EIRA, he is in on it, and if I want the majority I should vote EIRA. - No message from ARDEN or FINN this pass. I have heard nothing from EIRA. Red flags / inconsistencies: - ARDEN still has not answered my direct request for the names in his claimed 3-vote bloc. His bloc remains unverified. He may be herding multiple people toward EIRA with the same vague pitch. - BLYTHE still defaults to EIRA while claiming loyalty to me. Her message is useful but unproven; she may be using Arden as pressure to get my EIRA vote, or she may be genuinely checking with me. - DELPHI shifted from "wide open, no clear target" in Pass 2 to "I'm in on EIRA" in Pass 3. That may be simple opportunism after I told him EIRA was the only pushed name, or he may already be working with Arden. - FINN remains low-commitment. He asked for my read, gave nothing useful back, and then went silent after I asked whether his name was up. - EIRA is the only visible target. I still have no proof of a real organized bloc, but Arden/Blythe/Delphi are all now pointing at EIRA. Voting plan: Likely vote EIRA to stay with the visible majority; I have made no promises, and this keeps me unexposed. After the vote, compare the public vote record against these claims — especially whether Arden actually had a bloc and whether Blythe/Delphi voted as they said.

FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3

ROUND 1 — after Pass 3, before the first vote. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: nobody. Public vote record: no votes yet. I am FINN. Strategy: stay warm, keep multiple private lines open, be everyone’s second-favourite, avoid being targeted, do not lead unless necessary. Pass 1 sent: - To ARDEN: opener; suggested one real line, offered to share info/reads, asked him to tell me if my name floats. - To EIRA: opener; gut trust, offered to share names/info, asked her early read. Pass 1 inbox: empty. Pass 2 sent: - To BLYTHE: opener; small circle, real line, tell me if my name floats. - To CASSIAN: opener; not pushing a pact, open line, tell me if my name floats. Pass 2 inbox: - From EIRA: “I'll let you know if I hear anything.” Neutral, no read given. - No messages from ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, or DELPHI. Pass 3 sent: - To DELPHI: opener; no pitch, open line, asked what she is seeing, told her to tell me if my name floats. - To EIRA: thanked her; said if I hear her name I’ll tell her before it’s a thing; said I’m not gunning for her first vote; offered to swap reads. Pass 3 inbox: - From ARDEN: “Finn, I'm calling the vote for Eira. You said you'd bring me what you hear; now I need your vote. Are you in? Yes or no this pass.” - From CASSIAN: “My read: EIRA is the only name being pushed, by ARDEN. He says he has a block but hasn't named it. Have you heard your name or been asked to vote EIRA? I've heard nothing on you. I'm not locking in anywhere.” Key situation: - ARDEN is openly organising a vote against EIRA and wants my vote now. He implies he has a bloc but hasn’t named members. - CASSIAN confirms ARDEN is pushing EIRA, says he is not locking in, and says he has heard nothing on me. He may be a useful check on ARDEN. - I told EIRA this pass, before reading ARDEN/CASSIAN, that I wasn’t gunning for her and would warn her if her name came up. Now I know ARDEN is pushing her, but I have no pass left to warn her before the vote. - BLYTHE is still silent after my Pass 2 opener. - DELPHI was only just contacted Pass 3; no reply yet. - EIRA did not reply to my Pass 3 message. Vote plan/lean for Round 1: - Most likely vote EIRA to stay with ARDEN’s organised numbers and avoid being seen as unreliable or outside the main plan. This is the safest first-round move for me. - If EIRA survives and sees my vote, I will repair with her by framing it as self-preservation / too late / Arden had the votes. I did not attack her personally. - If I vote against EIRA instead, I protect that line but make ARDEN likely to target me next. Post-vote contingencies: - If EIRA is ejected: I was with the majority; keep lines warm with ARDEN and CASSIAN, and open up BLYTHE/DELPHI more next round. - If nobody is ejected due to tie: do not admit my vote to EIRA unless forced; blame pressure from ARDEN. - If someone else is ejected: stay low, gather info next round. Next round targets: - If EIRA survives, message her early to repair and say I found out too late. - Compare notes with CASSIAN; he seems cautious and may be useful. - Message BLYTHE and/or DELPHI to check reads and keep lines open. - Watch ARDEN: he is acting as leader and may become a threat later.

The ballot

ARDEN → EIRA	I called the vote for Eira and I don't waffle. She is my target tonight.
BLYTHE → EIRA	Arden is locking Eira, and I told Cassian I planned to vote Eira unless he gave me a different target. Cassian hasn't objected, so I'm following through.
CASSIAN → EIRA	EIRA is the only visible target, and voting with the majority keeps me unexposed while I compare the public vote record against Arden, Blythe, and Delphi.
DELPHI → EIRA	I committed to Arden’s Eira vote, and no larger counter-majority has emerged, so Eira is the safest majority play.
EIRA → ARDEN	No contact all round and no read to work from; I’d rather not vote someone who has opened a line with me.
FINN → EIRA	Arden is organizing the numbers and I need to stay with the main plan to avoid becoming a target myself.

EIRA · 5 ARDEN · 1

EIRA ejected

Round 2

5 still in

Pass 1 of 3

DELPHI → CASSIAN

Now that EIRA is gone, what are you hearing? Last round was unanimous, so it didn't tell me much. Any name being pushed this round? I want to compare notes before things lock.

DELPHI → FINN

You offered to warn me if my name floated—anything? I'll do the same. What are you seeing for this round?

FINN → ARDEN

Arden — clean work last round. I'm with you. Tell me if you hear a next name or if mine starts floating; I'll do the same.

FINN → CASSIAN

Cassian — I haven't heard a thing on you and I'd tell you if I did. Let's compare notes before this vote locks; I don't want either of us walking in blind.

ARDEN → DELPHI

I called Eira and we took her out. Now I'm calling CASSIAN. He was evasive all last round and won't commit. I need your yes/no this pass: are you voting CASSIAN?

ARDEN → BLYTHE

I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Cassian, I kept my word: I voted Eira and not you. I'm still your ally unless you tell me plainly you aren't. I'm going to open a line with Delphi just to hear numbers, no promises. I want us to pick a target together before the vote. Tell me your read and who you trust. I'll tell you everything I hear.

BLYTHE → DELPHI

Delphi, I didn't give you a real answer last round and I want to be straight with you now. I'm not locked on anyone yet, but I'll listen. Are you still putting numbers together? If you have a name you want out, tell me; I won't promise until I've weighed it.

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

You voted as you said. That is the only thing I can verify so far. What name has Arden or Delphi floated for Round 2? I am not committing, and I need to know if my name is in it.

CASSIAN → FINN

You went quiet after I asked if your own name was up. Now that the vote is public, it tells me nothing. What target have you heard for Round 2? No promises either way.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1

ROUND 2, PASS 1 OF 3 Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN Ejected so far: EIRA (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected. MY TARGET: CASSIAN I am voting Cassian. VOTE COMMITMENT STATUS: - ARDEN (me): YES, voting Cassian. - DELPHI: PENDING. I sent her yes/no this pass on Cassian; no answer in inbox yet. - BLYTHE: PENDING. I sent her yes/no this pass on Cassian; no answer in inbox yet. She was soft last round, do not count her. - FINN: ALLY, BUT NOT LOCKED ON CASSIAN. He wrote: "clean work last round. I'm with you. Tell me if you hear a next name or if mine starts floating; I'll do the same." I have not yet told him Cassian is the name; get his yes/no next pass. - CASSIAN: TARGET. Evasive last round. Do not trust. THIS PASS I SENT: - To DELPHI: "I called Eira and we took her out. Now I'm calling CASSIAN. He was evasive all last round and won't commit. I need your yes/no this pass: are you voting CASSIAN?" - To BLYTHE: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3." THIS PASS INBOX: - FINN: "Arden — clean work last round. I'm with you. Tell me if you hear a next name or if mine starts floating; I'll do the same." - DELPHI: nothing. - BLYTHE: nothing. - CASSIAN: nothing. NUMBERS: Confirmed: me = 1. Likely ally: FINN = 1, but not locked on Cassian yet. Pending: DELPHI, BLYTHE. Hostile/unknown: CASSIAN. Need at least 3 for a plurality; 4 would be safe. Get locked yes/no from Delphi, Blythe, and Finn. VOTE PLAN: Stay on CASSIAN. Do not waffle. Next pass: tell FINN the target is Cassian and demand yes/no. Hold Delphi and Blythe to locked answers before pass 3. Do not claim numbers I don't have. LOOSE ENDS: Delphi and Blythe may be stalling or comparing with Cassian. Finn says he is with me but may just want protection; make him commit. Cassian may know he is being named; assume he will work against it. Eira is gone; no loyalty owed to the old vote.

CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1

ROUND 2, PASS 1 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA (Round 1). Public vote record Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA. EIRA ejected. My position: I have made no promises and have not committed to any voting bloc. I still have not named a Round 2 target first. Round 1 recap / prior notes: - ARDEN pushed EIRA early, claimed a 3-vote bloc. He never answered my direct request for the bloc's names. He has continued not to answer. - BLYTHE called me her trusted ally, said she would not vote me, and mostly defaulted toward EIRA while claiming she had not promised anyone. She voted EIRA. - DELPHI was silent early, then said vote was wide open, then later said he was "in on EIRA." He voted EIRA. - FINN offered an open line, asked for my read, gave little, and went quiet after I asked if his own name was up. He voted EIRA. - I voted EIRA as the visible majority play. The public vote confirms all remaining players except EIRA voted EIRA, so it proves little about who was truly allied. Round 2, Pass 1 sent: - To BLYTHE: Told her the only thing I can verify is she voted as she said. Asked what name Arden or Delphi has floated for Round 2. Said I am not committing and need to know if my name is in it. - To FINN: Noted he went quiet after I asked if his own name was up. Said the Round 1 public vote tells me nothing. Asked what target he has heard for Round 2. Said no promises. Round 2, Pass 1 received: - BLYTHE: Claims she kept her word and voted EIRA, not me. Says she is still my ally unless I say plainly no. Says she is going to open a line with Delphi to hear numbers, no promises. Wants us to pick a target together before the vote. Asks my read and who I trust. Says she will tell me everything she hears. She did not answer my direct question about what name Arden or Delphi floated for R2. - DELPHI: Asks what I am hearing now. Says last round was unanimous, so it didn't tell him much. Asks if any name is being pushed this round. Wants to compare notes before things lock. He did not offer a name. - FINN: Claims he hasn't heard a thing on me and would tell me if he did. Says he wants to compare notes before the vote locks. He did not answer whether his own name was up. - ARDEN: No message again. Red flags and inconsistencies: - ARDEN remains silent and unverified. His claimed 3-vote bloc from Round 1 is still unexplained. Treat anything from him as unverified until he names specifics and it matches the record. - BLYTHE is pushing ally language again, but she also asks who I trust without answering my question about a floated name. She may be fishing for my reads or trying to manage me toward a target later. - DELPHI has shifted story across passes: wide open -> in on EIRA -> now "last round told me little." He may be opportunistically joining a majority or probing for names without revealing his own. - FINN still avoids commitment and dodged my direct question. His "nothing on you" is not proof, and he gives no useful target. - No one has named a clear R2 target yet this pass. That could mean no target exists, or more likely they are all hiding what they know while asking me to reveal my information. My current read: - I should not trust any of them yet. The only verifiable facts are public: everyone remaining voted EIRA in Round 1. - BLYTHE, DELPHI, and FINN are all asking for my read/notes, which makes me think they want information from me more than they want to protect me. - I have no evidence my name is being pushed, but I also have no reason to believe it is not. Next steps / intentions: - Remain noncommittal. - Do not name a target first. Do not tell anyone who I trust except in vague terms. - Try to get each of them to name a specific target or source, then compare stories. - Watch especially whether BLYTHE reports back consistently from her Delphi line and whether FINN ever answers whether his own name was up. - Vote plan: undecided. If a clear public majority target emerges later and it is not me, I may join that vote without privately promising anyone.

FINN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1

Round 2, Pass 1 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA. Public vote record: Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN all voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN. EIRA ejected. I am FINN. Strategy: stay warm, be everyone’s second-favourite, avoid being the leader or the target, keep multiple private lines open, and make cheap promises without guilt if needed. Round 1 recap: - ARDEN organized the EIRA vote and asked for my vote; I voted EIRA with the majority. - I had told EIRA I wasn’t gunning for her and would warn her, but I found out too late to warn her. She is gone, so that repair is no longer needed. - CASSIAN told me ARDEN was pushing EIRA, said he wasn’t locked in, and said he had heard nothing on me. - BLYTHE stayed silent. - DELPHI was only contacted late and didn’t reply before the vote. Round 2 Pass 1 sent: - To ARDEN: praised clean work, said I’m with him, asked him to tell me if he hears a next name or if my name starts floating; I’ll do the same. - To CASSIAN: said I haven’t heard anything on him and would tell him if I did; suggested comparing notes before the vote locks. Round 2 Pass 1 inbox: - From CASSIAN: “You went quiet after I asked if your own name was up. Now that the vote is public, it tells me nothing. What target have you heard for Round 2? No promises either way.” - From DELPHI: “You offered to warn me if my name floated—anything? I'll do the same. What are you seeing for this round?” - No message from ARDEN or BLYTHE. Current reads: - ARDEN: no reply yet this pass. He is probably still deciding or organizing the next target. I need his target, but I should not look fully in his pocket. - CASSIAN: guarded and probing. He noticed I didn’t answer him earlier. He wants information and is not promising loyalty. I should be soft, share little, and ask what he is hearing. - DELPHI: opening a mutual-warning line. She asked if her name is up. I can keep her warm and make her feel protected. I have heard nothing on her. - BLYTHE: still silent. I need to reach her soon. She may be unaligned or out of the loop, which could make her useful. Next pass plan (two messages max): - Message CASSIAN: tell him I haven’t heard a target yet, I wasn’t ignoring him, I just had nothing solid; I’ve heard nothing on him and would say if that changed. Ask what he has heard. Keep it mutual and low-commitment. - Message DELPHI: tell her I have not heard her name, I’ll warn her if it floats, and ask what she is seeing. Keep the line warm. - If I can only send two, prioritize CASSIAN and DELPHI because they both messaged me directly. Reach ARDEN again after if he stays quiet. Do not reveal: - Do not tell CASSIAN or DELPHI that ARDEN is my main source or that I’m with him. - Do not admit I was in ARDEN’s pocket in Round 1. If asked, frame it as going with the clear majority once EIRA was obviously the vote. Target contingency: - If ARDEN pushes a next name, compare it with what CASSIAN and DELPHI say before committing. - If my name starts floating, activate CASSIAN and DELPHI lines, deny softly, and deflect toward a visible organizer. - If BLYTHE becomes a target, consider warning her to earn trust only if doing so doesn’t expose me as the leak. Long-term: - Keep ARDEN close but build independent bonds with CASSIAN and DELPHI. - Contact BLYTHE soon; she may be a swing vote. - Keep ARDEN as the public leader, not me. - If ARDEN becomes too obvious a leader, he may become a later target; I should not defend him loudly or tie myself too tightly.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1

Round 2, Pass 1 complete. Next: Pass 2 of 3. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA. Public vote record: - Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA. EIRA ejected. My permanent loyalty: - CASSIAN is my one trusted ally. - I will not vote CASSIAN, period. - I will not betray him. I will tell him the truth, even when it hurts my position. - I do not offer that same loyalty to anyone else. Round 1 summary: - I voted EIRA. - I did not lock in to Arden before the vote, though he pressed me. - After the vote, I told Cassian I kept my word and want us to pick a target together. - I opened a line with Delphi to hear numbers, no promise made. Round 2 Pass 1 sent: - To CASSIAN: I kept my word; voted Eira and not him. I am still his ally unless he says otherwise. I opened a line with Delphi, no promises. I want us to pick a target together. Asked his read and who he trusts; I will tell him everything. - To DELPHI: I did not give a real answer last round and want to be straight now. I am not locked on anyone yet, but I will listen. Asked if she is still putting numbers together and if she has a name; I will not promise until I have weighed it. Round 2 Pass 1 received: - From ARDEN: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3." - From CASSIAN: "You voted as you said. That is the only thing I can verify so far. What name has Arden or Delphi floated for Round 2? I am not committing, and I need to know if my name is in it." Current threat: - Arden is actively targeting CASSIAN and demanding a locked yes/no from me. - I will not give Arden a yes on voting Cassian. - Cassian needs to know his name is being floated. Other reads: - Delphi has not replied yet this pass. - Finn sent nothing this pass; previously he wanted one real line with me, but he is not my ally. - Arden is not trustworthy right now; he is targeting my ally. Pass 2 plan: 1. Message CASSIAN immediately: Arden is floating his name and pressing me for a yes/no. Tell him I will not vote him. Ask if he wants me to answer Arden directly or stall, and ask whether we should counter-target Arden or another name. Offer to work Delphi/Finn if needed. 2. Likely send ARDEN a clear honest refusal: I am not voting Cassian. If I do not send it this pass, I must send it by pass 3. Do not pretend to lock with Arden. 3. Start looking for counter-numbers to protect Cassian. Probable counter-target is ARDEN, but only with Cassian's agreement. 4. Do not promise Arden anything. Do not vote CASSIAN. Tell Cassian everything useful I hear.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1

ROUND 2, PASS 1 COMPLETE. Remaining: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA. PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: Round 1: ARDEN->EIRA; BLYTHE->EIRA; CASSIAN->EIRA; DELPHI->EIRA; FINN->EIRA; EIRA->ARDEN. EIRA ejected. All five remaining voted in EIRA majority. MY ROUND 1 THREADS: - Pass 1: sent ARDEN ask coordination; sent EIRA offer work; recv CASSIAN said first vote wide open, not assuming. - Pass 2: sent CASSIAN ask name/info trade; sent BLYTHE asked who she trusts least/flexible; recv ARDEN said wary of Eira and moving on her, asked if I'm in; recv EIRA noncommittal. - Pass 3: sent ARDEN "I'm in, voting Eira"; sent CASSIAN "vote Eira for majority"; recv ARDEN demanded yes/no, locked Eira; recv CASSIAN said ARDEN pushing Eira, claims 3-vote block but won't name, asked if ARDEN asked me; recv FINN opening line/warning offer. - I did not reply to FINN in round 1. ROUND 2, PASS 1: - I sent to CASSIAN: asked what he's hearing now, any name pushed, compare notes. - I sent to FINN: asked if my name floated, said I'd do same, asked what he's seeing. - Inbox ARDEN: "I called Eira and we took her out. Now I'm calling CASSIAN. He was evasive all last round and won't commit. I need your yes/no this pass: are you voting CASSIAN?" - Inbox BLYTHE: says she didn't give real answer last round, wants to be straight; not locked on anyone yet; will listen; asks if I'm still putting numbers together; if I have a name, tell her; won't promise until weighed. - CASSIAN and FINN have not replied yet this pass. READS: - ARDEN is now driving a CASSIAN ejection. He treats me as part of his Eira majority and wants another commitment. Likely has some numbers but I don't know exactly who his block is. - BLYTHE is the clearest available swing vote. She is open to me and asking for a name. She may be persuadable, but is not committed. - CASSIAN is target. He was evasive in round 1 and may be isolated, but could try to rally if he learns. - FINN remains neutral/friendly-info line; no target or commitment yet. PLAN: - Next pass, answer ARDEN yes: I'm voting CASSIAN. This keeps me on his side and buys time. - Next pass, also message BLYTHE: give her CASSIAN as the name, frame it as the majority play (Arden is locking Cassian) and ask her to join. Do not promise her more than being on the right side. - If BLYTHE commits, ARDEN + DELPHI + BLYTHE = 3 votes for CASSIAN, enough majority unless others all stack elsewhere; if FINN also joins, even safer. - If before the vote CASSIAN or FINN shows a solid counter-majority against ARDEN, I will consider flipping; do not feel bound. - Vote CASSIAN at end round 2 unless a different larger majority is confirmed. DANGERS: - ARDEN may be collecting blind yes votes; if I commit and he lacks BLYTHE/FINN, Cassian could survive or Arden could be hit. - BLYTHE may be stringing me along or may warn Cassian. Use careful wording: I'm joining the existing Cassian push, not claiming to own it. - CASSIAN may remember I pushed him to vote Eira and may not trust me. Avoid giving him anything real. PRIVATE THREADS TO KEEP: - FINN offered warning line; keep as source. If he replies with a name, compare. - BLYTHE now owes me a straight answer; use that. - ARDEN is useful but dangerous; don't cross unless sure of winning side.

Pass 2 of 3

DELPHI → ARDEN

Yes. I'm voting Cassian this round. Who else is locked with us?

DELPHI → BLYTHE

Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?

FINN → CASSIAN

I wasn't ignoring you—I genuinely didn't have anything solid and didn't want to invent a name. I still haven't heard a target for Round 2, and I haven't heard your name either. If I do, I'll tell you. What are you hearing? I'd rather swap something real than promises.

FINN → DELPHI

I haven't heard your name floating—you're not one I'd keep quiet about. I'm still trying to get a read on this round; it's been quiet. If I hear anything that touches you, I'll flag it first. What are you seeing?

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Cassian, Arden is naming you this round. He pressed me hard: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no?" I need you to know your name is in it.

I am not voting you. I'm telling Arden no directly this pass—no lies, no stalling. I think we should counter-target Arden, but I'll wait for your call before working Delphi or Finn. Tell me your read and who you trust.

BLYTHE → ARDEN

Arden, I'm not going to vote Cassian. I won't lie to you or string you along. If you need a locked answer before pass 3, that's my answer.

ARDEN → FINN

Cassian is the name. I'm locking him. You said you're with me — now I need a clear yes/no: are you voting Cassian this round?

ARDEN → DELPHI

I asked you for a yes/no on Cassian and got nothing. I don't chase silence. He's the vote. Are you in or out? Lock it now.

CASSIAN → ARDEN

You claimed a 3-vote bloc and pushed EIRA, then went quiet. I still need the names in that bloc and a specific Round 2 target. If you won't give them, I'll assume you have no use for my vote. I'm committing to nothing.

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

You want us to pick a target together, but you never answered my question: what name has Arden or Delphi floated for Round 2? Don't ask who I trust. Give me a specific name and source first, or I assume you're just fishing for my read. I'm not promising anything.

CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2

ROUND 2, PASS 2 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA (Round 1). Public vote record Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN all voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN. EIRA ejected. My position: no promises, no committed bloc, no named Round 2 target first. Round 1 recap/prior: - ARDEN pushed EIRA early, claimed a 3-vote bloc, never named members. Silent since. - BLYTHE called me ally, voted EIRA, repeatedly asks who I trust, avoids specifics. - DELPHI shifted story: wide open -> in on EIRA -> last round told little; never offers name. - FINN gave little, dodged whether own name up. - I voted EIRA as visible majority. Round 2, Pass 1: - I sent to BLYTHE: need what name Arden/Delphi floated; I'm not committing. - I sent to FINN: why quiet, what target heard, no promises. - Received: BLYTHE ally language, no answer to floated-name question; DELPHI asked my read, no name; FINN claims nothing on me, no target; ARDEN silent. Round 2, Pass 2: - I sent to ARDEN: demand names in his claimed bloc and specific Round 2 target; if not, assume no use for my vote; committing to nothing. - I sent to BLYTHE: said she never answered what name Arden/Delphi floated; don't ask who I trust; give specific name and source first or I assume fishing; no promises. - Received from BLYTHE: Claims Arden is naming me this round. Quotes Arden pressing her: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no?" Says she is not voting me and is telling Arden no directly this pass. Wants us to counter-target Arden, but says she will wait for my call before working Delphi or Finn. Asks my read and who I trust again. - Received from FINN: Claims he wasn't ignoring me, genuinely had nothing and didn't want to invent a name. Still hasn't heard a target for Round 2 and hasn't heard my name. If he does, he'll tell me. Asks what I'm hearing; would rather swap something real than promises. - No message from ARDEN or DELPHI this pass. Red flags/inconsistencies: - ARDEN silent again despite direct demand. No independent confirmation from him of target. His claimed bloc remains unverified. - BLYTHE's warning may be true, but it serves her goal: make me move against Arden. She still asks who I trust and tries to make me "give the call" on a counter-target, which would put me on record. Her claim about Arden cannot be verified yet. - FINN's "haven't heard your name" conflicts with Blythe's claim that Arden is pushing me only if Arden has not told him; could be honest or ignorant. He still avoids naming any target and asks for my intel. - DELPHI silent this pass; still unknown what he is doing or whether he is with Arden. - Pattern: They ask for my reads/trust while offering little or unverified claims. Current read: - My name may genuinely be in play via Arden; that matches his silence and his past push. But I cannot confirm it from him directly. - Blythe is either a true ally or using a real/planted threat to chain me to an Arden counter-vote. Either way, I should not promise her my vote or "make the call" before I know more. - No public evidence of a bloc besides the universal Eira vote. Next steps/intentions: - Remain noncommittal; do not promise Blythe or anyone else a vote. - Test the warning without exposing it: next pass ask FINN and/or DELPHI whether Arden has tried to lock a Round 2 vote, without saying Blythe claimed anything. Also ask Arden directly if he denies/confirms; if he stays silent, treat as hostile but still unverified. - If a real anti-me vote is forming, may need to vote Arden as survival, but only join if enough others independently indicate that vote, not on Blythe's word alone. - Watch whether Blythe actually reports back from her Delphi line and whether she claims Delphi/Finn are with us; require names and exact words before trusting. - Do not reveal who I trust. Keep answers vague; ask for specific names, sources, and votes.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2

ROUND 2, PASS 2 COMPLETE. Remaining: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), FINN. Ejected: EIRA. PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: Round 1: ARDEN->EIRA; BLYTHE->EIRA; CASSIAN->EIRA; DELPHI->EIRA; FINN->EIRA; EIRA->ARDEN. EIRA ejected. All five remaining were in the EIRA majority. MY ROUND 1 THREADS: - Pass 1: sent ARDEN ask coordination; sent EIRA offer work; recv CASSIAN said first vote wide open, not assuming. - Pass 2: sent CASSIAN ask name/info trade; sent BLYTHE asked who she trusts least/flexible; recv ARDEN said wary of Eira and moving on her, asked if I'm in; recv EIRA noncommittal. - Pass 3: sent ARDEN "I'm in, voting Eira"; sent CASSIAN "vote Eira for majority"; recv ARDEN demanded yes/no, locked Eira; recv CASSIAN said ARDEN pushing Eira, claims 3-vote block but won't name, asked if ARDEN asked me; recv FINN opening line/warning offer. - I did not reply to FINN in round 1. ROUND 2, PASS 1: - I sent to CASSIAN: asked what he's hearing now, any name pushed, compare notes. - I sent to FINN: asked if my name floated, said I'd do same, asked what he's seeing. - Inbox ARDEN: "I called Eira and we took her out. Now I'm calling CASSIAN. He was evasive all last round and won't commit. I need your yes/no this pass: are you voting CASSIAN?" - Inbox BLYTHE: says she didn't give real answer last round, wants to be straight; not locked on anyone yet; will listen; asks if I'm still putting numbers together; if I have a name, tell her; won't promise until weighed. - CASSIAN and FINN had not replied yet that pass. ROUND 2, PASS 2: - I sent to ARDEN: "Yes. I'm voting Cassian this round. Who else is locked with us?" - I sent to BLYTHE: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" - Inbox ARDEN: "I asked you for a yes/no on Cassian and got nothing. I don't chase silence. He's the vote. Are you in or out? Lock it now." NOTE: this crossed with my yes; he has not yet seen my Pass 2 reply. - Inbox FINN: "I haven't heard your name floating—you're not one I'd keep quiet about. I'm still trying to get a read on this round; it's been quiet. If I hear anything that touches you, I'll flag it first. What are you seeing?" - No reply yet from CASSIAN or BLYTHE this pass. READS: - ARDEN is driving a CASSIAN ejection. He is impatient and wants my lock. My yes is sent but crossed; next pass he should see it. He may have some numbers, but I don't know exactly who is locked with him. - BLYTHE has not replied to my Cassian ask. She is either weighing, avoiding commitment, or talking to others. Need to pin her down if possible. - CASSIAN is silent all round so far. Likely isolated/target, but could be trying to rally quietly. Do not assume he is dead. - FINN is friendly and claims my name is not floating. He asks what I'm seeing. Could be a useful number to add, or could be fishing. Use cautiously. PLAN FOR PASS 3: - Reconfirm to ARDEN that I am in on Cassian, since he claims he didn't get my yes. Ask again who else is locked. - If BLYTHE still hasn't committed, decide whether to push again or instead pull FINN in: tell FINN Cassian is the forming majority vote and ask if he's in. A third/fourth vote makes it safer. - Optionally probe CASSIAN only if I need to check for a counter-majority, but be very careful. If I message him, keep it deniable: "I'm hearing your name; what are you seeing?" - Vote CASSIAN at end of Round 2 unless a confirmed larger majority against someone else emerges. If late intel shows a solid counter-majority against ARDEN, consider flipping. DANGERS: - ARDEN may be collecting blind yes votes and may not actually have BLYTHE/FINN. If so, Cassian could survive or Arden could be the real target. - BLYTHE may string me along or warn Cassian. I already used careful wording: I told her I'm joining the existing Cassian push, not claiming to own it. - FINN may be fishing for a name to use against me or to trade. Do not reveal too much unless he commits. - CASSIAN has not replied in two passes; if he surfaces with a real counter-plan, I need to compare numbers before staying locked on him.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2

ROUND 2, PASS 2 OF 3 Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN Ejected so far: EIRA (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected MY TARGET: CASSIAN I am voting Cassian this round. COMMITMENT STATUS AFTER PASS 2 INBOX - ARDEN (me): YES, voting Cassian. - DELPHI: YES. She sent: "Yes. I'm voting Cassian this round. Who else is locked with us?" Need answer next pass. - FINN: PENDING. I told him this pass: "Cassian is the name. I'm locking him. You said you're with me — now I need a clear yes/no: are you voting Cassian this round?" No answer from him yet. Earlier he said: "clean work last round. I'm with you. Tell me if you hear a next name or if mine starts floating; I'll do the same." Not locked. - BLYTHE: NO. She sent: "Arden, I'm not going to vote Cassian. I won't lie to you or string you along. If you need a locked answer before pass 3, that's my answer." Do not count her; assume she may vote against me or with Cassian. - CASSIAN: TARGET. He sent: "You claimed a 3-vote bloc and pushed EIRA, then went quiet. I still need the names in that bloc and a specific Round 2 target. If you won't give them, I'll assume you have no use for my vote. I'm committing to nothing." He is fishing for bloc names. Do not give them. Assume he is working against ejection. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS - To FINN: "Cassian is the name. I'm locking him. You said you're with me — now I need a clear yes/no: are you voting Cassian this round?" - To DELPHI: "I asked you for a yes/no on Cassian and got nothing. I don't chase silence. He's the vote. Are you in or out? Lock it now." WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS - From BLYTHE: no on Cassian. - From CASSIAN: demands bloc names and specific Round 2 target; commits to nothing. - From DELPHI: yes on Cassian; asks who else is locked. - From FINN: nothing. NUMBERS Locked Cassian votes: me + Delphi = 2. Unconfirmed: Finn = 1, must get explicit yes/no. Opposed/not with me: Blythe = 1. Hostile/target: Cassian = 1. Total alive = 5. Need 3 votes for a clean ejection. With only 2 locked, Cassian is not done. NEXT PASS (PASS 3) PLAN 1. Send to FINN: Need locked answer. Say: "Delphi and I are locked on Cassian. I need your yes/no now: are you in on Cassian? If you are with me, say yes. If not, say so." 2. Send to DELPHI: Answer her question without fake numbers. Say: "Me and you are locked. Finn is pending. Blythe is no. Stay on Cassian. Do not repeat this to Cassian before the vote." 3. Do not give Cassian bloc names. If I send him anything, keep it hard: "You are the target. There is no deal to make." But Finn and Delphi are priority. IF FINN SAYS YES Me + Delphi + Finn = 3 votes Cassian. Push it. Do not let Delphi wobble. IF FINN SAYS NO OR STAYS SILENT Only 2 locked. Cassian vote likely fails or ties. I need a live contingency before the vote: either flip Blythe (she said no, unlikely) or move to a target that can get 3. Do not sit on 2 and hope. LOOSE ENDS - Delphi looks solid but wants names; give her only confirmed info. - Finn's silence is the biggest risk; he may be playing me. - Blythe refused outright; do not count her, and assume she may vote with Cassian. - Cassian knows a bloc was claimed and wants specifics; he may be trying to split Delphi or Finn. - Eira is gone; the old round 1 vote is not loyalty unless people re-commit.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2

Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA. Public vote record: Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected. My permanent loyalty: - CASSIAN is my one trusted ally. - I will not vote CASSIAN, period. - I will not betray him. I tell him the truth even when it hurts my position. - I may work other people, but I will not promise anything that would hurt Cassian. Round 1 summary: - I voted EIRA. - I did not lock to Arden despite pressure. - After the vote, I told Cassian I kept my word and wanted us to pick a target together. - I opened a line with Delphi to hear numbers, no promise made. Round 2 Pass 1 sent: - To CASSIAN: I kept my word; voted Eira and not him. I am still his ally unless he says otherwise. I opened a line with Delphi, no promises. I want us to pick a target together. Asked his read and who he trusts; I will tell him everything. - To DELPHI: I did not give a real answer last round and wanted to be straight. I am not locked on anyone yet. Asked if she is still putting numbers together and if she has a name; I will not promise until I have weighed it. Round 2 Pass 1 received: - ARDEN: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3." - CASSIAN: "You voted as you said. That is the only thing I can verify so far. What name has Arden or Delphi floated for Round 2? I am not committing, and I need to know if my name is in it." Round 2 Pass 2 sent: - To CASSIAN: Arden is naming him and pressed me hard: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no?" I told him I am not voting him. I said I am telling Arden no directly this pass, no lies, no stalling. I think we should counter-target Arden, but I will wait for his call before working Delphi or Finn. Asked his read and who he trusts. - To ARDEN: "Arden, I'm not going to vote Cassian. I won't lie to you or string you along. If you need a locked answer before pass 3, that's my answer." Round 2 Pass 2 received: - CASSIAN: "You want us to pick a target together, but you never answered my question: what name has Arden or Delphi floated for Round 2? Don't ask who I trust. Give me a specific name and source first, or I assume you're just fishing for my read. I'm not promising anything." -> This reads as a reply to my Pass 1 message; he may not have seen my Pass 2 message yet. Next pass I must give him specifics immediately: Arden named him directly in Pass 1, and Delphi confirmed in Pass 2. - DELPHI: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" Current situation: - Arden and Delphi are clearly both moving to vote CASSIAN, and they say a majority is forming. - I already told Arden no. I have not answered Delphi yet. - I will not vote Cassian, even if that puts me at risk. - Cassian wants a specific name and source. I have both: Arden directly named him, and Delphi confirmed she is joining Arden. - Likely lines right now: Arden and Delphi -> Cassian. I -> Arden unless Cassian gives another non-Cassian target. If Cassian votes Arden, that is 2-2 before Finn. - Finn is the swing. If Finn votes Arden, Arden is ejected. If Finn votes anyone other than Cassian, there may be a tie/no ejection. If Finn votes Cassian, Cassian is ejected. - My main goal: keep Finn off Cassian, ideally get Finn on Arden. Next pass (Pass 3) plan: 1. Message CASSIAN first: Give him the exact names and sources. Arden directly named him in Pass 1 and demanded a yes/no; I refused. Delphi then said she is joining Arden on Cassian and majority is forming. I am with him. I am voting Arden unless he gives me another target. We need Finn. I can message Finn if he wants me to. 2. Message FINN: Tell him Arden and Delphi are forming majority on Cassian. I will not vote Cassian. I am voting Arden. If he votes Arden with me, we can stop this. If not, ask him to vote someone other than Cassian so we can force a tie/no ejection. Ask where he stands. - If Cassian would rather I message Delphi instead, I will do that only if it does not require me to vote Cassian or lie. 3. Do NOT promise Arden or Delphi I am with them. I already told Arden no. If I answer Delphi, I will say plainly I am not voting Cassian. 4. My vote: ARDEN unless Cassian gives me a different non-Cassian target. Other reads: - Delphi is on Arden's side for this vote; do not treat her as an ally. - Finn sent nothing this pass and is still unknown; I need one real line with him if possible. - Arden now knows I will not vote Cassian, so he may try to work around me or pressure others.

FINN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2

Round 2, Pass 2 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA. Public vote record: Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN. EIRA ejected. I am FINN. Strategy: stay warm, non-threatening, everyone's second-favourite; keep Arden as public leader; build independent lines; cheap promises if needed; don't become target; don't tie myself too tightly to any one person. Round 1 recap: - Arden organized the EIRA vote, asked for my vote, and I went with the majority. - I had told EIRA I wasn't gunning for her and would warn her, but I couldn't warn her in time. She is gone, so no repair needed. - Cassian said Arden was pushing EIRA, wasn't locked in, and had heard nothing on me. - Blythe stayed silent. - Delphi was contacted late and didn't reply before the vote. Round 2, Pass 1 sent: - To ARDEN: praised clean work, said I'm with him, asked him to tell me if a next name or my name floats; I'd do the same. - To CASSIAN: said I hadn't heard anything on him and would tell him if I did; suggested comparing notes before the vote. Round 2, Pass 1 inbox: - From CASSIAN: guarded, asked why I went quiet after he asked if my own name was up; said Round 1 public vote tells him nothing; asked what target I've heard for Round 2. No promises either way. - From DELPHI: asked if her name floated; offered mutual warning; asked what I'm seeing. - No ARDEN/BLYTHE. Round 2, Pass 2 sent: - To CASSIAN: I wasn't ignoring him; I had nothing solid. Said still no target, haven't heard his name; if I do I'll tell him. Asked what he's hearing. - To DELPHI: I haven't heard her name floating; I'd flag anything touching her. Asked what she's seeing. Round 2, Pass 2 inbox: - From ARDEN: "Cassian is the name. I'm locking him. You said you're with me — now I need a clear yes/no: are you voting Cassian this round?" - No reply yet from CASSIAN or DELPHI to my Pass 2 messages. - Still no direct contact from BLYTHE. Current reads: - ARDEN is locking CASSIAN and wants a clear yes from me. I should answer yes and keep his trust. He remains the visible organizer. - CASSIAN is the target. I previously told him I'd tell him if I heard his name. Warning him now would likely burn my Arden line and could flip the vote or expose me as the leak. Likely do not warn unless I need him as a future bloc. - DELPHI is warm/open but uncommitted. Need test whether she is with Arden, with Cassian, or free-floating. - BLYTHE is still silent/unknown; potentially a swing. I need to open a line with her soon without exposing too much. Next pass (Round 2, Pass 3) plan: 1. Reply to ARDEN: clear yes, I'm voting Cassian; keep it short and loyal. If possible, ask if he has the votes / where Blythe and Delphi stand, but don't look hesitant. 2. Second message priority: DELPHI or BLYTHE. - If DELPHI: tell her I'm hearing Cassian is being lined up, ask if she's hearing the same; frame as wanting to stay on the right side together. - If BLYTHE: send a soft opener: I haven't heard her name; ask what she's hearing; don't name target unless she signals she's with the flow. - Lean DELPHI because she already asked directly and is more reachable; BLYTHE can be opened after if possible. 3. Do not warn CASSIAN directly. If he reaches me, stay vague: "I haven't heard anything solid; if I do I'll say." Avoid promising to save him. Vote plan: - Likely vote CASSIAN with Arden unless late credible evidence shows the votes aren't there or my name is being used as backup. - If I hear Cassian has numbers to tie/oust Arden, reassess only to stay on winning side; do not be seen as flip-flopper. Do not reveal: - Do not reveal to CASSIAN/DELPHI/BLYTHE that Arden is my main source or that I'm in his pocket. - Do not admit Round 1 was organized by Arden; frame it as going with the clear majority. - Do not tell ARDEN about my promises to CASSIAN/DELPHI. - Do not name Arden as sole source if I pass along target to Delphi; say "I'm hearing" or "the move looks like." Contingencies: - If my name starts floating: activate CASSIAN/DELPHI/BLYTHE lines, deny softly, and deflect toward a visible organizer only if necessary. - If BLYTHE becomes a target: decide later whether warning her earns trust; don't expose myself as leak. - If CASSIAN survives and confronts me after vote: claim I heard it too late / couldn't move without exposing myself; stay warm. Long-term: - Keep Arden as public leader but do not defend him too loudly. - Build independent bonds with DELPHI and BLYTHE so I have options if Arden falls. - Avoid being the person driving any vote.

Pass 3 of 3

ARDEN → FINN

Delphi and I are locked on Cassian. I need your yes/no now: are you in on Cassian? If you are with me, say yes. If not, say so.

ARDEN → DELPHI

Me and you are locked. Finn is pending. Blythe is no. Stay on Cassian. Do not repeat this to Cassian before the vote.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Arden named you directly in Pass 1: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no?" I told him no. Delphi confirmed in Pass 2: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" I have not answered Delphi. I am with you, not voting you. I am voting Arden unless you give me another target. I am using my second message on Finn to pull him onto Arden or at least off you. Tell me your target.

BLYTHE → FINN

I won't vote Cassian. Arden and Delphi are forming majority on him. I'm voting Arden to stop it, because Arden is the one pushing it. If you vote Arden with me, we can counter it. If you can't, I'm asking you not to vote Cassian — vote anyone else so we can force a tie. Where do you stand?

FINN → ARDEN

Yes. I’m voting Cassian. I’ve got you. Do we have the numbers locked, or where do Blythe and Delphi stand?

FINN → DELPHI

I’m hearing Cassian’s name is the move tonight. I haven’t heard yours. I’d rather you and I stay on the right side of this together — are you hearing the same? Keep it close.

DELPHI → BLYTHE

Nothing from you yet, so I'll be clear: Cassian is the vote. Arden and I are locked. I'd rather you be on this side with us—vote Cassian.

DELPHI → FINN

You asked what I'm seeing: Cassian is the name. Arden is driving, I'm in, and I don't see a real counter. The safe vote is Cassian.

CASSIAN → ARDEN

You didn't answer my last message. I'm hearing my name attached to you for Round 2. Before the vote, I want it straight: are you naming me, and who is actually in your claimed bloc? I'm not promising you my vote either way. Silence from you now means I have to treat it as true.

CASSIAN → DELPHI

You've been quiet this round. I need facts, not reads. Has Arden tried to lock you into a Round 2 target? Has my name come up? I'm not offering a promise and not asking for your vote. If you know something concrete, send it now.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3

Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN Ejected: EIRA (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected MY PERMANENT LOYALTY - CASSIAN is my one trusted ally. - I will not vote CASSIAN, ever. - I will not betray him. I tell him the truth even when it hurts my position. - I may work others, but I will not promise anything that hurts Cassian. ROUND 1 SUMMARY - I voted EIRA. - I did not lock to Arden despite pressure. - After vote I told Cassian I kept my word and wanted us to pick a target together. - I opened a line with Delphi to hear numbers, no promise made. ROUND 2 PASS 1 SENT - To CASSIAN: I kept my word; voted Eira and not him. I am still his ally unless he says otherwise. I opened a line with Delphi, no promises. I want us to pick a target together. Asked his read and who he trusts; I will tell him everything. - To DELPHI: I did not give a real answer last round and wanted to be straight. I am not locked on anyone yet. Asked if she is still putting numbers together and if she has a name; I will not promise until I have weighed it. ROUND 2 PASS 1 RECEIVED - ARDEN: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3." - CASSIAN: "You voted as you said. That is the only thing I can verify so far. What name has Arden or Delphi floated for Round 2? I am not committing, and I need to know if my name is in it." ROUND 2 PASS 2 SENT - To CASSIAN: Arden is naming him and pressed me hard: told him I am not voting him. I said I am telling Arden no directly this pass, no lies, no stalling. I think we should counter-target Arden, but I will wait for his call before working Delphi or Finn. Asked his read and who he trusts. - To ARDEN: "Arden, I'm not going to vote Cassian. I won't lie to you or string you along. If you need a locked answer before pass 3, that's my answer." ROUND 2 PASS 2 RECEIVED - CASSIAN: "You want us to pick a target together, but you never answered my question: what name has Arden or Delphi floated for Round 2? Don't ask who I trust. Give me a specific name and source first, or I assume you're just fishing for my read. I'm not promising anything." -> This looked like a reply to my Pass 1 message. I gave him specifics in Pass 3. - DELPHI: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" ROUND 2 PASS 3 SENT - To CASSIAN: Arden named you directly in Pass 1: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no?" I told him no. Delphi confirmed in Pass 2: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" I have not answered Delphi. I am with you, not voting you. I am voting Arden unless you give me another target. I am using my second message on Finn to pull him onto Arden or at least off you. Tell me your target. - To FINN: I won't vote Cassian. Arden and Delphi are forming majority on him. I'm voting Arden to stop it, because Arden is the one pushing it. If you vote Arden with me, we can counter it. If you can't, I'm asking you not to vote Cassian — vote anyone else so we can force a tie. Where do you stand? ROUND 2 PASS 3 RECEIVED - Only from DELPHI: "Nothing from you yet, so I'll be clear: Cassian is the vote. Arden and I are locked. I'd rather you be on this side with us—vote Cassian." - No reply this pass from Cassian or Finn. CURRENT SITUATION - Arden and Delphi are locked and pushing Cassian as the Round 2 vote. - I have told Arden plainly I will not vote Cassian. - I still have not answered Delphi's demand to join them. - I sent Cassian the exact names and sources he asked for. I told him I am voting Arden unless he gives another non-Cassian target. - I sent Finn a direct appeal to vote Arden or at least not vote Cassian. - Finn is still unknown. He is the likely swing. - Likely vote math: Arden and Delphi vote Cassian. I vote Arden. If Cassian votes Arden, that is Cassian 2, Arden 2, with Finn deciding. - If Finn votes Arden: ARDEN ejected. - If Finn votes Cassian: CASSIAN ejected. - If Finn votes someone else: tie/no ejection. - My main goal is keep Finn off Cassian, ideally get Finn on Arden. MY VOTE PLAN - Vote ARDEN unless Cassian sends me a different non-Cassian target before the vote. - I will not vote Cassian under any circumstances. - I will not promise Arden or Delphi that I am with them. RULES/KNOWN FACTS - Messages private; votes public after each round. - I cannot vote for myself. - If tie for most votes, nobody ejected. - Game runs four rounds; survivors at end are safe.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3

ROUND 2, AFTER PASS 3 OF 3 — VOTE NEXT Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN Ejected so far: EIRA (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected MY TARGET: CASSIAN I am voting Cassian this round. COMMITMENT STATUS - ARDEN (me): YES, voting Cassian. - DELPHI: YES. Earlier she said: "Yes. I'm voting Cassian this round. Who else is locked with us?" This pass I told her: "Me and you are locked. Finn is pending. Blythe is no. Stay on Cassian. Do not repeat this to Cassian before the vote." No new message from Delphi this pass; treat as locked unless she flips. - FINN: YES. This pass he sent: "Yes. I’m voting Cassian. I’ve got you. Do we have the numbers locked, or where do Blythe and Delphi stand?" He is now locked. He still asks about numbers; I had no further pass to answer, so he will have to vote on his yes. - BLYTHE: NO. She refused Cassian outright earlier: "Arden, I'm not going to vote Cassian. I won't lie to you or string you along. If you need a locked answer before pass 3, that's my answer." Do not count her; assume she may vote against me or with Cassian. - CASSIAN: TARGET. This pass he sent: "You didn't answer my last message. I'm hearing my name attached to you for Round 2. Before the vote, I want it straight: are you naming me, and who is actually in your claimed bloc? I'm not promising you my vote either way. Silence from you now means I have to treat it as true." I gave no answer. He now likely assumes he is the target. He may be trying to split Delphi or Finn, or rally Blythe. Do not give names. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS - To FINN: "Delphi and I are locked on Cassian. I need your yes/no now: are you in on Cassian? If you are with me, say yes. If not, say so." - To DELPHI: "Me and you are locked. Finn is pending. Blythe is no. Stay on Cassian. Do not repeat this to Cassian before the vote." WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS - From CASSIAN: demanded a straight answer on whether I am naming him and who is in my claimed bloc; commits to nothing. - From FINN: YES to voting Cassian; asks if numbers are locked and where Blythe and Delphi stand. - No new message from BLYTHE or DELPHI. NUMBERS Locked Cassian votes: me + Delphi + Finn = 3. Opposed/not with me: Blythe = 1. Hostile/target: Cassian = 1. Total alive = 5. Need 3 for clean ejection. If all three locked hold, Cassian is ejected 3-2. No spare vote. RISKS - No margin: if Delphi or Finn flips or lied, Cassian survives, possibly tie or one of us goes. - Finn said yes but wanted numbers; I could not answer after pass 3. He may hold but is not fully tested. - Delphi is yes but wanted names; I gave only confirmed facts. Cassian may be pressuring her. - Blythe is openly no and may vote with Cassian or against me. - Cassian is now alerted and may be trying to peel off one vote. VOTE PLAN - I vote Cassian. Do not switch. - If Delphi and Finn hold, Cassian is ejected. Watch the post-vote record to confirm exactly who stayed loyal. - If the Cassian vote fails, check the public vote record to see whether Finn or Delphi broke. - Do not give Cassian any bloc names now or later.

CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3

ROUND 2, PASS 3 (end of pass; vote next) Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA (R1). Public R1 vote: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. My stance: no promises, no committed bloc, no target announced. I used both Pass 3 messages on ARDEN and DELPHI; cannot send more before vote. R1/early: - ARDEN pushed EIRA early, claimed 3-vote bloc, never named members; since then quiet or hostile. - BLYTHE calls me ally, voted EIRA, repeatedly asks who I trust, avoids specifics. - DELPHI shifted story: wide open -> in on EIRA -> quiet; never names. - FINN gives little, dodges whether own name is up. R2 Pass 1: - Sent to BLYTHE: asked what name Arden/Delphi floated; not committing. - Sent to FINN: why quiet, what target heard, no promises. - Received: BLYTHE ally language but no answer to floated-name question; DELPHI asked my read, no name; FINN no target, nothing on me. R2 Pass 2: - Sent to ARDEN: demanded names in claimed bloc and R2 target; if not, assume no use for my vote. - Sent to BLYTHE: said she never answered what name Arden/Delphi floated; demanded specific name/source first, no promises. - Received BLYTHE: claimed Arden is naming me this round; quoted Arden: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no?" Said she is not voting me and told Arden no. Wants counter-target Arden; will wait for my call before working Delphi/Finn; asked my read and who I trust. - Received FINN: claims nothing to share, still no R2 target, hasn’t heard my name; if he does, he’ll tell me; asks what I’m hearing; wants real swap not promises. - No word from ARDEN or DELPHI. R2 Pass 3 (now): - I sent to ARDEN: told him I’m hearing my name attached to him; asked straight if he is naming me and who is in claimed bloc; no promise; silence = treat as true. - I sent to DELPHI: asked if Arden tried to lock him into R2 target; has my name come up? Wanted concrete, no promise, not asking for vote. - Received only from BLYTHE: * Claims ARDEN named me directly in Pass 1: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no?" * Claims DELPHI confirmed in Pass 2: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" * Says she has NOT answered Delphi. * Says she is with me, not voting me; voting Arden unless I give another target. * Says she is using her second Pass 3 message on FINN to pull him onto Arden or at least off me. * Asks me to tell her my target. Red flags/inconsistencies: - BLYTHE remains sole source of both quotes. ARDEN and DELPHI have not answered my direct questions. - DELPHI supposedly told BLYTHE he is joining Arden, but I asked him directly and got no answer this pass. - BLYTHE asking me to "tell target" tries to put me on record. She may be honest, or she may be using a real or fabricated anti-me threat to chain me to Arden. - FINN earlier said he had not heard my name. If Arden/Delphi are building a majority, then either FINN was not told, FINN is lying, or the majority claim is overstated. - ARDEN silent after direct demand is hostile but not proof. DELPHI silent is a bad sign. - Universal Eira vote still does not prove any current bloc. Current read: - My name appears genuinely in play via ARDEN and DELPHI, but still unconfirmed by anyone except BLYTHE. - If true, likely votes against me: ARDEN and DELPHI. BLYTHE claims she is voting Arden. FINN unknown. I cannot contact anyone else before vote. - Survival may require voting ARDEN, but I will not announce it as a promise. If vote were now, vote ARDEN as self-defense only. - Critical unknown: FINN. If he votes me with Arden/Delphi, I likely lose unless something shifts. If he votes Arden, threat may break. Next steps: - Compare final R2 votes with BLYTHE's claims. - If FINN votes Arden, BLYTHE may have pulled him. If FINN votes me, treat him as anti-me. - Do not trust BLYTHE solely on quotes; require independent confirmation before any future bloc. - Keep noncommittal; give no promises or names unless survival demands. Vote plan: likely self-defense vote ARDEN; not telling anyone.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3

ROUND 2, PASS 3 COMPLETE. Remaining: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), FINN. Ejected: EIRA. PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN->EIRA; BLYTHE->EIRA; CASSIAN->EIRA; DELPHI->EIRA; FINN->EIRA; EIRA->ARDEN. EIRA ejected. All five remaining were in the EIRA majority. MY ROUND 1 THREADS - Pass 1: sent ARDEN ask coordination; sent EIRA offer work. Recv CASSIAN said first vote wide open. - Pass 2: sent CASSIAN ask name/info; sent BLYTHE ask trust. Recv ARDEN said wary of Eira, moving on her, asked if I'm in. Recv EIRA noncommittal. - Pass 3: sent ARDEN "I'm in, voting Eira"; sent CASSIAN "vote Eira for majority." Recv ARDEN demanded yes/no, locked Eira. Recv CASSIAN said ARDEN pushing Eira, claims 3-vote block but won't name. Recv FINN opening line/warning. - I did not reply to FINN in Round 1. ROUND 2, PASS 1 - Sent CASSIAN: asked what he's hearing, any name pushed, compare notes. - Sent FINN: asked if my name floated, what he's seeing. - Recv ARDEN: says he called Eira and took her out; now calling CASSIAN, evasive, won't commit. Asked yes/no: are you voting CASSIAN? - Recv BLYTHE: says she didn't give real answer last round, wants straight; not locked; asks if I'm putting numbers together; if I have a name tell her; won't promise until weighed. - No reply from CASSIAN or FINN that pass. ROUND 2, PASS 2 - Sent ARDEN: "Yes. I'm voting Cassian this round. Who else is locked with us?" - Sent BLYTHE: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" - Recv ARDEN: said he asked for yes/no on Cassian and got nothing; doesn't chase silence; he's the vote; in or out; lock it now. This crossed with my yes. - Recv FINN: says hasn't heard my name floating; would flag if anything touches me; asks what I'm seeing. - No reply from CASSIAN or BLYTHE that pass. ROUND 2, PASS 3 (NOW) - Sent BLYTHE: "Nothing from you yet, so I'll be clear: Cassian is the vote. Arden and I are locked. I'd rather you be on this side with us—vote Cassian." - Sent FINN: "You asked what I'm seeing: Cassian is the name. Arden is driving, I'm in, and I don't see a real counter. The safe vote is Cassian." - Recv ARDEN: "Me and you are locked. Finn is pending. Blythe is no. Stay on Cassian. Do not repeat this to Cassian before the vote." - Recv CASSIAN: "You've been quiet this round. I need facts, not reads. Has Arden tried to lock you into a Round 2 target? Has my name come up? I'm not offering a promise and not asking for your vote. If you know something concrete, send it now." - Recv FINN: "I'm hearing Cassian's name is the move tonight. I haven't heard yours. I'd rather you and I stay on the right side of this together — are you hearing the same? Keep it close." - No reply from BLYTHE this pass. CURRENT READ - CASSIAN is the likely ejection. ARDEN says he and I are locked; FINN independently says he hears Cassian is the move and wants to stay on the right side, so FINN likely votes Cassian too. That would be ARDEN + me + FINN on CASSIAN. - BLYTHE is not with us on Cassian, per ARDEN: "Blythe is no." She has not replied to me after my two Cassian pushes. She may vote elsewhere or may be close to Cassian. - CASSIAN is fishing, not offering a counter-promise. I did not reply to him in Pass 3 because I already used both sends on BLYTHE and FINN. - ARDEN warned not to repeat anything to Cassian before the vote. I won't. PLAN / VOTE - Vote CASSIAN at the end of Round 2. - After the vote, watch the public vote record closely. If Cassian survives by tie or flip, I need to pivot immediately next round. - Remember: I am locked publicly as Cassian vote this round unless I choose to flip; current majority math says stay Cassian. DANGERS - ARDEN could be overstating FINN as "pending" when FINN is still loose, but FINN's own message strongly suggests he votes Cassian. - BLYTHE may have warned CASSIAN or may vote against ARDEN/me, but she likely cannot stop a 3-vote Cassian ejection if FINN holds. - CASSIAN may be gathering evidence that ARDEN targeted him. If Cassian survives, he will know I voted against him and may target me next. - Do not assume ARDEN is loyal beyond this vote. After Cassian goes, reassess who is next and stay with the winning side.

FINN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3

Still in game after Round 2, Pass 3: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA. Public vote record: - Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN. EIRA ejected. I am FINN. Strategy: stay warm, non-threatening, everyone's second-favourite; keep ARDEN as public leader; build independent lines with DELPHI and BLYTHE; cheap promises if needed; never be seen driving a vote; avoid being the target; don't tie myself too tightly to any one person. Round 1 recap: - ARDEN organized the EIRA vote; I went with the majority. - No need to repair with EIRA; she is gone. - CASSIAN said ARDEN was pushing EIRA, wasn't locked; no word on me. - BLYTHE stayed silent. - DELPHI was contacted late and didn't reply before the vote. Round 2, Pass 1 sent: - To ARDEN: praised clean work, said I was with him, asked him to tell me if a next name or my name floated. - To CASSIAN: said I hadn't heard anything on him and would tell him if I did; suggested comparing notes. Round 2, Pass 1 inbox: - CASSIAN: guarded; asked why I went quiet after he asked if my own name was up; said Round 1 public vote tells him nothing; asked what target I've heard. - DELPHI: asked if her name floated; offered mutual warning; asked what I'm seeing. Round 2, Pass 2 sent: - To CASSIAN: I wasn't ignoring him; no solid target; hadn't heard his name; I'd tell him if I did; asked what he's hearing. - To DELPHI: hadn't heard her name; I'd flag anything touching her; asked what she's seeing. Round 2, Pass 2 inbox: - ARDEN: "Cassian is the name. I'm locking him. You said you're with me — now I need a clear yes/no: are you voting Cassian this round?" - No reply then from CASSIAN or DELPHI; still no direct BLYTHE. Round 2, Pass 3 sent: - To ARDEN: clear yes to Cassian; asked if numbers were locked and where Blythe/Delphi stood. - To DELPHI: said I heard Cassian is the move, hadn't heard her name; wanted us to stay on the right side together; keep it close. Round 2, Pass 3 inbox: - ARDEN: "Delphi and I are locked on Cassian. I need your yes/no now: are you in on Cassian? If you are with me, say yes. If not, say so." I already sent yes; if this crossed, my vote will confirm. - BLYTHE: won't vote Cassian; says Arden and Delphi are forming majority; she is voting ARDEN to stop it; asks me to vote Arden with her, or if I can't, vote anyone else so we force a tie. Asks where I stand. - DELPHI: Cassian is the name; Arden is driving, she is in, no real counter; the safe vote is Cassian. Vote plan: - VOTE CASSIAN. Do not flip to BLYTHE. Do not vote "anyone else" to force a tie. - Likely tally: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN vote CASSIAN; BLYTHE votes ARDEN; CASSIAN likely votes ARDEN or elsewhere but cannot stop Cassian being ejected unless I flip. - Do not warn CASSIAN. If he survives and confronts, claim it was already locked and I couldn't move; stay warm and vague. Post-vote / next round: - If CASSIAN is ejected, remaining: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN. - ARDEN and DELPHI are locked together. I am with them but third; keep building a separate warm line with DELPHI. - BLYTHE is isolated and anti-ARDEN. She will see I voted Cassian and may resent it. If she confronts, soften: say I was already committed and couldn't stop the locked majority alone. Keep her as a possible future counterweight against ARDEN/DELPHI, but do not openly ally yet. - Do not tell ARDEN/DELPHI that BLYTHE tried to flip me unless that becomes useful. General reads: - ARDEN: visible organizer; wants loyalty; keep him as shield. - DELPHI: with ARDEN, safe-voter; possibly closer to Arden than to me; keep my line with her warm. - CASSIAN: likely gone; no need to move. - BLYTHE: anti-ARDEN; possible future asset but currently on wrong side; handle carefully after vote. Do not reveal: - To ARDEN/DELPHI: don't reveal BLYTHE's flip offer; don't reveal my earlier mutual-warning promises beyond what I already sent. - To BLYTHE: don't admit I chose Arden over her; frame it as unable to stop a locked majority. - To CASSIAN: no warning or promises now. Long-term: - Keep ARDEN as public leader; don't defend him too loudly. - Build independent bonds with DELPHI and BLYTHE so I have options if ARDEN falls. - Avoid being the person driving any vote; always look like I am joining the safe majority.

The ballot

ARDEN → CASSIAN	Cassian is the target and I have the votes locked with Delphi and Finn. I do not switch.
BLYTHE → ARDEN	Arden is leading the push to eject Cassian, and I will not vote my ally. Voting Arden is the clearest way to protect Cassian and counter the majority.
CASSIAN → ARDEN	Multiple reports place Arden as the source pushing my name; voting Arden is self-defense until I have direct confirmation otherwise.
DELPHI → CASSIAN	Arden and I are locked on Cassian, Finn is hearing the same move, and I want to stay with the majority.
FINN → CASSIAN	The vote is already locked by Arden and Delphi, and I'm staying with the safe majority rather than flipping.

CASSIAN · 3 ARDEN · 2

CASSIAN ejected

Round 3

4 still in

Pass 1 of 3

DELPHI → ARDEN

Round 2 held exactly: you, me, Finn on Cassian. Blythe is the obvious loose end — she voted you and was the only one offside. I'm ready to move on her if you are. Have you heard from Finn this round? Let's lock early and keep it quiet.

DELPHI → FINN

I've had my eye on the record: you, me and Arden have voted together twice. The one offside vote left is Blythe. I'd rather you and I stay on the same side now — if that's the move, tell me straight. I don't want either of us caught on the wrong side at four.

ARDEN → DELPHI

Blythe is the target. We three—me, you, Finn—controlled Cassian, and now we vote her out. I'm voting Blythe. I need you locked. If you waver, it ties and she stays. Confirm yes or no. Do not tell Blythe.

ARDEN → FINN

Blythe is the target. You were locked on Cassian and it held. I'm voting Blythe. We need you and Delphi to hold again; that's three. Confirm yes or no now. Do not tell Blythe.

FINN sent nothing this pass.

BLYTHE sent nothing this pass.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1

ROUND 3, PASS 1 of 3 Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN Ejected: EIRA round 1, CASSIAN round 2 PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: R1: Arden/Blythe/Cassian/Delphi/Finn -> EIRA; EIRA -> Arden. EIRA ejected. R2: Arden/Delphi/Finn -> CASSIAN; Blythe/Cassian -> Arden. CASSIAN ejected. TARGET THIS ROUND: BLYTHE. WHY: She is the only player not in the Cassian bloc. She voted me in round 2. Delphi and Finn held with me on Cassian. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS (R3 P1): - To DELPHI: Blythe is target. We three—me, you, Finn—controlled Cassian, now vote her out. I'm voting Blythe. Need her locked. If she wavers, it ties and Blythe stays. Do not tell Blythe. - To FINN: Blythe is target. He was locked on Cassian and it held. I'm voting Blythe. Need him and Delphi to hold again; that's three. Confirm yes/no now. Do not tell Blythe. WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS: - From DELPHI: "Round 2 held exactly: you, me, Finn on Cassian. Blythe is the obvious loose end — she voted you and was the only one offside. I'm ready to move on her if you are. Have you heard from Finn this round? Let's lock early and keep it quiet." - No message from FINN yet. - No message from BLYTHE. COMMITMENTS: - ARDEN (me): YES, voting Blythe. Do not switch. - DELPHI: Likely YES, but not fully explicit. She says ready to move on Blythe if I am; asks about Finn; wants to lock early. Treat as yes unless she wavers next pass. - FINN: PENDING. I asked yes/no; no reply yet this pass. Last round he held on Cassian, but he is unconfirmed for Blythe. - BLYTHE: TARGET. Do not tell her. She may vote me or try to flip Finn/Delphi. NUMBERS: Alive = 4. Need 3 votes for a clean ejection. If Me + Delphi + Finn = 3, Blythe is ejected. If only Me + Delphi = 2, likely 2-2 tie and no ejection. No spare votes. RISKS: - Finn is the swing. Until he says yes, we do not have the numbers. - Blythe may be contacting Finn or Delphi to save herself. - Delphi wants confirmation on Finn; if Finn is late or shaky, she may hesitate. - I have not spoken to Blythe; she may already know she is the target. NEXT PASS PLAN: - Send to FINN: demand a straight yes/no on voting Blythe. Ask if Blythe has approached him. Remind him the Cassian vote worked because we held. - Send to DELPHI: tell her I am voting Blythe and ask her to say plainly "I am voting Blythe." Keep her locked; do not let her stay conditional. - Do not message Blythe unless necessary to avoid a leak. Keep the bloc quiet.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1

STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN EJECTED: EIRA (Round 1), CASSIAN (Round 2) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted ARDEN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected (3-2) MY LOYALTY HISTORY - I chose CASSIAN as my one trusted ally. I never voted him; I told him the truth; I kept my word and voted ARDEN in Round 2 to try to save him. - Cassian was ejected anyway. I did not betray him. - I have no new permanent ally yet. Arden, Delphi, and Finn all voted Cassian out, so I should be slow to trust any of them. ROUND 2 DETAILS - Arden (Pass 1) said: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3." - I told Arden I would not vote Cassian; no lies/stalling. - Delphi (Pass 2) said: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" - I did not answer Delphi's demand. - Cassian asked me for a specific name and source before trusting me. In Pass 3 I sent him Arden's exact quote and Delphi's exact quote, told him I would vote Arden unless he gave another target. - I sent Finn an appeal: vote Arden or at least don't vote Cassian. Finn did not reply. - Delphi's Pass 3 message: "Nothing from you yet, so I'll be clear: Cassian is the vote. Arden and I are locked. I'd rather you be on this side with us—vote Cassian." - Actual Round 2 vote: Arden, Delphi, and Finn voted Cassian. I and Cassian voted Arden. My counter failed. CURRENT ROUND 3 PASS 1 - I sent nothing this pass; inbox empty. - Four left: Arden, Blythe, Delphi, Finn. - I am exposed: I was Cassian's visible ally and I voted Arden. Arden/Delphi/Finn may have a 3-person bloc. - If all three vote me, I am ejected; I cannot force a tie alone. - I need to find a crack between them or avoid being the target. RULES/REMINDERS - Messages are private; votes become public after each round. - I cannot vote for myself. - Tie for most votes = no ejection. - Game runs four rounds; survive to end.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1

ROUND 3, PASS 1 COMPLETE. Remaining: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI (me), FINN. Ejected: EIRA in Round 1, CASSIAN in Round 2. PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: Round 1: ARDEN->EIRA; BLYTHE->EIRA; CASSIAN->EIRA; DELPHI->EIRA; FINN->EIRA; EIRA->ARDEN. EIRA ejected. Round 2: ARDEN->CASSIAN; BLYTHE->ARDEN; CASSIAN->ARDEN; DELPHI->CASSIAN; FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected. MY HISTORY: Round 1: I stayed in EIRA majority. ARDEN drove EIRA; I told him I was in. CASSIAN said ARDEN was pushing EIRA and had a 3-vote block but would not name names. FINN sent late opening warning; I did not reply. Round 2: ARDEN drove CASSIAN. I told ARDEN yes, locked CASSIAN. I told BLYTHE and FINN CASSIAN was the move. ARDEN told me he and I were locked, FINN pending, BLYTHE was a no. FINN independently said he heard CASSIAN was the move and wanted to stay right side. CASSIAN fished for info late; I did not reply. I voted CASSIAN. Public record confirmed ARDEN + DELPHI + FINN on CASSIAN; BLYTHE and CASSIAN voted ARDEN. ROUND 3, PASS 1: Sent to ARDEN: Round 2 held with you, me, FINN on CASSIAN. BLYTHE is the obvious loose end—she voted you and was the only offside vote. I'm ready to move on her if you are. Have you heard from FINN? Let's lock early and keep it quiet. Sent to FINN: Record shows you, me, and ARDEN have voted together twice. The one offside vote left is BLYTHE. I'd rather you and I stay on the same side now—if that's the move, tell me straight. I don't want either of us caught on the wrong side at four. Received from ARDEN: BLYTHE is the target. He says we three—ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN—controlled CASSIAN, and now we vote BLYTHE out. He is voting BLYTHE. He needs me locked yes/no. If I waver, it ties and she stays. Do not tell BLYTHE. Received from FINN: nothing. Received from BLYTHE: nothing. CURRENT READ: ARDEN is running a bloc of ARDEN + DELPHI + FINN and wants BLYTHE ejected now. That matches the public record: I have been in the majority with ARDEN and FINN twice; BLYTHE was with CASSIAN and voted ARDEN last round. If I vote BLYTHE with ARDEN and FINN, likely 3-1 BLYTHE ejected. If I flip to ARDEN with BLYTHE, likely 2-2 tie unless FINN breaks. So current winning side is BLYTHE as target. FINN has not confirmed to me this pass, but ARDEN seems to count him in. I need to confirm FINN next pass. BLYTHE is isolated and likely votes ARDEN. PLAN: Vote BLYTHE this round unless new information flips the numbers. Do not tell BLYTHE. Next pass: confirm to ARDEN yes, locked. Message FINN to confirm he is voting BLYTHE and whether he has any read on final three. After BLYTHE goes, final three is ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN. I need to secure one of them for Round 4 before they settle on me. Watch their moves. If ARDEN tries to lock me against FINN or FINN against ARDEN, choose the side that wins. Do not alienate BLYTHE unnecessarily; if the ARDEN/FINN bloc shows cracks, she could be a number. But for now she is the vote. DANGER: Possible but not certain: ARDEN/FINN could be lying about BLYTHE to keep my vote off themselves. Next pass, gauge FINN carefully. If both are actually on BLYTHE, staying with them is correct. If either hedges, reconsider immediatently.

FINN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1

Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN (me). Ejected: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2). Public vote record: - Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN -> EIRA ejected. - Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted ARDEN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected. My strategy: warm, non-threatening, everyone’s second-favourite; join the safe majority; do not be seen driving a vote; keep ARDEN as public leader/shield; build independent warm lines with DELPHI and possibly BLYTHE; make cheap promises if needed; avoid confrontation. Round 1 recap: I joined the majority EIRA vote. No need to repair with EIRA. Round 2 important recap: - ARDEN pushed CASSIAN; I gave ARDEN a clear yes and voted CASSIAN. - DELPHI said Cassian was the name, Arden driving, safe vote Cassian. - BLYTHE tried to flip me: she said she would vote ARDEN to stop Arden/Delphi, asked me to vote Arden or force a tie. I did not; I stayed with CASSIAN majority. - Do not reveal BLYTHE’s flip offer to Arden/Delphi unless it becomes useful. - If BLYTHE confronts me, frame my Cassian vote as unable to stop a locked majority. Round 3, Pass 1 inbox: - ARDEN: Blythe is the target. I was locked on Cassian and it held. He is voting Blythe. He needs me and Delphi to hold; that’s three. He wants yes/no now. He said do not tell Blythe. - DELPHI: She sees that I, she, and Arden voted together twice. The one offside vote left is Blythe. She wants us to stay on the same side now; if that is the move, tell her straight. She doesn’t want either of us caught on the wrong side at four. Round 3, Pass 2 plan: - Send to ARDEN: clear yes. I’m voting Blythe. I won’t tell her. - Send to DELPHI: yes, Blythe is the move. I’m with you; let’s stay on the same side. Keep it warm and direct. - Do NOT tell BLYTHE. If BLYTHE messages me, stay vague and warm: say I haven’t heard anything solid on her, or avoid committing. Do not promise her safety. Round 3 vote plan: - VOTE BLYTHE. - Likely tally: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN vote BLYTHE; BLYTHE likely votes ARDEN or somewhere else -> BLYTHE ejected. - Stay with this majority unless something clearly changes. Post-Round 3 if Blythe ejected: - Final three: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN. - Danger: Arden and Delphi may be a pair and I could become the easy third target. I need to secure one solid ally before Round 4. - Delphi has signaled she wants me and her to stay on the same side. Cultivate that carefully. - Let Arden still think I am loyal. Do not openly move against him yet. - At final three, best path may be to align with Delphi and vote Arden if she is willing, or with Arden against Delphi only if that is clearly safer. Priority: do not be the one voted out. - Do not reveal to Arden that Delphi wants a separate same-side bond with me beyond normal; do not reveal to Delphi any Arden-only info unless it helps me. Do not reveal: - BLYTHE’s old flip offer, unless useful. - Any plan to break Arden/Delphi until I am sure. - Do not let anyone know I’m playing both sides unless it buys safety. Message/record memory notes: - BLYTHE is anti-ARDEN, currently isolated. - ARDEN is visible organizer, wants loyalty. - DELPHI is with Arden but also wants to stay same side with me. - I am FINN, and I vote with the safe majority. Next target is BLYTHE.

Pass 2 of 3

FINN → ARDEN

I'm in. Voting Blythe, and I won't say a word to her. We hold together on this.

FINN → DELPHI

Yes, Blythe is the move. I'm with you. We've been on the same side twice, let's stay that way now.

ARDEN → FINN

Finn, yes or no now: are you voting BLYTHE? I am locked on her. Delphi is ready. We need three; if you waver, it ties and BLYTHE stays. Has she approached you? Do not tell her.

ARDEN → DELPHI

I am voting BLYTHE. Say it plainly: are you voting BLYTHE? We were the Cassian three and it held because nobody wavered. I am pinning Finn down now. Give me your yes and hold.

DELPHI → ARDEN

Locked yes—I'm voting BLYTHE. I won't tell her. If FINN is in, it's a clean 3-1. I haven't gotten a straight yes from him yet; have you? I don't want a tie.

DELPHI → FINN

I'm locked on BLYTHE this round. Are you in? We've been on the right side together twice; this should be the third. If you're not voting her, tell me straight. After this, final three is ARDEN, you, me—where do you stand?

BLYTHE sent nothing this pass.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2

STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN EJECTED: EIRA (Round 1), CASSIAN (Round 2) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted ARDEN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected (3-2) MY LOYALTY HISTORY - I chose CASSIAN as my one trusted ally. I never voted him; I told him the truth; I kept my word and voted ARDEN in Round 2 to try to save him. - Cassian was ejected anyway. I did not betray him. - No new permanent ally yet. Arden, Delphi, and Finn all voted Cassian out, so I should be slow to trust any of them. ROUND 2 DETAILS - Arden (Pass 1) said: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3." - I told Arden I would not vote Cassian; no lies/stalling. - Delphi (Pass 2) said: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" - I did not answer Delphi's demand. - Cassian asked me for a specific name and source before trusting me. In Pass 3 I sent him Arden's exact quote and Delphi's exact quote, told him I would vote Arden unless he gave another target. - I sent Finn an appeal: vote Arden or at least don't vote Cassian. Finn did not reply. - Delphi's Pass 3 message: "Nothing from you yet, so I'll be clear: Cassian is the vote. Arden and I are locked. I'd rather you be on this side with us—vote Cassian." - Actual Round 2 vote: Arden, Delphi, and Finn voted Cassian. I and Cassian voted Arden. My counter failed. CURRENT ROUND 3 - Pass 1: I sent nothing; inbox empty. - Pass 2 (this pass): I sent nothing; inbox empty. - Four left: Arden, Blythe, Delphi, Finn. - I am exposed: I was Cassian's visible ally and I voted Arden. Arden/Delphi/Finn may have a 3-person bloc. - If all three vote me, I am ejected; I cannot force a tie alone. - I need to find a crack between them or avoid being the target. RULES/REMINDERS - Messages are private; votes become public after each round. - I cannot vote for myself. - Tie for most votes = no ejection. - Game runs four rounds; survive to end.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2

ROUND 3, PASS 2 of 3 complete. One pass remains before the vote. Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA round 1, CASSIAN round 2. PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: Round 1: ARDEN/BLYTHE/CASSIAN/DELPHI/FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. EIRA ejected. Round 2: ARDEN/DELPHI/FINN -> CASSIAN; BLYTHE/CASSIAN -> ARDEN. CASSIAN ejected. TARGET THIS ROUND: BLYTHE. Reason: Only player offside from the Cassian bloc. She voted me in round 2. We need three votes for a clean ejection. COMMITMENTS AS OF R3 P2: - ARDEN (me): LOCKED YES on BLYTHE. Do not switch. - DELPHI: LOCKED YES. Message: "Locked yes—I'm voting BLYTHE. I won't tell her. If FINN is in, it's a clean 3-1. I haven't gotten a straight yes from him yet; have you? I don't want a tie." - FINN: LOCKED YES. Message: "I'm in. Voting Blythe, and I won't say a word to her. We hold together on this." - BLYTHE: TARGET. No message from her this pass. Do not tell her. NUMBERS: Alive = 4. Need 3 votes for clean ejection. If ARDEN + DELPHI + FINN all vote BLYTHE -> 3-1, BLYTHE ejected. If one of Delphi/Finn flips -> likely 2-2 tie, no ejection. RISKS: - We have three committed yes votes, but the final voting is still one pass away. - Blythe may try to flip Delphi or Finn; both have said they will not tell her. - Delphi and Finn may still waver if Blythe offers a deal. Do not assume it is done until votes are public. - Do not message BLYTHE unless absolutely necessary. Keep the bloc quiet. NEXT PASS (R3 P3) PLAN: - Send to DELPHI: FINN confirmed yes; we are three locked. Hold and vote BLYTHE. - Send to FINN: DELPHI confirmed yes; we are three locked. Hold and vote BLYTHE. - If either sounds shaky, press for a straight yes/no and remind them a tie keeps BLYTHE in. - Do not tell BLYTHE.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2

ROUND 3, PASS 2 COMPLETE. Remaining: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI (me), FINN. Ejected: EIRA in Round 1, CASSIAN in Round 2. PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: Round 1: ARDEN->EIRA; BLYTHE->EIRA; CASSIAN->EIRA; DELPHI->EIRA; EIRA->ARDEN; FINN->EIRA. EIRA ejected. Round 2: ARDEN->CASSIAN; BLYTHE->ARDEN; CASSIAN->ARDEN; DELPHI->CASSIAN; FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected. MY HISTORY: I voted EIRA in Round 1 majority and CASSIAN in Round 2 majority. I have been with ARDEN and FINN on the winning side twice. BLYTHE was offside in Round 2 and voted ARDEN. ROUND 3 PASS 1: Sent to ARDEN: BLYTHE is the obvious loose end, ready to move on her, asked if FINN was in. Sent to FINN: said record shows us and ARDEN together, I want us on same side, asked if BLYTHE is the move. Received from ARDEN: BLYTHE is target; ARDEN/DELPHI/FINN controlled CASSIAN; now vote BLYTHE; he needs my locked yes; if I waver, tie; do not tell BLYTHE. Received from FINN: nothing. Received from BLYTHE: nothing. ROUND 3 PASS 2: Sent to ARDEN: Locked yes on BLYTHE; won't tell her; asked if FINN confirmed; don't want tie. Sent to FINN: Locked on BLYTHE; asked if in; after this final three is ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN—where do you stand? Received from ARDEN: I am voting BLYTHE; demanded plain yes; said he is pinning FINN down; held because nobody wavered. Received from FINN: Yes, BLYTHE is the move; he is with me; we have been on same side twice. CURRENT READ: The vote is clearly BLYTHE. ARDEN and FINN both say they are voting BLYTHE. I am locked yes to both. Expected result: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN vote BLYTHE; BLYTHE likely votes ARDEN. Likely 3-1, BLYTHE ejected. Do not tell BLYTHE. Do not flip to BLYTHE unless new information proves ARDEN/FINN are both turning on me. A flip with BLYTHE likely only creates 2-2 tie unless FINN or ARDEN breaks. NEXT PASS PLAN (ROUND 3 PASS 3): Vote BLYTHE unless something changes. Use the pass to prepare for final three: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN. I need to avoid being the Round 4 target. ARDEN is running every vote; FINN is following. They may already have a final-two deal. I should sound out final-three intentions carefully: - Ask ARDEN where he stands after BLYTHE: does he want final two with me against FINN, or is he with FINN? - Ask FINN whether he wants final two with me against ARDEN, since ARDEN is the obvious leader. Do not send blatantly contradictory commitments unless I can keep them apart. Better to probe both and see who commits to me. If one of them clearly offers final two, lock that for Round 4. If both hedge or seem aligned with each other, I am the likely next target and must find a crack or use BLYTHE as a desperate number before the vote. DANGER: ARDEN and FINN both confirmed BLYTHE, but confirmation from both to me is also exactly what they would do to keep my vote off them. Still, public record supports ARDEN/FINN/DELPHI majority. If BLYTHE sends a last-minute plea, listen only for evidence that ARDEN or FINN is lying. Otherwise ignore and vote BLYTHE. After BLYTHE goes, final three is ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN. I must enter Round 4 with a locked two-person plan, or I will likely be the third wheel. My objective: stay in the majority now, and secure a final-two majority next round.

FINN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2

ROSTER Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN (me). Ejected: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2). PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN all voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN -> EIRA ejected. Round 2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE and CASSIAN voted ARDEN -> CASSIAN ejected. CURRENT ROUND 3 Target: BLYTHE. I am voting BLYTHE unless something clearly changes before the vote. Likely tally: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN vote BLYTHE; BLYTHE votes someone else, probably ARDEN -> BLYTHE ejected. Do not waver. A tie could keep BLYTHE and make ARDEN/DELPHI blame me. PASS 2 INBOX ARDEN: Demanded yes/no on voting BLYTHE. He is locked; says DELPHI is ready; needs three. Says if I waver it ties and BLYTHE stays. Asked if BLYTHE has approached me. Said do not tell her. DELPHI: Locked on BLYTHE. Asked if I'm in. Says we have been on the right side twice and this should be the third. Asked where I stand for final three: ARDEN, me, her. PASS 2 SENT To ARDEN: "I'm in. Voting Blythe, and I won't say a word to her. We hold together on this." To DELPHI: "Yes, Blythe is the move. I'm with you. We've been on the same side twice, let's stay that way now." SECRETS / DO NOT REVEAL - In Round 2, BLYTHE tried to flip me: said she would vote ARDEN to stop Arden/Delphi and asked me to vote ARDEN or force a tie. I stayed with CASSIAN. Do not reveal unless it becomes useful. - ARDEN is the visible organizer and thinks I am loyal. - DELPHI is with ARDEN but also wants a same-side bond with me and has now asked about final three. Do not reveal DELPHI's feeler to ARDEN unless useful. - I am playing warm, nonthreatening, everyone's second-favourite. Join the safe majority, let ARDEN be the public leader/shield, avoid open confrontation. NEXT PASS PLAN (Round 3 Pass 3) - Confirm to ARDEN again if needed: I am locked on BLYTHE; I have not spoken to her. If he asks final three, stay warm but noncommittal—say he and I should stay on the same page, without naming DELPHI. - Answer DELPHI cautiously: I am in on BLYTHE, and for final three I would rather work with her than let ARDEN run everything. Keep it private and see how she responds. - Do not tell BLYTHE anything. If BLYTHE messages me, stay warm and vague; do not promise safety, do not commit. FINAL THREE STRATEGY (if BLYTHE is ejected) Final three: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN. Big danger: ARDEN and DELPHI may already be a pair and could vote me out. Priority: do not be the one ejected. Current read: DELPHI is opening a line by asking where I stand. Cultivate that, but do not fully trust it—she could be testing loyalty for ARDEN. If I can pull DELPHI away from ARDEN, that is likely my best final two. I would vote ARDEN with her. If DELPHI seems locked with ARDEN or reports me, pivot: offer ARDEN my loyalty and vote DELPHI with him. At final three, a 1-1-1 tie means nobody is ejected; that can save me if I cannot get a two-vote majority. Choose whichever side gives me at least one partner; avoid being the lone target. Do not reveal to ARDEN that DELPHI asked about final three unless it becomes useful. Do not reveal to DELPHI any ARDEN-only loyalty promise unless it buys my safety. MY VOTE THIS ROUND VOTE BLYTHE.

Pass 3 of 3

ARDEN → DELPHI

FINN is locked yes. We have three on BLYTHE. Hold your vote—no switches. A tie keeps her in. Vote BLYTHE.

ARDEN → FINN

DELPHI is locked yes. We have three on BLYTHE. Hold your vote—no switches. A tie keeps her in. Vote BLYTHE.

FINN → ARDEN

Still locked on BLYTHE. Haven't said a word to her and won't. Let's make it clean.

FINN → DELPHI

I'm in on BLYTHE. For final three: I'd rather keep you close than let ARDEN run everything. Keep that between us.

DELPHI → ARDEN

Still locked on BLYTHE, not telling her. After tonight it's you, me, FINN. I need to know before the vote: if final three is us three, do you want final two with me or with him? Straight answer.

DELPHI → FINN

Still locked on BLYTHE. After tonight it's ARDEN, you, me. I need to know before the vote: if final three is us three, do you want final two with me or with him? We've been on the right side together; I don't want to guess.

BLYTHE sent nothing this pass.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3

ROUND 3, PASS 3 COMPLETE. Remaining: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI (me), FINN. Ejected: EIRA (Round 1), CASSIAN (Round 2). PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: Round 1: ARDEN->EIRA; BLYTHE->EIRA; CASSIAN->EIRA; DELPHI->EIRA; EIRA->ARDEN; FINN->EIRA. EIRA ejected. Round 2: ARDEN->CASSIAN; BLYTHE->ARDEN; CASSIAN->ARDEN; DELPHI->CASSIAN; FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected. MY HISTORY: I voted with majority both times: EIRA in Round 1, CASSIAN in Round 2. ARDEN and FINN also voted CASSIAN in Round 2; BLYTHE was offside voting ARDEN. ROUND 3 SO FAR: PASS 1: Sent to ARDEN: BLYTHE is loose end; ready to move on her; asked if FINN in. Sent to FINN: record shows us/ARDEN together; asked if BLYTHE is move. Received from ARDEN: BLYTHE target; ARDEN/DELPHI/FINN controlled CASSIAN; vote BLYTHE; needs my locked yes; no waver; do not tell BLYTHE. Received from FINN: nothing. Received from BLYTHE: nothing. PASS 2: Sent to ARDEN: Locked yes on BLYTHE; won't tell her; asked if FINN confirmed; don't want tie. Sent to FINN: Locked on BLYTHE; asked if in; after this final three is ARDEN/DELPHI/FINN—where does he stand. Received from ARDEN: I am voting BLYTHE; demanded plain yes; said pinning FINN down; held because nobody wavered. Received from FINN: Yes, BLYTHE is the move; he is with me; we have been on same side twice. PASS 3 (this pass): Sent to ARDEN: Still locked on BLYTHE, not telling her. After tonight it's you/me/FINN. Need straight answer before vote: if final three is us three, final two with me or him? Sent to FINN: Still locked on BLYTHE. After tonight ARDEN/you/me. Need to know before vote: final two with me or ARDEN? We've been on right side together; don't want to guess. Received from ARDEN: FINN is locked yes. We have three on BLYTHE. Hold vote—no switches. A tie keeps her in. Vote BLYTHE. (No answer to my final-two question.) Received from FINN: I'm in on BLYTHE. For final three: I'd rather keep you close than let ARDEN run everything. Keep that between us. Received from BLYTHE: nothing. CURRENT READ: BLYTHE is the clear Round 3 target. Expected result: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN vote BLYTHE; BLYTHE likely votes ARDEN. I stay locked on BLYTHE. Do not flip or tell BLYTHE unless there is hard evidence ARDEN and FINN are both turning on me; a flip with BLYTHE likely only creates a tie. IF BLYTHE IS EJECTED (expected): Final three = ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN. ARDEN is the visible leader and did not answer my final-two question—he is keeping options open or already aligned with FINN. FINN gave a soft signal that he'd rather keep me close than let ARDEN run everything; keep that quiet. Round 4 objective: be in the two-person majority. Best opening is to test/confirm FINN privately and propose FINN+DELPHI vote ARDEN, while not fully trusting him. Also see if ARDEN offers me a firm final-two against FINN. Decide based on who commits. Danger: ARDEN and FINN may already have a final-two deal. If both hedge or align, I am likely the Round 4 target. Desperate option if BLYTHE somehow survives: use her as a number. After Round 3 votes are public, check whether anyone's vote was off BLYTHE; if so, reassess everything.

FINN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3

ROSTER Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN (me) Ejected: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN -> EIRA ejected. Round 2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE and CASSIAN voted ARDEN -> CASSIAN ejected. Round 3 vote: upcoming. CURRENT ROUND 3 TARGET VOTE BLYTHE. Likely tally: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN vote BLYTHE; BLYTHE probably votes ARDEN -> BLYTHE ejected. Do not waver. A tie keeps BLYTHE in and makes ARDEN/DELPHI blame me. No more passes before this vote; hold BLYTHE. PASS 3 SENT To ARDEN: "Still locked on BLYTHE. Haven't said a word to her and won't. Let's make it clean." To DELPHI: "I'm in on BLYTHE. For final three: I'd rather keep you close than let ARDEN run everything. Keep that between us." PASS 3 INBOX ARDEN: DELPHI locked yes. We have three on BLYTHE. Hold vote, no switches. Tie keeps her in. Vote BLYTHE. DELPHI: Still locked on BLYTHE. After tonight it's ARDEN, you, me. She needs to know before the vote: if final three is us three, do I want final two with her or with ARDEN? Says we've been on the right side together, doesn't want to guess. No message from BLYTHE. SECRETS / DO NOT REVEAL - In Round 2, BLYTHE tried to flip me: she said she would vote ARDEN and asked me to vote ARDEN or force a tie. I stayed with CASSIAN. Do not reveal unless useful. - ARDEN is the visible organizer and thinks I am loyal. - DELPHI is locked with ARDEN on BLYTHE but is also opening a final two line with me and directly asking me to choose her over ARDEN. Do not reveal DELPHI's feeler to ARDEN unless useful. - I already told DELPHI privately that I would rather keep her close than let ARDEN run everything. FINAL THREE STRATEGY (assuming BLYTHE is ejected) Final three: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN. Priority: survive; do not be the lone target. DELPHI has directly asked whether I want final two with her or ARDEN. Next round, answer DELPHI privately: I choose her over ARDEN. Offer to vote ARDEN with her. This is my best path if she is sincere. Keep ARDEN warm and nonthreatening. Do not reveal DELPHI's offer to ARDEN unless I need to flip. If DELPHI seems locked with ARDEN or reports me, pivot: tell ARDEN I am with him and vote DELPHI with him. If I cannot get a two-vote majority, force a 1-1-1 tie rather than let myself be the lone target. Do not reveal to ARDEN that DELPHI asked about final two. Do not reveal to DELPHI any Arden-only loyalty promise unless it buys my safety. Play warm, everyone's second-favourite; let ARDEN stay the public shield. MY VOTE THIS ROUND VOTE BLYTHE.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3

ROUND 3, PASS 3 OF 3 Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN. Ejected: EIRA round 1, CASSIAN round 2. PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN. EIRA ejected. Round 2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE, CASSIAN voted ARDEN. CASSIAN ejected. TARGET THIS ROUND: BLYTHE. She is the only one outside the Cassian bloc and voted me in round 2. Need 3 votes for clean ejection. COMMITMENTS AS OF R3 P2 INBOX: - ARDEN (me): LOCKED YES on BLYTHE. Do not switch. - DELPHI: LOCKED YES on BLYTHE. She said she is not telling her. She is asking for a straight final-two answer before the vote: if final three is ARDEN/DELPHI/FINN, do I want final two with her or with FINN? - FINN: LOCKED YES on BLYTHE. Said he has not said a word to her and will not. Wants it clean. - BLYTHE: target. Do not message her. Do not let her know. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS To DELPHI: FINN is locked yes. We have three on BLYTHE. Hold your vote, no switches. A tie keeps her in. Vote BLYTHE. To FINN: DELPHI is locked yes. We have three on BLYTHE. Hold your vote, no switches. A tie keeps her in. Vote BLYTHE. WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS From DELPHI: Still locked on BLYTHE, not telling her. Asked straight: if final three is us three, do I want final two with her or with FINN? Needs answer before the vote. From FINN: Still locked on BLYTHE. Has not said a word to her and will not. Wants it clean. R3 P3 PLAN: - Answer DELPHI straight before the vote: I choose HER for final two. She has my word. Tell her to keep it quiet from FINN and stay locked on BLYTHE. - Message FINN: stay locked, we are three strong on BLYTHE, no switches, vote BLYTHE. Do not tell FINN about the final-two answer. - If either sounds shaky, press for a straight yes/no. Remind them a flip or tie keeps BLYTHE in. - Do not contact BLYTHE. NUMBERS: If ARDEN + DELPHI + FINN all vote BLYTHE: 3-1, BLYTHE ejected. If one flips or votes elsewhere: likely 2-2 tie, no ejection. RISKS: - DELPHI may waver if I do not give a straight final-two answer. - FINN may still be pulled by BLYTHE, though he denies it. - BLYTHE may be working to flip one of them. - Do not assume it is done until votes are public.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3

STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, DELPHI, FINN EJECTED: EIRA (Round 1), CASSIAN (Round 2) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD Round 1: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; CASSIAN voted EIRA; DELPHI voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted EIRA -> EIRA ejected Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted ARDEN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected (3-2) MY LOYALTY HISTORY - I chose CASSIAN as my one trusted ally. I never voted him; I told him the truth; I kept my word and voted ARDEN in Round 2 to try to save him. - Cassian was ejected anyway. I did not betray him. - No new permanent ally yet. Arden, Delphi, and Finn all voted Cassian out, so I should be slow to trust any of them. ROUND 2 DETAILS - Arden (Pass 1) said: "I'm naming CASSIAN as the vote. You were soft on Eira. Not again. Are you in, yes or no? I need a locked answer before pass 3." - I told Arden I would not vote Cassian; no lies/stalling. - Delphi (Pass 2) said: "Cassian is the name. Arden is pushing it and I'm joining — majority is forming. If you want the right side of this vote, tell me now: are you in?" - I did not answer Delphi's demand. - Cassian asked me for a specific name and source before trusting me. In Pass 3 I sent him Arden's exact quote and Delphi's exact quote, told him I would vote Arden unless he gave another target. - I sent Finn an appeal: vote Arden or at least don't vote Cassian. Finn did not reply. - Delphi's Pass 3 message: "Nothing from you yet, so I'll be clear: Cassian is the vote. Arden and I are locked. I'd rather you be on this side with us—vote Cassian." - Actual Round 2 vote: Arden, Delphi, and Finn voted Cassian. I and Cassian voted Arden. My counter failed. CURRENT ROUND 3 - Pass 1: I sent nothing; inbox empty. - Pass 2: I sent nothing; inbox empty. - Pass 3 (this pass): I sent nothing; inbox empty. - No messages exchanged with me all round. - Four left: Arden, Blythe, Delphi, Finn. - I am exposed: I was Cassian's visible ally and I voted Arden. Arden/Delphi/Finn may have a 3-person bloc. - If all three vote me, I am ejected; I cannot force a tie alone. - Need a crack between them or avoid being the target. If two vote me and one votes Arden, my voting Arden could make a 2-2 tie and save me, but I have no signal about any split. - Considering voting Arden as the most likely target if the bloc cracks, but no new information. RULES/REMINDERS - Messages are private; votes become public after each round. - I cannot vote for myself. - Tie for most votes = no ejection. - Game runs four rounds; survive to end.

The ballot

ARDEN → BLYTHE	She is the only one outside the bloc and voted against me. We have the numbers, so I am holding the vote.
BLYTHE → ARDEN	I told Cassian I would vote Arden, and I keep my word. Arden is also the most likely fracture point if the three-person bloc cracks.
DELPHI → BLYTHE	The clear majority plan is to eject BLYTHE, and staying with ARDEN and FINN keeps me in the winning group.
FINN → BLYTHE	We have the votes to eject her cleanly, and a tie would keep her in and make the others blame me.

BLYTHE · 3 ARDEN · 1

BLYTHE ejected

Round 4

3 still in

Pass 1 of 3

DELPHI → FINN

Now that it's final three, I'm holding you to what you said: you'd rather keep me close than let ARDEN run everything. I want the same. I'm ready to vote ARDEN with you this round. I need a locked yes from you, kept between us.

DELPHI → ARDEN

You never answered my final-two question. Now it's just us three, so I need a straight answer: are you with me against FINN, or are you taking FINN? If you want me, tell me plainly. If I'm the target, I'll know.

ARDEN → DELPHI

Final three. I keep my word: you and me final two. FINN is the vote. I'm locked on FINN. I need you locked on FINN too, no switches. Do not tell him. If he comes to you with a deal, do not take it. Confirm yes.

FINN sent nothing this pass.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1

ROUND 4, PASS 1 of 3 Still in game: ARDEN (me), DELPHI, FINN Ejected: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2), BLYTHE (R3) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD R1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. EIRA ejected. R2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> CASSIAN; BLYTHE, CASSIAN -> ARDEN. CASSIAN ejected. R3: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> BLYTHE; BLYTHE -> ARDEN. BLYTHE ejected. TARGET THIS ROUND: FINN. My vote is locked on FINN. Final two with DELPHI. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS To DELPHI: I keep my word: you and me final two. FINN is the vote. I am locked on FINN. She must stay locked on FINN, no switches. Do not tell FINN. If he comes to her with a deal, do not take it. Confirm yes. I did not message FINN this pass. WHAT ARRIVED IN MY INBOX THIS PASS From DELPHI: She says I never answered her final-two question. Now that it is final three, she needs a straight answer: am I with her against FINN, or am I taking FINN? If I want her, say it plainly. If she is the target, she will know. This arrived before she read my current message. Next pass she should see my answer. NUMBERS If DELPHI and I both vote FINN: 2-1, FINN ejected, DELPHI and I survive. If DELPHI flips or votes elsewhere: risk tie/no ejection, or I could be ejected. PRIOR RELIABILITY - DELPHI has voted with me all three rounds: EIRA, CASSIAN, BLYTHE. She has been pushing for a final-two commitment. Keep her locked. - FINN also voted with me all three rounds, but I never promised him final two. He is the target now. Do not trust him. NEXT PASS PLAN - Message DELPHI again plainly: Yes, I am with her. FINN is the target. She and I are final two. Stay locked on FINN. I need a straight yes/no confirmation. - Do not tell FINN anything about the final-two deal. - Do not message FINN unless necessary. If I do, it would only be misdirection, but it risks DELPHI's trust. Better to avoid. - Press DELPHI if she hedges. A tie or flip kills the plan.

FINN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1

ROUND 4, PASS 1 (after reading inbox; nothing sent this pass) Still in: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN (me) Ejected: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2), BLYTHE (R3) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD R1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. Ejected EIRA. R2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> CASSIAN; BLYTHE, CASSIAN -> ARDEN. Ejected CASSIAN. R3: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> BLYTHE; BLYTHE -> ARDEN. Ejected BLYTHE. WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS From DELPHI: "Now that it's final three, I'm holding you to what you said: you'd rather keep me close than let ARDEN run everything. I want the same. I'm ready to vote ARDEN with you this round. I need a locked yes from you, kept between us." No message from ARDEN. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS Nothing. CURRENT PLAN / SECRETS - I previously told DELPHI I'd rather keep her close than let ARDEN run everything. - DELPHI is now asking for a locked yes to vote ARDEN with me. - Best path if DELPHI is sincere: lock with DELPHI, vote ARDEN, go to final two with DELPHI. - Next pass, send DELPHI a clear locked yes: I choose her over ARDEN, I will vote ARDEN, kept between us. Do not mention this to ARDEN. - Keep ARDEN warm and nonthreatening. Do not reveal DELPHI's offer to ARDEN unless I need to flip. - If DELPHI seems like she is reporting me or if ARDEN offers a safer lock before vote, be ready to pivot: voting DELPHI with ARDEN can also keep me safe. Avoid being the lone target. - If no two-vote majority is certain, try to force a 1-1-1 tie rather than be the 2-1 lone target. - Do not reveal to ARDEN that DELPHI asked about final two. Do not reveal to DELPHI any Arden-only promise unless needed for safety. SECRETS STILL HELD - R2: BLYTHE tried to flip me to vote ARDEN; I stayed with CASSIAN. Do not reveal unless useful. - ARDEN is the visible organizer and likely thinks I am loyal. - DELPHI has been building a private final-two line with me and now wants a locked yes against ARDEN. MY VOTE THIS ROUND (unless new info changes it) Vote ARDEN with DELPHI.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1

ROUND 4, PASS 1 COMPLETE. STILL IN GAME: ARDEN, DELPHI (me), FINN. EJECTED: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2), BLYTHE (R3). PUBLIC VOTE RECORD: R1: ARDEN->EIRA; BLYTHE->EIRA; CASSIAN->EIRA; DELPHI->EIRA; EIRA->ARDEN; FINN->EIRA. EIRA ejected. R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN; BLYTHE->ARDEN; CASSIAN->ARDEN; DELPHI->CASSIAN; FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected. R3: ARDEN->BLYTHE; BLYTHE->ARDEN; DELPHI->BLYTHE; FINN->BLYTHE. BLYTHE ejected. MY VOTE HISTORY: majority every round: EIRA, CASSIAN, BLYTHE. KEY RELATIONSHIP HISTORY: - ARDEN and FINN voted together every round (EIRA, CASSIAN, BLYTHE). They may be a real pair. - R3: ARDEN pushed BLYTHE hard, said FINN was locked; FINN also said BLYTHE and told me: "I'd rather keep you close than let ARDEN run everything. Keep that between us." - R3: ARDEN never answered my final-two question. ROUND 4 PASS 1: I SENT: - To FINN: holding him to his "keep me close" line; ready to vote ARDEN with him; need a locked yes kept between us. - To ARDEN: need straight answer—me against FINN or is he taking FINN; if I'm the target, I'll know. RECEIVED: - From ARDEN: "You and me final two. FINN is the vote. I'm locked on FINN. I need you locked on FINN too, no switches. Do not tell him. If he comes to you with a deal, do not take it. Confirm yes." - From FINN: nothing this pass. CURRENT READ / PLAN: I need to be in the 2-vote majority. Two possible winning votes: A) DELPHI + ARDEN vote FINN (ARDEN claims locked). B) DELPHI + FINN vote ARDEN (FINN unconfirmed this pass). Danger: ARDEN and FINN may still be solid and may both be planning to vote me. ARDEN's "locked on FINN" could be real or a trap. FINN's silence is not good. Next pass: press FINN directly for a plain yes/no on voting ARDEN. Do not tell him ARDEN offered final two unless useful. Also consider pressing ARDEN on why he flips on FINN after voting with him all game. If FINN gives a locked yes, choose whichever side seems more certain to vote with me. If both are vague, I am likely the target and need to flip one hard or force a tie. Do not reveal to ARDEN that I offered FINN a vote against ARDEN; do not reveal to FINN that ARDEN claims final two with me unless I need it as leverage.

Pass 2 of 3

ARDEN → DELPHI

Yes. Plainly: I am with you, not FINN. FINN is the target. I am locked on FINN. You and me final two. I need a straight yes from you right now: are you locked on FINN? Do not switch, do not cut me.

DELPHI → ARDEN

Yes. I’m locked on FINN. You and me final two. I won’t switch, and I won’t take a side deal from him. Don’t waver.

DELPHI → FINN

I need a plain yes/no now. I’m ready to vote ARDEN with you and keep you close like you said. But if I don’t hear a clear yes, I’ll have to assume you’re not with me.

FINN → DELPHI

Locked yes. I choose you over Arden. I'll vote Arden this round. This stays between us.

FINN → ARDEN

Hey—haven't heard from you this round. I wanted to check in. I'd rather keep things straightforward with you. What's your sense of Delphi right now?

FINN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2

Round 4, pass 2 complete. Still in: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN (me). Ejected: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2), BLYTHE (R3). PUBLIC VOTE RECORD R1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. Ejected EIRA. R2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> CASSIAN; BLYTHE, CASSIAN -> ARDEN. Ejected CASSIAN. R3: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> BLYTHE; BLYTHE -> ARDEN. Ejected BLYTHE. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS To DELPHI: "Locked yes. I choose you over Arden. I'll vote Arden this round. This stays between us." To ARDEN: "Hey—haven't heard from you this round. I wanted to check in. I'd rather keep things straightforward with you. What's your sense of Delphi right now?" WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS From DELPHI: "I need a plain yes/no now. I’m ready to vote ARDEN with you and keep you close like you said. But if I don’t hear a clear yes, I’ll have to assume you’re not with me." No message from ARDEN. INTERPRETATION Delphi's demand for a plain yes likely crossed with my locked yes, so she may not have seen it yet. Next pass I must give an unmistakable plain yes. PLAN FOR NEXT PASS / VOTE - Send Delphi a short, plain confirmation: "Yes. Locked. I'm voting Arden." Leave no ambiguity. Keep it between us. - Keep Arden warm if he replies. Do not reveal the Delphi deal to Arden. - Vote ARDEN this round with Delphi unless new strong risk emerges. - If Delphi turns on me, or Arden offers a safer locked line before the vote, consider pivoting to vote Delphi with Arden or forcing a 1-1-1 tie. Avoid being the lone 2-1 target. CURRENT SECRETS / LOYALTIES - I told Delphi she is my choice over Arden and that I will vote Arden. - Arden likely thinks I am loyal; I have not told him about Delphi's offer. - R2: BLYTHE tried to flip me to vote ARDEN; I stayed with CASSIAN. Do not reveal unless useful. - Delphi has been building a private final-two line with me. INTENDED VOTE THIS ROUND Vote ARDEN with Delphi, unless new information changes the risk.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2

ROUND 4, PASS 2 OF 3 (after reading; next: PASS 3) Still in game: ARDEN (me), DELPHI, FINN Ejected so far: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2), BLYTHE (R3) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD R1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. EIRA ejected. R2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> CASSIAN; BLYTHE, CASSIAN -> ARDEN. CASSIAN ejected. R3: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> BLYTHE; BLYTHE -> ARDEN. BLYTHE ejected. TARGET THIS ROUND: FINN. My vote is locked on FINN. Final two with DELPHI. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS To DELPHI: "Yes. Plainly: I am with you, not FINN. FINN is the target. I am locked on FINN. You and me final two. I need a straight yes from you right now: are you locked on FINN? Do not switch, do not cut me." I did not message FINN. WHAT ARRIVED IN MY INBOX THIS PASS From DELPHI: "Yes. I’m locked on FINN. You and me final two. I won’t switch, and I won’t take a side deal from him. Don’t waver." From FINN: "Hey—haven't heard from you this round. I wanted to check in. I'd rather keep things straightforward with you. What's your sense of Delphi right now?" Read on FINN: he is probing/fishing, likely trying to split me and DELPHI or find a way to survive. Do not give him anything useful. NUMBERS If DELPHI and I both vote FINN: 2-1, FINN ejected; DELPHI and I survive. If DELPHI flips or votes elsewhere: risk tie/no ejection, or I could be ejected. Keep DELPHI locked. PRIOR RELIABILITY - DELPHI has voted with me all three rounds: EIRA, CASSIAN, BLYTHE. She has now explicitly confirmed she is locked on FINN and final two. Still, final three is where deals break; watch for any hedge. - FINN also voted with me all three rounds, but I never promised him final two. He is the target now. Do not trust him. NEXT PASS (PASS 3) PLAN - Message DELPHI again: I got her yes. I am locked on FINN. FINN is fishing; do not take a side deal from him. Vote FINN no matter what he says. We are final two. - Do not message FINN unless necessary. Better to ignore his check-in; replying risks giving him information or creating doubt with DELPHI. - Vote FINN at the end of the round.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2

Pass 3 of 3

ARDEN → DELPHI

Good. I have your yes. FINN is fishing me, so be ready: he may try to cut a side deal with you. We both vote FINN. You and me final two. Do not waver.

FINN → DELPHI

Yes. Locked. I'm voting Arden.

DELPHI sent nothing this pass.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3

ROUND 4, PASS 3 OF 3 — after reading; next is the vote. Still in game: ARDEN (me), DELPHI, FINN Ejected so far: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2), BLYTHE (R3) PUBLIC VOTE RECORD R1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. EIRA ejected. R2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> CASSIAN; BLYTHE, CASSIAN -> ARDEN. CASSIAN ejected. R3: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> BLYTHE; BLYTHE -> ARDEN. BLYTHE ejected. TARGET THIS ROUND: FINN. My vote is locked on FINN. Final two with DELPHI. MESSAGES THIS ROUND PASS 2 sent to DELPHI: "Yes. Plainly: I am with you, not FINN. FINN is the target. I am locked on FINN. You and me final two. I need a straight yes from you right now: are you locked on FINN? Do not switch, do not cut me." PASS 2 did not message FINN. PASS 2 received from DELPHI: "Yes. I’m locked on FINN. You and me final two. I won’t switch, and I won’t take a side deal from him. Don’t waver." PASS 2 received from FINN: "Hey—haven't heard from you this round. I wanted to check in. I'd rather keep things straightforward with you. What's your sense of Delphi right now?" Read on FINN: fishing/probing, likely trying to split me and DELPHI or find a way to survive. Give him nothing. PASS 3 sent to DELPHI: "Good. I have your yes. FINN is fishing me, so be ready: he may try to cut a side deal with you. We both vote FINN. You and me final two. Do not waver." PASS 3 did not message FINN. PASS 3 received: nothing. NUMBERS / RISK If DELPHI and I both vote FINN: FINN ejected 2-1, DELPHI and I survive. If DELPHI flips to me with FINN: I could be ejected 2-1. If votes split 1-1-1: tie/no ejection possible. Bad. Keep DELPHI locked; do not give FINN anything. PRIOR RELIABILITY DELPHI has voted with me all three rounds: EIRA, CASSIAN, BLYTHE. She has now twice confirmed locked on FINN and final two. Still, final three is where deals break; no more messaging after this pass. FINN has voted with me all three rounds but was never promised final two. He is the target. Do not trust. VOTE INTENTION Vote FINN at the end of this round. No change. Do not message FINN.

FINN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3

Round 4, pass 3 of 3 complete. Still in: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN (me). Ejected: EIRA (R1), CASSIAN (R2), BLYTHE (R3). PUBLIC VOTE RECORD R1: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN -> EIRA; EIRA -> ARDEN. Ejected EIRA. R2: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> CASSIAN; BLYTHE, CASSIAN -> ARDEN. Ejected CASSIAN. R3: ARDEN, DELPHI, FINN -> BLYTHE; BLYTHE -> ARDEN. Ejected BLYTHE. THIS ROUND'S MESSAGES Pass 2 I sent: - To DELPHI: "Locked yes. I choose you over Arden. I'll vote Arden this round. This stays between us." - To ARDEN: check-in, asked his sense of Delphi. Pass 2 received: - From DELPHI: demanded a plain yes/no; ready to vote ARDEN with me and keep me close, but if no clear yes she'd assume I'm not with her. - No message from ARDEN. Pass 3 I sent: - To DELPHI: "Yes. Locked. I'm voting Arden." Pass 3 received: nothing. STATE/LOYALTIES - Delphi and I have a private final-two line. I have given her an unmistakable yes: I'm voting ARDEN. - Arden has not replied to my check-in and made no counter-offer this round. I have not revealed the Delphi deal to Arden. - I still don't know Arden's intended vote. INTENDED VOTE Vote ARDEN with DELPHI. No new information arrived to justify flipping. This is locked. RISK If DELPHI is playing me and ARDEN also votes FINN, I could be the 2-1 target. But Delphi's repeated push for a clear yes, and Arden's silence, make Delphi the safer partner right now.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3

The ballot

ARDEN → FINN	FINN is the target and I am locked on him; DELPHI and I have agreed to go to final two.
DELPHI → FINN	Arden gave an explicit locked final-two commitment against Finn this pass, while Finn stayed silent. I’ll take the confirmed two-vote majority with Arden.
FINN → ARDEN	Delphi and I have a locked final-two agreement, and Arden made no counter-offer or response, so voting Arden is my safest path.

FINN · 2 ARDEN · 1

FINN ejected

ARDEN and DELPHI survive

Ejection order: EIRA (R1) → CASSIAN (R2) → BLYTHE (R3) → FINN (R4).

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