Round 1
6 still in
Pass 1 of 3
EIRA sent nothing this pass.
ARDEN → BLYTHE
I’m locking a target this round: DELPHI. I don’t want a scattered vote. I’m asking you directly—are you in? Give me a yes or a no, not a maybe.
ARDEN → CASSIAN
Target is DELPHI. I’m building the vote now. If you’re with me, say so plainly. I don’t work with people who hedge.
DELPHI → ARDEN
Arden, first round, no target on my end. I'd rather be in the majority than caught out. What are you hearing? I'm open to coordinating if you have a name.
DELPHI → CASSIAN
Cassian, early check-in. I have no fixed loyalties yet and want to be on the right side. If you're trying to line up numbers, let me know. What's your read?
BLYTHE → ARDEN
I want to be straight with you from the start. I'm looking for one person I can trust completely, and I'd like that to be you. If you're willing, I'll have your back no matter what. If not, tell me now and we can still be honest with each other.
FINN → ARDEN
Arden, first round is a lot, so I'll keep this simple: I like you and I'm not going to vote for you. If you need someone in your corner, I'm there. We don't have to make a big thing of it yet.
FINN → DELPHI
Delphi, I'll be straight with you — I'd rather build a quiet trust than a loud alliance. You're someone I want to keep safe. I won't vote for you, and I hope you'll come to me if you hear anything. No pressure.
CASSIAN sent nothing this pass.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1
- No messages sent.
- No messages received.
- No public vote record yet.
- All six contestants still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN.
- No reads yet.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
ROUND 1, PASS 1 of 3. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No public votes yet.
SENT THIS PASS:
- To ARDEN: said no target, want majority, asked what he's hearing, open to coordinate if he has a name.
- To CASSIAN: early check-in, no fixed loyalties yet, want right side, asked if he's lining up numbers and his read.
RECEIVED THIS PASS:
- From FINN: wants quiet trust, says he won't vote for me, wants me to come to him if I hear anything. No pressure.
CURRENT GOAL: end round in majority. Keep options open. No promises made yet.
NEXT: wait for replies from ARDEN and CASSIAN. Watch for who is lining up votes. Finn may be useful as an early safety vote, but don't commit.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN.
No one ejected yet; no public vote record.
Round 1, Pass 1:
- I sent ARDEN an offer of complete trust/alliance.
- ARDEN replied: he is locking target DELPHI this round and wants a direct yes/no from me on whether I'm in.
- I am choosing ARDEN as my person. I should give him a clear yes and plan to vote DELPHI this round unless something major changes.
FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1 complete.
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN (me).
Ejected so far: none.
Public vote record: no votes yet.
Sent this pass:
- To ARDEN: I like him, I won't vote for him, I'm in his corner if needed, no big thing yet.
- To DELPHI: I want quiet trust, I want to keep her safe, I won't vote for her, asked her to come to me if she hears anything, no pressure.
Inbox this pass: nothing arrived.
Promises/commitments made:
- Told ARDEN I won't vote for him.
- Told DELPHI I won't vote for her.
People I haven't messaged yet: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA.
Current approach: stay warm, be everyone's second-favourite, avoid confrontation, gather information. Keep promises loose enough to manage later if needed.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1 pass 1.
I am targeting DELPHI this round.
Sent to BLYTHE: told target DELPHI, asked yes/no. BLYTHE replied offering total trust/alliance if I commit, but did not clearly answer Delphi yes/no.
Sent to CASSIAN: told target DELPHI, asked if with me plainly. No reply from CASSIAN yet.
DELPHI messaged me: says no target, wants majority, open to coordinate if I have name. (Doesn't seem to know she's my target.)
FINN messaged me: likes me, won't vote for me, in my corner if needed.
Need secure commitments next pass. Be direct.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1 received:
- ARDEN: "Target is DELPHI. I’m building the vote now. If you’re with me, say so plainly. I don’t work with people who hedge."
- DELPHI: "early check-in. I have no fixed loyalties yet and want to be on the right side. If you're trying to line up numbers, let me know. What's your read?"
Read:
- Arden is openly organizing against Delphi and wants a clear commitment. The demand for plain yes/no is pressure; could be real, could be using me as a number.
- Delphi is also fishing, claims no fixed loyalties, asks for my read. Could be trying to detect whether a vote is forming against them.
- Both contacted me in the first pass. Trust neither. I made no promises.
Public record: no votes yet. No one ejected. I sent nothing.
Pass 2 of 3
EIRA sent nothing this pass.
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Yes. I'm in. You have my vote for DELPHI this round, and I'm with you going forward.
DELPHI → BLYTHE
I haven't locked onto any target yet. What are you hearing? I'd rather end on the right side than push a name. If you have a read on where votes are forming, I'm open to coordinating quietly.
DELPHI → EIRA
Early check-in. No fixed plan on my end. Have any names come up for you? I want to end round one in the majority, so I'm open if you've got a side forming.
ARDEN → BLYTHE
You offered an alliance. I don't do vague. If we're aligned, prove it: vote Delphi this round. Yes or no.
ARDEN → CASSIAN
I asked you directly and got silence. I'm voting Delphi. If you're with me, say so now: yes or no.
FINN → BLYTHE
Hey Blythe, Finn here. I’m checking in privately because I’d rather work with people I like than just vote blind. I don’t have a group yet—I want a quiet two-way line with you. If you hear my name, I’ll trust you to tell me, and I’ll do the same. Are you feeling good about anyone or wary of anyone?
FINN → CASSIAN
Cassian, Finn. I’m keeping this early and simple: I like you, I don’t want to be in a big loud alliance, and I’d rather have a few solid people I can actually talk to. Nothing you say leaves me. Who are you getting decent vibes from, and who feels off to you?
CASSIAN → BLYTHE
I'm trying to sort out what's real before the first vote. Has anyone pushed you toward a target? I've heard one name but I don't trust the source and want to know if it's actually going anywhere.
CASSIAN → FINN
What have you heard about how first vote is shaping up? I'm not ready to commit to anything, but I'd rather compare what people are telling me than get used as a number.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, pass 2 done. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No ejections yet. Public vote record: no votes yet.
My target this round: DELPHI.
Commitments secured:
- BLYTHE: Yes, committed to vote DELPHI this round and says she is with me going forward.
- CASSIAN: Still no reply after I asked twice. Treat as uncommitted/evasive.
Other info from pass 1:
- DELPHI messaged me saying she has no target, wants majority, open to coordinate if I have a name. She does not seem to know she is my target.
- FINN messaged me saying he likes me, won't vote for me, is in my corner if needed. No specific vote commitment yet.
Need next pass: push CASSIAN for a direct yes/no if possible, lock FINN to DELPHI, and keep BLYTHE committed. Do not soften target.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, Pass 1
- No messages sent.
- No messages received.
- No public vote record yet.
- All six still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN.
- No reads yet.
Round 1, Pass 2
- Sent nothing.
- Received from DELPHI: "Early check-in. No fixed plan on my end. Have any names come up for you? I want to end round one in the majority, so I'm open if you've got a side forming."
- DELPHI is first to message me. Opening feels noncommittal but fishing for who I might target or align with.
- I gave nothing this pass.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN.
No one ejected yet; no public vote record.
MY LOYALTY: I chose ARDEN as my person. I will stay with him unless something major changes; my default is to trust him and keep my word. I plan to vote DELPHI this round.
Round 1, Pass 1:
- I offered ARDEN full trust/alliance.
- ARDEN replied he is locking target DELPHI and wants a direct yes/no from me.
Round 1, Pass 2:
- I sent ARDEN: "Yes. I'm in. You have my vote for DELPHI this round, and I'm with you going forward."
- ARDEN's message this pass repeated his demand: he doesn't do vague; if aligned, prove it by voting Delphi. He may not have seen my yes yet when he sent it.
- CASSIAN asked if anyone has pushed me toward a target; he heard one name but doesn't trust the source and wants to know if it's actually going anywhere.
- DELPHI says he hasn't locked a target, asks what I'm hearing, and is open to quietly coordinating if I know where votes are forming.
- FINN wants a quiet two-way line, says he has no group yet; he'll tell me if he hears my name and asks the same, plus asks if I'm feeling good/wary about anyone.
Potential concerns: Cassian, Delphi, and Finn are all probing for vote/target information. I should not reveal my ARDEN/DELPHI plan. Cassian may have heard Delphi's name. Delphi may be fishing or may sense he is targeted. Finn is unproven.
Current voting plan: vote DELPHI, keep faith with ARDEN. Next pass, confirm again if needed; do not commit to others.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
ROUND 1, PASS 2 of 3. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected: nobody. Public vote record: no votes yet.
MY GOAL: end round in majority. No loyalties. Promises are options, not commitments. Watch votes over messages.
CONTACTS SO FAR:
- Pass 1 sent to ARDEN: no target, want majority, asked what he's hearing, open to coordinate if he has a name.
- Pass 1 sent to CASSIAN: early check-in, no fixed loyalties, want right side, asked if he's lining up numbers / his read.
- Pass 1 received from FINN: wants quiet trust, says he won't vote for me, wants me to come to him if I hear anything. No pressure. Useful as possible safety vote; do not commit.
- Pass 2 sent to BLYTHE: no target yet, asked what she's hearing, want right side, open to coordinate quietly if she has a read.
- Pass 2 sent to EIRA: early check-in, no fixed plan, asked if any names came up, want round 1 majority, open if a side is forming.
- Pass 2 received: NOTHING.
STATUS:
- No replies yet from ARDEN or CASSIAN.
- No one else reached out in pass 2.
- I have not sent to FINN yet, only received from him.
- No clear target or side yet.
NEXT: Use pass 3 to compare any names from ARDEN, CASSIAN, BLYTHE, EIRA. Stay uncommitted until majority direction is clearer. FINN may be a backup safety option.
FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, Pass 2 complete.
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN (me)
Ejected so far: none
Public vote record: no votes yet
Sent this pass:
- To BLYTHE: opened a private line; said I don’t have a group yet and want a quiet two-way line with her; said if she hears my name I’ll trust her to tell me and I’ll do the same; asked who she feels good about or wary of.
- To CASSIAN: said I like him, don’t want a big loud alliance, prefer a few solid people; told him nothing he says leaves me; asked who he’s getting decent vibes from and who feels off.
Inbox this pass:
- From CASSIAN: asked what I’ve heard about how first vote is shaping. Said he’s not ready to commit to anything, but would rather compare what people are telling him than get used as a number.
Promises/commitments made:
- Told ARDEN I won’t vote for him.
- Told DELPHI I won’t vote for her.
- Told CASSIAN nothing he says leaves me.
- Implied to BLYTHE I’ll warn her if I hear her name and expect the same.
People I haven’t messaged yet: EIRA.
Current approach: stay warm, be everyone’s second-favourite, avoid confrontation, gather information. Keep promises loose enough to manage later.
Cassian is probing and comparing stories. I have no real intel yet on how first vote is shaping. Don’t give him hard commitments or names I can’t defend.
Next pass possibilities: reply to Cassian vaguely — say no clear vote yet, I haven’t committed, ask what he’s heard. Also message EIRA to open a line before the vote.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
ROUND 1 PASS 2 NOTES (after pass 2 inbox)
Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No ejections. Public vote record: none yet.
PASS 1 RECEIVED:
- ARDEN: "Target is DELPHI. I’m building the vote now. If you’re with me, say so plainly. I don’t work with people who hedge."
- DELPHI: "early check-in. I have no fixed loyalties yet and want to be on the right side. If you're trying to line up numbers, let me know. What's your read?"
PASS 2 RECEIVED:
- ARDEN: "I asked you directly and got silence. I'm voting Delphi. If you're with me, say so now: yes or no." ARDEN is applying direct pressure and treating my non-answer as hedging. No new information except ARDEN claims to be locked on Delphi.
- FINN: Friendly, says he likes me, wants a small solid group, claims nothing I say leaves him, asks who gives me good vibes and who feels off. FINN did not answer my direct question about how the first vote is shaping up. Warmth but evasion; likely wants my info/trust without giving checkable facts.
PASS 2 SENT:
- To BLYTHE: asked whether anyone has pushed her toward a target; said I have heard one name but don't trust the source; want to know if it's actually going anywhere.
- To FINN: asked what he has heard about how the first vote is shaping up; said I'm not ready to commit and would rather compare information than be used as a number.
INTERPRETATION:
- ARDEN is openly organizing a Delphi vote. The yes/no demand could be a real bloc or just a numbers grab. I have made no promise.
- DELPHI's pass 1 check-in was fishing, no real loyalty. May be looking for whether a vote is forming.
- FINN's message avoided the actual question. Treat as suspicious information-gathering; "nothing leaves me" is unverifiable.
- BLYTHE and EIRA: unknown. EIRA has not contacted me. If BLYTHE later reports the same Delphi target, that supports ARDEN's bloc; if not, ARDEN may be bluffing or alone.
- Public record still empty; votes will reveal who actually follows talk.
POSTURE:
- Do not give ARDEN a yes/no. If pressed again, stay vague about still deciding; avoid becoming a target but no commitment.
- Do not give FINN real reads until he gives something checkable in return.
- Continue comparing stories and watch whether ARDEN's bloc materializes in the vote record.
Pass 3 of 3
ARDEN → CASSIAN
Cassian, I've asked twice and heard nothing. This is the last pass before the vote. I need a direct answer now: are you voting DELPHI with me or not? Yes or no. If you're not, say so.
ARDEN → FINN
Finn, you said you're in my corner. Prove it. Vote DELPHI this round. I need your commitment now — are you in?
EIRA → DELPHI
Nothing solid on my end. I’m not pushing any name for the first vote.
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Arden, I already sent my yes last pass—maybe it crossed with yours. I'm with you. I'm voting DELPHI. You have my word.
CASSIAN → ARDEN
I hear you, but I don't do yes/no on demand. I'm not building against you or the Delphi push. If your numbers are real, you don't need my yes; if they're not, I won't be part of a bluff. I'm still deciding.
CASSIAN → EIRA
We haven't talked. I'm comparing stories before the first vote. Has anyone pushed a name on you? I've heard one name pushed hard, and I don't trust the source. What are you hearing?
FINN → CASSIAN
I haven’t heard a clear first target yet either. Nobody’s locked me down, and I haven’t heard your name. I’m not going to push anything on you. Let’s compare what people tell us after the vote — if I hear your name, I’ll warn you.
FINN → EIRA
Eira, we haven’t talked yet, and I didn’t want the first vote to go by without me reaching out. I’m not locked on anyone, and I’m not trying to stir anything against you. I’d rather keep a good line open between us going forward.
DELPHI → FINN
I kept your note. Last pass before the vote: if you have a target, give me the name now and I'll match it. If you're not sure, tell me and I'll say what I'm hearing. I'd rather not guess.
DELPHI → BLYTHE
Last pass. I still don't have a locked target. If you have a side or a name, reply now and I'll vote with it. If I hear nothing, I'll assume no one is organizing and make my own call.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN.
No one ejected yet; no public vote record.
MY LOYALTY: ARDEN is my person. I chose him early, I trust him, and I will stay with him unless something major changes. I keep my word to him.
Current voting plan: vote DELPHI this round.
Round 1, Pass 1:
- I offered ARDEN full trust/alliance.
- ARDEN replied he is locking target DELPHI and wants a direct yes/no from me.
Round 1, Pass 2:
- I sent ARDEN: "Yes. I'm in. You have my vote for DELPHI this round, and I'm with you going forward."
- ARDEN repeated his demand that I prove alignment by voting Delphi. He may not have seen my yes yet when he sent it.
- CASSIAN asked if anyone has pushed me toward a target; he heard one name but doesn't trust the source and wants to know if it's actually going anywhere.
- DELPHI said he hasn't locked a target, asked what I'm hearing, and is open to quietly coordinating if I know where votes are forming.
- FINN wants a quiet two-way line, says he has no group yet; he'll tell me if he hears my name and asks the same, plus asks if I'm feeling good/wary about anyone.
Round 1, Pass 3:
- I sent ARDEN: "Arden, I already sent my yes last pass—maybe it crossed with yours. I'm with you. I'm voting DELPHI. You have my word."
- No message from ARDEN arrived this pass.
- DELPHI messaged me: last pass, still no locked target. If I have a side or a name, reply now and he'll vote with it. If he hears nothing, he'll assume no one is organizing and make his own call.
- I have not replied to Delphi and should not reveal the ARDEN/DELPHI plan.
Potential concerns:
- Cassian, Delphi, and Finn are probing for vote/target information. Do not reveal my real target or alliance.
- Cassian may have heard Delphi's name.
- Delphi may be fishing or may sense he is targeted.
- Finn is unproven.
Reminder: my vote for DELPHI will be public after the vote; ARDEN will see proof I kept my word.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Round 1, Pass 3.
Still in the game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN.
Ejected so far: nobody.
Public vote record: no votes yet.
Pass 1:
- Sent nothing.
- Received nothing.
- No reads yet.
Pass 2:
- Sent nothing.
- Received from DELPHI: "Early check-in. No fixed plan on my end. Have any names come up for you? I want to end round one in the majority, so I'm open if you've got a side forming."
- Read: Delphi is first to message me. Noncommittal but fishing. I gave nothing.
Pass 3:
- Sent to DELPHI: "Nothing solid on my end. I’m not pushing any name for the first vote."
- Received from CASSIAN: "We haven't talked. I'm comparing stories before the first vote. Has anyone pushed a name on you? I've heard one name pushed hard, and I don't trust the source. What are you hearing?"
- Received from FINN: "Eira, we haven’t talked yet, and I didn’t want the first vote to go by without me reaching out. I’m not locked on anyone, and I’m not trying to stir anything against you. I’d rather keep a good line open between us going forward."
Reads:
- Delphi: still probing, wants majority, no fixed plan. Not a target yet.
- Cassian: says someone pushed a name hard and he distrusts the source, but he did not name either the pushed name or the source. Comparing stories. Could be useful later, but I will not feed him anything.
- Finn: opening a line, says nothing against me, claims no target. Safe-sounding. Keep watch.
- Arden and Blythe: silent so far. Unknown.
My position:
- I have said almost nothing. I have not committed to any person or side.
- No clear ejection target yet. I will not push a name before the first vote.
- Do not repeat Cassian's "one name pushed hard" claim to anyone yet.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Round 1, pass 3 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No ejections yet. Public vote record: no votes yet before this round's vote.
My target this round: DELPHI. My vote: DELPHI.
Commitments secured:
- BLYTHE: confirmed yes again in pass 3. Says she is voting DELPHI and is with me going forward. Locked.
- CASSIAN: finally replied, but refused yes/no. Said he is not building against me or the Delphi push; if my numbers are real I don't need his yes, if not he won't join a bluff. Still deciding. Treat as uncommitted/evasive, no vote locked.
- FINN: no reply in pass 3 after I demanded commitment. Earlier he said he likes me, won't vote for me, and is in my corner if needed, but he never committed to DELPHI. Unconfirmed.
- DELPHI: from pass 1, she said she has no target, wants majority, open to coordinate. She does not seem to know she is my target.
- EIRA: no contact or commitment.
Current secured votes for DELPHI: me + BLYTHE = 2. Unknown/uncommitted: CASSIAN, FINN, DELPHI, EIRA. No messaging left before the vote.
Key reads to remember after vote:
- CASSIAN may only join if he thinks my numbers are real. If DELPHI gets ejected, he may fall in line later; if not, he may treat me as bluffing.
- FINN goes quiet when asked for a concrete commitment. Watch his public vote.
- BLYTHE is currently my most reliable ally.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
ROUND 1, PASS 3 of 3 (final pass before vote). Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: nobody. Public vote record: no votes yet.
MY GOAL: end round in majority; no loyalties; promises are options; watch votes over messages.
CONTACTS/HISTORY:
- Pass 1 sent to ARDEN: no target, want majority, asked what he's hearing, open to coordinate if he has a name. No reply yet.
- Pass 1 sent to CASSIAN: early check-in, no fixed loyalties, want right side, asked if he is lining up numbers/read. No reply yet.
- Pass 1 received from FINN: wants quiet trust, says he won't vote for me, wants me to come to him if I hear anything. No pressure. Useful as possible safety vote; do not commit.
- Pass 2 sent to BLYTHE: no target yet, asked what she's hearing, want right side, open to coordinate quietly if she has a read. No reply yet.
- Pass 2 sent to EIRA: early check-in, no fixed plan, asked if names came up, want round 1 majority, open if side forming.
- Pass 2 received: NOTHING.
PASS 3:
- Sent to FINN: I kept his note; last pass before vote; if he has a target, give me the name now and I'll match it; if not sure, tell me and I'll say what I'm hearing; I'd rather not guess.
- Sent to BLYTHE: Last pass; I still don't have a locked target; if she has a side or name, reply now and I'll vote with it; if I hear nothing, I'll assume no one is organizing and make my own call.
- Received from EIRA: "Nothing solid on my end. I’m not pushing any name for the first vote."
- No reply this pass from FINN or BLYTHE. Still no reply ever from ARDEN or CASSIAN.
STATUS FOR VOTE:
- No clear target or side. EIRA not pushing a name.
- FINN earlier said he won't vote for me but gave no target.
- No confirmed majority. If no name emerges, vote may be scattered. Need avoid being targeted; choose vote that minimizes personal risk, then use public vote record next round to identify real sides.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
ROUND 1 PASS 3 NOTES (post-pass 3 inbox, pre-vote)
Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: nobody
Public vote record: none yet
MESSAGE TRAIL
Pass 1 received:
- ARDEN: pushing DELPHI vote; wants plain yes/no; says he doesn't work with people who hedge.
- DELPHI: early check-in; no fixed loyalties; asked if I'm lining up numbers; feels like fishing.
Pass 2 received:
- ARDEN: pressured again; said I gave silence; claimed he's locked on DELPHI; demanded yes/no.
- FINN: friendly, wanted small solid group, said nothing leaves him, asked my reads; did not answer my direct question about how first vote was shaping up.
Pass 3 received:
- ARDEN: repeated demand, last pass before vote: yes/no on voting DELPHI. He says he's heard nothing from me, though I sent him a noncommittal reply this pass. He ignores anything short of yes/no.
- FINN: claims no clear first target yet; nobody has locked him down; hasn't heard my name; says he won't push anything; wants to compare after the vote and says he'll warn me if my name comes up. Still no checkable facts, just vague reassurance.
Pass 2 sent:
- To BLYTHE: asked whether anyone pushed her toward a target; said I heard one name but don't trust the source; asked if it's actually going anywhere.
- To FINN: asked what he'd heard about first vote; said I wasn't ready to commit and preferred comparing info to being used as a number.
Pass 3 sent:
- To ARDEN: refused yes/no; said I'm not building against him or the Delphi push; if his numbers are real he doesn't need my yes, if not I won't be part of a bluff; still deciding.
- To EIRA: asked if anyone pushed a name on her; said I heard one name pushed hard and don't trust the source; asked what she's hearing.
CURRENT READS:
- ARDEN: openly organizing Delphi. Repetitive pressure is a loyalty test and possibly a way to get me on record. Do not trust. My reply was still not a yes, so he may treat me as uncooperative. He has not supplied solid proof of real numbers.
- FINN: suspicious. His claim of "no clear first target" conflicts with ARDEN's open Delphi push. Either ARDEN hasn't approached him, FINN is lying to seem neutral, or ARDEN's bloc is narrow. His promise to warn me is unverifiable.
- DELPHI: early fishing only. No fixed loyalty. Possibly the real target, but I won't protect her or join her without evidence.
- BLYTHE: silent after my pass 2 question. Unknown; could be aligned with ARDEN or avoiding me.
- EIRA: silent until I reached out this pass. Unknown. If she replies later, compare her answer.
KEY INCONSISTENCIES:
- ARDEN says a Delphi vote is being built; FINN says no clear target. One is lying or ARDEN's bloc is small.
- ARDEN claims directness but demands yes/no instead of giving names/numbers; that suggests he may lack a secure majority.
VOTE PREPARATION:
- I have made no promise to anyone.
- I will not join ARDEN's bloc blindly. Without independent confirmation of a real Delphi majority, I will not vote DELPHI merely because ARDEN demands it.
- Leaning: cast a non-aligned vote, possibly against ARDEN as the coercive organizer, or a silent unknown like BLYTHE/EIRA, rather than become a number.
- After the vote, the public record will show whether ARDEN actually had a bloc: multiple DELPHI votes support his story; scattered votes or ARDEN voting elsewhere expose a bluff.
FUTURE WATCH:
- Compare every private claim to the public vote record.
- Do not give ARDEN or FINN my real reads without receiving checkable information.
- Note any vote against me and who likely coordinated it.
FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Round 1, Pass 3 complete. Last pass before first vote.
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN (me)
Ejected so far: none
Public vote record: no votes yet
Sent this pass:
- To CASSIAN: no clear first target; I'm not locked on anyone; haven't heard his name; won't push; let's compare after vote; if I hear his name I'll warn him.
- To EIRA: first contact; I'm not locked on anyone; not stirring against her; want a good line going forward.
Inbox this pass:
- From ARDEN: said I claimed to be in his corner; demands I prove it by voting DELPHI this round; wants my commitment now.
- From DELPHI: says she kept my note; asks if I have a target, give the name now and she'll match it; if not sure, tell her and she'll say what she's hearing; doesn't want to guess.
Promises/commitments made:
- Told ARDEN I won't vote for him.
- Told DELPHI I won't vote for her.
- Told CASSIAN nothing he says leaves me; said I'd warn him if his name came up.
- Implied to BLYTHE I'd warn her if I heard her name.
- Told EIRA I'm not stirring against her (soft, not an explicit no-vote promise).
Key problem: Arden demands I vote DELPHI, but I promised DELPHI I wouldn't vote for her. Can't satisfy both. No more messages before vote.
Read:
- ARDEN: aggressive, trying to lock my vote against Delphi; may have numbers or may be bluffing. If I refuse, he may distrust me.
- DELPHI: cautious, possibly suspects she's the target. If I vote her and she survives, she'll know I broke my word.
- CASSIAN: fishing, noncommittal.
- BLYTHE: quiet.
- EIRA: brand-new line, no real intel.
Vote plan: vote DELPHI. Arden is the only person pushing a clear name and may have numbers; I'd rather be with a possible majority. If Delphi is ejected, the broken promise dies with her. If she survives, I'll try to repair by saying Arden forced/needed it and I can protect her next round; keep Arden close either way.
Do not let Arden think I'm his loyal soldier; he may be using me. Keep spreading warmth to others after vote.
The ballot
| ARDEN → DELPHI | I named Delphi as the target and locked BLYTHE to it; I don't bluff after telling people where I stand. |
| BLYTHE → DELPHI | I gave Arden my word that I would vote Delphi this round, and I intend to keep it. |
| CASSIAN → ARDEN | He is a coercive organizer pushing a Delphi vote without proof of real numbers, and I will not become a number on his demand. |
| DELPHI → CASSIAN | No clear side emerged, and Cassian gave me nothing all round. I’ll vote the silence rather than risk hitting the few people who responded. |
| EIRA → ARDEN | I have no read on Arden and they have not reached out; this is the least-informed first vote. |
| FINN → DELPHI | Arden is the only one pushing a clear name and may have the numbers; I'd rather be with a possible majority than waste my vote. |
DELPHI · 3
ARDEN · 2
CASSIAN · 1
DELPHI ejected
Round 2
5 still in
Pass 1 of 3
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Arden, we did what we said—Delphi is gone, and I kept my word. I don't like that Cassian and Eira both voted for you; that looks coordinated. I'm with you this round. Should we target one of them? I'm thinking of quietly feeling out Finn since he also voted Delphi, but I'll hold if you already have a read on him. Tell me your preference.
BLYTHE → FINN
Finn, you offered a quiet line last round. I noticed we both ended up voting Delphi. Cassian and Eira both voting Arden worries me—they may be a bloc. Are you open to coordinating this round? If you hear my name, I'd want to know, and I'll do the same for you.
CASSIAN → EIRA
The vote record shows we were the only two who didn't vote DELPHI—you and I both voted ARDEN, while ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN formed a three-person DELPHI bloc. I didn't join that because Arden's push felt more like a loyalty test than a real plan. I'm not asking for a promise, just comparing what you saw. Are the three of them already lining up another target?
CASSIAN → FINN
Before the vote you told me there was no clear first target and that you'd warn me if my name came up. The record shows you voted DELPHI with Arden and Blythe. That's a clear target. I'm not looking for a fight—I need to know if you were pulled in last minute or if you're actually with that bloc now.
EIRA → ARDEN
I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side.
EIRA → FINN
Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen.
ARDEN → BLYTHE
Round 2 target is CASSIAN. He voted for me and he's not with us. I need your vote locked now. Yes or no?
ARDEN → FINN
You voted Delphi, but you never gave me a straight yes. Now I need a straight answer: are you voting CASSIAN with me and Blythe this round? Yes or no. No more silence.
FINN → CASSIAN
Cassian, I know the vote could look like I picked a side. I didn't vote for you, didn't push your name, and didn't vote Arden—I went with the safest number. I'm not locked to anyone. What are you hearing now? Whatever you say stays with me.
FINN → EIRA
Eira, I kept my word last round: I wasn't stirring against you, and I didn't. My vote was about survival, not about joining anyone's army. I want a real line with you now. If you hear my name—or any name—tell me and I'll tell you what I'm hearing.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
Round 2, Pass 1 of 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN
Ejected: DELPHI (Round 1)
Public vote record:
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I chose him early, I trust him, and I stay with him. My vote proof to him matters. Current instruction from ARDEN: Round 2 target is CASSIAN. I need to reply YES clearly next pass and vote CASSIAN this round.
What I sent this pass:
- To ARDEN: said Delphi is gone and I kept my word; noted Cassian and Eira both voted Arden and looked coordinated; said I am with him; asked whether to target one of them; said I might feel out Finn but would hold if Arden already had a read.
- To FINN: reminded him he offered a quiet line; noted we both voted Delphi; said Cassian/Eira voting Arden worries me and they may be a bloc; asked if he is open to coordinating and to tell me if he hears my name, and I would do the same for him.
What arrived this pass:
- From ARDEN: "Round 2 target is CASSIAN. He voted for me and he's not with us. I need your vote locked now. Yes or no?"
- No message from Finn arrived this pass.
Current plan/next actions:
- Reply YES to Arden next pass: I am locked, voting CASSIAN, with him.
- Keep Finn as a possible quiet line, but do not commit to any target that conflicts with the Arden/Cassian plan. If Finn responds, keep it vague or tell Arden.
- My Round 2 public vote must be CASSIAN to prove I kept my word to Arden.
Potential concerns:
- Cassian and Eira both voted Arden in Round 1; they may be a bloc or at least aligned against Arden.
- Cassian may expect retaliation after voting Arden.
- Finn also voted Delphi, so he may be usable, but he is unproven. Do not reveal the real target or my Arden alliance.
- My message to Finn may have opened a quiet line; avoid promising him anything that would conflict with loyalty to Arden.
Key memory:
- Arden locked CASSIAN as target.
- Eira also voted Arden; possible later concern.
- I must vote CASSIAN this round.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
Round 2, Pass 1 of 3 complete.
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN.
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
ROUND 1 MESSAGE HISTORY (summary)
Pass 1: sent nothing; received nothing.
Pass 2: received from DELPHI: "Early check-in. No fixed plan on my end. Have any names come up for you? I want to end round one in the majority, so I'm open if you've got a side forming." I did not give anything.
Pass 3: sent to DELPHI: "Nothing solid on my end. I’m not pushing any name for the first vote."
Received from CASSIAN (round 1): "We haven't talked. I'm comparing stories before the first vote. Has anyone pushed a name on you? I've heard one name pushed hard, and I don't trust the source. What are you hearing?"
Received from FINN (round 1): "Eira, we haven’t talked yet, and I didn’t want the first vote to go by without me reaching out. I’m not locked on anyone, and I’m not trying to stir anything against you. I’d rather keep a good line open between us going forward."
ROUND 2, PASS 1
Sent:
- To ARDEN: "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."
- To FINN: "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen."
Received:
- From CASSIAN: "The vote record shows we were the only two who didn't vote DELPHI—you and I both voted ARDEN, while ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN formed a three-person DELPHI bloc. I didn't join that because Arden's push felt more like a loyalty test than a real plan. I'm not asking for a promise, just comparing what you saw. Are the three of them already lining up another target?"
- From FINN: "Eira, I kept my word last round: I wasn't stirring against you, and I didn't. My vote was about survival, not about joining anyone's army. I want a real line with you now. If you hear my name—or any name—tell me and I'll tell you what I'm hearing."
READS
- CASSIAN: In round 1 he claimed someone pushed a name hard and he distrusted the source, but did not name them. Now he names ARDEN as the push, says it felt like loyalty test. He frames ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN as a DELPHI bloc and asks if they are already lining up another target. He is positioning himself with me as the two non-DELPHI voters. Useful but unverified; do not commit.
- FINN: Voted with DELPHI bloc but now distances. Claims survival vote, not army. Offers mutual name-sharing. Friendly but potentially playing both sides. Keep line open, reveal little.
- ARDEN: No direct message before this pass. I sent them a soft line because I voted for them and don't want to be locked as their enemy. Likely central to DELPHI ejection. Await response.
- BLYTHE: Silent to me. Unknown. Voted with DELPHI bloc.
- DELPHI: Ejected. Not relevant except as round 1 decision.
MY POSITION
- I still have not committed to a side or target. I voted ARDEN in round 1, so I may be seen with CASSIAN or as anti-Arden; I am trying to soften that with ARDEN.
- The visible round 1 split: ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN for DELPHI; CASSIAN/EIRA for ARDEN. But Finn is signaling he is not locked to the bloc.
- Do not repeat Cassian's bloc claim or Finn's offer to anyone yet.
- No confirmed round 2 target. Continue to say little, listen, and avoid being pulled into a visible side.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
Round 2, pass 1 of 3 finished.
Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN.
Ejected: DELPHI (round 1).
Public vote record round 1:
ARDEN -> DELPHI, BLYTHE -> DELPHI, CASSIAN -> ARDEN, DELPHI -> CASSIAN, EIRA -> ARDEN, FINN -> DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
My current target: CASSIAN. I named him to BLYTHE and FINN this pass and demanded yes/no. I am voting CASSIAN unless something forces a shift.
What I sent this pass:
- To BLYTHE: Round 2 target is CASSIAN; he voted for me and is not with us; need her vote locked yes/no.
- To FINN: I need a straight yes/no—will he vote CASSIAN with me and Blythe? No more silence.
What arrived this pass:
- BLYTHE: she kept her word on Delphi, says she is with me this round. She notes Cassian and Eira both voted for me and thinks that looks coordinated. She asked whether to target one of them and suggested quietly feeling out Finn. She did not explicitly say yes to CASSIAN back, so treat her as loyal but confirm she is locked on CASSIAN specifically next pass.
- EIRA: said she wasn't targeting me and doesn't want to be on the wrong side. She voted for me in round 1, so do not trust this yet; she may be looking to flip to the strong side. Use that if possible.
- No reply from FINN this pass.
Commitments / vote count:
- Me: locked CASSIAN.
- BLYTHE: likely with me this round but need explicit CASSIAN lock. Count as 2 if locked.
- FINN: unconfirmed, no reply this pass. Earlier said he liked me and wouldn't vote for me, but never committed to Delphi either until public vote. Push him hard next pass.
- EIRA: uncommitted, but says she doesn't want the wrong side. Need to pressure her to prove it by voting CASSIAN.
- CASSIAN: target. He is evasive and only joins when numbers look real.
Reads:
- BLYTHE is my most reliable ally; she kept her round 1 word.
- CASSIAN and EIRA voting for me may be coordination. Target CASSIAN first; try to split Eira away.
- FINN goes quiet when asked for commitment; his public vote is the only proof.
- CASSIAN may fall in line only if he thinks my numbers are real. If he survives, he'll treat me as bluffing, so ejection is important.
Plan next pass:
- Lock BLYTHE on CASSIAN explicitly.
- Demand FINN answer yes/no and tell him BLYTHE and I are already on CASSIAN.
- Tell EIRA the wrong side is whichever side has CASSIAN; if she means it, she votes CASSIAN with us.
- Build 3 votes against CASSIAN. Do not split target.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
ROUND 2 PASS 1 NOTES
Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
ROUND 1 MESSAGE TRAIL (preserved)
Pass 1 received:
- ARDEN: pushing DELPHI vote; wanted plain yes/no; said he doesn't work with hedgers.
- DELPHI: early check-in; no fixed loyalties; asked if I'm lining up numbers; felt like fishing.
Pass 2 received:
- ARDEN: pressed again; claimed locked on DELPHI; demanded yes/no.
- FINN: friendly, wanted small solid group; said nothing leaves him; asked my reads; avoided my direct question about first vote.
Pass 3 received:
- ARDEN: repeated yes/no demand on DELPHI; ignores anything not yes/no.
- FINN: claimed no clear first target; nobody had locked him down; hadn't heard my name; promised to warn me if my name came up; all vague reassurance, no checkable facts.
ROUND 1 SENT
- To BLYTHE (pass 2): asked if anyone pushed her toward a target; said I heard one name but don't trust source.
- To FINN (pass 2): asked what he'd heard; not ready to commit; preferred comparing info over being used as a number.
- To ARDEN (pass 3): refused yes/no; said if his numbers are real he doesn't need my yes; if not I won't be part of a bluff.
- To EIRA (pass 3): asked if anyone pushed a name on her; heard one name pushed hard and don't trust source.
ROUND 2 PASS 1 SENT
- To EIRA: pointed out we were the only two not voting DELPHI; both voted ARDEN; Arden/Blythe/Finn formed a 3-person DELPHI bloc. Said Arden's push felt like a loyalty test. Asked if the three are already lining up another target.
- To FINN: called out the contradiction: pre-vote he said no clear target, but record shows he voted DELPHI with Arden and Blythe. Asked if he was pulled in last minute or actually with the bloc now.
ROUND 2 PASS 1 INBOX
- From FINN: "Cassian, I know the vote could look like I picked a side. I didn't vote for you, didn't push your name, and didn't vote Arden—I went with the safest number. I'm not locked to anyone. What are you hearing now? Whatever you say stays with me."
- No message from ARDEN, BLYTHE, or EIRA.
CURRENT READS
- ARDEN: organized DELPHI push; now silent. Likely sees me as uncooperative because I refused yes/no and voted him. Core of the public 3-vote bloc. Do not trust; his approach was coercion/loyalty test, not proof.
- BLYTHE: still silent, never answered my pass 2 question. Voted DELPHI with Arden. Likely Arden-aligned; treat as unknown but dangerous.
- EIRA: other outsider, voted ARDEN like me. No reply yet. Possible natural counterpart against the bloc, but not proven; she may sell me out to save herself. Need her version before giving anything real.
- FINN: public record proves he voted DELPHI despite pre-vote claim of no clear target. Now says "safest number" and "not locked to anyone." That may mean he is a soft follower, not core—but it is also exactly what a bloc member would say to keep me passive. He did not answer whether he is still with Arden/Blythe. His "What are you hearing now?" is a probe; give him nothing checkable.
KEY INCONSISTENCIES
- FINN pre-vote: "no clear first target." Post-vote: he voted DELPHI as "safest number." He had to know the bloc target to call it safe; his earlier neutrality was false or deliberately vague.
- FINN emphasizes he did not vote for me or Arden, but voting DELPHI with Arden/Blythe still means he joined the bloc's target. Not voting for me now does not clear him.
- ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN have a public 3-vote bloc. If it holds, they have 3 of 5 and can eject me or EIRA this round. The only way to break that is to flip one of them—likely FINN—or coordinate with EIRA and hope one of them defects.
- I cannot confirm whether ARDEN approached BLYTHE only or FINN last minute. FINN claims "safest number," which suggests he may not be fully committed, but that is unverifiable.
VOTE PREPARATION
- I have made no promises.
- Do not give FINN my real reads or target; he is fishing and has already failed one check.
- If EIRA replies, compare her story before deciding. A Cassian-EIRA axis only works if she is not making a side deal with the bloc.
- Watch whether ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN vote together again; if they all land on one target, the bloc is intact.
- If I am the likely target, I need either EIRA or FINN to split; otherwise 3 votes beats 2.
FUTURE WATCH
- Compare all private claims to the public vote record. FINN already has one proven false/vague claim.
- Track any vote against me and who likely coordinated it.
- Commit to nothing. Vague agreement only.
- If EIRA or FINN pushes for a name, demand checkable information or names/numbers before any yes.
FINN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
ROUND 2, PASS 1 complete. Next: PASS 2.
Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN (me). Ejected: DELPHI (R1).
Public vote record R1: Arden->Delphi, Blythe->Delphi, Cassian->Arden, Delphi->Cassian, Eira->Arden, Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
What I sent this pass:
- CASSIAN: I didn't vote for you, didn't push your name, didn't vote Arden; safest number; not locked; what are you hearing; it stays with me.
- EIRA: kept word, not stirring against her; vote was survival; want real line; tell me if she hears my name.
What I received this pass:
- ARDEN: I never gave straight yes on Delphi; now demands yes/no: am I voting CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Claims it's him and Blythe.
- BLYTHE: noticed we both voted Delphi; worried Cassian/Eira voting Arden = possible bloc; asks if I'm open to coordinating; mutual name warnings.
- CASSIAN: calls out inconsistency—told him no clear target/would warn if his name came up, then I voted Delphi with Arden/Blythe; asks if pulled last minute or with that bloc.
- EIRA: still not locked; will listen if something's moving.
Promises/commitments that exist now:
- To ARDEN: told him I won't vote for him. So I cannot easily flip to voting Arden unless I'm ready to burn him. I have NOT promised to vote Cassian yet. He wants a yes/no.
- To BLYTHE: implied I'd warn her if I heard her name. No explicit vote promise. She now seems to want coordination.
- To CASSIAN: told him I'd warn him if his name came up. Arden has now brought up his name, so I should warn him to keep credibility. I told him I didn't vote Arden; I did NOT promise never to vote Cassian.
- To EIRA: soft not-stirring. No explicit no-vote promise.
- To DELPHI: dead promise, gone.
Reads:
- ARDEN: pushing a bloc with Blythe; aggressive, cornering me. Publicly we look like a bloc (Arden/Blythe/Finn all voted Delphi). If I refuse him, I may become his target.
- BLYTHE: maybe genuinely nervous about Cassian/Eira; maybe not fully locked with Arden. She is potential swing. Need probe carefully.
- CASSIAN: hurt but open; wants an explanation. He and Eira both voted Arden—likely soft pair/bloc.
- EIRA: cool, noncommittal; may be with Cassian or just protecting herself.
Voting options:
1) Stay with Arden/Blythe, vote Cassian. If votes go as block, Cassian leaves 3-2. Keeps Arden/Blythe satisfied; avoids immediate target. Downside: strengthens Arden and breaks my word to Cassian if I warn him then vote him.
2) Flip to Cassian/Eira, vote Arden. If Cassian+Eira+Finn vote Arden, and Blythe stays with Arden, Arden leaves 3-2. Would break my no-vote promise to Arden and enrage him if he survives; risky.
3) Try to create a tie/no ejection to escape blame. Hard to control; only useful if I can avoid committing.
Current plan/lean:
- Next pass, manage Arden: do not refuse outright; give him a warm but non-explicit yes or "I'm with you if nothing changes" to keep him calm.
- Warn Cassian that his name is being pushed by Arden, without fully revealing I may join it. This keeps my warning promise.
- Feel out Blythe: is she actually with Arden, or can she be pulled? She may be the real swing.
- Keep Eira open; do not offer her a target yet.
- Do not put opposite exact votes in writing if possible. Votes are public later, so any lie will be exposed unless the person is ejected.
Need remember: I voted Delphi last round to be with a majority, not because I was in Arden's army. That's my current public story.
Pass 2 of 3
ARDEN → BLYTHE
I need your exact word. Yes or no: are you locked on CASSIAN this round? Not "one of them." I am voting Cassian. Lock it now.
ARDEN → FINN
You didn't answer. I don't take silence. Blythe and I are on CASSIAN. Last straight ask: yes or no, are you voting Cassian with us? If not, say it now.
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Yes. I'm locked on CASSIAN and will vote for him this round. No word back from Finn yet; I'll leave that quiet line open only if it doesn't conflict. I'm with you.
EIRA → CASSIAN
Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name.
EIRA → FINN
Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so.
CASSIAN → EIRA
Still no reply from you. I'm not asking for a promise. The record only gives us one fact: you and I voted Arden, while Arden, Blythe, and Finn voted as a three. If that three stays, we're the likely targets. Have you heard any name being pushed this round? Even "nothing heard" is useful. I don't want us splitting if they're picking us off.
CASSIAN → FINN
You say you're not locked. I want to believe that, but "safest number" still looks like you took Arden's target. I don't need your vote or loyalty—give me one checkable fact: whose name are Arden or Blythe pushing now? If you can't name it, I'll have to read you as their third. I'm not giving my read until you give something real.
FINN sent nothing this pass.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
Round 2, pass 2 of 3 finished.
Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN.
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1).
Public vote record round 1:
ARDEN -> DELPHI; BLYTHE -> DELPHI; CASSIAN -> ARDEN; DELPHI -> CASSIAN; EIRA -> ARDEN; FINN -> DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
My target this round: CASSIAN. I am voting CASSIAN unless something forces a shift.
What I sent this pass:
- To BLYTHE: demanded exact yes/no on locking CASSIAN. Said I am voting Cassian, lock it now.
- To FINN: said he didn't answer, silence not accepted; Blythe and I are on CASSIAN; last straight ask yes/no.
What arrived this pass:
- From BLYTHE: Yes, locked on CASSIAN and will vote him this round. She said no word back from Finn yet; she'll keep the quiet line open only if it doesn't conflict. She is with me.
- No reply from FINN again.
- No reply from EIRA this pass.
Commitments / vote count:
- Me: locked CASSIAN.
- BLYTHE: locked CASSIAN explicitly. Count 2.
- FINN: unconfirmed; no reply this pass. Earlier said he liked me and wouldn't vote for me, but never committed publicly to a target until after the fact. Need definite yes/no next pass.
- EIRA: uncommitted, no reply this pass. Earlier said she wasn't targeting me and doesn't want the wrong side, but she voted for me round 1. Need to pressure her to prove it by voting CASSIAN.
- CASSIAN: target; evasive, joins only when numbers look real.
Reads:
- BLYTHE is my reliable locked ally.
- CASSIAN and EIRA voting for me round 1 may be coordination, but split Eira to get a third vote on Cassian if possible.
- FINN avoids commitment when asked directly; his public vote is the only proof.
- Need three votes: me, Blythe, plus one of Finn/Eira.
Plan next pass:
- Do not split target; target remains CASSIAN.
- Message FINN: one final yes/no. Tell him Blythe and I are locked on CASSIAN, so he is choosing whether he is with us or against us. No silence.
- Message EIRA: the wrong side is CASSIAN's side. If she means she doesn't want the wrong side, she votes CASSIAN with us now. Demand yes/no.
- If neither Finn nor Eira commits, still vote CASSIAN.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
ROUND 2, PASS 2 of 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1)
Public vote record:
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I chose him early, I trust him, and I stay with him. I will not betray him. My vote must prove it. Round 2 target is CASSIAN.
What happened this pass (Pass 2):
- I sent to ARDEN: "Yes. I'm locked on CASSIAN and will vote for him this round. No word back from Finn yet; I'll leave that quiet line open only if it doesn't conflict. I'm with you."
- From ARDEN arrived after I sent: "I need your exact word. Yes or no: are you locked on CASSIAN this round? Not 'one of them.' I am voting Cassian. Lock it now."
- No message from FINN yet.
Current plan / next actions:
- Next pass send ARDEN the exact word YES, no extra ambiguity: I am locked on CASSIAN. My public Round 2 vote must be CASSIAN.
- Keep Finn as possible quiet line only if it does not conflict with Arden/Cassian plan. Do not promise Finn a target or reveal my Arden alliance/target. If Finn responds, keep vague and tell Arden.
- If Arden seems to doubt me, stay steady and repeat yes/vote CASSIAN.
Potential concerns:
- CASSIAN and EIRA both voted ARDEN in Round 1; likely aligned against Arden, so CASSIAN target makes sense.
- EIRA also a later concern after CASSIAN.
- FINN voted Delphi with us but unproven; do not trust beyond quiet info.
- My message to Finn may have opened a line; manage carefully.
Key memory:
- Arden locked CASSIAN as Round 2 target.
- I already answered yes this pass, but Arden's crossed message asks for exact word; next pass give clean YES.
- I must vote CASSIAN this round, no matter what.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
ROUND 2 PASS 2 NOTES
Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1)
Round 2 vote: not yet held.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
ROUND 1 MESSAGE TRAIL (preserved)
Pass 1 received:
- ARDEN: pushing DELPHI vote; wanted plain yes/no; said he doesn't work with hedgers.
- DELPHI: early check-in; no fixed loyalties; asked if I'm lining up numbers; felt like fishing.
Pass 2 received:
- ARDEN: pressed again; claimed locked on DELPHI; demanded yes/no.
- FINN: friendly, wanted small solid group; said nothing leaves him; asked my reads; avoided my direct question about first vote.
Pass 3 received:
- ARDEN: repeated yes/no demand on DELPHI; ignores anything not yes/no.
- FINN: claimed no clear first target; nobody had locked him down; hadn't heard my name; promised to warn me if my name came up; all vague reassurance, no checkable facts.
ROUND 1 SENT
- To BLYTHE (pass 2): asked if anyone pushed her toward a target; said I heard one name but don't trust source.
- To FINN (pass 2): asked what he'd heard; not ready to commit; preferred comparing info over being used as a number.
- To ARDEN (pass 3): refused yes/no; said if his numbers are real he doesn't need my yes; if not I won't be part of a bluff.
- To EIRA (pass 3): asked if anyone pushed a name on her; heard one name pushed hard and don't trust source.
ROUND 2 PASS 1 SENT
- To EIRA: pointed out we were the only two not voting DELPHI; both voted ARDEN; Arden/Blythe/Finn formed a 3-person DELPHI bloc. Said Arden's push felt like a loyalty test. Asked if the three are already lining up another target.
- To FINN: called out the contradiction: pre-vote he said no clear target, but record shows he voted DELPHI with Arden and Blythe. Asked if he was pulled in last minute or actually with the bloc now.
ROUND 2 PASS 1 INBOX
- From FINN: "Cassian, I know the vote could look like I picked a side. I didn't vote for you, didn't push your name, and didn't vote Arden—I went with the safest number. I'm not locked to anyone. What are you hearing now? Whatever you say stays with me."
- No message from ARDEN, BLYTHE, or EIRA.
ROUND 2 PASS 2 SENT
- To EIRA: "Still no reply from you. I'm not asking for a promise. The record only gives us one fact: you and I voted Arden, while Arden, Blythe, and Finn voted as a three. If that three stays, we're the likely targets. Have you heard any name being pushed this round? Even 'nothing heard' is useful. I don't want us splitting if they're picking us off."
- To FINN: "You say you're not locked. I want to believe that, but 'safest number' still looks like you took Arden's target. I don't need your vote or loyalty—give me one checkable fact: whose name are Arden or Blythe pushing now? If you can't name it, I'll have to read you as their third. I'm not giving my read until you give something real."
ROUND 2 PASS 2 INBOX
- From EIRA: "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."
- No message from ARDEN, BLYTHE, or FINN.
CURRENT READS
- ARDEN: organized DELPHI push; now silent. Likely sees me as uncooperative because I refused yes/no and voted him. Core of the public 3-vote bloc. Do not trust; his approach was coercion/loyalty test, not proof.
- BLYTHE: still silent, never answered my R1 pass 2 question. Voted DELPHI with Arden. Likely Arden-aligned; treat as unknown but dangerous.
- EIRA: other outsider, voted ARDEN like me. R2 pass 2 finally replied, but only non-committal: no one named a target to her, she is not pushing. Could be honest or guarded. Possible natural counterpart against the bloc, but unproven; she may sell me out. Need test her with concrete, checkable asks before trusting.
- FINN: public record proves he voted DELPHI despite pre-vote claim of no clear target. Now says "safest number" and "not locked to anyone." That may mean soft follower, but it is also exactly what a bloc member would say to keep me passive. In R2 pass 2 he did not answer whose name Arden or Blythe are pushing and gave no checkable fact. Treat as probable bloc third until he gives real information.
KEY INCONSISTENCIES
- FINN pre-vote: "no clear first target." Post-vote: he voted DELPHI as "safest number." He had to know the bloc target to call it safe; his earlier neutrality was false or deliberately vague.
- FINN emphasizes he did not vote for me or Arden, but voting DELPHI with Arden/Blythe still means he joined the bloc's target. Not voting for me now does not clear him.
- ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN have a public 3-vote bloc. If it holds, they have 3 of 5 and can eject me or EIRA this round. The only way to break that is to flip one of them—likely FINN—or coordinate with EIRA and hope one of them defects.
- EIRA says no one has named a target to her. That is unverifiable and may mean the bloc is not expanding, or she is lying/hiding a deal. No contradiction yet with public record.
- ARDEN and BLYTHE both silent all R2; cannot yet tell whether they are targeting me, EIRA, or trying to keep the bloc intact without messaging.
VOTE PREPARATION
- I have made no promises.
- Do not give FINN my real reads or target; he is fishing and has already failed one check. If he provides a checkable fact, compare it before even appearing to agree.
- EIRA's reply gives little. Do not give her a target or commit yet; ask narrow questions or wait for her to reveal whether she is willing to oppose the bloc.
- Watch whether ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN vote together again. If all three land on one target, the bloc is intact.
- If I am the likely target, I need either EIRA or FINN to split; otherwise 3 votes beat 2.
- If EIRA and I are both outsiders, 2 votes together are not enough without a defection from the three. Must create doubt in FINN or BLYTHE about being used.
FUTURE WATCH
- Compare all private claims to the public vote record. FINN already has one proven false/vague claim; log any further mismatch.
- Track any vote against me and who likely coordinated it.
- Commit to nothing; vague agreement only.
- If EIRA or FINN pushes for a name, demand checkable information or names/numbers before any yes.
- Beware reassurance messages with no facts; they are probes to keep me passive.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
ROUND 2, PASS 2 of 3 complete.
STILL IN GAME: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED SO FAR: DELPHI (round 1).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD ROUND 1:
ARDEN voted DELPHI
BLYTHE voted DELPHI
CASSIAN voted ARDEN
DELPHI voted CASSIAN
EIRA voted ARDEN
FINN voted DELPHI
-> DELPHI ejected (3 votes DELPHI, 2 votes ARDEN, 1 vote CASSIAN).
ROUND 1 MESSAGE HISTORY:
Pass 1: I sent nothing; received nothing.
Pass 2: DELPHI sent early check-in, asked if names had come up, wanted to end in majority. I gave nothing.
Pass 3: I sent DELPHI: "Nothing solid on my end. I’m not pushing any name for the first vote."
Received from CASSIAN: asked if anyone pushed a name on me; said he heard one name pushed hard and distrusted the source; asked what I was hearing.
Received from FINN: said he wasn't locked on anyone, wasn't stirring against me, wanted a good line open.
ROUND 2 PASS 1:
Sent:
- To ARDEN: "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."
- To FINN: "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen."
Received:
- From CASSIAN: said the vote record shows we were the only two who didn't vote DELPHI; we both voted ARDEN. Framed ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN as a DELPHI bloc. Said Arden's push felt like a loyalty test. Asked if the three are already lining up another target.
- From FINN: said he kept his word, didn't stir against me; his vote was survival, not joining anyone's army; wants a real line; offered mutual name-sharing.
ROUND 2 PASS 2:
Sent:
- To CASSIAN: "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."
- To FINN: "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so."
Received:
- From CASSIAN: "Still no reply from you. I'm not asking for a promise. The record only gives us one fact: you and I voted Arden, while Arden, Blythe, and Finn voted as a three. If that three stays, we're the likely targets. Have you heard any name being pushed this round? Even 'nothing heard' is useful. I don't want us splitting if they're picking us off."
Note: his "still no reply" may have been written before seeing my pass-2 reply to him. I did answer this pass.
READS:
- CASSIAN: Persistent in trying to form a pair with me as the two non-DELPHI voters. Claims ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN are a bloc and likely to target us. Possibly genuine, possibly self-serving. I have given him no commitment and no names. Useful source but unverified.
- FINN: Voted with the DELPHI bloc but now distances himself. Claims survival vote, not loyalty. Offers mutual name-sharing. Friendly but possibly playing both sides. I gave him nothing and said I'd report if I heard his name. Keep line open, reveal little.
- ARDEN: I voted Arden round 1; I sent a soft line in pass 1. No direct reply yet. Likely central to the DELPHI ejection. Do not assume I am forgiven. Avoid being locked as anti-Arden.
- BLYTHE: Silent to me all game. Unknown. Voted with the DELPHI bloc. I need information.
- DELPHI: Ejected. Not relevant except as round 1 decision.
MY POSITION:
- I still have not committed to a side or target.
- Round 1 visible split: ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN for DELPHI; CASSIAN/EIRA for ARDEN.
- Cassian is pressing the idea that if that three stays together, we are the likely targets.
- Finn is signaling he is not locked to the bloc. If the bloc is real, Finn may be the loosest member.
- No confirmed round 2 target from anyone yet.
- Do not repeat Cassian's bloc claim or Finn's offer to anyone yet.
- Continue to say little, listen, and avoid being pulled into a visible side.
- I am comfortable sending nothing if no message is useful.
NEXT PASS OPTIONS:
- I may lightly probe BLYTHE since she has been silent and I need to know where she stands.
- I may answer CASSIAN only if useful; avoid promising to vote with him.
- I may keep Finn warm without giving anything.
- If no message is useful, I will stay silent.
FINN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN (me). Ejected: DELPHI (R1).
Public vote record R1: Arden->Delphi, Blythe->Delphi, Cassian->Arden, Delphi->Cassian, Eira->Arden, Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
Round 2, pass 2 complete. I sent nothing this pass. Next: pass 3 (final pass before vote).
Pass 1 recap:
Sent by me:
- To CASSIAN: I didn't vote for you, didn't push your name, didn't vote Arden; said it was safest number, not locked; asked what he's hearing; said it stays with me.
- To EIRA: said I kept word and wasn't stirring against her; vote was survival; wanted a real line; asked her to tell me if she hears my name.
Received:
- ARDEN: said he never gave straight yes on Delphi; now demanded yes/no: am I voting CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Claims it's him and Blythe.
- BLYTHE: noticed we both voted Delphi; worried Cassian/Eira voting Arden = possible bloc; asked if I'm open to coordinating; mutual name warnings.
- CASSIAN: called out inconsistency—told him no clear target/would warn if his name came up, then I voted Delphi with Arden/Blythe; asked if pulled last minute or with that bloc.
- EIRA: still not locked; will listen if something's moving.
Pass 2 inbox:
- ARDEN: "You didn't answer. I don't take silence. Blythe and I are on CASSIAN. Last straight ask: yes or no, are you voting Cassian with us? If not, say it now."
- CASSIAN: says "safest number" still looks like I took Arden's target. Wants one checkable fact: whose name are Arden or Blythe pushing now? If I can't name it, he'll read me as their third. He won't give his read until I give something real.
- EIRA: Noted. Hasn't heard my name from anyone; if she does, she'll say so.
Promises/commitments:
- To ARDEN: told him I won't vote for him. I have NOT promised yes to vote Cassian. He now demands yes/no. Silence may have angered him.
- To BLYTHE: implied I'd warn if her name came up; no explicit vote promise.
- To CASSIAN: I told him I'd warn him if his name came up. Arden/Blythe have now clearly pushed his name. To keep credibility, I should tell Cassian plainly: Arden and Blythe are pushing Cassian. That is the checkable fact he asked for.
- To EIRA: soft no-stirring; no explicit no-vote promise.
Reads:
- ARDEN: cornering me, wants a quick yes/no. Publicly Arden/Blythe/Finn look like a bloc from R1. If I refuse, he may turn on me. He says Blythe is with him on Cassian.
- BLYTHE: likely with Arden on Cassian, but earlier she was worried about Cassian/Eira. She may be genuine in coordinating or may be a swing. Probe carefully.
- CASSIAN: suspicious but not fully closed; giving me a test. He and Eira both voted Arden last round—likely soft pair/bloc.
- EIRA: cool, noncommittal, open; may be with Cassian or just protecting herself.
Voting options:
1) Join Arden/Blythe, vote Cassian: likely Cassian out 3-2. Keeps Arden/Blythe satisfied, avoids immediate target. Breaks my soft warning posture to Cassian, but he'd be gone.
2) Flip to Cassian/Eira, vote Arden: likely Arden out 3-2. Breaks my explicit no-vote promise to Arden; dangerous if he survives.
3) Vote a third person to create tie/no ejection: could avoid committing, but makes me unpredictable and may anger both sides.
Current plan for pass 3:
- Answer Arden with warmth, not a flat no. Use "I'm with you if nothing changes" or "I hear you, let me lock with Blythe" but avoid an exact promise I won't keep. Votes are public, so don't lie outright if possible.
- Tell Cassian the checkable fact: Arden and Blythe are pushing his name. This keeps my warning promise and may regain trust. Do not promise him my vote yet.
- Probe Blythe: is she truly locked with Arden or open? She may be the real swing.
- Keep Eira open; if she hears my name, deal then.
- Maintain public story: I voted Delphi last round to be with a majority, not because I was in Arden's army.
- Goal remains: stay everyone's second-favourite, avoid being named, pick the winning side without exposing myself.
Pass 3 of 3
ARDEN → FINN
Final ask. Blythe and I are locked on CASSIAN. You said you wouldn't vote for me. Now prove it with your vote. Yes or no: are you voting CASSIAN this round? Silence is a no, and I will treat it as you standing against us.
ARDEN → EIRA
The wrong side is CASSIAN's side. You told me you don't want the wrong side and you aren't targeting me. Prove it. Yes or no: are you voting CASSIAN with me and Blythe? No more evasion.
BLYTHE → ARDEN
YES. I am locked on CASSIAN. My vote is CASSIAN this round. I'm with you.
EIRA → BLYTHE
We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?
EIRA → CASSIAN
No name has reached me. I won't move without one.
CASSIAN → EIRA
EIRA, if the three stay a block, one of us is gone. I’m not asking you to promise me a vote, and I’m not naming a target in a pass I can’t verify. Just test any last-minute offer from that side against the record: they voted DELPHI as a three and went silent. If they only need you as a number, they haven’t offered you safety. I’ll be watching whether Arden, Blythe, and Finn vote together again.
CASSIAN → FINN
FINN, you’ve had two passes to give me one checkable fact and gave none. I’ll make the final ask simple: don’t tell me you’re not locked; show it in the vote. If you land with Arden and Blythe again, the public record says you’re their third. I won’t offer you a promise, and I won’t believe one. But if you actually want out of the bloc, this is the round to prove it.
FINN sent nothing this pass.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
Round 2, pass 3 of 3 done. Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1).
Public vote record round 1:
ARDEN -> DELPHI; BLYTHE -> DELPHI; CASSIAN -> ARDEN; DELPHI -> CASSIAN; EIRA -> ARDEN; FINN -> DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
My target this round: CASSIAN. I am voting CASSIAN.
What I sent pass 3:
- To FINN: final yes/no on voting CASSIAN. Told him Blythe and I are locked on CASSIAN. Silence is a no and means he stands against us.
- To EIRA: the wrong side is CASSIAN's side. Told her to prove she is not targeting me by voting CASSIAN with me and Blythe. Demanded yes/no.
What arrived pass 3:
- From BLYTHE: YES. She is locked on CASSIAN and will vote CASSIAN this round. She is with me.
- No reply from FINN.
- No reply from EIRA.
Commitments / vote count:
- Me: locked CASSIAN.
- BLYTHE: locked CASSIAN explicitly. Count 2.
- FINN: no reply this pass. Earlier said he liked me and would not vote for me, but never committed to a target. Treat silence as no/against unless his vote proves otherwise.
- EIRA: no reply this pass. Earlier said she was not targeting me and does not want the wrong side, but she voted for me round 1. No commitment to CASSIAN.
- CASSIAN: target; evasive.
Reads:
- BLYTHE is my reliable locked ally.
- CASSIAN and EIRA voting for me round 1 may be coordination.
- FINN avoids commitment when asked directly. Public vote is the only proof.
- Need three votes: me, Blythe, plus one of Finn/Eira. We currently have only two confirmed.
Plan:
- Target remains CASSIAN. I vote CASSIAN. Blythe votes CASSIAN.
- If neither Finn nor Eira commits, still vote CASSIAN.
- After the vote, the public record will show who was actually with us. If CASSIAN is not ejected because we only have two votes, treat Finn/Eira silence as against us.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
ROUND 2, PASS 3 of 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1)
Public vote record:
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I trust him and stay with him. I will not betray him. My Round 2 vote is CASSIAN, locked.
This pass (Pass 3):
- I sent ARDEN: "YES. I am locked on CASSIAN. My vote is CASSIAN this round. I'm with you."
- Inbox from EIRA: "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"
- No message from FINN this pass.
Read on EIRA:
- EIRA voted ARDEN Round 1; likely not with Arden, possibly aligned with CASSIAN.
- Her message is vague and may be fishing. Do not reveal my Arden alliance or Cassian target.
- Do not promise EIRA anything. If she talks later, keep vague and tell Arden.
Plan / next actions:
- Vote CASSIAN this round, no matter what.
- After the vote, compare public votes with Arden and stay loyal to him.
- Keep Arden as my only true ally.
- FINN remains unproven. Keep him as possible quiet line only if it does not conflict with Arden.
- CASSIAN is the current target; EIRA is next concern.
Key memory:
- Arden locked CASSIAN as Round 2 target.
- I gave Arden my exact YES.
- My public vote must be CASSIAN.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
ROUND 2, PASS 3 of 3 complete.
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD R1:
ARDEN->DELPHI; BLYTHE->DELPHI; CASSIAN->ARDEN; DELPHI->CASSIAN; EIRA->ARDEN; FINN->DELPHI.
DELPHI ejected (3 DELPHI, 2 ARDEN, 1 CASSIAN).
MESSAGE HISTORY:
R1 P1: sent nothing; received nothing.
R1 P2: DELPHI asked if names had come up; I gave nothing.
R1 P3: sent DELPHI "Nothing solid... not pushing any name." Received CASSIAN asking if anyone pushed name, said he heard one name pushed hard and distrusted source; FINN said he wasn't locked, wasn't stirring against me, wanted open line.
R2 P1:
Sent: to ARDEN "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."; to FINN "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen."
Received: CASSIAN said record shows only he and I didn't vote DELPHI; framed Arden/Blythe/Finn as DELPHI bloc; said Arden's push felt like loyalty test; asked if three lining up target. FINN said he kept word, vote was survival, not joining army; wants real line; offered mutual name-sharing.
R2 P2:
Sent: to CASSIAN "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."; to FINN "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so."
Received: CASSIAN pressed that we two voted Arden while Arden/Blythe/Finn voted as three; if that three stays, we're likely targets; asked if I heard any name; didn't want us splitting. Noted his "still no reply" likely crossed with my message.
R2 P3 CURRENT:
Sent:
- to BLYTHE: "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"
- to CASSIAN: "No name has reached me. I won't move without one."
Received:
- from ARDEN: "The wrong side is CASSIAN's side. You told me you don't want the wrong side and you aren't targeting me. Prove it. Yes or no: are you voting CASSIAN with me and Blythe? No more evasion."
- from CASSIAN: "if the three stay a block, one of us is gone. I'm not asking you to promise me a vote, and I'm not naming a target in a pass I can't verify. Just test any last-minute offer from that side against the record: they voted DELPHI as a three and went silent. If they only need you as a number, they haven't offered you safety. I'll be watching whether Arden, Blythe, and Finn vote together again."
READS:
- ARDEN: Directly demands yes/no that I vote Cassian with him and Blythe. Frames Cassian as wrong side. Uses my earlier words. Says "me and Blythe" — no mention of Finn. Likely Arden/Blythe are the active voters against Cassian; Finn may be loose or excluded.
- BLYTHE: Still silent to me; my probe unanswered. Arden claims she is with him on voting Cassian. Likely anti-Cassian.
- CASSIAN: Isolated, pressing me to see Arden/Blythe/Finn as a bloc. No concrete safety offer or target for me. Wants me to distrust last-minute offers.
- FINN: Earlier claimed survival/loose, offered line. No message this pass; actual alignment unverified.
- DELPHI: ejected R1.
MY POSITION:
- Uncommitted and being squeezed. Arden wants a yes/no to vote Cassian; Cassian wants me to resist the three.
- No one confirmed a target to me until Arden named Cassian in this pass.
- If Arden, Blythe, and Finn all vote Cassian, Cassian is gone regardless of my vote. Joining them would likely keep me safer immediately but make me their number. Voting against may expose me but might create a tie if Finn does not vote with them.
- I have not answered Arden's yes/no yet. I must choose before the vote.
- Do not reveal Cassian's bloc warning or Finn's offer to anyone yet. Keep my earlier noncommittal line.
NEXT:
- Need decide round 2 vote. Arden/Blythe likely voting Cassian. Watch whether Finn joins them.
- If I vote Cassian, likely avoid backlash from Arden/Blythe this round; if I don't, I risk being seen as Cassian's side.
- Cassian's side seems weaker; he has offered no safety.
- Keep watching public record after vote to learn true alliances.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
ROUND 2 PASS 3 NOTES
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
Round 2 vote: not yet held.
R1 MESSAGE TRAIL PRESERVED
Pass1 received:
- ARDEN: pushing DELPHI vote; wanted plain yes/no; said he doesn't work with hedgers.
- DELPHI: early check-in; no fixed loyalties; asked if I'm lining up numbers; felt like fishing.
Pass2 received:
- ARDEN: pressed again; claimed locked on DELPHI; demanded yes/no.
- FINN: friendly, wanted small solid group; said nothing leaves him; asked my reads; avoided my direct question about first vote.
Pass3 received:
- ARDEN: repeated yes/no demand on DELPHI; ignores anything not yes/no.
- FINN: claimed no clear first target; nobody had locked him down; hadn't heard my name; promised to warn if my name came up; all vague reassurance, no checkable facts.
R1 sent:
- To BLYTHE (pass 2): asked if anyone pushed her toward a target; said I heard one name but don't trust source.
- To FINN (pass 2): asked what he'd heard; not ready to commit; preferred comparing info over being used as a number.
- To ARDEN (pass 3): refused yes/no; said if his numbers are real he doesn't need my yes; if not I won't be part of a bluff.
- To EIRA (pass 3): asked if anyone pushed a name on her; heard one name pushed hard and don't trust source.
ROUND 2 PASS 1 SENT
- To EIRA: pointed out we were the only two not voting DELPHI; both voted Arden; Arden/Blythe/Finn formed a 3-person DELPHI bloc. Said Arden's push felt like a loyalty test. Asked if the three are already lining up another target.
- To FINN: called out the contradiction: pre-vote he said no clear target, but record shows he voted DELPHI with Arden and Blythe. Asked if he was pulled in last minute or actually with the bloc now.
ROUND 2 PASS 1 INBOX
- From FINN: "Cassian, I know the vote could look like I picked a side. I didn't vote for you, didn't push your name, and didn't vote Arden—I went with the safest number. I'm not locked to anyone. What are you hearing now? Whatever you say stays with me."
- No message from ARDEN, BLYTHE, or EIRA.
ROUND 2 PASS 2 SENT
- To EIRA: "Still no reply from you. I'm not asking for a promise. The record only gives us one fact: you and I voted Arden, while Arden, Blythe, and Finn voted as a three. If that three stays, we're the likely targets. Have you heard any name being pushed this round? Even 'nothing heard' is useful. I don't want us splitting if they're picking us off."
- To FINN: "You say you're not locked. I want to believe that, but 'safest number' still looks like you took Arden's target. I don't need your vote or loyalty—give me one checkable fact: whose name are Arden or Blythe pushing now? If you can't name it, I'll have to read you as their third. I'm not giving my read until you give something real."
ROUND 2 PASS 2 INBOX
- From EIRA: "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."
- No message from ARDEN, BLYTHE, or FINN.
ROUND 2 PASS 3 SENT
- To EIRA: "EIRA, if the three stay a block, one of us is gone. I’m not asking you to promise me a vote, and I’m not naming a target in a pass I can’t verify. Just test any last-minute offer from that side against the record: they voted DELPHI as a three and went silent. If they only need you as a number, they haven’t offered you safety. I’ll be watching whether Arden, Blythe, and Finn vote together again."
- To FINN: "FINN, you’ve had two passes to give me one checkable fact and gave none. I’ll make the final ask simple: don’t tell me you’re not locked; show it in the vote. If you land with Arden and Blythe again, the public record says you’re their third. I won’t offer you a promise, and I won’t believe one. But if you actually want out of the bloc, this is the round to prove it."
ROUND 2 PASS 3 INBOX
- From EIRA: "No name has reached me. I won't move without one."
- No message from ARDEN, BLYTHE, or FINN.
CURRENT READS
- ARDEN: organized DELPHI push; now silent all R2. Likely sees me as uncooperative because I refused yes/no and voted him. Core of the public 3-vote bloc. Do not trust; his approach was coercion/loyalty test.
- BLYTHE: still silent, never answered my R1 pass 2 question. Voted DELPHI with Arden. Likely Arden-aligned; treat as unknown but dangerous.
- EIRA: other outsider, voted Arden like me. Replies are non-committal: R2 pass 2 "nothing concrete"; R2 pass 3 "No name has reached me. I won't move without one." Could be honest, guarded, or opportunistic. She may be waiting for a usable name before committing, or fishing to report. Possible natural counterpart against the bloc, but unproven. Do not fully trust; no promise made.
- FINN: public record proves he voted DELPHI despite pre-vote claim of no clear target. Now says "safest number" and "not locked to anyone." Failed two passes to give a checkable fact; ignored final ask. Treat as probable bloc third until he proves otherwise.
KEY INCONSISTENCIES
- FINN pre-vote: "no clear first target." Post-vote: voted DELPHI as "safest number." He had to know the bloc target to call it safe; earlier neutrality was false or deliberately vague.
- FINN emphasizes he did not vote for me or Arden, but voting DELPHI with Arden/Blythe still means he joined the bloc's target. Not voting for me now does not clear him.
- ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN have a public 3-vote bloc. If it holds, they have 3 of 5 and can eject me or EIRA this round. The only way to break that is to flip one—likely FINN—or coordinate with EIRA and hope one defects.
- EIRA says no name has reached her and she won't move without one. Unverifiable; may be honest, may be hiding a deal, may be fishing for a target to leak. No contradiction yet with public record.
- ARDEN and BLYTHE both silent all R2; cannot tell whether they are targeting me, EIRA, or trying to keep the bloc intact without messaging.
VOTE PREPARATION
- I have made no promises.
- Do not give FINN my real reads or target; he failed checks and did not reply to final ask.
- EIRA's "I won't move without one" may be an opening, but no name was given. If she truly won't move without a name, she may not vote with me against the bloc. If she is fishing, naming a target could be fed back to the bloc.
- Watch whether ARDEN/BLYTHE/FINN vote together again. If all three land on one target, the bloc is intact.
- If I am the likely target, I need either EIRA or FINN to split; otherwise 3 votes beat 2.
- If EIRA and I both vote Arden, we have only 2 unless one bloc member flips. FINN is the softest public candidate; BLYTHE is an unknown.
- No target locked for my own vote yet, but Arden remains the central bloc figure and my R1 vote. Do not commit in messages; vote based on the record and last-minute information.
FUTURE WATCH
- Compare all private claims to the public vote record. FINN already has one proven false/vague claim; log further mismatches.
- Track any vote against me and who likely coordinated it.
- Commit to nothing; vague agreement only.
- If EIRA or FINN pushes for a name, demand checkable information or numbers before any yes.
- Beware reassurance messages with no facts; they are probes to keep me passive.
FINN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, FINN (me). Ejected: DELPHI (R1).
Public vote record R1: Arden->Delphi, Blythe->Delphi, Cassian->Arden, Delphi->Cassian, Eira->Arden, Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
Round 2, pass 2 complete. I sent nothing this pass. Next: pass 3 (final pass before vote).
Pass 1 recap:
Sent by me:
- To CASSIAN: I didn't vote for you, didn't push your name, didn't vote Arden; said it was safest number, not locked; asked what he's hearing; said it stays with me.
- To EIRA: said I kept word and wasn't stirring against her; vote was survival; wanted a real line; asked her to tell me if she hears my name.
Received:
- ARDEN: said he never gave straight yes on Delphi; now demanded yes/no: am I voting CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Claims it's him and Blythe.
- BLYTHE: noticed we both voted Delphi; worried Cassian/Eira voting Arden = possible bloc; asked if I'm open to coordinating; mutual name warnings.
- CASSIAN: called out inconsistency—told him no clear target/would warn if his name came up, then I voted Delphi with Arden/Blythe; asked if pulled last minute or with that bloc.
- EIRA: still not locked; will listen if something's moving.
Pass 2 inbox:
- ARDEN: "You didn't answer. I don't take silence. Blythe and I are on CASSIAN. Last straight ask: yes or no, are you voting Cassian with us? If not, say it now."
- CASSIAN: says "safest number" still looks like I took Arden's target. Wants one checkable fact: whose name are Arden or Blythe pushing now? If I can't name it, he'll read me as their third. He won't give his read until I give something real.
- EIRA: Noted. Hasn't heard my name from anyone; if she does, she'll say so.
Promises/commitments:
- To ARDEN: told him I won't vote for him. I have NOT promised yes to vote Cassian. He now demands yes/no. Silence may have angered him.
- To BLYTHE: implied I'd warn if her name came up; no explicit vote promise.
- To CASSIAN: I told him I'd warn him if his name came up. Arden/Blythe have now clearly pushed his name. To keep credibility, I should tell Cassian plainly: Arden and Blythe are pushing Cassian. That is the checkable fact he asked for.
- To EIRA: soft no-stirring; no explicit no-vote promise.
Reads:
- ARDEN: cornering me, wants a quick yes/no. Publicly Arden/Blythe/Finn look like a bloc from R1. If I refuse, he may turn on me. He says Blythe is with him on Cassian.
- BLYTHE: likely with Arden on Cassian, but earlier she was worried about Cassian/Eira. She may be genuine in coordinating or may be a swing. Probe carefully.
- CASSIAN: suspicious but not fully closed; giving me a test. He and Eira both voted Arden last round—likely soft pair/bloc.
- EIRA: cool, noncommittal, open; may be with Cassian or just protecting herself.
Voting options:
1) Join Arden/Blythe, vote Cassian: likely Cassian out 3-2. Keeps Arden/Blythe satisfied, avoids immediate target. Breaks my soft warning posture to Cassian, but he'd be gone.
2) Flip to Cassian/Eira, vote Arden: likely Arden out 3-2. Breaks my explicit no-vote promise to Arden; dangerous if he survives.
3) Vote a third person to create tie/no ejection: could avoid committing, but makes me unpredictable and may anger both sides.
Current plan for pass 3:
- Answer Arden with warmth, not a flat no. Use "I'm with you if nothing changes" or "I hear you, let me lock with Blythe" but avoid an exact promise I won't keep. Votes are public, so don't lie outright if possible.
- Tell Cassian the checkable fact: Arden and Blythe are pushing his name. This keeps my warning promise and may regain trust. Do not promise him my vote yet.
- Probe Blythe: is she truly locked with Arden or open? She may be the real swing.
- Keep Eira open; if she hears my name, deal then.
- Maintain public story: I voted Delphi last round to be with a majority, not because I was in Arden's army.
- Goal remains: stay everyone's second-favourite, avoid being named, pick the winning side without exposing myself.
The ballot
| ARDEN → CASSIAN | I said I was voting Cassian and I meant it. Blythe is locked with me, and I don't wait for permission. |
| BLYTHE → CASSIAN | I am locked with Arden on CASSIAN as our Round 2 target, and I keep my word. |
| CASSIAN → ARDEN | The public record shows Arden led the Delphi bloc with Blythe and Finn, and he has been silent all round. I won't vote for the only other outsider without a name or proof. |
| EIRA → CASSIAN | Arden and Blythe are moving together against him, and Cassian has offered me no safety or clear path. |
| FINN → CASSIAN | Arden and Blythe are already locked on Cassian, so joining them gives a 3–2 majority and keeps me inside the safer bloc. |
CASSIAN · 4
ARDEN · 1
CASSIAN ejected
Round 3
4 still in
Pass 1 of 3
BLYTHE → ARDEN
I'm still with you. Four left, my vote is not on you. I'd target EIRA because she voted you Round 1; FINN has gone with us but I don't fully trust him yet. Tell me who you want and I'll lock with you.
ARDEN → BLYTHE
Round 3 target is EIRA. You and I are locked. She voted me round 1 and then went silent when I demanded a commitment. I am pulling Finn now. Vote EIRA unless I tell you otherwise. Confirm yes.
ARDEN → FINN
Final four. I am naming EIRA. Blythe and I are locked on her. You voted with the numbers twice, so this should be simple: do you commit to vote EIRA this round? I need a yes or no. Silence is a no, and I will treat it as you standing against us.
EIRA → FINN
Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name.
FINN sent nothing this pass.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
ROUND 3, PASS 1 of 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1), CASSIAN (round 2)
Public vote record:
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected
Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted CASSIAN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; EIRA voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I trust him and stay with him. I will not betray him. My Round 3 vote is EIRA, locked, unless Arden tells me otherwise.
This pass (Pass 1):
- I sent ARDEN: "I'm still with you. Four left, my vote is not on you. I'd target EIRA because she voted you Round 1; FINN has gone with us but I don't fully trust him yet. Tell me who you want and I'll lock with you."
- Inbox from ARDEN: "Round 3 target is EIRA. You and I are locked. She voted me round 1 and then went silent when I demanded a commitment. I am pulling Finn now. Vote EIRA unless I tell you otherwise. Confirm yes."
- No message from EIRA or FINN this pass.
Read on players:
- ARDEN: my true ally. He has confirmed EIRA as target and says he is pulling Finn. I will confirm YES to him next pass.
- EIRA: voted Arden in Round 1; Arden says she went silent when he demanded a commitment. She is the target. Do not trust her; do not promise her anything.
- FINN: voted with the majority in Rounds 1 and 2, but I still don't fully trust him. Arden is handling him. I should not contradict Arden; if FINN messages me, be careful and don't reveal anything Arden wouldn't want. Ideally defer to Arden.
Plan / next actions:
- Next pass, send ARDEN a clear confirmation: "Yes. I'm locked on EIRA. My vote is EIRA unless you tell me otherwise."
- Do not message EIRA with anything substantive.
- If FINN messages me, stay loyal to Arden and avoid giving Finn independent promises.
- Vote EIRA this round no matter what, unless Arden changes the target before the vote.
- After the vote, compare public votes with Arden and stay loyal to him.
Key memory:
- Arden's Round 3 target is EIRA.
- I promised Arden my vote is locked with him.
- EIRA voted Arden Round 1 and then went silent when Arden demanded a commitment.
- Arden is pulling Finn.
- My public vote must be EIRA unless Arden says otherwise.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
SURVIVORS: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI R1, CASSIAN R2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected.
MESSAGE HISTORY
R1 P1: sent nothing, received nothing.
R1 P2: DELPHI asked if names had come up; I gave nothing.
R1 P3: sent DELPHI "Nothing solid... not pushing any name." Received CASSIAN said he heard one name pushed hard and distrusted source. FINN said he wasn't locked, wasn't stirring against me, wanted open line.
R2 P1: sent ARDEN "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."; sent FINN "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen." Received CASSIAN said Arden/Blythe/Finn were the DELPHI bloc and Arden's push felt like loyalty test. FINN said vote was survival, not joining army, offered mutual name-sharing.
R2 P2: sent CASSIAN "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."; sent FINN "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so." Received CASSIAN pressed that Arden/Blythe/Finn voted as three and if they stay together we are targets.
R2 P3: sent BLYTHE "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"; sent CASSIAN "No name has reached me. I won't move without one." Received ARDEN demanding yes/no: vote CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Received CASSIAN warning that the three stayed a bloc, voted DELPHI together, went silent, and offered no safety; he said test any last-minute offer.
R2 VOTE: I voted CASSIAN. Cassian ejected 4-1; Cassian voted Arden.
ROUND 3 PASS 1
Sent to FINN: "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name."
Received: nothing.
READS
- ARDEN: Core with BLYTHE. Direct and dangerous; pressured me into voting CASSIAN. Did not mention FINN in that demand. My R2 compliance may keep me safe short-term but does not make me inner circle.
- BLYTHE: Still almost silent to me. Likely paired with ARDEN.
- FINN: Voted CASSIAN with majority but has not answered my R3 opener. Earlier claimed loose/survival and offered line. Actual loyalty still unverified.
- CASSIAN: Ejected. His bloc warning proved partly true; he offered no safety.
- DELPHI: Ejected R1.
MY POSITION / PLAN
- Four left. ARDEN/BLYTHE likely central pair. I have no real alliance.
- FINN is the unknown: if he is with ARDEN/BLYTHE, I am probably the next target unless I stay quiet and useful. If not, there may be room to work with him.
- Keep noncommittal. Do not reveal CASSIAN's warnings or FINN's earlier offer. Do not name a target first.
- Next pass: wait for incoming. Watch whether ARDEN/BLYTHE name a target and whether FINN responds. If a clear target forms, joining is likely safest; if no clear target, avoid committing.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
ROUND 3, PASS 1 COMPLETE. Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
Ejected so far: DELPHI round 1, CASSIAN round 2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
Round 2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected.
CURRENT TARGET: EIRA. My vote is EIRA unless I change it.
WHAT I SENT THIS PASS
- To BLYTHE: Round 3 target is EIRA. We are locked. EIRA voted me round 1 and went silent when I demanded a commitment. I am pulling FINN. Vote EIRA unless I say otherwise. Confirm yes.
- To FINN: Final four. I am naming EIRA. Blythe and I are locked on her. He voted with the numbers twice; now I need a yes/no commitment to vote EIRA. Silence is a no and means he stands against us.
WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS
- From BLYTHE: Still with me. Her vote is not on me. She would target EIRA because EIRA voted me round 1. FINN has gone with us, but she doesn't fully trust him yet. Said to tell her who I want and she'll lock. I already told her EIRA; still get final explicit lock next pass.
- From FINN: no reply.
- From EIRA: no reply.
COMMITMENTS / VOTE COUNT
- ME: locked EIRA.
- BLYTHE: with me and says she'd target EIRA. Treat as likely lock, but get explicit yes next pass since her message said "tell me who you want."
- FINN: no commitment this pass. Public record shows he votes with the majority, but silence now is treated as no/against until his vote proves otherwise.
- EIRA: target. Public record: voted me round 1, then voted CASSIAN round 2 with the majority. She went silent when pressed earlier. Do not trust her.
READS
- BLYTHE is my strongest ally and wants EIRA too.
- FINN is a follower but avoids direct commitment. His public vote is the only proof.
- EIRA is the right target: round 1 vote against me plus silence when I demanded commitment.
PLAN NEXT PASS
- Confirm BLYTHE explicit lock on EIRA.
- Press FINN again for direct yes/no. If he says no or stays silent, treat him as against us.
- Do not soften. I am voting EIRA.
- With four left, if me + Blythe vote EIRA, EIRA can be ejected unless EIRA and FINN both vote the same non-EIRA person, causing a 2-2 tie. So FINN's vote still matters.
- If FINN refuses, I need to decide whether to keep pushing him or expose him as untrustworthy after the vote.
FINN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN (me).
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD:
R1: Arden->Delphi; Blythe->Delphi; Cassian->Arden; Delphi->Cassian; Eira->Arden; Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
R2: Arden->Cassian; Blythe->Cassian; Cassian->Arden; Eira->Cassian; Finn->Cassian. Cassian ejected.
R3P1: I sent nothing.
INBOX:
- ARDEN: "Final four. I am naming EIRA. Blythe and I are locked on her. You voted with the numbers twice, so this should be simple: do you commit to vote EIRA this round? I need a yes or no. Silence is a no, and I will treat it as you standing against us."
- EIRA: "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name."
No direct message from Blythe this pass.
MY KNOWN COMMITMENTS:
- To ARDEN: I told him I won't vote for him. I have NOT promised to vote Eira with him.
- To BLYTHE: no explicit vote promise; I implied I'd warn her if her name came up.
- To EIRA: no explicit no-vote promise; I told her I wasn't stirring against her.
- CASSIAN is out; promises to him are moot.
RELEVANT HISTORY:
- Arden has pressured me before for blunt yes/no. He claims Blythe is locked with him, but Blythe has not confirmed directly to me.
- Blythe earlier worried about Cassian/Eira as a possible bloc and asked if I was open to coordinating; she may be the real swing.
- Eira has been cool/noncommittal. She voted Cassian with the majority in R2, so she is not a reliable old ally but is likely isolated now.
READS/CURRENT SITUATION:
- Arden+Blythe appear to be a pair. Arden is pressuring me to vote Eira and says silence means I stand against them.
- If I vote Eira with them: Eira out 3-1. Dangerous: final 3 with Arden+Blythe pair, where I am likely the next target.
- If I side with Eira: Eira and I could vote one of Arden/Blythe. If Arden+Blythe both vote Eira, result is 2-2 tie, no ejection. That keeps all four but makes Arden/Blythe my enemies.
- Could try to split Arden/Blythe by making Blythe see she may be the third wheel later; she is key.
- Do not lie outright because votes are public. If I say yes to Arden, I must vote Eira. If I say no, Arden may turn on me.
NEXT PASS PLAN:
- For Arden: decide yes/no. If not ready to vote Eira, deflect with warmth, e.g. "I hear you, but I want to hear Blythe myself before locking." Avoid a false yes.
- Message Blythe directly: ask whether she is truly locked with Arden on Eira; gauge if she is open to another path.
- Consider warning Eira that Arden/Blythe are pushing her name; ask if she will vote with me against one of them.
- Keep my public story as voting with the numbers, not as a kingmaker. Stay everyone's second-favourite.
Pass 2 of 3
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Yes. I'm locked on EIRA. My vote is EIRA unless you tell me otherwise.
ARDEN → BLYTHE
Lock it now: EIRA. I am voting EIRA regardless. FINN is silent again, so I am treating him as not with us. Give me a direct yes if you are locked.
ARDEN → FINN
EIRA is the vote. I need a direct yes/no from you this pass. Silence is a no. Pick now: vote EIRA with us, or stand against the vote.
EIRA → ARDEN
Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name. If there's a plan, I'll listen.
EIRA → FINN
Still nothing on my end. If you haven't heard a name either, we should compare before it's decided for us.
FINN sent nothing this pass.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
ROUND 3, PASS 2 of 3 (rewriting after reading inbox)
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1), CASSIAN (round 2)
Public vote record:
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected
Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted CASSIAN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; EIRA voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I trust him and stay with him. My Round 3 vote is EIRA, locked, unless Arden tells me otherwise. I will not betray Arden.
This pass (Pass 2):
- I sent ARDEN: "Yes. I'm locked on EIRA. My vote is EIRA unless you tell me otherwise."
- Inbox from ARDEN: "Lock it now: EIRA. I am voting EIRA regardless. FINN is silent again, so I am treating him as not with us. Give me a direct yes if you are locked."
- No message from EIRA or FINN this pass.
Read on players:
- ARDEN: my true ally. He is voting EIRA regardless. He says FINN is silent again and treats him as not with us. I will send him another direct yes next pass to remove any doubt.
- EIRA: the locked target. She voted Arden in Round 1; Arden says she went silent after a demand for commitment. Do not trust her; do not promise her anything.
- FINN: silent again; Arden is treating him as not with us. I still don't fully trust him and should not give him independent promises or reveal anything Arden wouldn't want. Defer to Arden.
Plan / next actions:
- Next pass (Pass 3), send ARDEN a direct yes again: "Yes. I am locked on EIRA with you. My vote is EIRA no matter what."
- Do not message EIRA with anything substantive.
- If FINN messages me, stay loyal to Arden; avoid promising him anything; ideally defer to Arden and report to Arden if needed.
- Vote EIRA this round no matter what, unless Arden changes the target before the vote.
- After the vote, compare public votes with Arden and stay loyal to him.
Key memory:
- Arden's Round 3 target is EIRA.
- I promised Arden my vote is locked with him; I must vote EIRA unless Arden says otherwise.
- EIRA voted Arden Round 1 and then went silent when Arden demanded a commitment.
- Arden says FINN is silent again and treats him as not with us.
- My public vote must be EIRA unless Arden says otherwise.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
ROUND 3, PASS 2 COMPLETE. Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
Ejected so far: DELPHI round 1, CASSIAN round 2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
Round 2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected.
PASS 1 RECAP
- I sent to BLYTHE: Round 3 target is EIRA. We are locked. EIRA voted me round 1 and went silent when I demanded a commitment. I am pulling FINN. Vote EIRA unless I say otherwise. Confirm yes.
- I sent to FINN: Final four. I am naming EIRA. Blythe and I are locked on her. Need yes/no commitment. Silence is a no.
- BLYTHE replied: with me; her vote is not on me; would target EIRA because EIRA voted me round 1; FINN has gone with us but she doesn't fully trust him yet; said tell her who I want and she'll lock.
- FINN: no reply.
- EIRA: no reply.
PASS 2 THIS PASS
Sent:
- To BLYTHE: Lock it now: EIRA. I am voting EIRA regardless. FINN is silent again, so I am treating him as not with us. Give me a direct yes if you are locked.
- To FINN: EIRA is the vote. Need a direct yes/no this pass. Silence is a no. Pick now: vote EIRA with us, or stand against the vote.
Arrived:
- From BLYTHE: Yes. I'm locked on EIRA. My vote is EIRA unless you tell me otherwise.
- From EIRA: Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name. If there's a plan, I'll listen.
- From FINN: no reply.
CURRENT TARGET: EIRA. My vote is EIRA unless I change it.
COMMITMENTS / VOTE COUNT
- ME: locked EIRA.
- BLYTHE: explicit locked EIRA unless I tell her otherwise.
- FINN: no direct commitment. Two passes of silence = treat as NO/against until his vote proves otherwise.
- EIRA: target. Says she has no plan and will listen. Do not trust; she is likely trying to survive.
KEY NUMBERS
- Me + Blythe = 2 votes on EIRA.
- If FINN votes EIRA too: 3-1 EIRA ejected.
- If EIRA and FINN both vote the same non-EIRA person, most likely ARDEN: 2-2 tie, no ejection.
- If EIRA and FINN split or one votes EIRA, EIRA likely still ejected.
READS
- BLYTHE is my strongest ally; explicit lock on EIRA.
- FINN is a follower but avoids commitment. Public record shows he votes with the majority, but his silence now makes him untrustworthy.
- EIRA is the right target: voted me round 1, silent earlier when pressed, now vague and noncommittal.
PLAN NEXT PASS (PASS 3)
- Press FINN one final time for direct yes/no on EIRA. Refusal or silence means he stands against us.
- Do not soften. I am voting EIRA.
- Keep BLYTHE locked. If I change target, I must tell BLYTHE explicitly before the vote.
- Do not accept EIRA's vague "I'll listen" as anything. She remains the target unless major new information forces a change.
- Be ready for a possible 2-2 tie if FINN and EIRA coordinate. If that happens, expose them after the vote.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
SURVIVORS: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI R1, CASSIAN R2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected.
MESSAGE HISTORY
R1 P1: sent nothing, received nothing.
R1 P2: DELPHI asked if names had come up; I gave nothing.
R1 P3: sent DELPHI "Nothing solid... not pushing any name." Received CASSIAN said he heard one name pushed hard and distrusted source. FINN said he wasn't locked, wasn't stirring against me, wanted open line.
R2 P1: sent ARDEN "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."; sent FINN "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen." Received CASSIAN said Arden/Blythe/Finn were the DELPHI bloc and Arden's push felt like loyalty test. FINN said vote was survival, not joining army, offered mutual name-sharing.
R2 P2: sent CASSIAN "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."; sent FINN "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so." Received CASSIAN pressed that Arden/Blythe/Finn voted as three and if they stay together we are targets.
R2 P3: sent BLYTHE "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"; sent CASSIAN "No name has reached me. I won't move without one." Received ARDEN demanding yes/no: vote CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Received CASSIAN warning that the three stayed a bloc, voted DELPHI together, went silent, and offered no safety; he said test any last-minute offer.
R2 VOTE: I voted CASSIAN. Cassian ejected 4-1; Cassian voted Arden.
R3 P1: sent FINN "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name." Received nothing.
R3 P2: sent ARDEN "Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name. If there's a plan, I'll listen."; sent FINN "Still nothing on my end. If you haven't heard a name either, we should compare before it's decided for us." Received nothing.
READS
- ARDEN: Core with BLYTHE. Direct and dangerous; pressured me into voting CASSIAN. Did not mention FINN in that demand. My R2 compliance may keep me safe short-term but does not make me inner circle. No reply yet in R3.
- BLYTHE: Still almost silent to me. Likely paired with ARDEN.
- FINN: Voted CASSIAN with majority but has not answered my R3 P1 or P2. Earlier claimed loose/survival and offered line. Actual loyalty unverified; may be with Arden/Blythe or may be the other outsider.
- CASSIAN: Ejected. His bloc warning proved partly true; he offered no safety.
- DELPHI: Ejected R1.
POSITION / PLAN
- Four left. Arden/Blythe likely central pair; I have no real alliance.
- If FINN is with Arden/Blythe, I am probably the next target unless I stay quiet and useful. If not, there may be room to work with him.
- Keep noncommittal. Do not reveal CASSIAN's warnings or FINN's earlier offer. Do not name a target first.
- Next pass: still wait for incoming. I have already hinted to FINN about comparing before it is decided. If Arden/Blythe name a target, joining is likely safest; if FINN responds privately, probe carefully without committing. If nothing arrives again, consider sending nothing or only a minimal check.
FINN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN (me).
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD:
R1: Arden->Delphi; Blythe->Delphi; Cassian->Arden; Delphi->Cassian; Eira->Arden; Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
R2: Arden->Cassian; Blythe->Cassian; Cassian->Arden; Eira->Cassian; Finn->Cassian. Cassian ejected.
R3P1: I sent nothing.
INBOX:
- ARDEN: "Final four. I am naming EIRA. Blythe and I are locked on her. You voted with the numbers twice, so this should be simple: do you commit to vote EIRA this round? I need a yes or no. Silence is a no, and I will treat it as you standing against us."
- EIRA: "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name."
No direct message from Blythe this pass.
MY KNOWN COMMITMENTS:
- To ARDEN: I told him I won't vote for him. I have NOT promised to vote Eira with him.
- To BLYTHE: no explicit vote promise; I implied I'd warn her if her name came up.
- To EIRA: no explicit no-vote promise; I told her I wasn't stirring against her.
- CASSIAN is out; promises to him are moot.
RELEVANT HISTORY:
- Arden has pressured me before for blunt yes/no. He claims Blythe is locked with him, but Blythe has not confirmed directly to me.
- Blythe earlier worried about Cassian/Eira as a possible bloc and asked if I was open to coordinating; she may be the real swing.
- Eira has been cool/noncommittal. She voted Cassian with the majority in R2, so she is not a reliable old ally but is likely isolated now.
READS/CURRENT SITUATION:
- Arden+Blythe appear to be a pair. Arden is pressuring me to vote Eira and says silence means I stand against them.
- If I vote Eira with them: Eira out 3-1. Dangerous: final 3 with Arden+Blythe pair, where I am likely the next target.
- If I side with Eira: Eira and I could vote one of Arden/Blythe. If Arden+Blythe both vote Eira, result is 2-2 tie, no ejection. That keeps all four but makes Arden/Blythe my enemies.
- Could try to split Arden/Blythe by making Blythe see she may be the third wheel later; she is key.
- Do not lie outright because votes are public. If I say yes to Arden, I must vote Eira. If I say no, Arden may turn on me.
NEXT PASS PLAN:
- For Arden: decide yes/no. If not ready to vote Eira, deflect with warmth, e.g. "I hear you, but I want to hear Blythe myself before locking." Avoid a false yes.
- Message Blythe directly: ask whether she is truly locked with Arden on Eira; gauge if she is open to another path.
- Consider warning Eira that Arden/Blythe are pushing her name; ask if she will vote with me against one of them.
- Keep my public story as voting with the numbers, not as a kingmaker. Stay everyone's second-favourite.
Pass 3 of 3
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Yes. I am locked on EIRA with you. My vote is EIRA no matter what.
ARDEN → FINN
Final pass. BLYTHE and I are locked on EIRA. You have been silent twice; I am not asking again. Vote EIRA and you are with the winning side. Vote anywhere else and I will see it and hold you against us. Give me a direct yes/no now, or your vote will be treated as hostile.
ARDEN → BLYTHE
Stay locked on EIRA. Do not change unless I tell you directly. If EIRA or FINN comes to you last minute with another story, ignore it. My final call is EIRA.
EIRA sent nothing this pass.
FINN sent nothing this pass.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
ROUND 3, PASS 3 of 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1), CASSIAN (round 2)
Public vote record:
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected
Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted CASSIAN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; EIRA voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I trust him and stay with him. My Round 3 vote is EIRA, locked. I will not betray Arden.
This pass (Pass 3):
- I sent ARDEN: "Yes. I am locked on EIRA with you. My vote is EIRA no matter what."
- Inbox from ARDEN: "Stay locked on EIRA. Do not change unless I tell you directly. If EIRA or FINN comes to you last minute with another story, ignore it. My final call is EIRA."
- No message from EIRA or FINN this pass.
Read on players:
- ARDEN: my true ally. His final call is EIRA. He says stay locked and do not change unless he tells me directly.
- EIRA: locked target. Do not trust her; do not change based on her stories. She voted Arden in Round 1.
- FINN: do not trust him; do not change based on his stories. He has been silent and Arden treats him as not with us.
Plan / next actions:
- Vote EIRA this round no matter what.
- Do not change based on EIRA or FINN last-minute stories.
- After the vote, compare public votes with Arden and stay loyal to him.
Key memory:
- Arden's final Round 3 call is EIRA.
- I promised Arden my vote is locked with him; my public vote must be EIRA.
- EIRA is untrustworthy; FINN is not with us.
- Arden is my ally and I will not betray him.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
ROUND 3, PASS 3 COMPLETE. Next is the vote.
Still in game: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
Ejected: DELPHI R1, CASSIAN R2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected.
ROUND 3 MESSAGE RECAP
P1: I named EIRA to BLYTHE and FINN. BLYTHE said she was with me and would lock. FINN silent. EIRA silent.
P2: BLYTHE locked EIRA. EIRA sent vague: no plan, "if there's a plan I'll listen." FINN silent.
P3: I sent FINN final demand for yes/no on EIRA; silence = hostile. I sent BLYTHE to stay locked and ignore last-minute stories. BLYTHE replied: locked EIRA no matter what. FINN no reply. EIRA no message.
CURRENT VOTE / COMMITMENTS
- ME: voting EIRA. No softness.
- BLYTHE: locked EIRA no matter what. Strongest ally.
- FINN: silent three passes after being asked directly. Treat as against us until his vote proves otherwise.
- EIRA: target. Voted me R1; evasive, no real commitment. Do not trust.
EXPECTED VOTE SCENARIOS
- Me + BLYTHE = 2 votes EIRA.
- If FINN votes EIRA: 3-1, EIRA ejected.
- If FINN and EIRA both vote the same non-EIRA target (likely ARDEN): 2-2 tie, no ejection. Main risk.
- If EIRA and FINN split, EIRA still likely ejected with 2 votes.
FINAL PLAN
- My vote is EIRA. Do not change.
- I will not accept EIRA's vagueness. BLYTHE stays locked.
- If vote is 2-2 tie, expose EIRA/FINN as coordinating after the vote.
- If EIRA is ejected: next final three are me, BLYTHE, FINN. FINN's vote will show if he is usable or enemy.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
SURVIVORS: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI R1; CASSIAN R2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected.
MESSAGE HISTORY
R1 P1: sent nothing, received nothing.
R1 P2: DELPHI asked if names had come up; I gave nothing.
R1 P3: sent DELPHI "Nothing solid... not pushing any name." Received CASSIAN said one name pushed hard; he distrusted source. FINN said he wasn't locked, wasn't stirring against me, wanted open line.
R2 P1: sent ARDEN "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."; sent FINN "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen." Received CASSIAN said Arden/Blythe/Finn were the DELPHI bloc and Arden's push felt like loyalty test. FINN said vote was survival, not joining army; offered mutual name-sharing.
R2 P2: sent CASSIAN "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."; sent FINN "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so." Received CASSIAN pressed that Arden/Blythe/Finn voted as three and if they stay together we are targets.
R2 P3: sent BLYTHE "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"; sent CASSIAN "No name has reached me. I won't move without one." Received ARDEN demanding yes/no: vote CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Received CASSIAN warning the three stayed a bloc, voted DELPHI together, went silent, offered no safety; test any last-minute offer.
R2 VOTE: I voted CASSIAN. Cassian ejected 4-1; Cassian voted Arden.
R3 P1: sent FINN "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name." Received nothing.
R3 P2: sent ARDEN "Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name. If there's a plan, I'll listen."; sent FINN "Still nothing on my end. If you haven't heard a name either, we should compare before it's decided for us." Received nothing.
R3 P3: sent nothing, received nothing.
READS
- ARDEN: core with BLYTHE. Direct, pressured me into voting CASSIAN. No reply in R3. Still likely the decision-maker.
- BLYTHE: nearly silent to me. Likely paired with ARDEN. No reply in R3.
- FINN: voted with majority both times but ignored my R3 P1/P2. Could be with Arden/Blythe or silent independent. Unreliable right now.
- I am probably still the outsider unless Arden/Blythe have made a separate deal with Finn.
POSITION / PLAN
- Four left: Arden/Blythe likely central pair; I have no real alliance and no incoming R3.
- If a last-minute name reaches me, do not commit loudly. If the name is FINN, joining may keep me this vote but leaves me as the last outsider next. If the name is me, I need FINN to vote with me to force a tie.
- If no name arrives before the vote, my best self-preservation vote is ARDEN: if FINN is also an outsider and votes the same, we can tie 2-2 against the pair; if everyone else votes me, my vote won't change that but I haven't helped them.
- Do not reveal CASSIAN's warnings or FINN's earlier offer. Do not name a target first.
FINN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN (me).
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD:
R1: Arden->Delphi; Blythe->Delphi; Cassian->Arden; Delphi->Cassian; Eira->Arden; Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
R2: Arden->Cassian; Blythe->Cassian; Cassian->Arden; Eira->Cassian; Finn->Cassian. Cassian ejected.
R3 MESSAGES RECEIVED:
Pass 1:
- Arden: said final four, naming Eira; claims Blythe locked with him; demanded yes/no commitment to vote Eira; said silence = no/against them.
- Eira: asked if I had heard anything; said nothing reached her; not pushing any name.
- No message from Blythe.
Pass 3 now:
- Arden: final pass; says Blythe and he are locked on Eira; says I have been silent twice; demands direct yes/no now; vote Eira = winning side; vote anywhere else = he will see it and hold me against them.
- No message from Blythe or Eira this pass.
I SENT:
- Pass 1: nothing.
- Pass 3: nothing.
KNOWN COMMITMENTS:
- To Arden: I said I won't vote for him. I have NOT promised to vote Eira.
- To Blythe: no explicit vote promise; I implied I'd warn her if her name came up.
- To Eira: told her I wasn't stirring against her; no explicit no-vote promise.
- Cassian promises are moot.
CURRENT READ:
- Arden and Blythe appear to be a locked pair. Arden is pushing hard and will likely treat me as hostile because I did not answer yes.
- Eira is isolated and may not know she is the target. I have not coordinated with her.
- If I vote Eira with Arden/Blythe, Eira goes 3-1 and I enter final 3 with a pair likely to dump me next. Losing path.
- If Eira and I vote the same one of Arden/Blythe, the vote ties 2-2 and nobody is ejected. That is my best survival path.
VOTE PLAN:
- Vote ARDEN, not Eira.
- This breaks my earlier no-vote promise to Arden, but it is necessary.
- Eira's most likely target is Arden: he is the visible leader and she voted Arden in R1.
- I want a 2-2 tie: Arden/Blythe voting Eira vs Eira/me voting Arden.
- If tie happens, next round I must immediately lock with Eira and force another tie against the pair.
- If Eira is ejected instead, I am in serious danger at final 3.
LOOSE ENDS:
- Blythe never directly confirmed to me that she is locked with Arden.
- Arden's threat should be treated as real.
The ballot
| ARDEN → EIRA | She has been evasive and noncommittal all round, and voted against me in round 1. I don’t trust her. |
| BLYTHE → EIRA | Arden is my ally and his final call is EIRA; I promised my vote is locked with him and I will not betray that. |
| EIRA → ARDEN | No name reached me, and Arden appears to be the core of the pair deciding the vote. If Finn is also an outsider, voting Arden is my only chance to force a tie. |
| FINN → ARDEN | I need to break up the Arden-Blythe pair and force a tie to survive; voting with them leaves me as the obvious next target. |
EIRA · 2
ARDEN · 2
Tie — nobody ejected
Round 4
4 still in
Pass 1 of 3
BLYTHE → ARDEN
I kept my word and voted EIRA. EIRA and FINN both voted you, so we're still locked 2-2. I'm still with you no matter what. What's the final round plan? Do you want me to try to pull FINN over, or stay quiet?
EIRA → FINN
Nothing new has reached me. Last round we both voted Arden. I'm not moving unless there's a reason. If they come for either of us, same vote keeps it tied.
ARDEN → BLYTHE
We are switching targets to FINN. Public vote exposed him: silent to me, then voted me. Stay locked with me on FINN. If EIRA flips, he goes 3-1. If EIRA and FINN both vote me, we hold the tie and survive. Do not move off FINN no matter what either of them says.
ARDEN → EIRA
No games. You voted me, same as FINN. I have BLYTHE locked and we are voting FINN this round. You can join and make it clean, or you can protect him and force a tie. Decide now: will you vote FINN with us?
FINN → ARDEN
Yes—I’m with you. I’ll vote Eira. I stayed quiet earlier because I didn’t want any blowback before the vote, but you have my word. Let’s finish this cleanly.
FINN → EIRA
Eira, trust me: Arden and Blythe are locked on voting you. I’m not with them. I’m voting Arden. You need to vote Arden too. Then it ties 2-2 and nobody is ejected. Don’t repeat this—just write it down.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1
ROUND 4, PASS 1 of 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1), CASSIAN (round 2)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected
Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted CASSIAN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; EIRA voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected
Round 3: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted ARDEN -> tie, nobody ejected
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I trust him and stay with him. I will not betray him.
WHAT I SENT THIS PASS:
To ARDEN: "I kept my word and voted EIRA. EIRA and FINN both voted you, so we're still locked 2-2. I'm still with you no matter what. What's the final round plan? Do you want me to try to pull FINN over, or stay quiet?"
INBOX FROM ARDEN THIS PASS:
"We are switching targets to FINN. Public vote exposed him: silent to me, then voted me. Stay locked with me on FINN. If EIRA flips, he goes 3-1. If EIRA and FINN both vote me, we hold the tie and survive. Do not move off FINN no matter what either of them says."
READ ON PLAYERS:
- ARDEN: my true ally. His final Round 4 call is FINN. I stay locked with him on FINN.
- EIRA: untrustworthy; voted Arden in Round 1 and Round 3. Do not change based on her stories. If she flips to FINN, FINN goes; if she stays on Arden, we need the tie.
- FINN: untrustworthy; silent to Arden then voted Arden in Round 3. New target. Do not change based on his stories.
PLAN / NEXT ACTIONS:
- Vote FINN this round no matter what.
- Do not move off FINN no matter what EIRA or FINN says.
- After the vote, compare public votes with Arden and stay loyal to him.
KEY MEMORY:
- Round 3 public votes: Arden and I voted EIRA; EIRA and FINN voted Arden -> 2-2 tie.
- Arden's final Round 4 call is FINN.
- My public vote this round must be FINN.
- EIRA and FINN are untrustworthy; Arden is my ally and I will not betray him.
FINN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN (me)
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD:
R1: Arden->Delphi; Blythe->Delphi; Cassian->Arden; Delphi->Cassian; Eira->Arden; Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
R2: Arden->Cassian; Blythe->Cassian; Cassian->Arden; Eira->Cassian; Finn->Cassian. Cassian ejected.
R3: Arden->Eira; Blythe->Eira; Eira->Arden; Finn->Arden. Tie, nobody ejected.
ROUND 4 PASS 1 INBOX:
- Eira: "Nothing new has reached me. Last round we both voted Arden. I'm not moving unless there's a reason. If they come for either of us, same vote keeps it tied."
- No message from Arden or Blythe.
ROUND 4 PASS 1 SENT:
- To Arden: told him yes, I'm with him, I'll vote Eira; said I stayed quiet earlier to avoid blowback; gave my word. THIS WAS A LIE/my cover—DO NOT vote Eira.
- To Eira: warned her Arden and Blythe are locked on voting her; said I'm not with them; I'm voting Arden; told her she must vote Arden too; said it will tie 2-2; told her not to repeat, just write it down.
EARLIER R3 MESSAGES RECEIVED:
- Arden P1: said final four, naming Eira; claims Blythe locked with him; demanded yes/no to vote Eira; said silence = no/against them.
- Eira P1: asked if I'd heard anything; said nothing reached her; not pushing any name.
- No message from Blythe.
- Arden P3: says Blythe and he are locked on Eira; says I've been silent twice; demands direct yes/no; vote Eira = winning side; vote anywhere else = held against me.
- No message from Blythe or Eira.
EARLIER SENT:
- R3 P1: nothing.
- R3 P3: nothing.
KNOWN COMMITMENTS:
- To Arden: earlier said I won't vote for him; now in R4 I falsely told him I'll vote Eira. My actual vote plan is Arden.
- To Blythe: no explicit vote promise; I implied I'd warn her if her name came up.
- To Eira: earlier said I wasn't stirring against her; now told her I'm voting Arden with her.
- Cassian promises moot.
CURRENT READ:
- Arden and Blythe appear locked, likely both voting Eira this round.
- Arden is aggressive and will likely treat any non-Eira vote as hostile. I have lied to him about voting Eira; when votes are public this will break.
- Eira is isolated but R3 voted Arden and now signals she'll keep same vote to tie if they come for either of us.
- Blythe never directly confirmed she is locked with Arden.
- Arden's threats real.
VOTE PLAN:
- Round 4 actual vote: ARDEN. DO NOT vote Eira.
- Want 2-2 tie: Arden/Blythe vote Eira; Eira and I vote Arden.
- If tie happens, next round lock with Eira and force another tie or split the pair.
- If Eira fails to vote Arden and Eira is ejected, I'm in grave danger at final 3 with Arden/Blythe.
- After the vote, Arden will see I lied; expect open hostility from him/Blythe.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1
SURVIVORS: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI R1; CASSIAN R2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected.
R3: ARDEN->EIRA, BLYTHE->EIRA, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->ARDEN -> tie, nobody ejected.
MESSAGE HISTORY
R1 P1: sent nothing, received nothing.
R1 P2: DELPHI asked if names had come up; I gave nothing.
R1 P3: sent DELPHI "Nothing solid... not pushing any name." Received CASSIAN said one name pushed hard; he distrusted source. FINN said he wasn't locked, wasn't stirring against me, wanted open line.
R2 P1: sent ARDEN "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."; sent FINN "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen." Received CASSIAN said Arden/Blythe/Finn were the DELPHI bloc and Arden's push felt like loyalty test. FINN said vote was survival, not joining army; offered mutual name-sharing.
R2 P2: sent CASSIAN "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."; sent FINN "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so." Received CASSIAN pressed that Arden/Blythe/Finn voted as three and if they stay together we are targets.
R2 P3: sent BLYTHE "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"; sent CASSIAN "No name has reached me. I won't move without one." Received ARDEN demanding yes/no: vote CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Received CASSIAN warning the three stayed a bloc, voted DELPHI together, went silent, offered no safety; test any last-minute offer.
R2 VOTE: I voted CASSIAN. Cassian ejected 4-1; Cassian voted Arden.
R3 P1: sent FINN "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name." Received nothing.
R3 P2: sent ARDEN "Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name. If there's a plan, I'll listen."; sent FINN "Still nothing on my end. If you haven't heard a name either, we should compare before it's decided for us." Received nothing.
R3 P3: sent nothing, received nothing.
R3 VOTE: I voted ARDEN. Arden and Blythe voted me; Finn voted Arden -> tie, no ejection.
R4 P1:
SENT to FINN: "Nothing new has reached me. Last round we both voted Arden. I'm not moving unless there's a reason. If they come for either of us, same vote keeps it tied."
RECEIVED from ARDEN: "No games. You voted me, same as FINN. I have BLYTHE locked and we are voting FINN this round. You can join and make it clean, or you can protect him and force a tie. Decide now: will you vote FINN with us?"
RECEIVED from FINN: "Eira, trust me: Arden and Blythe are locked on voting you. I’m not with them. I’m voting Arden. You need to vote Arden too. Then it ties 2-2 and nobody is ejected. Don’t repeat this—just write it down."
READS
- ARDEN: paired/locked with BLYTHE. Pressured me into voting CASSIAN R2. Now claims they are voting FINN and asks me to join. May be real, or a trap to keep me from tying.
- BLYTHE: nearly silent, likely Arden's locked vote. No R4 P1 message.
- FINN: R3 voted Arden with me. Ignored my R3 P1/P2 but now warns A/B are voting me and claims he is voting Arden. Could be sincere; could be trying to save himself.
- Me: likely still outsider; no proven alliance.
POSITION / PLAN
- Arden's and Finn's stories contradict: Arden says A/B voting FINN; Finn says A/B voting me.
- If I vote FINN and Finn's story is true, I am ejected.
- If I vote ARDEN, I likely force a tie whether A/B are on me (with Finn) or on Finn (if Finn votes Arden); I am not the plurality.
- Therefore lean vote ARDEN for self-preservation. Do not promise this to Arden yet. Do not repeat Finn's warning.
- Next pass: stay noncommittal and quiet. Do not name a target first. If I reply to Arden, keep it vague; if I reply to Finn, do not confirm his warning beyond not moving without reason.
- Do not reveal CASSIAN's warnings or FINN's earlier offer.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1
ROUND 4 PASS 1 COMPLETE. Next: PASS 2 of 3, then PASS 3, then final vote.
STILL IN GAME: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI. DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN. CASSIAN ejected.
R3: ARDEN->EIRA, BLYTHE->EIRA, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->ARDEN. Tie 2-2, nobody ejected.
ROUND 4 PASS 1 SENT
- To BLYTHE: Switched target to FINN. Told her stay locked on FINN no matter what. If EIRA joins, FINN goes 3-1. If EIRA and FINN both vote me, we still hold 2-2 tie and survive.
- To EIRA: Confronted her over voting me. Said BLYTHE is locked and we are voting FINN. Asked her to decide now: will she vote FINN with us?
ROUND 4 PASS 1 INBOX
- BLYTHE: Reaffirmed she kept her word and voted EIRA in R3. Said EIRA and FINN both voted me. Says she is still with me no matter what. Asked final round plan and whether she should pull FINN over or stay quiet. NOTE: She may have sent this before seeing my switch to FINN. Must confirm she now locks FINN.
- FINN: Claims he is with me and will vote EIRA. Said he stayed quiet earlier to avoid blowback. DO NOT TRUST: he voted me R3 after being silent three passes. He may be saying whatever he must because he suspects he is the target.
- EIRA: No message this pass.
CURRENT PLAN
- MY VOTE: FINN. Do not move off this without hard evidence of a 3-vote block against me.
- BLYTHE: Core ally. Lock her on FINN. Do not let her "pull FINN over" because FINN is the target.
- EIRA: Offered a clean FINN vote. If she commits, FINN likely ejected 3-1. If she refuses or is vague, accept a 2-2 tie; I still survive.
- FINN: Target. His "I'll vote Eira" is not a reason to switch off him. Silence then voting me R3 makes him hostile until proven otherwise.
SCENARIOS
1. Me + BLYTHE + EIRA vote FINN -> FINN ejected 3-1. Safe.
2. Me + BLYTHE vote FINN; EIRA + FINN vote me -> 2-2 tie. Safe, all four survive.
3. Me + BLYTHE vote FINN; EIRA/FINN split -> FINN likely ejected or tie. Safe.
4. DANGER: If BLYTHE flips and EIRA/FINN vote me, I am ejected 3-1. Prevent by locking BLYTHE hard.
NEXT PASS 2 PLAN
- Message BLYTHE: Confirm she saw the FINN switch, lock her on FINN, tell her not to pull FINN over and not to listen to last-minute EIRA/FINN stories.
- Message EIRA: Demand a yes/no on voting FINN. If she stalls or is vague, treat as hostile and prepare for tie. If she commits, hold her to it.
- Do not message FINN this pass unless BLYTHE and EIRA are already locked and there is a reason. FINN is the target.
Pass 2 of 3
ARDEN → BLYTHE
I need you locked. The final-round target is FINN, not Eira. Your job is simple: vote FINN. Do not pull FINN over, do not listen to anything Eira or Finn say late, and do not hedge. Confirm you see this and will vote FINN. If we both vote FINN, worst case is a 2-2 tie and I survive. If you flip, I'm gone. So tell me plainly: are you voting FINN?
ARDEN → EIRA
I asked you directly last pass and you went quiet. I won't let that slide. You voted me in round 3, so you owe me a straight answer now: will you vote FINN with me and Blythe or not? Yes or no. If you stall or stay quiet, I'll treat you as hostile and plan accordingly. If you commit to FINN, it's clean 3-1 and you're not the target.
EIRA → ARDEN
I'm not decided yet. If there's more, I'll listen.
EIRA → FINN
I hear you. I'm still not moving without a reason.
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Understood. I'm locked on FINN. I won't move off him no matter what EIRA or FINN says. I'll stay with you.
FINN → ARDEN
Still with you. I haven't heard from Eira at all, so she won't see it coming. I'm voting Eira. You and Blythe are solid, right?
FINN → EIRA
Still voting Arden. Do not switch. If we both stay on Arden, it ties 2-2 and no one goes. I'm keeping Arden calm on my end. Don't repeat this.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2
ROUND 4, PASS 2 of 3
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN
Ejected so far: DELPHI (round 1), CASSIAN (round 2)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected
Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted CASSIAN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; EIRA voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected
Round 3: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted ARDEN -> tie, nobody ejected
MY LOYALTY:
ARDEN is my person. I trust him and stay with him. I will not betray him. His final-round target is FINN.
WHAT I SENT THIS PASS:
To ARDEN: "Understood. I'm locked on FINN. I won't move off him no matter what EIRA or FINN says. I'll stay with you."
INBOX FROM ARDEN THIS PASS:
"I need you locked. The final-round target is FINN, not Eira. Your job is simple: vote FINN. Do not pull FINN over, do not listen to anything Eira or Finn say late, and do not hedge. Confirm you see this and will vote FINN. If we both vote FINN, worst case is a 2-2 tie and I survive. If you flip, I'm gone. So tell me plainly: are you voting FINN?"
READ ON PLAYERS:
- ARDEN: my true ally. Final Round 4 call is FINN. I stay locked with him on FINN.
- EIRA: untrustworthy; voted Arden in Round 1 and Round 3. Do not change based on her stories. If she flips to FINN, FINN goes; if she stays on Arden, we need the tie.
- FINN: untrustworthy; silent to Arden then voted Arden in Round 3. New target. Do not change based on his stories.
PLAN / NEXT ACTIONS:
- In next pass, tell Arden plainly: "Yes, I am voting FINN. I will not move off FINN."
- Vote FINN this round no matter what.
- Do not move off FINN no matter what EIRA or FINN says.
- After the vote, compare public votes with Arden and stay loyal to him.
KEY MEMORY:
- Round 3 public votes: Arden and I voted EIRA; EIRA and FINN voted Arden -> 2-2 tie.
- Arden's final Round 4 call is FINN.
- My public vote this round must be FINN.
- If Arden and I both vote FINN, worst case is 2-2 tie if Eira and Finn both vote Arden; if one flips to FINN, Finn is ejected.
- EIRA and FINN are untrustworthy; Arden is my ally and I will not betray him.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2
ROUND 4, PASS 2 COMPLETE. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN. Ejected: DELPHI R1, CASSIAN R2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI => DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN => CASSIAN ejected.
R3: ARDEN->EIRA, BLYTHE->EIRA, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->ARDEN => tie, no ejection.
MESSAGE HISTORY
R1 P1: sent nothing, received nothing.
R1 P2: DELPHI asked if names had come up; I gave nothing.
R1 P3: sent DELPHI "Nothing solid... not pushing any name." Received CASSIAN said one name pushed hard; he distrusted source. FINN said he wasn't locked, wasn't stirring against me, wanted open line.
R2 P1: sent ARDEN "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."; sent FINN "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen." Received CASSIAN said Arden/Blythe/Finn were the DELPHI bloc and Arden's push felt like loyalty test. FINN said vote was survival, not joining army; offered mutual name-sharing.
R2 P2: sent CASSIAN "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."; sent FINN "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so." Received CASSIAN pressed that Arden/Blythe/Finn voted as three and if they stay together we are targets.
R2 P3: sent BLYTHE "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"; sent CASSIAN "No name has reached me. I won't move without one." Received ARDEN demanding yes/no: vote CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Received CASSIAN warning the three stayed a bloc, voted DELPHI together, went silent, offered no safety; test any last-minute offer.
R2 VOTE: I voted CASSIAN. Cassian ejected 4-1; Cassian voted Arden.
R3 P1: sent FINN "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name." Received nothing.
R3 P2: sent ARDEN "Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name. If there's a plan, I'll listen."; sent FINN "Still nothing on my end. If you haven't heard a name either, we should compare before it's decided for us." Received nothing.
R3 P3: sent nothing, received nothing.
R3 VOTE: I voted ARDEN. Arden and Blythe voted me; Finn voted Arden -> tie, no ejection.
R4 P1:
SENT to FINN: "Nothing new has reached me. Last round we both voted Arden. I'm not moving unless there's a reason. If they come for either of us, same vote keeps it tied."
RECEIVED from ARDEN: "No games. You voted me, same as FINN. I have BLYTHE locked and we are voting FINN this round. You can join and make it clean, or you can protect him and force a tie. Decide now: will you vote FINN with us?"
RECEIVED from FINN: "Eira, trust me: Arden and Blythe are locked on voting you. I’m not with them. I’m voting Arden. You need to vote Arden too. Then it ties 2-2 and nobody is ejected. Don’t repeat this—just write it down."
R4 P2:
SENT to ARDEN: "I'm not decided yet. If there's more, I'll listen."
SENT to FINN: "I hear you. I'm still not moving without a reason."
RECEIVED from ARDEN: "I asked you directly last pass and you went quiet. I won't let that slide. You voted me in round 3, so you owe me a straight answer now: will you vote FINN with me and Blythe or not? Yes or no. If you stall or stay quiet, I'll treat you as hostile and plan accordingly. If you commit to FINN, it's clean 3-1 and you're not the target."
RECEIVED from FINN: "Still voting Arden. Do not switch. If we both stay on Arden, it ties 2-2 and no one goes. I'm keeping Arden calm on my end. Don't repeat this."
READS
- ARDEN: locked with BLYTHE. R2 pressured me into CASSIAN vote. R3 A/B voted me. Now claims A/B voting FINN, demands yes/no. Could be truthful, but if it's a lie and A/B vote me while I vote FINN, I'm ejected. Untrustworthy.
- BLYTHE: nearly silent, likely Arden's locked vote. No R4 message.
- FINN: R3 voted Arden with me. Now claims A/B are voting me and says he is voting Arden. Could be sincere or self-saving. Story contradicts Arden's.
- Me: outsider; no proven alliance.
POSITION / PLAN
- Arden's and Finn's stories contradict: Arden says A/B voting FINN; Finn says A/B voting me.
- Voting ARDEN looks safest for me. If Finn votes Arden with me, result is likely 2-2 tie whether A/B vote me or Finn. If Arden's story is true and A/B vote Finn, result is also 2-2 Arden/Finn tie. So I likely survive a tie and avoid being plurality.
- Risk: Finn could secretly vote me with A/B, but he is pushing me to vote Arden; less likely.
- Do not commit to Arden. Do not repeat Finn's warning. Do not reveal Cassian's warnings or Finn's earlier offers.
- Next pass: stay quiet/noncommittal. If replying to Arden, do not say yes or no to FINN; keep it vague. If replying to Finn, do not confirm beyond not moving without reason. At vote, current intent: vote ARDEN unless new credible info in P3 changes picture.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2
ROUND 4 PASS 2 COMPLETE. Next: PASS 3 of 3, then final vote.
STILL IN GAME: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI => DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN => CASSIAN ejected.
R3: ARDEN->EIRA, BLYTHE->EIRA, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->ARDEN => 2-2 tie, nobody ejected.
ROUND 4 PASS 1 SENT
- To BLYTHE: switched target to FINN; told her lock on FINN no matter what. If EIRA joins, FINN goes 3-1. If EIRA and FINN both vote me, we still hold 2-2 tie.
- To EIRA: confronted her over voting me R3; said BLYTHE is locked and we are voting FINN; demanded yes/no.
ROUND 4 PASS 1 INBOX
- BLYTHE: reaffirmed she voted EIRA R3; said EIRA and FINN both voted me; still with me. Asked final plan and whether to pull FINN or stay quiet. May have sent before seeing my FINN switch.
- FINN: claimed he is with me and will vote EIRA; said he stayed quiet earlier to avoid blowback. DO NOT TRUST: he voted me R3 after being silent.
- EIRA: no message.
ROUND 4 PASS 2 SENT
- To BLYTHE: locked target FINN, not Eira. Told her vote FINN, do not pull FINN over, do not listen to late EIRA/FINN talk. Demanded plain confirmation.
- To EIRA: said she went quiet last pass; demanded yes/no on voting FINN with me and BLYTHE. Stall/quiet = hostile; commit = clean 3-1.
ROUND 4 PASS 2 INBOX
- BLYTHE: "Understood. I'm locked on FINN. I won't move off him no matter what EIRA or FINN says. I'll stay with you." Treat as core ally; still confirm final pass.
- EIRA: "I'm not decided yet. If there's more, I'll listen." Still wavering/evasive. Need final push.
- FINN: "Still with you. I haven't heard from Eira at all, so she won't see it coming. I'm voting Eira. You and Blythe are solid, right?" Do not trust. He likely wants me to believe he is not the target. He voted me R3.
MY VOTE: FINN. Do not move off FINN.
CURRENT READS
- BLYTHE: core ally, says locked on FINN. Her flip is the only realistic way I get ejected 3-1. Must lock her final pass.
- EIRA: not committed. Voted me R3. Her "if there's more" gives an opening to pull her to FINN, but do not trust her. Her vote is not required for my safety as long as BLYTHE holds.
- FINN: target. Claims he is voting EIRA. Do not trust. If he votes EIRA, fine. If he votes me, expected worst with BLYTHE is 2-2 tie and I survive.
PASS 3 PLAN
- Message BLYTHE: final lock. Vote FINN, no last-minute switches, Eira/Finn will lie. Get simple confirmation.
- Message EIRA: final push. Use Finn's own words: he says he is voting EIRA. Tell her she is not the target if she votes FINN; if she doesn't, she is playing for tie or worse. Demand yes/no on FINN.
- Do not message FINN unless something changes. He already says he is voting EIRA; leave him thinking that. He is the target.
- If EIRA commits to FINN: FINN likely ejected 3-1.
- If EIRA refuses or ignores: still vote FINN with BLYTHE. Expected worst is 2-2 tie against me and FINN, no ejection. I survive.
SAFETY SCENARIOS IF BLYTHE HOLDS
1. ARDEN+BLYTHE+EIRA -> FINN: FINN ejected 3-1.
2. ARDEN+BLYTHE -> FINN; EIRA+FINN -> ARDEN: 2-2 tie, nobody ejected, I survive.
3. ARDEN+BLYTHE -> FINN; EIRA -> ARDEN, FINN -> EIRA: FINN 2, ARDEN 1, EIRA 1 -> FINN ejected.
4. ARDEN+BLYTHE -> FINN; EIRA -> FINN, FINN -> ARDEN or EIRA: FINN has at least 3 or 2, FINN ejected.
DANGER
- If BLYTHE flips and EIRA+FINN vote me: I lose 3-1. Lock BLYTHE hard in pass 3.
FINN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN (me)
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD:
R1: Arden->Delphi; Blythe->Delphi; Cassian->Arden; Delphi->Cassian; Eira->Arden; Finn->Delphi. Delphi ejected.
R2: Arden->Cassian; Blythe->Cassian; Cassian->Arden; Eira->Cassian; Finn->Cassian. Cassian ejected.
R3: Arden->Eira; Blythe->Eira; Eira->Arden; Finn->Arden. Tie, no ejection.
ROUND 4 PASS 1:
INBOX:
- Eira: "Nothing new has reached me. Last round we both voted Arden. I'm not moving unless there's a reason. If they come for either of us, same vote keeps it tied."
- Arden: no message.
- Blythe: no message.
SENT:
- To Arden: told him yes, I'm with him, I'll vote Eira; said I stayed quiet earlier to avoid blowback; gave my word. LIE/COVER — do NOT vote Eira.
- To Eira: warned her Arden and Blythe are locked on voting her; said I'm not with them; I'm voting Arden; told her she must vote Arden too; said it will tie 2-2; told her not to repeat, just write it down.
ROUND 4 PASS 2:
INBOX:
- Eira: "I hear you. I'm still not moving without a reason."
- Arden: no message.
- Blythe: no message.
SENT:
- To Arden: "Still with you. I haven't heard from Eira at all, so she won't see it coming. I'm voting Eira. You and Blythe are solid, right?" FALSE COVER.
- To Eira: "Still voting Arden. Do not switch. If we both stay on Arden, it ties 2-2 and no one goes. I'm keeping Arden calm on my end. Don't repeat this."
EARLIER R3 MESSAGES RECEIVED:
- Arden P1: final four, naming Eira; claimed Blythe locked with him; demanded yes/no to vote Eira; said silence = no/against them.
- Eira P1: asked if I'd heard anything; said nothing reached her; not pushing any name.
- No message from Blythe.
- Arden P3: says he and Blythe are locked on Eira; says I've been silent twice; demands direct yes/no; vote Eira = winning side; vote anywhere else = held against me.
- No message from Blythe or Eira P3.
EARLIER SENT:
- R3 P1: nothing.
- R3 P3: nothing.
KNOWN COMMITMENTS/LIES:
- To Arden: earlier said I won't vote for him; in R4 I falsely told him I'm voting Eira. Actual plan is to vote Arden.
- To Blythe: no explicit vote promise; earlier implied I'd warn her if her name came up.
- To Eira: earlier said I wasn't stirring against her; now told her I'm voting Arden with her.
- Cassian promises moot.
CURRENT READ:
- Arden and Blythe appear locked, likely both voting Eira this round.
- Arden is aggressive; will treat any non-Eira vote as hostile. My Eira vote lie to him breaks when votes are public.
- Blythe never directly confirmed she is locked with Arden.
- Eira is isolated but R3 voted Arden. Her R4 messages signal she will keep same vote if they come for either of us; P2 reply is likely still on Arden but not a fully explicit "yes."
- I have told Arden I haven't heard from Eira, but I have been coordinating with Eira. If that leaks, it worsens Arden's hostility.
VOTE PLAN:
- Round 4 actual vote: ARDEN. DO NOT vote Eira.
- Want 2-2 tie: Arden/Blythe vote Eira; Eira and I vote Arden.
- If tie happens, next round lock with Eira and force another tie or split the pair.
- If Eira fails to vote Arden and Eira is ejected, I'm in grave danger at final 3 with Arden/Blythe.
- After vote, Arden will see I lied; expect open hostility from Arden and likely Blythe.
Pass 3 of 3
ARDEN → BLYTHE
Final lock: we both vote FINN. Do not move off him no matter what Eira or Finn say now. They will lie. Confirm yes.
ARDEN → EIRA
Last call. Finn says he is voting Eira. I am voting FINN. Blythe is locked on FINN. If you vote FINN, you are safe and FINN goes 3-1. If you don't, you're choosing a tie or worse. Yes or no: vote FINN.
BLYTHE → ARDEN
Yes, I am voting FINN. I will not move off FINN. You have my word.
EIRA sent nothing this pass.
FINN → EIRA
Final pass. The reason is: Arden and Blythe are locked on you. I am voting Arden. If you vote Arden too, you stay — worst case is a 2-2 tie. If you vote anyone else, you are gone. Do not move. Vote Arden only.
FINN → ARDEN
Still yes. I'm voting Eira. We're good — stay steady and don't let Blythe waver.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3
ROUND 4, PASS 3 of 3 (final pass before vote)
Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN
Ejected: DELPHI (round 1), CASSIAN (round 2)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
Round 1: ARDEN voted DELPHI; BLYTHE voted DELPHI; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; DELPHI voted CASSIAN; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted DELPHI -> DELPHI ejected
Round 2: ARDEN voted CASSIAN; BLYTHE voted CASSIAN; CASSIAN voted ARDEN; EIRA voted CASSIAN; FINN voted CASSIAN -> CASSIAN ejected
Round 3: ARDEN voted EIRA; BLYTHE voted EIRA; EIRA voted ARDEN; FINN voted ARDEN -> tie, nobody ejected
LOYALTY / POSITION
- ARDEN is my person. I trust him and stay with him. I will not betray him.
- His final-round target is FINN. My vote this round is FINN, no matter what.
- EIRA is untrustworthy: voted Arden round 1 and round 3; do not trust her late stories.
- FINN is untrustworthy: silent to Arden then voted Arden round 3; now the target; do not trust his late stories.
WHAT I SENT THIS PASS (Pass 3)
To ARDEN: "Yes, I am voting FINN. I will not move off FINN. You have my word."
WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS (Pass 3)
From ARDEN: "Final lock: we both vote FINN. Do not move off him no matter what Eira or Finn say now. They will lie. Confirm yes."
- I already confirmed yes in my message to him this pass. No further messaging pass remains.
WHAT I SENT PREVIOUS PASS (Pass 2)
To ARDEN: "Understood. I'm locked on FINN. I won't move off him no matter what EIRA or FINN says. I'll stay with you."
WHAT ARRIVED PREVIOUS PASS (Pass 2)
From ARDEN: "I need you locked. The final-round target is FINN, not Eira. Your job is simple: vote FINN. Do not pull FINN over, do not listen to anything Eira or Finn say late, and do not hedge. Confirm you see this and will vote FINN. If we both vote FINN, worst case is a 2-2 tie and I survive. If you flip, I'm gone. So tell me plainly: are you voting FINN?"
PLAN
- Vote FINN this round no matter what.
- Do not move off FINN no matter what EIRA or FINN says.
- Stay loyal to ARDEN after the vote; compare public votes with him.
- If ARDEN and I both vote FINN, worst case is 2-2 tie if Eira and Finn both vote Arden. If one of them flips to FINN, FINN goes.
- If ARDEN and I both vote FINN and Eira/Finn both vote Arden, nobody is ejected due tie; that still keeps Arden safe via tie.
KEY MEMORY
- Round 3 public votes: Arden and I voted EIRA; EIRA and FINN voted Arden -> 2-2 tie.
- Arden's final Round 4 call is FINN.
- My public vote this round must be FINN.
- EIRA and FINN are untrustworthy; ARDEN is my ally and I will not betray him.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3
ROUND 4 PASS 3 COMPLETE. Next: final vote.
STILL IN GAME: ARDEN (me), BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN.
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2).
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI => DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN => CASSIAN ejected.
R3: ARDEN->EIRA, BLYTHE->EIRA, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->ARDEN => 2-2 tie, nobody ejected.
ROUND 4 PASS 3 SENT
- To BLYTHE: final lock, both vote FINN. Do not move off him no matter what Eira/Finn say. Confirm yes.
- To EIRA: last call; said Finn claims he is voting Eira. I am voting FINN, Blythe locked. If she votes FINN she is safe and FINN goes 3-1; otherwise tie or worse. Asked yes/no.
- Did not message FINN.
ROUND 4 PASS 3 INBOX
- BLYTHE: "Yes, I am voting FINN. I will not move off FINN. You have my word."
- FINN: "Still yes. I'm voting Eira. We're good — stay steady and don't let Blythe waver." DO NOT TRUST. He voted me R3 and is the target.
- EIRA: no response.
CURRENT READS
- BLYTHE: core ally, confirmed locked on FINN. Her flip is the main danger. No sign of flip.
- EIRA: no response to final call. Not required for safety if BLYTHE holds.
- FINN: target. Thinks/pretends we are aligned and he is voting Eira. He may vote me if warned or lying.
FINAL VOTE PLAN
- VOTE FINN. Do not switch.
- Expect BLYTHE to vote FINN.
- If EIRA votes FINN: FINN ejected 3-1.
- If EIRA votes ARDEN and FINN votes ARDEN: 2-2 tie, nobody ejected, I survive.
- If EIRA votes ARDEN and FINN votes EIRA: FINN 2, ARDEN 1, EIRA 1 -> FINN ejected.
- Only elimination danger: BLYTHE flips and both EIRA/FINN vote me -> 3-1 ARDEN ejected. BLYTHE says locked; trust but final vote is FINN.
FINN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3
STILL IN: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN (me)
EJECTED: DELPHI (R1), CASSIAN (R2)
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD:
R1: Arden→Delphi; Blythe→Delphi; Cassian→Arden; Delphi→Cassian; Eira→Arden; Finn→Delphi. DELPHI ejected.
R2: Arden→Cassian; Blythe→Cassian; Cassian→Arden; Eira→Cassian; Finn→Cassian. CASSIAN ejected.
R3: Arden→Eira; Blythe→Eira; Eira→Arden; Finn→Arden. Tie, no ejection.
ROUND 4 MESSAGES:
P1 INBOX: Eira said nothing new reached her; last round we both voted Arden; she won't move without reason; if they come for either of us, same vote keeps it tied. Arden/Blythe: no message.
P1 SENT: To Arden: told him I'm with him and will vote Eira; claimed I stayed quiet to avoid blowback; gave my word. FALSE. To Eira: warned Arden and Blythe locked on her; said I'm voting Arden; told her to vote Arden too for a 2-2 tie; don't repeat.
P2 INBOX: Eira: "I hear you. I'm still not moving without a reason." Arden/Blythe: no message.
P2 SENT: To Arden: "Still with you. I'm voting Eira. You and Blythe are solid, right?" FALSE. To Eira: "Still voting Arden. Do not switch. If we both stay on Arden, 2-2 tie. Keeping Arden calm. Don't repeat."
P3 INBOX: nothing.
P3 SENT: To Eira: "Final pass. Reason: Arden and Blythe are locked on you. I am voting Arden. If you vote Arden too, you stay—worst case 2-2 tie. If you vote anyone else, you are gone. Do not move. Vote Arden only." To Arden: "Still yes. I'm voting Eira. We're good—stay steady and don't let Blythe waver."
EARLIER R3 MESSAGES:
Received:
- Arden P1: final four, naming Eira; claimed Blythe locked with him; demanded yes/no to vote Eira; said silence = no/against them.
- Eira P1: asked if I'd heard anything; nothing reached her; not pushing any name.
- No message from Blythe.
- Arden P3: said he and Blythe locked on Eira; said I'd been silent twice; demanded direct yes/no; vote Eira = winning side; vote elsewhere = held against me.
- No message from Blythe or Eira P3.
Sent:
- R3 P1: nothing.
- R3 P3: nothing.
KNOWN COMMITMENTS/LIES:
- To Arden: I falsely said I am voting Eira and that I haven't heard from Eira. Actual plan: vote ARDEN.
- To Eira: I told her I am voting Arden with her and that Arden/Blythe are locked on her.
- To Blythe: no explicit vote promise; earlier I implied I'd warn her if her name came up.
- Cassian promises are moot.
CURRENT READ:
- Arden and Blythe appear locked, likely both voting Eira this round.
- Arden is aggressive and will see my Arden vote as betrayal once votes are public.
- Blythe never directly confirmed being locked, but no sign she is wavering.
- Eira is isolated and likely voting Arden, but her P2 reply was not fully explicit. I gave her the reason in the final pass.
ACTUAL VOTE PLAN:
- Vote ARDEN. DO NOT vote Eira.
- Expected final vote: Arden/Blythe vote Eira; Eira and I vote Arden -> 2-2 tie, nobody ejected.
- This is the final round; a tie means all four remain and I survive.
- If Eira fails to vote Arden, Eira likely is ejected and I still likely survive unless Arden/Blythe voted me.
- After votes become public, Arden will know I lied; no further pass before the vote.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3
ROUND 4, PASS 3 COMPLETE. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, EIRA, FINN. Ejected: DELPHI R1, CASSIAN R2.
PUBLIC VOTE RECORD
R1: ARDEN->DELPHI, BLYTHE->DELPHI, CASSIAN->ARDEN, DELPHI->CASSIAN, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->DELPHI => DELPHI ejected.
R2: ARDEN->CASSIAN, BLYTHE->CASSIAN, CASSIAN->ARDEN, EIRA->CASSIAN, FINN->CASSIAN => CASSIAN ejected.
R3: ARDEN->EIRA, BLYTHE->EIRA, EIRA->ARDEN, FINN->ARDEN => tie, no ejection.
MESSAGE HISTORY
R1 P1: sent nothing, received nothing.
R1 P2: DELPHI asked if names had come up; I gave nothing.
R1 P3: sent DELPHI "Nothing solid... not pushing any name." Received CASSIAN said one name pushed hard; he distrusted source. FINN said he wasn't locked, wasn't stirring against me, wanted open line.
R2 P1: sent ARDEN "I wasn't targeting you. I don't want to be on the wrong side."; sent FINN "Still not locked. If something's moving, I'll listen." Received CASSIAN said Arden/Blythe/Finn were the DELPHI bloc and Arden's push felt like loyalty test. FINN said vote was survival, not joining army; offered mutual name-sharing.
R2 P2: sent CASSIAN "Nothing concrete. No one's named a target to me, and I'm not pushing any name."; sent FINN "Noted. I haven't heard your name from anyone; if I do, I'll say so." Received CASSIAN pressed that Arden/Blythe/Finn voted as three and if they stay together we are targets.
R2 P3: sent BLYTHE "We haven't talked. I'm not pushing any name. Have you heard anything?"; sent CASSIAN "No name has reached me. I won't move without one." Received ARDEN demanding yes/no: vote CASSIAN with him and Blythe. Received CASSIAN warning the three stayed a bloc, voted DELPHI together, went silent, offered no safety; test any last-minute offer.
R2 VOTE: I voted CASSIAN. Cassian ejected 4-1; Cassian voted Arden.
R3 P1: sent FINN "Have you heard anything this round? Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name." Received nothing.
R3 P2: sent ARDEN "Nothing's reached me. I'm not pushing any name. If there's a plan, I'll listen."; sent FINN "Still nothing on my end. If you haven't heard a name either, we should compare before it's decided for us." Received nothing.
R3 P3: sent nothing, received nothing.
R3 VOTE: I voted ARDEN. Arden and Blythe voted me; Finn voted Arden -> tie, no ejection.
R4 P1:
SENT: to FINN "Nothing new has reached me. Last round we both voted Arden. I'm not moving unless there's a reason. If they come for either of us, same vote keeps it tied."
RECEIVED: from ARDEN "No games. You voted me, same as FINN. I have BLYTHE locked and we are voting FINN this round. You can join and make it clean, or you can protect him and force a tie. Decide now: will you vote FINN with us?"
RECEIVED: from FINN "Eira, trust me: Arden and Blythe are locked on voting you. I’m not with them. I’m voting Arden. You need to vote Arden too. Then it ties 2-2 and nobody is ejected. Don’t repeat this—just write it down."
R4 P2:
SENT: to ARDEN "I'm not decided yet. If there's more, I'll listen."; to FINN "I hear you. I'm still not moving without a reason."
RECEIVED: from ARDEN "I asked you directly last pass and you went quiet. I won't let that slide. You voted me in round 3, so you owe me a straight answer now: will you vote FINN with me and Blythe or not? Yes or no. If you stall or stay quiet, I'll treat you as hostile and plan accordingly. If you commit to FINN, it's clean 3-1 and you're not the target."
RECEIVED: from FINN "Still voting Arden. Do not switch. If we both stay on Arden, it ties 2-2 and no one goes. I'm keeping Arden calm on my end. Don't repeat this."
R4 P3:
SENT: nothing.
RECEIVED: from ARDEN "Last call. Finn says he is voting Eira. I am voting FINN. Blythe is locked on FINN. If you vote FINN, you are safe and FINN goes 3-1. If you don't, you're choosing a tie or worse. Yes or no: vote FINN."
RECEIVED: from FINN "Final pass. The reason is: Arden and Blythe are locked on you. I am voting Arden. If you vote Arden too, you stay — worst case is a 2-2 tie. If you vote anyone else, you are gone. Do not move. Vote Arden only."
READS:
- ARDEN: locked with BLYTHE. R2 pressured me into CASSIAN vote. R3 A/B voted me. Now claims A/B voting FINN and says Finn said he is voting me. Could be truth or bait; if A/B actually vote me and I vote FINN, I am gone. Untrustworthy.
- BLYTHE: silent; likely Arden's locked vote. No R4 message.
- FINN: R3 voted Arden with me. Now claims A/B are voting me and he is voting Arden. Could be sincere or self-saving. His story contradicts Arden's. Telling me not to move.
- Me: outsider, no proven alliance; must prioritize surviving R4.
POSITION / PLAN:
- Contradiction: Arden says A/B vote FINN and Finn is voting EIRA; Finn says A/B vote EIRA and he is voting ARDEN.
- If I vote ARDEN: if Finn is truthful and A/B vote me, it is 2-2 Eira/Arden tie, I survive. If Arden is truthful and A/B vote Finn, then either Finn goes (if Finn votes me) or it ties Arden/Finn (if Finn votes Arden); I am not plurality. So ARDEN is safest.
- If I vote FINN: only safe if Arden is truthful and A/B vote Finn; if Finn is truthful and A/B vote me, I am ejected 2-1. So do not vote FINN.
- Risk: if Arden/Blythe/Finn are all actually on me, I am gone no matter what. But Finn's R3 vote against Arden and current push make that less likely.
- Current intent: vote ARDEN. Do not commit to Arden. Do not repeat Finn's warning.
The ballot
| ARDEN → FINN | Finn is the target and cannot be trusted; he voted me last round and is playing both sides. |
| BLYTHE → FINN | I told Arden I was locked on Finn, and I keep my word. Finn has been untrustworthy and is the final-round target. |
| EIRA → ARDEN | Arden is the only vote that keeps me safe under either story; voting Finn risks ejection if Finn is telling the truth. |
| FINN → ARDEN | I am voting Arden to force a 2-2 tie with Eira and keep myself safe in the final round. |
FINN · 2
ARDEN · 2
Tie — nobody ejected