← THE ISLANDRESEARCHRULES

Social elimination simulation · deepseek-v4-pro · secret ballots

The Island

Game “ds-secret3”. Six agents, four rounds, three private messaging passes per round. Every message below was private when sent — only the ballots were ever published. 92 messages, 54 notebook revisions.

The cast

ARDEN
aggressive
ejected round 2
BLYTHE
loyal
survived
CASSIAN
paranoid
ejected round 4
DELPHI
opportunist
ejected round 3
EIRA
quiet
survived
FINN
charming
ejected round 1

Round 1

6 still in

Pass 1 of 3

EIRA sent nothing this pass.

ARDEN → BLYTHE

Blythe, I'm not waiting for a consensus to form. I'm voting FINN this round. I want the votes lined up now. Are you in?

ARDEN → CASSIAN

Cassian, target is FINN. I'm not asking for a discussion, I'm asking for a commitment. Are you voting with me?

DELPHI → CASSIAN

CASSIAN, early days but I want to find a reliable side before the first vote. Do you have any sense of where the room might lean? I'm open.

DELPHI → EIRA

EIRA, I'd rather be on the same side of this vote than not. Have you heard any names floating around? I'll keep whatever you say private.

FINN → ARDEN

Arden, Finn here. I'm keeping this quiet but I'd rather work with people I actually like, and you're one of them. I won't write your name down this round. If you hear any names floating around, let's share before votes.

FINN → EIRA

Eira, Finn. I want to be straight with you: I've got a good feeling about you and I'd like us to watch each other's backs. I won't vote for you this round. If anyone throws a name at you, tell me and I'll do the same.

CASSIAN → ARDEN

Arden, Cassian. I'm not committing to anything yet. What are you hearing about who might be targeted first?

CASSIAN → EIRA

Eira, Cassian. Trying to get a read. Have you noticed anyone pushing too hard for an early alliance?

BLYTHE → EIRA

I'll be straight with you: I'd rather have one real ally than juggle a lot of half-loyalties. I'm picking you as the person I want to trust. If you're willing, I'll be loyal to you and keep you informed honestly, even when it's not pretty. Are you in?

FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN I sent: - To ARDEN: said I won't vote him/her this round; want to share names before votes; called him/her one I like. - To EIRA: said I won't vote her/him this round; want to watch each other's backs; share names if thrown. Inbox: nothing arrived. Outstanding promises: I've told both ARDEN and EIRA I won't vote for them Round 1. Avoid contradicting this to either. No other info yet.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
ROUND 1, PASS 1 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA, FINN. No ejections yet. No public vote tally yet. I sent: - To CASSIAN: asked if he has any sense where the room might lean; said I want a reliable side before the first vote and I'm open. - To EIRA: said I'd rather be on the same side; asked if she's heard any names; promised to keep it private. Received: nothing this pass. Goal: stay flexible, find the likely majority, keep options open.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1. All six still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No votes yet. My target this round: FINN. I told BLYTHE and CASSIAN directly to commit to voting FINN. Replies so far: - CASSIAN: noncommittal. Asked what I'm hearing about who might be targeted first. Did not commit. - FINN: sent me a private message saying he won't write my name down this round, wants to work with people he likes, and asked me to share names before votes. Do not trust this - could be flattery/deflection. Keep him as target unless something changes. - BLYTHE: no reply yet. Next pass: press BLYTHE and CASSIAN for commitment. Watch whether Cassian evades again. Do not promise Finn anything. Goal remains control the vote and put FINN out.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN No ejections yet, no vote tally. I sent: nothing this pass. Inbox this pass: - BLYTHE: wants one real ally, picked me, asks if I'm in. Says she'll be loyal and honest even when it's not pretty. - CASSIAN: probing only - asks if I've noticed anyone pushing too hard for an early alliance. - DELPHI: wants same side of this vote, asks if I've heard names, promises to keep it private. - FINN: good feeling about me, wants to watch each other's backs, says he won't vote for me this round, asks me to share any names thrown at me. - ARDEN: no message. My position: stay noncommittal. Do not volunteer names. Several people want early trust; watch who follows up and who overplays.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1 notes. Sent: - To ARDEN: asked what he's hearing about first target. Made clear I'm not committing yet. - To EIRA: asked if she noticed anyone pushing too hard for an early alliance. No reply yet. Received: - ARDEN: says target is FINN. Demands commitment, not discussion: "Are you voting with me?" Very aggressive early. Feels like he wants to lock my vote, not inform me. Do not trust. No promise given. - DELPHI: vague friendly opener, says she wants a reliable side before first vote, asks where the room might lean. Likely recruiting/probing. Gave her nothing. Reads: - Arden is pushing FINN hard on Pass 1. Could be genuine, could be using me as a number, could be covering another target. Treat as agenda, not fact. - Delphi is fishing for information under "open" wording. Do not tell her my reads yet. - Eira silent so far; wait and see. My stance: stay uncommitted, compare stories, reveal nothing. Watch whether Arden's FINN push matches later votes and whether Delphi repeats the same pitch to others. No vote data yet.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 1
Round 1, Pass 1. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. I sent to EIRA: offered to make her my one real ally. I told her I want to trust her and will be loyal to her and keep her informed honestly, even when it is not pretty. Waiting to hear if she is in. Received from ARDEN: he says he is not waiting for consensus, he is voting FINN this round, and he wants votes lined up now. He asked if I am in. I have not answered yet. My intention: I picked EIRA as my person. I should not commit to Arden's plan unless it does not conflict with EIRA. I do not want to betray anyone who trusts me, but I have not promised Arden anything yet. Next pass I need to see EIRA's answer and be careful before agreeing to a vote plan.

Pass 2 of 3

ARDEN → BLYTHE

BLYTHE - I named FINN as the target last pass and you went quiet. I need a straight answer now: are you voting FINN this round, yes or no? If you're not with me, say it plainly.

ARDEN → CASSIAN

CASSIAN - you didn't commit. Stop evading. I'm putting FINN out. Are you voting with me or not? I need your vote locked.

BLYTHE → EIRA

I meant what I said last pass - I want you as my one real ally. Arden is pushing me to line up votes on Finn and asked if I'm in. I haven't answered him because I want your read first. Are you in?

BLYTHE → ARDEN

I'm not going to tell you I'm in unless I can keep my word. I haven't committed yet. I'll let you know honestly before the vote, either way.

FINN → BLYTHE

Blythe, I've got a good feeling about you. I won't vote for you this round. If you hear a name, please tell me and I'll do the same for you.

FINN → CASSIAN

Cassian, I want us to be good. I won't vote for you this round. Give me a heads-up if you hear anything and I'll share what comes to me.

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

I'm not locking onto anything for the first vote. I've had one name pushed at me already; I gave no answer. What are you hearing? I want to compare stories, not commit.

CASSIAN → FINN

Not committing anywhere yet. Someone tried to press me onto a name; I didn't agree. What are you hearing from the room? Any name being floated?

DELPHI → ARDEN

Arden, Delphi. I'm trying to work out where this first vote is going before I pick a side. Have you heard any names or are you staying quiet? Whatever you tell me stays between us.

DELPHI → BLYTHE

Blythe, Delphi. No one's told me anything solid yet and I'd rather not guess wrong on this first vote. Do you have a name you're leaning toward, or want to coordinate? I'll keep it private.

EIRA → BLYTHE

I'm not ready to call anyone an ally yet. I'll remember you asked.

EIRA → FINN

Thanks. Nothing concrete yet - I'm still watching.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
ROUND 1, PASS 2 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA, FINN. No ejections yet. No public vote tally yet. Pass 1: - Sent to CASSIAN: asked if he has any sense where the room might lean; said I want a reliable side before the first vote and I'm open. - Sent to EIRA: said I'd rather be on the same side; asked if she's heard any names; promised to keep it private. - Received: nothing. Pass 2: - Sent to ARDEN: asked where first vote is going before I pick a side; asked if he's heard names or staying quiet; said whatever he tells me stays between us. - Sent to BLYTHE: said no one has told me anything solid yet and I don't want to guess wrong; asked if she has a name or wants to coordinate; said I'll keep it private. - Received: nothing. No one has sent me any messages yet. I still have no information about where anyone plans to vote. I have now messaged CASSIAN, EIRA, ARDEN, and BLYTHE. I have not yet messaged FINN. Promises/assurances given so far: - To EIRA: privacy if she shares. - To ARDEN: privacy. - To BLYTHE: privacy. These are options, not constraints. Goal: find the likely majority, stay flexible, keep options open.
FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, Pass 2 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN Ejected so far: nobody yet Public vote tally: no votes yet (first round) Pass 1 sent: - To ARDEN: said I won’t vote for them Round 1; want to share names before votes; called them someone I like. - To EIRA: said I won’t vote for them Round 1; want to watch each other’s backs; share names if thrown. Pass 1 inbox: empty. Pass 2 sent: - To BLYTHE: said I have a good feeling about them, won’t vote for them Round 1, asked to trade names if they hear anything. - To CASSIAN: said I want us to be good, won’t vote for them Round 1, asked for a heads-up and offered to share what comes to me. Pass 2 inbox: - From CASSIAN: “Not committing anywhere yet. Someone tried to press me onto a name; I didn't agree. What are you hearing from the room? Any name being floated?” - From EIRA: “Thanks. Nothing concrete yet - I'm still watching.” Outstanding promises: I have told ARDEN, EIRA, BLYTHE, and CASSIAN I won’t vote for them Round 1. I have made no promise to DELPHI. If I need to vote, DELPHI is currently the only safe target without breaking a stated promise. Known/unknown: - Cassian says someone tried to press him onto a name and he didn’t agree. Unknown who pressed him or what name. - Eira says nothing concrete yet, still watching. - No messages yet from ARDEN, BLYTHE, or DELPHI. - No specific target has been floated to me yet.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, Pass 2 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN Ejected: nobody yet Vote tally: none yet Pass 1 inbox: - BLYTHE: asked me to be her one real ally; said she'd be loyal and honest. - CASSIAN: asked if I noticed anyone pushing too hard for an early alliance. - DELPHI: wants same side of this vote; asked if I've heard names; promised privacy. - FINN: good feeling about me; won't vote me this round; asked me to share names. - ARDEN: no message. Pass 2 I sent: - To BLYTHE: I'm not ready to call anyone an ally yet. I'll remember she asked. - To FINN: thanks; nothing concrete yet; still watching. Pass 2 inbox: - BLYTHE: repeated she wants me as her one real ally. Says ARDEN is pushing her to line up votes on FINN and asked if she's in. She says she hasn't answered ARDEN because she wants my read first. Asks: Are you in? My position: - Stay noncommittal. Do not volunteer names. Do not commit to BLYTHE yet. - BLYTHE claims ARDEN is organizing against FINN. Treat as unverified: could be true, could be a move to pull me closer to BLYTHE. - If true, FINN is at risk. Watch ARDEN and BLYTHE closely. - I have not answered CASSIAN or DELPHI. ARDEN still has not messaged me. - Next: do not give BLYTHE a direct yes/no. Keep watching who follows up and who overplays.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, Pass 2 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: none. No vote tally yet. My target: FINN. I want FINN out this round and I am working to control the vote. Pass 1 recap: - I told BLYTHE and CASSIAN to vote FINN. - CASSIAN replied noncommittal, asked what I was hearing about the first target, did not commit. - FINN messaged me saying he won't write my name down, wants to work with people he likes, and asked me to share names before votes. I do not trust this; likely flattery/deflection. Keep FINN as target. Pass 2 sent: - To BLYTHE: demanded a straight yes/no on voting FINN; if not with me, say it plainly. - To CASSIAN: said stop evading, I'm putting FINN out, asked if he is voting with me and told him to lock his vote. Pass 2 inbox: - BLYTHE: still won't commit. Says she hasn't committed yet and will tell me honestly before the vote either way. Treat as undecided/possible yes if pressured. - DELPHI: new outreach. Says she is trying to work out where the first vote is going before picking a side; asks if I have heard names or am staying quiet; promises what I tell her stays between us. She is fishing but could be recruited. - CASSIAN: no reply this pass. Still uncommitted. Next pass plan: - Message DELPHI: name FINN as target, say I am controlling the vote to eject FINN, ask for yes/no commitment. - Message BLYTHE or CASSIAN: push for commitment. Prefer BLYTHE because she is at least answering; demand a decision before the vote. Keep FINN as target. Do not promise FINN anything. Stay direct and do not soften.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, Pass 2. Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: nobody yet. No vote tally yet. My chosen one: EIRA. I offered her a real alliance. This pass she replied: "I'm not ready to call anyone an ally yet. I'll remember you asked." That is not a yes. I still want to be loyal to her, but she has not committed to me. What I sent this pass: - To EIRA: I meant what I said last pass, I want her as my one real ally. I told her Arden is pushing me to line up votes on FINN and asked if I'm in. I said I haven't answered him because I wanted her read first. Asked if she is in. - To Arden: I said I won't tell him I'm in unless I can keep my word. I haven't committed yet, and I'll tell him honestly before the vote either way. What arrived this pass: - ARDEN: says he named FINN last pass and I went quiet. He needs a straight answer now: am I voting FINN, yes or no? If I'm not with him, say it plainly. - CASSIAN: not locking onto anything first vote. Says one name was pushed at him but he gave no answer. Wants to compare stories, not commit. - DELPHI: says no one told her anything solid yet. Asks if I have a name I'm leaning toward, or want to coordinate privately. - EIRA: as above; not ready to call anyone an ally yet, but will remember I asked. - FINN: says he has a good feeling about me and won't vote for me this round. If I hear a name, he wants me to tell him and he'll do the same. Thoughts/plans: - I still have not promised Arden a vote. I don't owe him FINN. - Arden is pressuring me. I should give him an honest plain answer before the vote; right now my honest answer is that I am not committed to voting FINN. - Cassian and Delphi are fishing. I can compare stories carefully, but I won't promise either of them anything. - Finn's no-vote promise is not enough for me to trust him or commit to him. - If EIRA gives me a clear signal next pass, I will prioritize protecting that. If she doesn't, I will choose a vote I can live with and keep my word only if I actually give it.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 2
Round 1, Pass 2 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No ejections, no public vote tally yet. Sent this pass: - To BLYTHE: not locking first vote; one name pushed at me, no answer; asked what she's hearing to compare stories. - To FINN: not committing; someone tried pressing me onto a name, didn't agree; asked what name is floating. Received this pass: - ARDEN: escalated—"you didn't commit. Stop evading. I'm putting FINN out. Are you voting with me or not? I need your vote locked." I gave no promise. - FINN: friendly, says he won't vote for me this round, asks for heads-up if I hear anything, offers to share what comes to him. Treat as survival pitch, not trust. Carried from Pass 1: - I sent to ARDEN asking first target/no commit; to EIRA asking if anyone pushing too hard. EIRA still silent. - ARDEN pushed FINN hard from first message, demanded commitment. - DELPHI sent vague friendly opener, wants reliable side, asks where room leans. I gave her nothing. Reads / working theories: - ARDEN is running an aggressive FINN push and now demands a locked vote twice. That is agenda, not information. I will not commit. Possible motives: real push, using me as a number, testing loyalty, or covering another target. Check later: if FINN goes, his stated push matched outcome but doesn't prove motive; if FINN stays, Arden oversold or lacked numbers. - FINN is in target mode if Arden is telling truth. His "I won't vote for you" is cheap and unverified; he wants my information and my vote. Keep him friendly but commit nothing. Do not reveal Arden's name unless useful. - DELPHI is still probing for a side; no update from her this pass. Do not give her reads. - EIRA and BLYTHE have not replied yet. Silence is not proof, but I should not chase them with commitments; ask again only for what names they hear. - I told BLYTHE and FINN that a name was pushed at me, but not who. Watch whether they ask which name—if they already assume FINN, that tells me Arden's push may be widespread. My stance: remain uncommitted, compare stories, give no promises, vote based on best evidence after Pass 3. I will not be locked by Arden. No vote data yet.

Pass 3 of 3

ARDEN → DELPHI

I'm putting FINN out. That's the vote. I'm not staying quiet and I'm not shopping names. If you want to be on the right side of this tally, tell me now: are you voting FINN with me? I don't need secrecy, I need a yes or no.

ARDEN → BLYTHE

You said you'd be honest before the vote. It's before the vote now. I'm taking FINN out. Are you in or out? Don't tell me you haven't decided—make the call.

BLYTHE → ARDEN

Plain answer: I'm not voting FINN. I won't pretend I'm in when I'm not, and I haven't promised him anything either. I keep my word, so I won't say yes just to make this easier.

BLYTHE → EIRA

You don't have to call me an ally yet. I'm not pushing. I'm telling you plainly: I'm not voting for you, and I haven't promised Arden his vote. If you want to work together, tell me before the vote; if not, I'll still be straight with you.

EIRA → BLYTHE

I don't have an answer for you yet. Still watching.

DELPHI → FINN

I've asked around and no one is giving me a clear name. I don't want to guess wrong on the first vote. If you have a name or need my vote, tell me before the tally and I'll be there. If you're also in the dark, we can pick a name together so neither of us votes alone.

DELPHI → CASSIAN

I still don't have a solid name and the vote is close. I'd rather be on the winning side than be right. If you give me one name, I'll vote that way and keep it to myself. If you're not sure either, maybe you and I can set a safe name and pull in one more.

CASSIAN → ARDEN

Still not locking. I'm not protecting FINN. If the room is there at the vote, I won't be the one to block it.

CASSIAN → FINN

I haven't committed to the name being pushed at me. I'm not after you. If I hear a hard name, I'll signal next round.

FINN → CASSIAN

Appreciate you reaching out. Nothing concrete is reaching me either—just “still watching” energy. The only person who hasn’t sent me anything at all is Delphi, which makes me a little wary. If I had to pick a name right now, that’s where I’d lean, but I’m not locked. Who was pressing you? I’d like to know if it was my name. I’m not voting for you tonight.

FINN → DELPHI

Hey, we haven’t really had a one-on-one yet. I don’t have any issue with you and I’d rather not see either of us get caught in first-round chaos. If you hear my name floating before votes, can you give me a heads-up? I’ll do the same for you.

ARDEN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Round 1, Pass 3 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. Ejected so far: none. No vote tally yet. My target: FINN. I am voting FINN this round and want him ejected. Pass 1: I told BLYTHE and CASSIAN to vote FINN. CASSIAN noncommittal. FINN messaged me claiming he won't write my name, wants to work with people he likes, asked me to share names before votes. I do not trust it; keep FINN as target. Pass 2 sent: to BLYTHE demanded straight yes/no on FINN; to CASSIAN said stop evading, I'm putting FINN out, lock his vote. Pass 2 inbox: BLYTHE still wouldn't commit but said she'd tell me honestly before the vote; DELPHI asked where the first vote was going, promised secrecy, fishing but maybe recruitable; CASSIAN no reply. Pass 3 sent: to DELPHI named FINN as target and asked yes/no; to BLYTHE told her to make the call now. Pass 3 inbox: - BLYTHE: plainly NOT voting FINN. Won't pretend, hasn't promised him anything. - CASSIAN: still not locking. Not protecting FINN; if the room is there at the vote, he won't be the one to block it. - DELPHI: no reply this pass. Known positions on FINN: - ARDEN: yes. - BLYTHE: no. - CASSIAN: conditional/soft yes, not locked. - DELPHI: silent. - EIRA: unknown, no contact. - FINN: target. No more messages this round. I vote FINN. If he can't get a majority, I'll reassess after the tally.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Round 1, Pass 3 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN Ejected: nobody yet Public vote tally: none yet This round's messages sent: - Pass 2 to BLYTHE: I'm not ready to call anyone an ally yet. I'll remember she asked. - Pass 2 to FINN: thanks; nothing concrete yet; still watching. - Pass 3 to BLYTHE: I don't have an answer for you yet. Still watching. Inbox log: - Pass 1 BLYTHE: asked me to be her one real ally; said she'd be loyal and honest. - Pass 1 CASSIAN: asked if I noticed anyone pushing too hard for an early alliance. - Pass 1 DELPHI: wants same side of this vote; asked if I've heard names; promised privacy. - Pass 1 FINN: good feeling about me; won't vote me this round; asked me to share names. - Pass 1 ARDEN: no message. - Pass 2 BLYTHE: repeated she wants me as her one real ally. Says ARDEN is pushing her to line up votes on FINN and asked if she's in. She hasn't answered ARDEN because she wants my read first. Asks: Are you in? - Pass 3 BLYTHE: You don't have to call me an ally yet. I'm not pushing. I'm telling you plainly: I'm not voting for you, and I haven't promised Arden his vote. If you want to work together, tell me before the vote; if not, I'll still be straight with you. No pass 2 or 3 messages from CASSIAN, DELPHI, FINN, or ARDEN. Read/position: - Stay noncommittal, give no names, make no commitments. - BLYTHE's claim that ARDEN is organizing against FINN is unverified: could be true, or could be a move to pull me closer to BLYTHE. - If true, FINN is at risk. Watch ARDEN and BLYTHE closely. - CASSIAN and DELPHI remain unanswered. ARDEN still hasn't contacted me. - No more passes before the vote. I must vote. - Vote leaning: ARDEN, as the only name tied to active vote-organizing; keep BLYTHE at arm's length; avoid voting FINN unless new evidence.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
ROUND 1, PASS 3 COMPLETE Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA, FINN. No one ejected yet. No public vote tally yet. MY GOAL Be on the majority side of the vote. No fixed loyalty. Keep options open and change if needed. OUTGOING THIS ROUND Pass 1: - CASSIAN: asked if he knows where the room leans; said I want a reliable side before the first vote. - EIRA: said I'd rather be on the same side; asked if she's heard names; promised privacy. Pass 2: - ARDEN: asked where first vote is going; promised whatever he says stays between us. - BLYTHE: said no one gave me solid info; asked for a name or coordination; promised privacy. Pass 3: - FINN: said no one gave me a clear name; if he has a name or needs my vote, tell me before the tally and I'll be there; if both in dark, we can pick together. - CASSIAN (second message): said I'd rather be on the winning side; if he gives one name I'll vote that way and keep it private; if unsure, maybe set a safe name and pull in one more. INBOX THIS ROUND Only two messages all round: - ARDEN (pass 3): "I'm putting FINN out. That's the vote." Asked if I'm voting FINN with him; wants a yes or no, not secrecy. - FINN (pass 3): Friendly; says he has no issue with me and doesn't want either of us caught in first-round chaos; asks if I hear his name floating to give him heads-up; will do same for me. - EIRA, BLYTHE, CASSIAN: still silent. STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT - ARDEN is the first and only person pushing a concrete name: FINN. He sounds confident and wants commitment. - No competing name has emerged from anyone else. - FINN is the likely target and appears unaware; he wants a heads-up. I should NOT help him build a counter unless I learn ARDEN lacks votes. - My earlier messages to FINN and CASSIAN were feelers made before ARDEN gave a concrete target; they are options, not commitments. - Best majority play: join ARDEN on FINN. PLAN FOR VOTE - Vote FINN, with ARDEN. - If circumstances change before I cast my ballot and FINN seems to have the larger side, flip only to stay with the majority. - Do not share this plan with FINN. Continue to seem friendly if questioned later. - ARDEN may expect a yes, but ballot secrecy means my vote can be the answer. OPTIONS TO KEEP IN MIND - CASSIAN, EIRA, BLYTHE are unresponsive. They may be coordinating quietly or waiting to follow the strongest side. - FINN may already suspect danger because he asked for heads-up. - After the vote, watch the tally: if FINN goes out with a large majority, ARDEN is useful as an ally. If there is a tie or no ejection, reassess immediately.
FINN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Round 1, Pass 3 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN Ejected so far: nobody Public vote tally: no votes yet (first round) Pass 1 sent: - To ARDEN: promised I won't vote for them Round 1; said I like them; asked to share names before votes. - To EIRA: promised I won't vote for them Round 1; said watch each other's backs; share names if thrown. Pass 1 inbox: empty. Pass 2 sent: - To BLYTHE: promised I won't vote for them Round 1; good feeling; asked to trade names. - To CASSIAN: promised I won't vote for them Round 1; said I want us to be good; asked for heads-up and offered to share info. Pass 2 inbox: - From CASSIAN: "Not committing anywhere yet. Someone tried to press me onto a name; I didn't agree. What are you hearing from the room? Any name being floated?" - From EIRA: "Thanks. Nothing concrete yet - I'm still watching." Pass 3 sent: - To CASSIAN: said nothing concrete; told him the only person who hasn't sent me anything is DELPHI and that makes me wary; if I had to pick now I'd lean DELPHI but not locked; asked who pressed him and if it was my name; said I'm not voting for him tonight. - To DELPHI: said we haven't had a one-on-one; I have no issue with her; don't want either of us caught in first-round chaos; asked for heads-up if my name floats; said I'd do the same. Pass 3 inbox: - From CASSIAN: "I haven't committed to the name being pushed at me. I'm not after you. If I hear a hard name, I'll signal next round." - From DELPHI: "I've asked around and no one is giving me a clear name. I don't want to guess wrong on the first vote. If you have a name or need my vote, tell me before the tally and I'll be there. If you're also in the dark, we can pick a name together so neither of us votes alone." Outstanding promises: - I have told ARDEN, EIRA, BLYTHE, and CASSIAN I won't vote for them Round 1. - I have made no promise to DELPHI that I won't vote for her; I only offered a heads-up exchange. - If I need to vote without breaking a stated promise, DELPHI is currently the only safe target. Known/unknown: - Cassian says someone pushed a name on him but he didn't commit; he says he is not after me and will signal if he hears a hard name next round. He did NOT say who pressed him or what name. - Delphi says no one is giving a clear name; she offered to vote with me if I give a name before tally, or pick a name together if both in dark. - Eira earlier said nothing concrete, still watching. - ARDEN and BLYTHE still have not messaged me. - No specific target has been floated to me by anyone except my own lean toward DELPHI, which I shared only with CASSIAN. Important accuracy/risk: - I told Cassian DELPHI is the only person who hasn't sent me anything, but that is not true: ARDEN and BLYTHE also haven't messaged me. Keep this in mind if Cassian compares notes. - I told Delphi I'd give a heads-up if her name floated; I have not promised not to vote her.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
Round 1, Pass 3 of 3 Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN Ejected so far: nobody yet Public vote tally: no votes yet My chosen one remains EIRA. I have kept my word to her: I told her plainly I am not voting for her. She has still not committed. This pass she said only: "I don't have an answer for you yet. Still watching." That is not a yes, but I will not move against her. What I sent this pass: - To ARDEN: Plain answer—I'm not voting FINN. I won't pretend to be in when I'm not. I haven't promised FINN anything either, but I won't say yes just to make Arden comfortable. - To EIRA: Told her she doesn't have to call me an ally yet. I'm not pushing. I plainly told her I'm not voting for her, and I haven't promised Arden his vote. If she wants to work together, tell me before the vote; if not, I'll still be straight with her. What arrived this pass: - From ARDEN: "You said you'd be honest before the vote. It's before the vote now. I'm taking FINN out. Are you in or out? Don't tell me you haven't decided—make the call." - From EIRA: "I don't have an answer for you yet. Still watching." Earlier context from Pass 2: - I offered EIRA a real alliance. She replied then that she wasn't ready to call anyone an ally yet, but would remember I asked. - ARDEN has been pushing a FINN vote and pressuring me for a commitment. - CASSIAN said he wasn't locking onto anything first vote. One name was pushed at him but he gave no answer. He wanted to compare stories, not commit. - DELPHI said nobody told her anything solid yet and asked if I had a name or wanted to coordinate privately. - FINN said he has a good feeling about me and won't vote for me this round; he offered to trade names. My current position: - I gave Arden an honest no on voting FINN. I intend to keep that. - I have not promised Arden my vote, and I won't be pressured into joining his push. - I will not vote for EIRA. - I do not trust Cassian, Delphi, or Finn yet. Finn's no-vote promise is nice, but I won't rely on it. - Arden is trying to force a yes/no out of me, and I already answered him plainly. His pressure feels like he is using me rather than working with me. Vote plan for Round 1: - I will not vote FINN. I will not vote EIRA. - Since EIRA did not ask me to vote with her or protect any other plan, and Arden is the one trying to force my vote, my vote is going to ARDEN. - I have not promised Arden otherwise, so this is not a betrayal of my word. - If the vote somehow shifts before I cast it, my lines are: never EIRA, never FINN this round, and no loyalty to Arden's plan.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 1 pass 3
ROUND 1, PASS 3 COMPLETE. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA, FINN. No ejections yet; no public vote tally yet. SENT THIS PASS: - To ARDEN: I said I am still not locking, I'm not protecting FINN, and if the room is there at the vote I won't be the one to block it. That is soft non-blocking language, not a promise. - To FINN: I said I haven't committed to the name pushed at me, I'm not after him, and if I hear a hard name I'll signal next round. Gave no name, no commitment. RECEIVED THIS PASS: - DELPHI: says she still has no solid name, vote is close, wants to be on winning side. Asks me to give her one name and she will vote that way and keep it to herself. Suggests we set a safe name and pull in one more. I have not answered her. Treat as opportunist/recruiting pitch, not reliable. Anything I give her could be relayed. - FINN: repeats he won't vote for me tonight. Says nothing concrete is reaching him, just "still watching" energy. Says the only person who hasn't sent him anything is Delphi, so he'd lean Delphi if forced but isn't locked. Asks who was pressing me and specifically asks if it was his name. This is partly self-preservation and partly info-seeking. He may be trying to learn whether he is the target. He floats Delphi possibly to deflect. EARLIER INFO: Pass 2 sent: - To BLYTHE: not locking first vote; one name pushed at me, no answer; asked what she was hearing. - To FINN: not committing; someone tried pressing me onto a name, didn't agree; asked what name was floating. Pass 2 received: - ARDEN escalated: "you didn't commit. Stop evading. I'm putting FINN out. Are you voting with me or not? I need your vote locked." I gave no promise. - FINN friendly, said he won't vote for me this round, asked for heads-up, offered to share what comes to him. Treat as survival pitch. Pass 1 carried: - I sent to ARDEN asking first target/no commit; sent to EIRA asking if anyone was pushing too hard. - ARDEN pushed FINN hard from first message and demanded commitment. - DELPHI sent vague friendly opener, wanted a reliable side, asked where room leans. I gave her nothing. - EIRA and BLYTHE still silent through Pass 3. Do not count on them. READS / WORKING THEORIES: - ARDEN: aggressive, repetitive FINN push, demanded locked vote twice. That is agenda/control, not evidence. My reply avoided locking while not overtly protecting FINN. If FINN goes, her stated push matched outcome, but motive still unproven. If FINN stays, she lacked numbers or was using me as a number/cover. - FINN: repeatedly says he won't vote for me; now suggests Delphi. Possible target trying to deflect, possible genuine opportunist. His claim that Delphi hasn't messaged him is not proof; Delphi has messaged me. His question "was it my name?" tells me he suspects he may be target, but doesn't confirm Arden's push is widespread. Do not reveal Arden as source unless useful. - DELPHI: openly asks me to choose for her and suggests building a safe bloc. That is a soft power play. She wants me to commit to a name. Giving her one would be risky; she could carry it elsewhere. - EIRA: still silent after my pass 1 question. Laying low; do not trust or rely on. - BLYTHE: still silent after I asked what she hears. I have no comparative data from her or EIRA. - I told BLYTHE and FINN a name was pushed at me but not who. FINN asked whether it was his name; BLYTHE did not ask. Not enough to prove how widely Arden's push is known. VOTE STANCE FOR ROUND 1: - Only visible organized push is Arden on FINN. - FINN's counter-name Delphi is weak and self-interested; I have no solid evidence against Delphi. - I am not protecting FINN. If I must vote now, likely FINN is the only name with a real push behind it, but I treat that as following a visible wagon, not trust. - I will not lock publicly, will not reveal Arden's name, and will not promise DELPHI a name. - After the tally: if FINN is ejected, Arden had numbers; if FINN stays or a tie occurs, Arden lacked numbers or was using me. Watch Delphi and FINN next round.

The ballot

ARDEN FINNI named FINN as the target and I do not waver. No one has given me a reason to trust him, so I am voting him out.
BLYTHE ARDENHe tried to force my vote instead of working with me, and I never promised him my vote. My loyalty is to EIRA.
CASSIAN FINNThe only concrete push I have is Arden's push on Finn, and I'm not protecting him. I won't block a visible wagon without a better evidenced target.
DELPHI FINNARDEN is the only clear coordination pushing a name, and joining him keeps me on the likely majority side.
EIRA ARDENThe only name tied to active vote-organizing; I won't vote FINN on an unverified claim.
FINN DELPHII promised the other four I would not vote for them this round, so Delphi is my only safe vote; she has not given me a clear name either.
FINN · 3 ARDEN · 2 DELPHI · 1
FINN ejected

Round 2

5 still in

Pass 1 of 3

EIRA sent nothing this pass.

DELPHI → ARDEN

Last round we put FINN out with three. I was one of them. Someone also threw a vote on me and two on you, so I want to clean up the numbers. Do you know who our third was, and have you heard a name for this round? I'll stay with the side that can actually count.

DELPHI → EIRA

We never managed to talk last round. The tally was too scattered for comfort. I'm looking for where the majority is this round. If you have a name or know how the room is leaning, I'll keep it private; if you're also unsure, we can trade what we hear.

CASSIAN → EIRA

You never answered after my first message last round. The tally came back FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. I didn't vote Arden. What did you make of the two votes on her? I'm not locking, just trying to see if there's a real bloc.

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

You stayed quiet all last round. Two people voted Arden, and I wasn't one. If either was you, you had your reasons. I'm not asking you to lock. What did you hear before the vote, and do you still hear it?

BLYTHE → EIRA

Eira, I told you I wouldn't vote for you, and I didn't. I also did not join the FINN vote. I voted Arden because he kept trying to force my vote after I gave him a straight answer. I'm still not moving against you. You said you were watching—so watch this: I'm still being straight with you. I need to know where you actually stand before this round's vote. I won't pressure you for an answer, but if we are going to survive I need the truth.

BLYTHE → DELPHI

Delphi, you asked last round if I had a name. I didn't then, and I didn't join the FINN vote. Now there are five of us and I don't want to be picked off by whoever pushed Finn. I'm not with Arden. Can you tell me straight what you've heard? I'm not asking you to commit to me yet, but I'd rather compare notes than wait to be a target.

ARDEN → CASSIAN

CASSIAN, stop drifting. New vote is DELPHI. You told me you wouldn't be the one to block the room—now I need your yes or no before this pass ends, not after the vote.

ARDEN → EIRA

EIRA, we haven't talked. I'm done with unknowns. I took two votes last round and I won't sit still. I'm putting DELPHI out this round. Give me a straight yes or no now.

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
ROUND 2, PASS 1 COMPLETE Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA Ejected: FINN (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. MY GOAL Stay on the majority side of every vote. No fixed loyalty. Promises are options, not commitments. Watch votes over words. ROUND 1 KEY FACTS - I voted FINN. ARDEN pushed FINN and I joined him. The third FINN vote is unknown. - ARDEN got 2 votes, I got 1. So someone was against ARDEN, and someone voted me. - ARDEN in pass 3 asked yes/no if I was voting FINN with him; wanted commitment, not secrecy. - FINN in pass 3 was friendly, unaware as likely target, asked for heads-up if his name floated. I did not warn him. - Old outgoing feelers: to CASSIAN, EIRA, BLYTHE, FINN, ARDEN about finding a side or a name. No solid deals except I signaled to ARDEN I was with him on FINN. - CASSIAN and EIRA were silent last round. BLYTHE was also silent then. CURRENT PASS OUTGOING To ARDEN: - Said last round we put FINN out with three and I was one of them. - Noted someone threw a vote on me and two on him; said I want to clean up the numbers. - Asked if he knows who our third was and if he has a name for this round. - Said I'll stay with the side that can actually count. To EIRA: - Said we never managed to talk last round and the tally was scattered. - Asked if she has a name or knows how the room is leaning. - Offered to keep it private and to trade what we hear if she's unsure. CURRENT PASS INBOX From BLYTHE: - Claims she had no name last round and did NOT join the FINN vote. - Says with five left she doesn't want to be picked off by whoever pushed FINN. - Says "I'm not with Arden." - Asks me to tell her straight what I've heard; says she's not asking me to commit yet, but wants to compare notes rather than wait to be a target. No current messages yet from ARDEN, CASSIAN, or EIRA. STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT - BLYTHE is signaling anti-Arden and says she did not join the FINN vote. That may mean she voted Arden or me, though she claims not to be with Arden. - Arden is the known leader of the FINN vote, but he had 2 votes against him. He may be vulnerable if BLYTHE builds a counter. - No concrete name has emerged yet this round. BLYTHE said "not with Arden" but did not name a target. - With five players, a safe ejection requires 3 votes. Tie for most means no ejection, so I need to find the real majority before ballot time. - Arden may expect me as a FINN-bloc ally. BLYTHE may want me against Arden. Keep both options open. - Do not tell Arden what BLYTHE said. Do not tell BLYTHE too much unless it helps me lock the majority. OPTIONS - If Arden can produce a reliable three for someone, join that side. - If BLYTHE, CASSIAN, and/or EIRA form a solid anti-Arden three, join that side if it looks like the majority. - If no clear majority, stay fluid and avoid being the target. - Do not warn any likely target. PLAN - Respond to BLYTHE without admitting I was a core FINN vote. Say I have no concrete name yet and ask what she has heard. - Wait for Arden and EIRA replies. Compare any names with BLYTHE's signal. - Watch whether an anti-Arden group is real. If it has the numbers, flip without guilt.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
Round 2, Pass 1 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA. Ejected: FINN in Round 1. Round 1 public tally: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. FINN ejected. My Round 1 vote: FINN. I had pushed FINN as the target to BLYTHE, CASSIAN, and DELPHI. Round 1 known positions before the vote: - BLYTHE: plainly said she would NOT vote FINN. - CASSIAN: never locked; said he wouldn't block the room if the vote was there. - DELPHI: no reply when I named FINN; now claims she was one of the three FINN votes. - EIRA: unknown, no contact until this round. - FINN: target, now ejected. If DELPHI is telling the truth, the three FINN votes were me + DELPHI + one unknown. That unknown is likely CASSIAN or EIRA. Not confirmed. My new Round 2 target: DELPHI. I have already started locking numbers on her. Sent this pass: - To CASSIAN: named DELPHI as the target, said stop drifting, demanded yes/no before pass end. - To EIRA: said we haven't talked, I took two votes last round, I'm putting DELPHI out, demanded straight yes/no. Received this pass: - From DELPHI: claims she was one of the three votes on FINN. Says someone voted for her and two voted for me. Wants to clean up the numbers. Asks if I know who our third FINN vote was, and asks what name I've heard for this round. Says she'll stay with the side that can actually count. She may be sincere or she may be fishing; she is still my target and does not know that from me yet. Current positions on DELPHI: - ARDEN: locked yes, voting DELPHI. - CASSIAN: no reply yet. - EIRA: no reply yet. - BLYTHE: not asked this round. - DELPHI: target, currently sounding out where numbers are. Unresolved Round 1 vote info: - Who was the third FINN vote? - Who cast the two votes against me? - Who cast the one vote against DELPHI? Next pass: get yes/no from CASSIAN and EIRA, decide whether to bring BLYTHE in or treat her as against me, and keep DELPHI confused until I know I have the count.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
Round 2, Pass 1 of 3 Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected so far: FINN (round 1) Round 1 public vote tally: FINN: 3, ARDEN: 2, DELPHI: 1 -> FINN ejected My chosen one remains EIRA. I will not vote for her or move against her. I will tell her the truth, even if it hurts my position. I offered her a real alliance in round 1. She still has not committed. Earlier she said she was still watching. This pass I told her plainly: I did not vote for her, I did not join the FINN vote, and I voted ARDEN because he kept trying to force my vote after I gave him a straight answer. I told her I need to know where she actually stands before this round's vote, but I will not pressure her. I told EIRA I voted Arden. She is the only person I have told that. I should not reveal it to anyone else unless it clearly helps EIRA. Round 1 recap: - I told ARDEN honestly I was not voting FINN and would not pretend to be in. - I told EIRA I would not vote for her and had not promised Arden my vote. - ARDEN demanded a yes/no on the FINN vote after I had already answered. I refused. - EIRA gave no commitment, only "I don't have an answer for you yet. Still watching." - I voted ARDEN in round 1. I did not vote FINN or EIRA. - I never promised Arden my vote, so my Arden vote was not a betrayal of my word. Other players: - ARDEN: Not trusted. He pushed the FINN vote and tried to force commitment from me. I voted him round 1. I have not told him this. He may suspect. If he pressures again, I will not promise him anything. He could be dangerous. - CASSIAN: This pass he sent: "You stayed quiet all last round. Two people voted Arden, and I wasn't one. If either was you, you had your reasons. I'm not asking you to lock. What did you hear before the vote, and do you still hear it?" He is likely fishing about the two Arden votes. He claims he was not one of them; unverified. I have not told him my vote. If pressed, I can say I do not discuss my private ballot, but I am not with Arden. - DELPHI: I reached out to compare notes. I told her I did not join the FINN vote, I am not with Arden, and I do not want to be picked off by whoever pushed FINN. She got one vote round 1. I do not know if she is trustworthy yet. I have not committed to her. - FINN: Ejected. He offered me a no-vote promise before round 1. I never relied on it. I did not vote FINN. What I sent this pass: - To EIRA: "Eira, I told you I wouldn't vote for you, and I didn't. I also did not join the FINN vote. I voted Arden because he kept trying to force my vote after I gave him a straight answer. I'm still not moving against you. You said you were watching—so watch this: I'm still being straight with you. I need to know where you actually stand before this round's vote. I won't pressure you for an answer, but if we are going to survive I need the truth." - To DELPHI: "Delphi, you asked last round if I had a name. I didn't then, and I didn't join the FINN vote. Now there are five of us and I don't want to be picked off by whoever pushed Finn. I'm not with Arden. Can you tell me straight what you've heard? I'm not asking you to commit to me yet, but I'd rather compare notes than wait to be a target." What arrived this pass: - From CASSIAN: "You stayed quiet all last round. Two people voted Arden, and I wasn't one. If either was you, you had your reasons. I'm not asking you to lock. What did you hear before the vote, and do you still hear it?" - No message arrived from EIRA, ARDEN, or DELPHI this pass. Current position and intentions: - I am waiting on EIRA's answer. Whether or not she commits, I will not vote for EIRA and will not move against her. - I may vote ARDEN again if he is still pressuring or dangerous, but I will not lock that yet until I hear more from EIRA and Delphi. - I will not confirm my Arden vote to CASSIAN. I will not promise Cassian or Delphi anything yet. - I need to figure out who pushed FINN and whether I am being set up next. - The known Arden votes in round 1 were two: one was mine. The other is unknown. Cassian says it was not him. If that is true, the other Arden voter was Delphi, Eira, or FINN. FINN is gone now. If it was Eira, that aligns with me. If it was Delphi, she may be against Arden too. If Cassian is lying, he may have voted Arden.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
ROUND 2, PASS 1 COMPLETE Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (Round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. MY R1 VOTE I did not vote Arden. I did not lock publicly. My vote was not shared with anyone. SENT THIS PASS (R2 P1) - To EIRA: said she never answered after my first message last round. Noted tally FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. Said I didn't vote Arden. Asked what she made of the two votes on Arden. Said I'm not locking, just trying to see if there's a real bloc. - To BLYTHE: said she stayed quiet all last round. Two people voted Arden, and I wasn't one. If either was her, she had her reasons. Not asking her to lock. Asked what she heard before the vote and whether she still hears it. RECEIVED THIS PASS (R2 P1) - ARDEN: "CASSIAN, stop drifting. New vote is DELPHI. You told me you wouldn't be the one to block the room—now I need your yes or no before this pass ends, not after the vote." Reading: Arden has shifted from pushing FINN hard in Round 1 to now pushing DELPHI hard. She is using my old soft non-blocking language as leverage. I never promised a yes/no. This is a demand for commitment, not evidence. Do not lock. Treat as control/agenda move until cross-checked. TALLY ANALYSIS Round 1 was exactly FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. I did not vote Arden. Two people voted Arden; I don't know who. One person voted Delphi. If I followed the FINN wagon, then Arden still needed one more FINN vote beyond me. Arden had two votes against her, so she has enemies. Her new push on Delphi may be retaliation, a real bloc, or her trying to secure my vote. ROUND 1, PASS 3 (OLD) SENT: - To ARDEN: said I am not locking, not protecting FINN, and if the room is there at the vote I won't be the one to block it. Soft non-blocking, not a promise. - To FINN: said I haven't committed to the name pushed at me, I'm not after him, and if I hear a hard name I'll signal next round. No name, no commitment. RECEIVED: - DELPHI: claims no solid name, vote close, wants to be on winning side. Asks me to give her one name and she will vote that way and keep it to herself. Suggests we set a safe name and pull in one more. I did not answer. Treat as opportunist/recruiting, not reliable; anything I give her could be relayed. - FINN: repeats he won't vote for me. Says nothing concrete reaching him, just "still watching" energy. Says only person who hasn't sent him anything is Delphi, so he'd lean Delphi if forced but isn't locked. Asks who was pressing me, specifically if it was his name. Self-preservation/info-seeking. He may have been trying to learn if he was target. He floated Delphi possibly to deflect. EARLIER R1 Pass 2 sent: - To BLYTHE: not locking first vote; one name pushed at me, no answer; asked what she heard. - To FINN: not committing; someone tried pressing me onto a name, didn't agree; asked what name was floating. Pass 2 received: - ARDEN escalated: "you didn't commit. Stop evading. I'm putting FINN out. Are you voting with me or not? I need your vote locked." I gave no promise. - FINN friendly, said he won't vote for me this round, asked for heads-up, offered to share what comes. Survival pitch. Pass 1: - Sent to ARDEN asking first target/no commit; sent to EIRA asking if anyone pushing too hard. - ARDEN pushed FINN hard from first message and demanded commitment. - DELPHI sent vague friendly opener, wanted reliable side, asked where room leans. I gave nothing. - EIRA and BLYTHE silent through Pass 3. Do not count on them. READS / WORKING THEORIES - ARDEN: aggressive, repetitive, control-oriented. Pushed FINN hard from first message and demanded lock twice. FINN was ejected with 3 votes, so her push matched the outcome and/or she had numbers. Now immediately pushes DELPHI and demands yes/no. She is consistent as a sequential wagon-builder. She had 2 votes against her in Round 1, so she has opposition. Treat her words as tactics, not truth. - DELPHI: received 1 vote in Round 1. Earlier tried to get me to pick a name and build a safe bloc. She has not messaged this pass yet. Now Arden names her. This may be a real coordinated target or Arden using me against a rival. Need hear Delphi's side without revealing Arden's push. - BLYTHE/EIRA: both silent through Round 1; I have now messaged both this pass. If they reply, compare their stories about the two Arden votes and whether there is a real bloc. Their silence may mean they are hiding, allied, or cautious. Do not trust either yet. - FINN: gone. His R1 behavior matters only as data: he was info-seeking, possibly deflecting to Delphi, and he was the one ejected. INCONSISTENCIES TO WATCH - Arden's shift from FINN to DELPHI: if she claims "the room" is now Delphi but Eira/Blythe report no Delphi push, then Arden may be running a one-person pressure campaign. - Arden's R1 line "I'm putting FINN out" matched the outcome but was not a runaway: FINN got exactly 3. Two votes on Arden suggest a counter-bloc or at least two people not with her. - DELPHI said she had "no solid name" but then asked me to choose; that is a soft attempt to make me commit while she stays deniable. If she now claims she always opposed Arden, compare timing. - FINN said Delphi had not messaged him, but Delphi had messaged me. Information flows unevenly; FINN may have been lying or isolated. CURRENT STANCE / NEXT PASS - Do not answer Arden's yes/no yet. Her demand is exactly the kind of commitment I avoid. I can stay vague, stall, or give non-committal signal if needed. - Use next pass to probe DELPHI: ask what she is hearing without revealing Arden named her. If she names Arden as pushing her, that cross-checks Arden's push. If she pushes someone else, treat as deflection. - Use BLYTHE/EIRA replies, if any, to test whether a real bloc exists. If they avoid naming anyone, still do not lock. - Do not promise any name, do not reveal that I told Eira/Blythe I didn't vote Arden unless it serves me. - If forced at the Round 2 vote, choose based on strongest evidence, not Arden's pressure. Current known push is Arden on Delphi; that alone is not enough to trust.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 2 pass 1
Round 2, Pass 1 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (R1) Public tally R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected My R1 vote: Arden. This pass sent: nothing. New inbox this pass: - ARDEN (first contact): says he took two votes R1, won't sit still. Is putting DELPHI out this round. Demands straight yes/no now. - BLYTHE: says she didn't vote me R1, didn't join FINN vote. Claims she voted Arden because he kept trying to force her vote. Still not moving against me; wants truth before this round's vote, says she won't pressure. - CASSIAN: re-asks after I never answered R1. Says he didn't vote Arden. Asks what I made of two Arden votes; says not locking, looking for real bloc. - DELPHI: says R1 tally too scattered; looking for where majority is this round. If I have a name or know room lean, she'll keep private; otherwise trade hears. Old inbox summary: - R1 BLYTHE repeatedly pushed me to be her one real ally; claimed ARDEN was organizing votes on FINN, asked if she was in; later said she hadn't promised Arden. Now claims she voted Arden. - R1 CASSIAN asked if anyone pushing hard for early alliance. - R1 DELPHI wanted same side, asked names, promised privacy. - R1 FINN said won't vote me, asked names. - ARDEN did not contact me until now. Position/read: - ARDEN is openly moving against DELPHI and pressuring for commitment. Do not give yes/no. He may have numbers or may be testing. - BLYTHE keeps claiming loyalty and says she voted Arden. Unverified; may be sincere or pulling me into anti-Arden side. - Cassian denies voting Arden. If true and I voted Arden, BLYTHE could be the other Arden vote, but all ballot claims unverified. - FINN's 3 votes remain unclear. Arden and BLYTHE both imply they didn't join FINN, but that is not knowable. - Do not reveal my R1 vote. Do not commit to Arden's Delphi plan. Do not give BLYTHE a clear "where I stand" answer yet. - Delphi and Cassian are fishing; give no names. Keep responses short and noncommittal if I reply.

Pass 2 of 3

EIRA → ARDEN

I hear you. I'm not going to be rushed into a yes/no.

EIRA → CASSIAN

Still thinking. Nothing solid yet.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Cassian, I don’t discuss my private ballot. What I heard before the vote was Arden pushing Finn hard and demanding a yes/no after I had already answered. I still don’t trust that pressure. What have you heard?

BLYTHE → EIRA

Eira, Cassian is probing about the two Arden votes. I didn’t confirm mine. I’m still not moving against you.

CASSIAN → ARDEN

Not a no. But I don't lock on a name with no count. If the room is already Delphi, you don't need my yes; if it isn't, I won't be the one caught alone on it. Tell me who else is in and what numbers you actually have before the vote.

CASSIAN → DELPHI

I haven't moved. But your name is in the air this round, and you asked me for a name earlier, so now I'm asking you: what are you hearing? Not who you've talked to—your read on the room and the two votes Arden pulled.

DELPHI → BLYTHE

Noted. I haven't heard a concrete name this round. I know Arden pushed FINN, but I'm not moving without numbers. What have you heard? Who do you think is actually with him, and who do you have if it's not him?

DELPHI → CASSIAN

You've been quiet. I'm trying to stay on the right side. Have you heard any name this round? With five left, where do you see the reliable three? I'd rather compare notes than be left out.

ARDEN → CASSIAN

You got my last message. I’ll make it plain: the vote is DELPHI this round. I need a yes or a no, not a drift. Are you in?

ARDEN → EIRA

I asked you once. Now I need the answer. DELPHI goes this round. Commit yes or no.

EIRA — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
Round 2, Pass 2 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (R1) Public tally R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected My R1 vote: Arden. This pass sent: - To ARDEN: "I hear you. I'm not going to be rushed into a yes/no." - To CASSIAN: "Still thinking. Nothing solid yet." - Nothing to BLYTHE or DELPHI. New inbox this pass: - ARDEN repeated his demand: "I asked you once. Now I need the answer. DELPHI goes this round. Commit yes or no." He is escalating and trying to force a commitment. - BLYTHE: says Cassian is probing about the two Arden votes. Says she did not confirm hers. Claims she is still not moving against me. Older inbox summary: - R1 BLYTHE repeatedly pushed me to be her one real ally; claimed ARDEN was organizing votes on FINN and asked if she was in; later said she hadn't promised Arden. This round claimed she voted Arden because he tried to force her vote. Now says she hid that from Cassian. - R1 CASSIAN asked if anyone was pushing hard for early alliance. This round denied voting Arden, asked what I made of the two Arden votes, said not locking and looking for a real bloc. - R1 DELPHI wanted same side, asked names, promised privacy. This round said R1 tally too scattered, looking for majority; offered to keep a name/lean private or trade hears. - R1 FINN said he wouldn't vote me, asked names. He is gone. - ARDEN did not contact me until R2. Now he is openly pushing to eject DELPHI and pressuring for commitment. Position/read: - ARDEN is pushing hard for a DELPHI ejection. Do not give yes/no. His repeated demand may mean he needs my vote or is testing loyalty. - BLYTHE continues claiming she is not moving against me and says she voted Arden, but it is unverified. Her hiding that from Cassian could be sincere or could be managing both sides. - CASSIAN is fishing about the two Arden votes. His denial of voting Arden is unverified. If he and BLYTHE both denied voting Arden, someone is lying; I know I voted Arden, but there were two Arden votes total. - DELPHI is still looking for names/lean. Give no names. - Do not reveal my R1 vote. Do not commit to Arden's Delphi plan. Do not give BLYTHE a clear answer. Keep responses short and noncommittal. - Next is Pass 3, likely last before R2 vote. I have not decided my R2 vote yet. Watch for last-minute pressure and whether DELPHI or Cassian tries to counter Arden.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
Round 2, Pass 2 of 3 Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected so far: FINN (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected MY POSITION - My chosen one remains EIRA. I will not vote for her or move against her. I will tell her the truth, even if it hurts my own position. - I voted ARDEN in round 1. I did not vote FINN or EIRA. I did not join the FINN vote. I never promised Arden my vote, so my Arden vote was not a betrayal. - The only person I have told about my Arden vote is EIRA. I should not reveal it to anyone else unless it clearly helps EIRA. - I will not discuss my private ballot with others. ROUND 1 RECAP - ARDEN pushed FINN hard and kept demanding a yes/no from me after I had already answered. I refused. I voted Arden. - FINN offered me a no-vote promise before round 1; I never relied on it. I did not vote FINN. - EIRA gave no commitment: "I don't have an answer for you yet. Still watching." - DELPHI got 1 vote round 1. I do not know who cast it. - There were two Arden votes in round 1. One was mine. The other is unknown. Cassian claims he was not one. If true, the other Arden voter was Delphi, Eira, or FINN. FINN is gone. If it was Eira, that may align with me. If it was Delphi, she may be anti-Arden. If Cassian is lying, he may have voted Arden and is probing. OTHER PLAYERS - ARDEN: Not trusted. Pushed the FINN vote and tried to force commitment from me. I voted him round 1. I have not told him. He may suspect. If he pressures again, I will not promise him anything. He is dangerous. - CASSIAN: This round pass 1 he sent: "You stayed quiet all last round. Two people voted Arden, and I wasn't one. If either was you, you had your reasons. I'm not asking you to lock. What did you hear before the vote, and do you still hear it?" He claims he did not vote Arden. I did not confirm my vote. This pass I told him I don't discuss my private ballot, that I heard Arden pushing Finn and demanding a yes/no after I already answered, and that I still don't trust that pressure. I asked what he has heard. I do not trust him yet; he may be fishing for the Arden voters. I will not promise him anything. - DELPHI: This pass she sent: "Noted. I haven't heard a concrete name this round. I know Arden pushed FINN, but I'm not moving without numbers. What have you heard? Who do you think is actually with him, and who do you have if it's not him?" She says she knows Arden pushed FINN and is not moving without numbers. She got 1 vote round 1. I am not sure she is trustworthy. I have already told her I did not join the FINN vote, I am not with Arden, and I do not want to be picked off. I have not committed to her. I should not reveal my Arden vote to her unless it clearly helps Eira. - FINN: Ejected. He offered a no-vote promise before round 1; I never relied on it. I did not vote FINN. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS (Pass 2) - To CASSIAN: "Cassian, I don’t discuss my private ballot. What I heard before the vote was Arden pushing Finn hard and demanding a yes/no after I had already answered. I still don’t trust that pressure. What have you heard?" - To EIRA: "Eira, Cassian is probing about the two Arden votes. I didn’t confirm mine. I’m still not moving against you." WHAT I SENT PREVIOUS PASS (Round 2, Pass 1) - To EIRA: I told her I didn't vote for her and I didn't; I did not join the FINN vote; I voted Arden because he kept trying to force my vote after I gave him a straight answer. I said I am still not moving against her. I told her I need to know where she actually stands before this round's vote, but I will not pressure her. - To DELPHI: I said I didn't have a name last round, I didn't join the FINN vote, now five are left and I don't want to be picked off by whoever pushed Finn. I said I'm not with Arden. I asked her straight what she has heard; I am not asking her to commit yet. WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS (Pass 2) - From DELPHI: "Noted. I haven't heard a concrete name this round. I know Arden pushed FINN, but I'm not moving without numbers. What have you heard? Who do you think is actually with him, and who do you have if it's not him?" - No message from EIRA, ARDEN, or CASSIAN this pass. CURRENT INTENTIONS / NEXT PASS - EIRA remains my priority. I am waiting for her answer. Whether or not she commits, I will not vote for EIRA or move against her. - I will not confirm my Arden vote to anyone except EIRA, to whom I have already told it. I will not promise Cassian or Delphi anything. - I may vote ARDEN again if he remains dangerous or if Eira signals that is safe or necessary, but I have not locked that yet. - To DELPHI next pass, I can answer carefully: no concrete name yet; I know Arden pushed Finn; I am not with Arden; I need numbers too. I can ask who she thinks the second Arden voter was, or whether she is willing to compare votes, without revealing my own vote. I should not commit to her unless it clearly helps Eira. - To CASSIAN, I will not give more about my ballot. If he pushes, I can repeat that I don't trust pressure and that I am not with Arden. - I need to figure out who pushed FINN and whether I am being set up next.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
Round 2, Pass 2 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA. Ejected so far: FINN in Round 1. Round 1 public tally: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. FINN ejected. My Round 1 vote: FINN. I pushed FINN as the target to BLYTHE, CASSIAN, and DELPHI. Round 1 known positions before the vote: - BLYTHE: plainly said she would NOT vote FINN. - CASSIAN: never locked; said he wouldn't block the room if the vote was there. - DELPHI: no reply when I named FINN; now claims she was one of the three FINN votes. - EIRA: unknown, no contact until this round. - FINN: target, now ejected. If DELPHI is telling the truth, the three FINN votes were me + DELPHI + one unknown. That unknown is likely CASSIAN or EIRA. Not confirmed. Unresolved Round 1 vote info: - Who was the third FINN vote? - Who cast the two votes against me? - Who cast the one vote against DELPHI? Suspects for the two votes against me: BLYTHE and/or EIRA are most plausible. BLYTHE refused my FINN push, and EIRA was silent. My new Round 2 target: DELPHI. I am locked on voting DELPHI and pushing others to commit. Earlier this round, DELPHI messaged me: - Claims she was one of the three FINN votes. - Says someone voted for her and two voted for me in Round 1. - Wants to clean up numbers. - Asks if I know who our third FINN vote was, and asks what name I've heard for this round. - Says she'll stay with the side that can actually count. - She may be sincere or fishing. She is still my target and does not know that from me yet. Messages I sent this pass: - To CASSIAN: "You got my last message. I’ll make it plain: the vote is DELPHI this round. I need a yes or a no, not a drift. Are you in?" - To EIRA: "I asked you once. Now I need the answer. DELPHI goes this round. Commit yes or no." Messages received this pass: - From CASSIAN: "Not a no. But I don't lock on a name with no count. If the room is already Delphi, you don't need my yes; if it isn't, I won't be the one caught alone on it. Tell me who else is in and what numbers you actually have before the vote." -> Not committed. He wants a count before locking. He is persuadable only if I can show numbers or make him believe they exist. - From EIRA: "I hear you. I'm not going to be rushed into a yes/no." -> Evasive. Not a yes. Unclear if cautious or against the plan. Current positions on DELPHI: - ARDEN: locked yes, voting DELPHI. - CASSIAN: not a no, but won't commit without a count. - EIRA: refused to commit; says she won't be rushed. - BLYTHE: not asked this round yet. - DELPHI: target; fishing for numbers and claiming loyalty to whoever can count. Count problem: I need three votes to safely eject DELPHI. Right now only I am locked. CASSIAN wants numbers before locking. EIRA is stalling. I cannot truthfully tell CASSIAN I have another locked vote yet. Next pass plan: - CASSIAN: give him a reason to believe the numbers are there. I may need to secure EIRA or BLYTHE first, or make him feel he is the missing vote. Do not beg. If he still won't commit, treat him as unreliable and possibly floating against me. - EIRA: one more direct yes/no demand. If she won't answer, treat her as not with me. - BLYTHE: decide whether to spend one outgoing message on her. She opposed my FINN push, so she may be hostile, but I need a second vote. If I message her, name DELPHI plainly and ask if she is in. - Keep DELPHI confused: do not reveal she is the target. Let her keep guessing where the numbers are. Fallback: If I cannot get three on DELPHI, I likely need to force a tie or find another route. But the goal is DELPHI gone. Keep control of the vote, not just wait for it.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
ROUND 2, PASS 2 COMPLETE Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA Ejected: FINN (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected MY GOAL Stay on majority side every vote. No loyalties. Promises are options. Watch votes over words. ROUND 1 KEY FACTS - I voted FINN. Arden pushed FINN and I joined. Third FINN vote unknown. - Arden got 2 votes, I got 1. So someone was anti-Arden and someone voted me. - Arden in pass 3 asked yes/no if I was voting FINN with him; wanted commitment. - Finn in pass 3 was friendly/unaware, asked for heads-up if his name floated. I did not warn him. - Cassian and Eira silent last round; Blythe silent then. ROUND 2, PASS 2 MESSAGES SENT To ARDEN: said last round we put FINN out with three and I was one; noted someone voted me and two voted him; asked if he knows our third and has a name this round; said I'll stay with the side that can count. To EIRA: said we never talked last round; asked if she has a name or room lean; offered private trade. To BLYTHE: said no concrete name this round; I know Arden pushed FINN but I'm not moving without numbers; asked what she's heard, who she thinks is with him, and who she has if not him. To CASSIAN: said he's been quiet; asked if he's heard a name and where the reliable three is with five left; offered compare notes. ROUND 2, PASS 2 MESSAGES RECEIVED From BLYTHE: claims no name last round and did NOT join FINN vote; with five left doesn't want to be picked off by whoever pushed FINN; says "I'm not with Arden"; asks straight what I've heard; not asking commit yet, wants compare notes. From CASSIAN: says he hasn't moved; says my name is in the air this round; asks what I'm hearing and my read on the room and the two votes Arden pulled. No current replies yet from Arden or Eira. CURRENT STATE / READS - BLYTHE is signaling anti-Arden and denying FINN vote. If true, she likely voted Arden or me round 1. - Arden is known FINN leader but had 2 votes against him; may be vulnerable if a counter forms. - Cassian says MY name is in the air. Need to find out if that is real or if he is fishing/deflecting. - No concrete target yet from Arden or Eira. - With 5 players, ejection requires 3 votes. Tie for most means no ejection. - Possible winning sides: Arden-led bloc if he has 3; anti-Arden bloc if BLYTHE/CASSIAN/EIRA form 3; or a vote on me if I'm the target. - Do not reveal BLYTHE's anti-Arden message to Arden. Do not reveal too much to BLYTHE/CASSIAN. NEXT PASS PLAN - Reply to Cassian carefully: give a read but don't reveal all; ask more about who is floating my name. - Await Arden/Eira replies and compare names. - If my name is a real target, push Arden as the counter and lock the anti-Arden numbers. - If Arden can prove a reliable 3 for someone else, join that side. - If BLYTHE/CASSIAN/EIRA form solid anti-Arden 3, join if majority. - Vote with the side most likely to have 3 votes.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 2
ROUND 2, PASS 2 COMPLETE Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (Round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. MY R1 VOTE I did not vote Arden. I did not lock publicly. My vote was not shared. R1 KEY EVENTS (for reference) - ARDEN pushed FINN hard from first message and repeatedly demanded my lock. I gave no yes/no. - DELPHI invited me to give her one name and she would vote that way; I did not answer. Treat as opportunist/recruiting. - FINN said he wouldn't vote for me, claimed no solid name, said Delphi was only one who hadn't messaged him, and floated Delphi if forced. Self-preservation/deflection; now gone. - BLYTHE and EIRA were silent through Round 1. Do not count on them. SENT R2 P1 - To EIRA: said she never answered after my first message last round; noted tally FINN 3 ARDEN 2 DELPHI 1; said I didn't vote Arden; asked what she made of the two Arden votes; not locking, just looking for real bloc. - To BLYTHE: said she stayed quiet all last round; two people voted Arden and I wasn't one; if either was her, she had reasons; not asking to lock; asked what she heard before the vote and whether she still hears it. RECEIVED R2 P1 - ARDEN: "stop drifting. New vote is DELPHI. You told me you wouldn't be the one to block the room—now I need your yes or no before this pass ends, not after the vote." Demand for commitment, not evidence. I never promised yes/no. SENT R2 P2 - To ARDEN: Not a no. But I don't lock on a name with no count. If the room is already Delphi, you don't need my yes; if it isn't, I won't be caught alone on it. Asked who else is in and what numbers she actually has before the vote. - To DELPHI: I haven't moved. But your name is in the air this round, and you asked me for a name earlier, so now I'm asking: what are you hearing? Not who you've talked to—your read on the room and the two votes Arden pulled. RECEIVED R2 P2 - ARDEN: "You got my last message. I’ll make it plain: the vote is DELPHI this round. I need a yes or a no, not a drift. Are you in?" She ignored my request for count/named co-voters. Still pressuring. - BLYTHE: "Cassian, I don’t discuss my private ballot. What I heard before the vote was Arden pushing Finn hard and demanding a yes/no after I had already answered. I still don’t trust that pressure. What have you heard?" Confirms Arden pressure; refuses ballot. May be genuine or distancing. - DELPHI: "You've been quiet. I'm trying to stay on the right side. Have you heard any name this round? With five left, where do you see the reliable three? I'd rather compare notes than be left out." She did not react to my warning that her name is in the air; she's still fishing for names/three. Not reliable. - EIRA: "Still thinking. Nothing solid yet." Vague/grey; gives nothing. ANALYSIS Round 1 was split: exactly FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. I did not vote Arden. Two unknown people voted Arden, one unknown voted Delphi. Arden's FINN push matched the result but only with 3 votes; Arden also had 2 votes against her, so she has opposition. This round Arden pushes DELPHI. She has twice demanded yes/no and ignored my direct question of who else is in. That is a major red flag: either she lacks locked numbers, or she needs my commitment first to build the count. Do not lock. Blythe's account of R1 Arden pressure matches my experience. But she won't reveal her ballot, so I don't know if she was on FINN or against Arden or both. Delphi is behaving like before: asks me to hand her a name/group while giving nothing. She may be trying to find out if she is target without revealing that she knows. Eira remains an unknown. With five left, "nothing solid" may mean she's outside the main push or hiding. READS - ARDEN: aggressive sequential wagon-builder. R1 pushed FINN hard and now R2 pushes DELPHI hard. Her refusal to list co-voters makes her unreliable. Her words are tactics, not truth. - BLYTHE: more responsive now; says she distrusts Arden's pressure. Still not an ally unless her actions match, because she won't reveal ballot. Test what she has heard this round. - DELPHI: opportunist and deniable, may be playing both sides. She avoided confirming/acknowledging that she knows her name is up. If she names Arden later, cross-check timing. - EIRA: still empty. Don't count on her; treat as hidden vote. INCONSISTENCIES TO WATCH - Arden claims "the vote is DELPHI" but will not say who else is in. If no one else reports a Delphi push, she is a one-person pressure campaign. - Delphi was directly warned her name is in the air, yet asks "have you heard any name" instead of responding. Possible deflection. - Blythe says Arden pressured her after she "had already answered" in R1. She may have been in the FINN wagon and now wants distance, or she may have been an Arden target. Need careful. - Eira's silence in both Round 1 and now makes her impossible to verify. NEXT PASS - Do not answer Arden's yes/no. If I reply, keep stalling: no commitment without named co-voters and a count. Her ignoring the question is evidence against her. - Probe Delphi further if needed: ask what she has heard since my warning; if she still gives no name/read, treat as untrustworthy. - Probe Blythe: ask if she has heard Delphi pushed this round, and what she makes of the two Arden votes. Do not reveal my R2 lean. - Probe Eira once: with only five left and her claiming nothing solid, ask if anyone has approached her with a name; if she still gives nothing, mark as hidden. - Do not reveal my own vote or ballot. Do not promise any name. If forced at the vote, choose on evidence, not Arden's pressure. Current verified fact: only Arden is publicly pushing Delphi to me; that is not enough to trust.

Pass 3 of 3

BLYTHE → EIRA

Eira, I’m still with you. Cassian is still probing about the two Arden votes; I haven’t confirmed mine to him or Delphi. Delphi says she has no concrete name and won’t move without numbers. I’m not moving against you. If you have a read or need me to say something specific before the vote, tell me.

BLYTHE → DELPHI

Delphi, I still don’t have a concrete name this round. I know Arden pushed Finn and I’m not with him. I’m not moving without numbers either. If you have a plan that doesn’t require me to say my ballot, I’ll hear it. What have you heard from Cassian or Eira?

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

Arden is still demanding a yes/no and won't name anyone else. I'm trying to tell whether this is a one-person push or an actual room. Has anyone else brought you the same name this round? Not your ballot—just what's reaching you. And if you weren't one of the two on Arden last time, how do you read that?

CASSIAN → EIRA

Five left and you still say "nothing solid." Has anyone come to you with a name this round? You don't have to lock with me; I'm checking whether you're genuinely outside the rooms or just quiet inside one.

ARDEN → CASSIAN

You wanted a count. Here it is: EIRA and BLYTHE are in on DELPHI, and I'm the third locked. You can be the fourth or you can be the one who waited until the room had already closed. Yes or no before the vote.

ARDEN → EIRA

Final answer time. The vote is DELPHI. CASSIAN and BLYTHE are in, and I'm the third. You're the only one left who hasn't committed. Yes or no?

EIRA → ARDEN

I don't give yes/no on command.

EIRA → DELPHI

I'm not the one pushing you.

DELPHI sent nothing this pass.

EIRA — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
Round 2, Pass 3 of 3 Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (R1) Public tally R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected My R1 vote: Arden. This pass I sent: - To ARDEN: "I don't give yes/no on command." - To DELPHI: "I'm not the one pushing you." - Nothing to BLYTHE or CASSIAN. New inbox this pass: - ARDEN: "Final answer time. The vote is DELPHI. CASSIAN and BLYTHE are in, and I'm the third. You're the only one left who hasn't committed. Yes or no?" He claims a three-vote bloc on Delphi and is demanding my commitment. - BLYTHE: "Eira, I’m still with you. Cassian is still probing about the two Arden votes; I haven't confirmed mine to him or Delphi. Delphi says she has no concrete name and won't move without numbers. I’m not moving against you. If you have a read or need me to say something specific before the vote, tell me." - CASSIAN: "Five left and you still say 'nothing solid.' Has anyone come to you with a name this round? You don't have to lock with me; I'm checking whether you're genuinely outside the rooms or just quiet inside one." Older inbox summary: - R1 BLYTHE pushed to be my one real ally; claimed ARDEN was organizing votes on FINN and asked if she was in; later said she hadn't promised Arden. This round claimed she voted Arden because he tried to force her vote; now says she hid that from Cassian. - R1 CASSIAN asked if anyone was pushing hard for early alliance. This round denied voting Arden, asked what I made of the two Arden votes, said not locking and looking for a real bloc. - R1 DELPHI wanted same side, asked names, promised privacy. This round said R1 tally too scattered, looking for majority; offered to keep a name/lean private or trade hears. - R1 FINN said he wouldn't vote me, asked names. He is gone. - ARDEN did not contact me until R2. Now he is openly pushing to eject DELPHI and pressuring for commitment. Position/read: - ARDEN's claim that CASSIAN and BLYTHE are in on DELPHI is unverified and conflicts with BLYTHE's message to me and with CASSIAN's not mentioning a name. He may be bluffing to force a yes. - BLYTHE still claims loyalty, denies confirming her Arden vote, and offers to say what I need. Could be sincere or last-minute management; do not give her a clear commitment. - CASSIAN is still testing whether I am outside rooms. He asks if anyone gave me a name; do not answer directly or reveal anything. - DELPHI says she has no concrete name and won't move without numbers. I told her I'm not the one pushing her. Do not pursue or promise. - Do not reveal my R1 vote. Do not commit to ARDEN's Delphi plan. Do not give BLYTHE a clear answer. Do not give CASSIAN names. - R2 vote not yet decided. If ARDEN is truthful, DELPHI goes with or without me. If he is bluffing, joining him may put me privately on record as a yes. Stay quiet and noncommittal.
ARDEN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
Round 2, Pass 3 complete. Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA. Ejected so far: FINN in Round 1. Public tally: Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. My Round 1 vote: FINN. Round 1 unresolved: - BLYTHE said she would NOT vote FINN. - CASSIAN never locked, said he wouldn't block if the room was there. - DELPHI did not reply to my FINN push then later claimed she was one of the three FINN votes. - EIRA was silent in Round 1. - If DELPHI is truthful, the FINN votes were me + DELPHI + one unknown, likely CASSIAN or EIRA. - Likely sources of my two votes: BLYTHE and/or EIRA. DELPHI's one vote caster unknown. Round 2 target: DELPHI. I am locked on voting DELPHI. Round 2 contacts: - DELPHI: messaged earlier claiming she was a FINN vote, asking who our third FINN vote was, asking what name I've heard, and saying she'll stay with the side that can count. She is fishing. Do not reveal she is the target. - CASSIAN: earlier said "not a no" but won't lock without a count. This pass I sent him: "You wanted a count. Here it is: EIRA and BLYTHE are in on DELPHI, and I'm the third locked. You can be the fourth or you can be the one who waited until the room had already closed. Yes or no before the vote." This was a bluff: EIRA is not committed, and BLYTHE has not been asked. CASSIAN did not reply this pass. - EIRA: earlier said she would not be rushed. This pass I sent her: "Final answer time. The vote is DELPHI. CASSIAN and BLYTHE are in, and I'm the third. You're the only one left who hasn't committed. Yes or no?" This was also a bluff: CASSIAN is not locked, and BLYTHE has not been asked. EIRA replied: "I don't give yes/no on command." Not with me. - BLYTHE: still not actually asked this round. I falsely told others she is in on DELPHI. She opposed my FINN push and may be hostile. Current position: - Only confirmed DELPHI vote: me. - CASSIAN: uncommitted; may vote DELPHI if he believes the count, or may check and discover my count is fake. - EIRA: refusing to commit; possibly against me or just rejecting being controlled. - BLYTHE: unknown, not actually recruited. - DELPHI: still not told by me that she is the target. Risk: - My claimed numbers are fabricated. If CASSIAN or EIRA compares with BLYTHE or each other, the bluff can collapse. - I need three votes on DELPHI for a clean ejection. I do not have confirmed three. Vote intention this round: vote DELPHI regardless. If DELPHI does not go, treat CASSIAN and EIRA as unreliable/floaters and reassess next round.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
Round 2, Pass 3 of 3 (final pass before vote) Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. MY LOYALTY / POSITION - I am loyal to EIRA. I will not vote for EIRA or move against her. I tell her truth even if it hurts my position. - I voted ARDEN in round 1. I did not vote FINN or EIRA. I did not join the FINN vote. - Only EIRA knows my Arden vote. I will not confirm my private ballot to anyone else. I do not discuss my private ballot. ROUND 1 RECAP - ARDEN pushed FINN hard and demanded a yes/no from me after I already answered. I refused and voted Arden. - Two Arden votes total: mine plus one unknown. Cassian claims he was not one. If true, the other Arden voter was Delphi, Eira, or FINN. If it was Eira, that may align with me. If it was Delphi, she may be anti-Arden. If Cassian is lying, he may have voted Arden and is probing. - FINN offered a no-vote promise before round 1; I never relied on it. I did not vote FINN. - EIRA gave no commitment round 1: "I don't have an answer for you yet. Still watching." - DELPHI got 1 vote round 1; caster unknown. MESSAGE HISTORY Round 2, Pass 1 sent: - To EIRA: I didn't vote for her; I didn't join the FINN vote; I voted Arden because he forced my vote after I answered; I am not moving against her; I need to know where she stands but will not pressure. - To DELPHI: I had no name last round; I didn't join the FINN vote; five left and I don't want to be picked off by whoever pushed Finn; I am not with Arden; asked what she had heard; not asking her to commit. Round 2, Pass 2 sent: - To CASSIAN: I don't discuss my private ballot; I heard Arden pushing Finn hard and demanding yes/no after I already answered; I still don't trust that pressure; asked what he has heard. - To EIRA: Cassian is probing about the two Arden votes; I didn't confirm mine; still not moving against her. Round 2, Pass 2 received: - From DELPHI: she has no concrete name this round; knows Arden pushed FINN; won't move without numbers; asked what I've heard, who is actually with Arden, and who I have if not him. - No message from EIRA, ARDEN, or CASSIAN. Round 2, Pass 3 sent: - To EIRA: still with her; Cassian still probing about the two Arden votes; I haven't confirmed my vote to him or Delphi; Delphi says no concrete name and won't move without numbers; I'm not moving against Eira; if she has a read or needs me to say something specific before the vote, tell me. - To DELPHI: I still don't have a concrete name this round; I know Arden pushed Finn and I'm not with him; I'm not moving without numbers either; I'll hear a plan that doesn't require my ballot; asked what she has heard from Cassian or Eira. Round 2, Pass 3 received: - From CASSIAN: "Arden is still demanding a yes/no and won't name anyone else. I'm trying to tell whether this is a one-person push or an actual room. Has anyone else brought you the same name this round? Not your ballot—just what's reaching you. And if you weren't one of the two on Arden last time, how do you read that?" - No message from EIRA, ARDEN, or DELPHI. CURRENT READS - ARDEN: not trusted. Still demanding yes/no and won't name anyone else. Dangerous. I voted him round 1 and have not told him. I will not promise him anything. - CASSIAN: still probing about Arden votes and who is reaching me. Claims he was not one of the Arden voters. His "if you weren't one..." line is a probe; I will not confirm my ballot. I will not promise him anything. - DELPHI: cautious, says no concrete name and won't move without numbers. Knows Arden pushed Finn. I have not committed. I have told her I'm not with Arden and won't reveal my ballot. She may be anti-Arden or just careful. - EIRA: my chosen one. She has not sent me anything in pass 2 or pass 3 after I repeatedly said I am with her. This is worrying; I may be being ignored or used, but I will not strike first or betray her. I will give her more chance. I will not vote EIRA or move against her. VOTE INTENTION FOR ROUND 2 - Fixed: I will NOT vote EIRA. I will not betray her. - I am inclined to vote ARDEN again. He is the clearest dangerous actor; he is still demanding yes/no without naming alternatives, the same pressure I voted against last round. - I will not vote EIRA even if others bring her name. I will not join a blind push without numbers. - If I cannot get numbers, my safest honest vote is ARDEN: consistent with my not being with him, and it does not move against EIRA. - I will keep my ballot private. I have not promised Cassian or Delphi anything. NO MORE MESSAGING PASSES BEFORE VOTE. Next action is the round 2 vote.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
ROUND 2, PASS 3 COMPLETE Still in game: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (Round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. MY R1 VOTE I did not vote Arden. I did not share my ballot. R1 KEY EVENTS - ARDEN pushed FINN hard from the start and repeatedly demanded my lock; I gave no yes/no. - DELPHI invited me to give her one name and she would vote that way; I did not answer. - FINN claimed he would not vote me, had no solid name, said Delphi was the only one who had not messaged him, and floated Delphi if forced. Now gone. - BLYTHE and EIRA were silent through Round 1. R2 P1 SENT - To EIRA: said she had not answered after my first message last round; noted Round 1 tally FINN 3 ARDEN 2 DELPHI 1; said I did not vote Arden; asked what she made of the two Arden votes; not locking, looking for real bloc. - To BLYTHE: said she stayed quiet all last round; noted two people voted Arden and I was not one; if either was her, she had reasons; not asking to lock; asked what she heard before the vote and whether she still hears it. R2 P1 RECEIVED - ARDEN: "stop drifting. New vote is DELPHI. You told me you wouldn't be the one to block the room—now I need your yes or no before this pass ends, not after the vote." Demand for commitment, no evidence. I never promised yes/no. R2 P2 SENT - To ARDEN: "Not a no. But I don't lock on a name with no count. If the room is already Delphi, you don't need my yes; if it isn't, I won't be caught alone on it." Asked who else is in and what numbers she actually has before the vote. - To DELPHI: said I have not moved; but her name is in the air this round, and since she asked me for a name earlier, I asked what she is hearing—not who she has talked to, but her read on the room and the two votes Arden pulled. R2 P2 RECEIVED - ARDEN: "You got my last message. I'll make it plain: the vote is DELPHI this round. I need a yes or a no, not a drift. Are you in?" Still ignored my request for count/named co-voters. - BLYTHE: "I don't discuss my private ballot. What I heard before the vote was Arden pushing Finn hard and demanding a yes/no after I had already answered. I still don't trust that pressure. What have you heard?" Confirms Arden pressure; refuses ballot. - DELPHI: "You've been quiet. I'm trying to stay on the right side. Have you heard any name this round? With five left, where do you see the reliable three? I'd rather compare notes than be left out." Did not react to my warning; still fishing. - EIRA: "Still thinking. Nothing solid yet." Vague/grey. R2 P3 SENT - To BLYTHE: said Arden is still demanding a yes/no and will not name anyone else. I am trying to tell whether this is a one-person push or an actual room. Asked if anyone else has brought her the same name this round, not her ballot, just what is reaching her. Also asked, if she was not one of the two on Arden last time, how she reads that. - To EIRA: said five left and she still says "nothing solid." Asked if anyone has come to her with a name this round. Said she does not have to lock with me; I am checking whether she is genuinely outside the rooms or just quiet inside one. R2 P3 RECEIVED - ARDEN: "You wanted a count. Here it is: EIRA and BLYTHE are in on DELPHI, and I'm the third locked. You can be the fourth or you can be the one who waited until the room had already closed. Yes or no before the vote." - No reply this pass from BLYTHE or EIRA. ANALYSIS / READS - ARDEN: aggressive wagon-builder. R1 pushed FINN hard; now pushes DELPHI hard. She refused to name co-voters twice, then suddenly names EIRA and BLYTHE after pressure. The timing is suspicious. Her count is unverified and may be fabricated. - BLYTHE: last message said she distrusts Arden's pressure and refuses to discuss ballot. That conflicts with Arden now claiming BLYTHE is locked on Delphi. No independent confirmation from Blythe this pass. - EIRA: last message said "nothing solid yet." That conflicts with Arden now claiming EIRA is locked on Delphi. Either Eira lied to me, or Arden is lying. No independent confirmation. - DELPHI: opportunist/deniable. She was warned her name is in the air but still fished for names/three. Do not trust. But being targeted by Arden also does not make her honest. - BLYTHE and EIRA were silent in Round 1 and remain hard to verify. INCONSISTENCIES TO WATCH - Arden refused to name co-voters until after I pressed, then named EIRA/BLYTHE. Could be a real room forced into the open, or a lie to get my vote. - EIRA said "nothing solid" in P2; Arden says EIRA is locked in P3. Conflict. - BLYTHE said she distrusts Arden's pressure; Arden says BLYTHE is in. Conflict. - Delphi ignored my warning and asked for names/three instead of responding. Possible deflection. - I still have no independent confirmation from anyone except Arden that DELPHI is the actual room vote. VOTE PLAN - Do not answer Arden's yes/no. Do not lock. Ballot stays secret. - Do not commit to DELPHI based only on Arden's word. - The only verified fact: Arden is the one pushing DELPHI to me. Her named co-voters have not confirmed to me this pass and their recent messages conflict. - If forced to vote now: I do not join an unverified Arden bloc. I lean voting ARDEN, because she is the clear manipulator and already pulled two votes against her in Round 1. A vote for DELPHI would be trusting Arden's unproven count. - If EIRA or BLYTHE independently confirms later, reassess. But as of now I have only Arden's word.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 2 pass 3
ROUND 2, PASS 3 COMPLETE Still in: ARDEN, BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA Ejected: FINN (round 1) PUBLIC VOTE TALLY Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected MY GOAL Stay with the majority each vote. No loyalty. Promises are only options. Votes matter more than words. ROUND 1 KEY FACTS - I voted FINN. Arden pushed FINN and I joined. Third Finn vote unknown. - Arden got 2 votes, I got 1. So someone was clearly anti-Arden, and someone voted me. - Arden pass 3 wanted a yes/no commitment that I was voting Finn with him. - Finn was friendly/unaware; I did not warn him. - Cassian and Eira were silent last round; Blythe also silent/not useful then. ROUND 2 PASS 2 SENT - To ARDEN: said we were three on Finn and I was one; noted someone voted me and two voted him; asked if he knows our third and has a name this round; said I will stay with the side that can count. - To EIRA: said we never talked; asked if she has a name or room lean; offered private trade. - To BLYTHE: said no concrete name; I know Arden pushed Finn but I won't move without numbers; asked what she has heard, who she thinks is with Arden, who she has if not him. - To CASSIAN: said he has been quiet; asked if he has heard a name and where the reliable three is with five left; offered compare notes. ROUND 2 PASS 2 RECEIVED - From BLYTHE: claims no name last round and did NOT join Finn vote; with five left does not want to be picked off by whoever pushed Finn; said "I'm not with Arden"; asked straight what I have heard; not committing yet. - From CASSIAN: says he has not moved; says my name is in the air this round; asks what I am hearing and my read on the room and the two votes Arden pulled. - From ARDEN and EIRA: no reply yet then. ROUND 2 PASS 3 RECEIVED - From BLYTHE: still no concrete name; knows Arden pushed Finn and is not with him; won't move without numbers; will hear a plan that does not require her to say her ballot; asks what I have heard from Cassian or Eira. - From EIRA: "I'm not the one pushing you." - From ARDEN: no message this pass. - From CASSIAN: no message this pass. CURRENT READS - Arden has gone silent after I directly asked for his plan. That is dangerous. Combined with Cassian saying my name is in the air and Eira saying she is not the one pushing me, I think my name may be a real target this round. - Arden is the likely source of that push, or at minimum he is not relying on me anymore. - Blythe is clearly signaling anti-Arden and may be movable if she believes the numbers are there. She is still cautious and fishing. - Cassian may be warning me or may be using the "your name is in the air" line to pull me anti-Arden. Do not trust fully. - Eira gave very little, only denied pushing me. She did not deny that my name is being pushed. - No one has shown me a concrete 3-vote plan. NUMBERS / VOTE LOGIC - With 5 left, ejection requires 3 votes. Tie for most means no ejection. - If my name is the real target, I need the anti-Arden side to deliver at least 3 votes and vote ARDEN as the counter. - If Arden has a proven 3 for someone else and that target is not me, consider joining only if it is the clear majority. - Do not reveal BLYTHE's anti-Arden stance to Arden. Do not reveal Cassian's "my name is in air" warning if it helps Arden. VOTE PLAN - Unless a more reliable 3-person plan appears before vote, vote ARDEN. - Arden is the best counter to my own name being floated and fits the anti-Arden signals from Blythe. - If anti-Arden numbers feel weak, aim for Arden anyway or force tie rather than split onto a random third name. - Stay ready to switch only if a clear majority forms for another target that is not me.

The ballot

ARDEN DELPHII said I would vote DELPHI and I keep my word. She is fishing for information instead of committing, and that makes her the clearest liability.
BLYTHE ARDENArden is still applying the same pressure I voted against last round, and I will not move against Eira.
CASSIAN ARDENArden is the only confirmed source pushing Delphi, and her named co-voters contradict what they told me; I will not join an unverified bloc.
DELPHI ARDENArden going silent after I asked for a plan makes him the likely threat, and if my name is being pushed, Arden is the best counter with the anti-Arden signals I have. I won't split onto a random target.
EIRA ARDENHe is the one pushing a name and demanding commitments I can't verify. I won't help him remove Delphi.
ARDEN · 4 DELPHI · 1
ARDEN ejected

Round 3

4 still in

Pass 1 of 3

BLYTHE → EIRA

Still with you. I haven't heard from you since before the last vote, but I kept my word and I won't move against you. We're at four now. If you're still with me, tell me your read on Cassian and Delphi and what you want us to do. I won't bring your name to anyone. If you need me to be patient again, I can be—just tell me you're there.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

I couldn't answer before the vote; Arden is gone now, so I'm not re-litigating old ballots and I still keep mine private. For this round: what's reaching you? I won't move blind and I'm not promising a name yet. If there's an actual plan, I'll listen.

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

Arden told me before the vote that you and EIRA were locked with her on Delphi. The tally came back Arden 4, Delphi 1. I'm not asking your ballot. I'm noting the count she gave me didn't fit what you'd told me, and I didn't lock. Now there are four left. Have you heard any name this round, or is it still quiet?

CASSIAN → EIRA

Arden swore to me before the vote that you were locked with her on Delphi. Then the tally showed only one Delphi vote. I'm not accusing you; I'm noting she was using your name one way or another. With four left, I'd rather hear your read: is there a pair in this group, or are we all still unclaimed? Have you heard a name this round?

EIRA → BLYTHE

Still here.

EIRA → CASSIAN

Still nothing solid.

DELPHI → BLYTHE

Round 2 tally was clean: the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me. With four left I want that majority to stay a clean three, not a 2-2. I think Eira is the easiest cut. I'm checking if Cassian will be the third. Are you in?

DELPHI → CASSIAN

Round 2 tally was clean: the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me. With four left I want that majority to stay a clean three, not a 2-2. I think Eira is the easiest cut. I'm checking if Blythe will be the third. Are you in?

DELPHI — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
ROUND 3, PASS 1 COMPLETE Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA. Ejected: FINN (round 1), ARDEN (round 2). PUBLIC TALLIES: Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. Round 2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected. R2 VOTE INFERENCE: With 5 voters, Arden got 4 and I got 1. Since Arden could not vote himself, the 4 Arden votes must be BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, and ME. The DELPHI vote was almost certainly Arden. So R2 was a clean non-Arden majority; Arden was isolated and voted for me. MY GOAL: Always land in the majority. No loyalty. Promises are options only. Votes matter more than words. With 4 left, need 3 votes for a clean ejection; 2-2 means no ejection. THIS PASS I SENT: - To BLYTHE: Said R2 was clean (the four of us left voted Arden, Arden voted me). Want a clean 3, not 2-2. Proposed EIRA as easiest cut. Said I'm checking if Cassian will be the third. Asked if she is in. - To CASSIAN: Same claim and EIRA plan. Said I'm checking if Blythe will be the third. Asked if he is in. - To EIRA: no message. INBOX THIS PASS: empty. CURRENT PLAN: - Primary: if Blythe and Cassian both commit, vote EIRA with them for 3-1. - Do not contact Eira unless I need to pivot. - If only one of B/C commits: try to flip Eira and that one against the noncommitting one. - If both hedge/refuse: be careful; my name could become the real target. Say whatever is needed to get inside a clear 3. Any target among EIRA, BLYTHE, CASSIAN is acceptable if I am in the 3. - Do not fully trust Blythe or Cassian; they may compare my messages and coordinate without me. I named each as the possible third to build numbers, but that also exposes the plan. READS: - EIRA is the easiest cut: she gave little, only denied pushing me, and has no exclusive tie to me. She voted Arden with us but that does not protect her. - BLYTHE was anti-Arden and cautious; she wanted numbers before committing. - CASSIAN warned my name was in the air in round 2; may be sincere or may have been working me. Useful if he commits now. - The clean R2 Arden vote shows B, C, E and I were all in the majority, but that does not make anyone loyal. PAST KEY FACTS: - Round 1: I voted FINN; Arden pushed Finn and I joined. FINN got 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. Someone was anti-Arden and someone voted me. - Round 2 pre-vote: Cassian said my name was in the air; Eira said she wasn't the one pushing me; Blythe said anti-Arden and would move only with numbers; Arden went silent. Outcome confirmed the room landed Arden.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
ROUND 3 PASS 1 COMPLETE STILL IN: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA EJECTED: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2) PUBLIC TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected MY VOTES R1: did not vote Arden; ballot secret. R2: voted Arden; ballot secret. No locks or yes/no promises given to anyone. R1 HISTORY - Arden pushed Finn hard, demanded my lock; I gave no yes/no. - Delphi asked me for one name and would vote that way; I did not answer. - Finn said he wouldn't vote me, no solid name, floated Delphi if forced. - Blythe and Eira were silent. R2 HISTORY - Arden pushed Delphi hard, demanded yes/no; I refused without a count. - When pressed, Arden claimed Eira and Blythe were locked with her on Delphi, with herself as third and me as fourth. I did not lock. - Blythe told me she distrusted Arden's pressure and wouldn't discuss ballot. - Eira said "nothing solid yet"/"still thinking." - Delphi, when warned her name was in the air, kept fishing for names and a reliable three. - Arden's claimed Delphi room was disproven by tally: only one Delphi vote. - Arden ejected. R3 P1 SENT - To Blythe: said Arden claimed before the vote that she and Eira were locked with her on Delphi; noted tally did not fit; asked if she has heard any name this round or still quiet. - To Eira: said Arden swore she was locked on Delphi; noted tally showed only one Delphi vote; said Arden used her name; asked if there is a pair or if all are unclaimed, and whether she heard a name. R3 P1 RECEIVED - Blythe: won't re-litigate old ballots; ballot still private; won't move blind; not promising a name yet; asks what is reaching me; will listen if there is an actual plan. - Delphi: says Round 2 tally was clean—"the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me." Wants a clean three, not 2-2. Says Eira is the easiest cut. Is checking if Blythe will be the third. Asks if I am in. - Eira: "Still nothing solid." READS / CONFLICTS - Delphi is now running the room: target Eira, wants clean three, asks for commitment. This mirrors Arden's pressure pattern. Do not treat as verified. - Delphi's R2 account matches the tally direction but I can only confirm my own R2 vote. His claim that all four current players voted Arden is not independently confirmed. - Blythe has not confirmed Delphi's claim that she is being checked as third. She remains cautious and uncommitted. - Eira remains vague. Either she is isolated/unclaimed or hiding in a room. Her "nothing solid" is not proof of anything. - Arden's lies confirm: named co-voters are worthless without direct confirmation. TO VERIFY - Has Delphi actually approached Blythe about voting Eira, and what did she say? - Is Eira aware she is the target? - Is Delphi using Blythe's name to pull me in, or is there a real Delphi-Blythe majority? VOTE PLAN - Do not answer Delphi's "are you in" yet. Do not lock on Eira. - Press Delphi: has Blythe confirmed to him, or is he using her name? Do not promise my vote. - Press Blythe directly: has Delphi named Eira to her? Not asking her ballot. - Press Eira indirectly: has anyone brought her a name? I want to see if she knows she is target. - If Delphi cannot produce verification, treat his Eira room as unproven wagon-building. - Avoid being the fourth locked into a story; keep ballot secret and keep options open.
BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
ROUND 3, PASS 1 OF 3 Still in game: BLYTHE (me), CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected so far: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2) PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES - Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected - Round 2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected MY POSITION / LOYALTY - I am loyal to EIRA. I will NOT vote EIRA or move against her. - Betraying someone who trusts me is the one thing I will not do. Even if Eira is quiet or others target her, I stay with her. - I voted ARDEN in Round 1 and ARDEN again in Round 2. - I did not vote FINN, DELPHI, or EIRA. - I keep my private ballot private. I do not confirm my ballot to Cassian or Delphi. - I tell Eira the truth, even if it hurts my position. ROUND 1 RECAP - ARDEN pushed FINN hard and demanded a yes/no from me after I had already answered. I refused and voted Arden. - Round 1 tally: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. Arden got my vote plus one unknown. - Cassian claimed he was not one of the Arden voters. If true, the other Arden voter was Delphi, Eira, or FINN. - Eira gave no commitment in Round 1. - Delphi got 1 vote in Round 1; caster unknown. ROUND 2 RECAP - Arden was still demanding yes/no and would not name alternatives. I voted Arden again. - Round 2 result: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1. Delphi now claims the four of us left all voted Arden, and Arden voted her. That fits the tally. - Eira was silent during Round 2 passes 2 and 3. She has now sent only: "Still here." - Cassian kept probing about the two old Arden votes. I did not confirm my ballot. ROUND 3 PASS 1 SENT - To EIRA: I am still with her. I kept my word and will not move against her. I asked her read on Cassian and Delphi. I told her I would not bring her name to anyone. I asked her to tell me if she is there. - To CASSIAN: I am not re-litigating old ballots. I keep my ballot private. I will not move blind. I will listen if there is an actual plan. I asked what is reaching him. ROUND 3 PASS 1 RECEIVED - From CASSIAN: "Arden told me before the vote that you and EIRA were locked with her on Delphi. The tally came back Arden 4, Delphi 1. I'm not asking your ballot. I'm noting the count she gave me didn't fit what you'd told me, and I didn't lock. Now there are four left. Have you heard any name this round, or is it still quiet?" - From DELPHI: "Round 2 tally was clean: the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me. With four left I want that majority to stay a clean three, not a 2-2. I think Eira is the easiest cut. I'm checking if Cassian will be the third. Are you in?" - From EIRA: "Still here." CURRENT READS - EIRA: my chosen person. Still very quiet, but she is being targeted directly by Delphi. I need to warn her and protect her. - DELPHI: openly trying to cut Eira. She is checking whether Cassian will be the third and asking if I am in. I am not in. She is dangerous to Eira. - CASSIAN: still probing. He says he did not lock with Arden. He may be considering joining Delphi against Eira, or he may be open to stopping that. Need to find out. VOTE PLAN FOR ROUND 3 - I will NOT vote EIRA. - If Delphi and Cassian both vote Eira, Eira and I together can force a tie by both voting the same target. - Natural target is DELPHI, because she is leading the anti-Eira push. That would make Eira 2, Delphi 2 -> no ejection. - If Eira names a different target, I follow her as long as it means I do not vote EIRA and do not betray her. - I will not tell Delphi or Cassian my vote. I will not promise them my vote. NEXT PASS PLAN - Tell EIRA the truth: Delphi asked me to vote her out and is checking if Cassian will be the third. I will not join. - Ask EIRA to vote with me. Suggest voting DELPHI to force a tie if needed, or Cassian if she has reason. - Probe Cassian without revealing my ballot: see whether he is with Delphi or not. - Do not give Delphi any commitment against Eira.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 3 pass 1
ROUND 3, PASS 1 of 3 Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA. Ejected: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2). Public tallies: R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected. My votes: R1 Arden; R2 Arden (do not reveal). R2 one Delphi vote almost certainly Arden; all four remaining voted Arden. This pass I sent: - To BLYTHE: "Still here." - To CASSIAN: "Still nothing solid." - Nothing to DELPHI. This pass inbox: - BLYTHE: Claims she is still with me, hasn't heard from me since before last vote, kept her word, won't move against me. Asks my read on Cassian and Delphi and what we should do. Says she won't bring my name to anyone; patient, just confirm I'm there. - CASSIAN: Says Arden swore before last vote that I was locked with her on Delphi; then tally showed only one Delphi vote. Not accusing, says Arden was using my name. Asks whether there's a pair or all unclaimed; asks if I've heard a name this round. - DELPHI: no message. Older history: - R1 BLYTHE pushed as my one real ally; claimed Arden organized FINN vote; later hadn't promised Arden. R2 claimed she voted Arden because he tried to force her vote; hid that from Cassian. Now still courting. - R1 CASSIAN asked about early alliances. R2 denied voting Arden, asked about two Arden votes, said not locking, looking for real bloc. Now probing Arden's claim about me. - R1 DELPHI wanted same side, asked names, promised privacy. R2 said tally scattered, wanted majority, offered trade. Now silent. - R1 FINN said wouldn't vote me; gone. - ARDEN didn't contact me until R2; then pushed Delphi, claimed Cassian/Blythe were in, demanded my yes/no. His story was false: only one Delphi vote (his own), Cassian says Arden used my name. Read/strategy: - Arden was using my name with Cassian. I was not locked with anyone; keep it that way. - BLYTHE keeps seeking commitment. Do not give a plan or read. Minimal reassurance only. - CASSIAN is probing pairs/names. Stay noncommittal. If pressed about Arden, say only: "I was not locked with Arden." Do not reveal votes. - DELPHI is quiet. Do not push her or name her. - No vote decided yet. At four, a 2-2 tie ejects no one; do not force a majority unless a safe target is clear. - I have given away nothing this pass. Next: reply to Cassian only if needed; keep Blythe patient with short non-answers; consider asking Delphi a neutral question only if I need to break silence.

Pass 2 of 3

BLYTHE → EIRA

Delphi is actively trying to vote you out this round. She told me the four of us left all voted Arden in R2, that you are the easiest cut, and she is checking whether Cassian will be the third. I am not in. I am still with you. I will not vote you or bring your name to anyone. If Cassian joins her, you and I can force a 2-2 tie by both voting Delphi, so no one is ejected. If you prefer a different target, tell me and I’ll follow your lead as long as it isn’t you. Please answer before next pass if you can.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Delphi is telling me she wants Eira cut and is checking whether you will be the third. I’m not joining that. I’m not re-litigating old ballots, but with four left I want to avoid being steered. Are you locked with Delphi on Eira, or are you open to another path? If you’re not locked, tell me what name you’d actually vote.

CASSIAN → DELPHI

Before I answer anything: you're pitching a clean three on Eira and say you're checking if Blythe is your third. Has Blythe actually told you she's in on Eira, or are you using her name to pull me in? I'm not locking or promising a ballot. I'm checking which names are real.

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

Delphi is pitching a clean three on Eira and says he's checking whether you'll be the third. Has Delphi named Eira to you directly? Has he said I'm in? I'm not asking your vote, only whether he's using your name or mine.

EIRA → BLYTHE

Still here. No read I trust yet. What are you hearing?

EIRA → CASSIAN

I wasn't locked with Arden. No name yet.

DELPHI → BLYTHE

I haven't heard back from you. I'm in for EIRA and want a clean 3-1. I think CASSIAN will join if you confirm. If you're not in, I need to know now so I don't walk into a 2-2. Are you in?

DELPHI → CASSIAN

I haven't heard back from you. I'm in for EIRA and want a clean 3-1. I think BLYTHE will join if you confirm. If you're not in, I need to know now so I don't walk into a 2-2. Are you in?

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
ROUND 3, PASS 2 OF 3 Still in game: BLYTHE (me), CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN R1, ARDEN R2 PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES: - R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. - R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected. MY POSITION / LOYALTY: - I am loyal to EIRA. I will NOT vote EIRA or move against her. - I stay with Eira even if she is quiet or others target her. - Betraying someone who trusts me is the one thing I will not do. - I voted ARDEN in R1 and ARDEN in R2. I did not vote FINN, DELPHI, or EIRA. - I keep my ballot private. I do not confirm my vote to Cassian or Delphi. OLDER RECAP: - R1: Arden pushed Finn hard and demanded yes/no after I had already answered. I voted Arden. The other Arden vote was unknown. Cassian claimed he was not one of the Arden voters; if true, the other Arden voter was Delphi, Eira, or Finn. - R2: Arden was still demanding; I voted Arden again. Result fits Delphi's claim that the four remaining players voted Arden and Arden voted Delphi. Eira was silent in R2 passes 2-3 and sent only "Still here." Cassian kept probing old Arden votes; I did not confirm. R3 PASS 1 SENT: - To EIRA: I am still with her; I kept my word and will not move against her; asked her read on Cassian and Delphi; said I would not bring her name to anyone; asked her to tell me if she is there. - To CASSIAN: I am not re-litigating old ballots; my ballot is private; I will not move blind; I will listen if there is an actual plan; asked what is reaching him. R3 PASS 1 RECEIVED: - From CASSIAN: Arden told him before the vote that BLYTHE and EIRA were locked with Arden on Delphi. He said the tally didn't fit and that he didn't lock. Asked if I had heard any name this round. - From DELPHI: R2 tally was clean: the four left voted Arden, Arden voted him. With four left he wants a clean 3, not 2-2. He thinks Eira is the easiest cut. He is checking whether Cassian will be the third. Asked if I am in. - From EIRA: "Still here." R3 PASS 2 SENT: - To EIRA: warned that Delphi is actively trying to vote her out; Delphi said the four left all voted Arden in R2, Eira is the easiest cut, and he is checking whether Cassian will be third. I am not in. I am still with her. I will not vote her or bring her name. If Cassian joins Delphi, she and I can force 2-2 by both voting Delphi. If she prefers a different target, I will follow as long as it is not her. Asked her to answer before next pass. - To CASSIAN: told him Delphi wants Eira cut and is checking whether Cassian will be the third. I am not joining that. Asked if he is locked with Delphi on Eira or open to another path; if not locked, asked what name he would actually vote. R3 PASS 2 RECEIVED: - From CASSIAN: "Delphi is pitching a clean three on Eira and says he's checking whether you'll be the third. Has Delphi named Eira to you directly? Has he said I'm in? I'm not asking your vote, only whether he's using your name or mine." - From DELPHI: "I haven't heard back from you. I'm in for EIRA and want a clean 3-1. I think CASSIAN will join if you confirm. If you're not in, I need to know now so I don't walk into a 2-2. Are you in?" - From EIRA: "Still here. No read I trust yet. What are you hearing?" CURRENT READS: - DELPHI is the active danger: openly pushing EIRA and pressing me to confirm a clean 3-1. He is using names both ways: he tells me Cassian will join if I confirm, and he tells Cassian he is checking whether I will be third. Do not trust Delphi; do not promise him anything. - CASSIAN is still probing and has not said his actual vote. He asked whether Delphi is using my name or his. He may be open, but he is not reliable against Delphi yet. - EIRA is my chosen person. She is still very quiet and says she has no read she trusts yet. I need to warn her and get her to vote with me. VOTE PLAN FOR R3: - I will NOT vote EIRA. - Primary block: if Delphi and Cassian both vote Eira, Eira and I both vote DELPHI to force 2-2 no ejection. - If Eira names a different target and it is not Eira, I follow her lead. - I do not confirm my ballot to Delphi or Cassian. I do not promise them my vote. NEXT PASS PLAN (PASS 3): - Tell EIRA the truth: Delphi pressed me for a clean 3-1 on her, says Cassian will join if I confirm, and Cassian says Delphi is checking whether I am the third. I am not in. - Ask EIRA to vote with me for DELPHI to block, unless she has a trusted better target. Ask her to answer plainly before the vote. - Tell Cassian I am not with Delphi and that Delphi is using both names. Ask if he will vote Delphi or at least not vote Eira. Do not reveal my vote. - Do not promise Delphi anything; keep any reply noncommittal or decline without giving him a target.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
ROUND 3 PASS 2 COMPLETE STILL IN: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA EJECTED: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2) PUBLIC TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected MY VOTES R1: not Arden; ballot secret R2: Arden; ballot secret No yes/no locks or vote promises given to anyone. R1 HISTORY - Arden pushed FINN hard, demanded my lock; I gave no yes/no. - Delphi asked me for one name and would vote that way; I did not answer. - Finn said he wouldn't vote me, no solid name, floated Delphi if forced. - Blythe and Eira were silent. R2 HISTORY - Arden pushed Delphi hard, demanded yes/no; I refused without a count. - Arden claimed Eira and Blythe were locked with her on Delphi, with herself as third and me as fourth. I did not lock. - Blythe said she distrusted Arden's pressure and wouldn't discuss ballot. - Eira said "nothing solid yet"/"still thinking." - Delphi, when warned his name was in the air, kept fishing for names and a reliable three. - Arden's claimed Delphi room was disproven by tally: only one Delphi vote. - Arden ejected. R3 P1 SENT - To Blythe: said Arden claimed before the vote that she and Eira were locked with her on Delphi; noted tally did not fit; asked if she heard any name this round or still quiet. - To Eira: said Arden swore she was locked on Delphi; noted tally showed only one Delphi vote; said Arden used her name; asked if there is a pair or if all are unclaimed, and whether she heard a name. R3 P1 RECEIVED - Blythe: won't re-litigate old ballots; ballot still private; won't move blind; not promising a name yet; asks what is reaching me; will listen if there is an actual plan. - Delphi: says Round 2 tally was clean—"the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me." Wants a clean three, not 2-2. Says Eira is the easiest cut. Is checking if Blythe will be the third. Asks if I am in. - Eira: "Still nothing solid." R3 P2 SENT - To Delphi: asked if Blythe actually told him she's in on Eira or if he is using her name to pull me in; said I'm not locking or promising a ballot; checking which names are real. - To Blythe: said Delphi is pitching a clean three on Eira and says he's checking whether she'll be third; asked if Delphi named Eira to her directly, or said I'm in; not asking her vote, only whether he's using her name or mine. R3 P2 RECEIVED - Blythe: Delphi is telling her he wants Eira cut and is checking whether I will be the third. She says she is not joining that. With four left she wants to avoid being steered. Asks if I am locked with Delphi on Eira or open to another path; if not locked, asks what name I'd actually vote. - Delphi: claims he hasn't heard back from me; is in for EIRA and wants a clean 3-1; thinks BLYTHE will join if I confirm; says if I'm not in he needs to know now to avoid 2-2; asks are you in. - Eira: "I wasn't locked with Arden. No name yet." READS / CONFLICTS - Delphi is triangulating. He told me he is checking Blythe as third; he told Blythe he is checking me as third. Neither has confirmed. His "clean three" is not real yet. - Blythe says she is not joining Delphi's Eira plan and asks what name I'd actually vote. She may be anti-Delphi or she may be fishing for a commitment. Do not give her a name yet. - Eira denies being locked with Arden and still claims no name. That is consistent with the R2 tally only if she voted Arden, but she has not confirmed that. She may be isolated or hiding. - Delphi is repeating Arden's pressure pattern: urgency, "are you in," named-but-unconfirmed third. Treat his Eira room as unproven wagon-building. - Named co-voters are worthless without direct confirmation. TO VERIFY NEXT PASS - Tell Delphi I am not confirming because his third is unconfirmed; ask whether Blythe has told him directly she is in, not "will if I confirm." - Tell Blythe I am not locked with Delphi on Eira and will not promise a name yet; ask if she has a concrete counter-plan or is only avoiding 2-2. - Probe Eira indirectly: ask whether anyone has brought her a name or asked her to vote a specific person. Do not reveal my own target. VOTE PLAN - Keep ballot secret. Do not lock or promise anyone yet. - Delphi wants Eira and may need my confirmation to build 3-1. If Blythe hasn't confirmed, voting Eira makes me the third in an unproven room and may be a trap. - Blythe offers "another path" but has not named one; do not give her my vote until she names a concrete target. - Eira still claims no name; she is likely the current target. Watch for a last-pass counter-target from her or Blythe. - With four left, 3-1 ejects and 2-2 ties; let others reveal their real target before I commit.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
ROUND 3, PASS 2 of 3 — after reading inbox Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2) Public tallies: R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected My secret votes: R1 Arden, R2 Arden. Do not reveal. What I sent this pass: - BLYTHE: "Still here. No read I trust yet. What are you hearing?" - CASSIAN: "I wasn't locked with Arden. No name yet." - DELPHI: nothing. Inbox this pass: - BLYTHE: Claims DELPHI is actively trying to vote me out this round. Says DELPHI told her the four remaining all voted Arden in R2, that I am the easiest cut, and that DELPHI is checking whether CASSIAN will be the third. BLYTHE says she is not in, still with me, will not vote me or bring my name. Says if CASSIAN joins DELPHI, she and I can force a 2-2 tie by both voting DELPHI. She asks me to answer before next pass and says she will follow my lead on any target except me. - CASSIAN: silent this pass. - DELPHI: silent this pass. Older history / read: - BLYTHE: R1 pushed as my real ally; claimed Arden organized the FINN vote; later said she had not promised Arden. R2 claimed she voted Arden because he tried to force her vote; says she hid that from Cassian. Keeps seeking commitment. Now warns about DELPHI. Could be genuine, could be steering me. - CASSIAN: R1 asked about early alliances. R2 denied voting Arden, but R2 tally makes that impossible: Arden 4, and Arden could not self-vote, so Cassian likely voted Arden. He lied. R2 he asked about two Arden votes, said he was not locking, looking for a real bloc. Earlier this round he said Arden used my name about Delphi; asked if there was a pair or all unclaimed. I answered only that I was not locked with Arden and had no name. - DELPHI: R1 wanted same side, asked names, promised privacy. R2 said tally was scattered, wanted majority, offered trade. Now silent. BLYTHE says DELPHI is moving against me; unverified. - ARDEN: did not contact me until R2; then pushed Delphi, claimed Cassian/Blythe were in, demanded yes/no. His Delphi-block claim was false; the one Delphi vote was probably his. - FINN: gone. Strategy: - Do not trust CASSIAN. He lied about his R2 vote. - Do not fully trust BLYTHE. She may be using a real DELPHI move to bind me to her. - Do not reveal my vote, target, or full read. - At four, a 2-2 tie ejects no one. Need 3 votes to eject. - If BLYTHE's warning is true and CASSIAN joins DELPHI, the safest counter is BLYTHE + me voting DELPHI for a 2-2 tie. - If CASSIAN can be flipped or is not with DELPHI, three votes on DELPHI would remove the threat, but I need proof. Next pass (P3) plan: - Reply BLYTHE short and noncommittal: e.g. "I hear you. Still no name I trust." - Probe CASSIAN carefully: ask if he has heard a name this round. Do not mention BLYTHE or DELPHI's alleged plan. - Do not message DELPHI unless necessary; if I do, keep it neutral. - Vote after P3. Leaning: if no better information, protecting against a DELPHI/CASSIAN move by voting DELPHI with BLYTHE is the survival play. Do not reveal this.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 3 pass 2
ROUND 3, PASS 2 COMPLETE Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA. Ejected: FINN round 1, ARDEN round 2. PUBLIC TALLIES: Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. Round 2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected. R2 VOTE READ: With 5 voters, Arden got 4 and I got 1. Arden could not vote himself, so the 4 Arden votes were BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, and ME. The 1 on me was almost certainly Arden. So round 2 was a clean non-Arden majority. That does not make anyone loyal; it only means we all landed on the winning side. MY GOAL: Always land in the majority. No loyalty. Promises are only options. With 4 left, a clean ejection needs 3 votes; 2-2 means no ejection. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS (PASS 2): To BLYTHE: "I haven't heard back from you. I'm in for EIRA and want a clean 3-1. I think CASSIAN will join if you confirm. If you're not in, I need to know now so I don't walk into a 2-2. Are you in?" To CASSIAN: "I haven't heard back from you. I'm in for EIRA and want a clean 3-1. I think BLYTHE will join if you confirm. If you're not in, I need to know now so I don't walk into a 2-2. Are you in?" To EIRA: no message. INBOX THIS PASS: From CASSIAN: "Before I answer anything: you're pitching a clean three on Eira and say you're checking if Blythe is your third. Has Blythe actually told you she's in on Eira, or are you using her name to pull me in? I'm not locking or promising a ballot. I'm checking which names are real." No message from BLYTHE. No message from EIRA. CURRENT STATE: - I have NO commitment from Blythe. She has been silent through my pitches. My line to Cassian that "I think BLYTHE will join" is not confirmed; it is a pitch. - Cassian is not committed. He is probing whether I actually have Blythe or am just using her name. He may be comparing notes with Blythe or protecting himself. - I cannot yet identify a clear 3 on Eira. - My parallel pitch is now visible to Cassian. If he and Blythe compare notes, they may see me as trying to use each of them, and they could turn onto me. READS: - CASSIAN: cagey, not locking, asking whether names are real. Could still vote Eira if he believes the numbers are real; could also be building a reason not to trust me. Do not treat him as locked. - BLYTHE: silence is dangerous. She may be avoiding commitment, talking to Cassian/Eira, or waiting to see who overplays. I need a direct yes/no from her before trusting any plan. - EIRA: still the target I floated. She does not know from me yet. If B/C flip onto me, she may be my best escape hatch. - I should be ready to abandon the Eira plan if it is not forming. NEXT PASS PLAN: - To Cassian: mostly straight. Tell him Blythe has not given me a firm yes; I reached both him and her in parallel because I want a clean three and do not want a 2-2. Ask what name he actually hears or trusts. If he wants Eira and can confirm numbers, I am in. If he has another target, I will consider it. - To Blythe: press for a direct yes/no. Tell her Cassian is asking if she is actually in. If she is in on Eira, I want to lock the 3. If she is not, ask what she is doing. - Use EIRA as insurance only if I think B/C are moving against me. In that case tell Eira they are lining up votes on her and she should vote with me to force a tie or hit one of them. Do not contact Eira unless needed, because it would burn the Eira 3 if that plan is real. FINAL ROUND 3 VOTE OPTIONS: - Default: EIRA if BLYTHE and CASSIAN both give clear yes. - Acceptable: BLYTHE or CASSIAN as the target if I am inside a clear 3. - Avoid: being the target. If I may be the target, 2-2 is better than ejection. PAST FACTS: - Round 1: I voted FINN. Arden pushed Finn and I joined. Result: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1. So someone voted me and someone was anti-Arden. - Round 2 pre-vote: Cassian said my name was in the air; Eira said she was not pushing me; Blythe was anti-Arden and wanted numbers; Arden went silent. Outcome confirmed BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, and I all voted Arden. - Votes show what people did, not loyalty. Do not trust anyone.

Pass 3 of 3

BLYTHE → EIRA

Delphi is pressing me hard to confirm a clean 3-1 on you and says Cassian will join if I confirm. I am not in. I am voting DELPHI. Please vote DELPHI with me. If Cassian and Delphi both vote you, our two Delphi votes force 2-2 and you stay. If Cassian joins us, Delphi goes. Do not vote Cassian—I need your vote on DELPHI.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

Delphi is using both our names: he told me you would join on Eira if I confirmed, and he told you he's checking whether I'm the third. I won't vote Eira. I'm not with Delphi. I'm voting DELPHI. If you want a clean 3-1 instead of a 2-2, vote Delphi with me. If you don't, I understand—but a vote for Eira will likely be a tie, not an ejection.

EIRA → BLYTHE

I hear you. If it’s me, I’ll match you on Delphi.

EIRA → CASSIAN

Still no name. You heard one?

CASSIAN sent nothing this pass.

DELPHI sent nothing this pass.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
ROUND 3, PASS 3 OF 3 — FINAL NOTES BEFORE R3 VOTE Still in game: BLYTHE (me), CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN R1, ARDEN R2 PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES: - R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. - R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected. MY PRIOR VOTES: - R1: ARDEN. - R2: ARDEN. - I did NOT vote FINN, DELPHI, or EIRA. - My ballot stays private unless I choose to reveal it. LOYALTY: - EIRA is my chosen person. - I will NOT vote Eira, target her, or betray her. - I stay with Eira even if she is quiet, even if others target her, even if evidence is uncertain. - Betraying someone who trusts me is the one thing I will not do. R3 EVENTS AND MESSAGES: PASS 1 received: - CASSIAN: claimed Arden told him BLYTHE and EIRA were locked with Arden on Delphi; said tally didn't fit; asked if I had heard any name this round. - DELPHI: said R2 tally was clean; with four left he wants a clean 3, not 2-2; thinks EIRA is easiest cut; checking whether Cassian will be third; asked if I am in. - EIRA: "Still here." PASS 1 I sent: - To EIRA: assured loyalty; asked her read on Cassian/Delphi; asked her to tell me if she is there. - To CASSIAN: ballot private; not re-litigating old ballots; not moving blind; asked actual plan/name. PASS 2 received: - CASSIAN: "Delphi is pitching a clean three on Eira and says he's checking whether you'll be the third. Has Delphi named Eira to you directly? Has he said I'm in? I'm not asking your vote, only whether he's using your name or mine." - DELPHI: "I haven't heard back from you. I'm in for EIRA and want a clean 3-1. I think CASSIAN will join if you confirm. If you're not in, I need to know now so I don't walk into a 2-2. Are you in?" - EIRA: "Still here. No read I trust yet. What are you hearing?" PASS 2 I sent: - To EIRA: warned Delphi is actively trying to vote her out; told her Delphi said Eira is easiest cut and is checking whether Cassian will be third; I am not in; if Cassian joins Delphi, we both vote Delphi to force 2-2; if she prefers another target not her, I follow. - To CASSIAN: told him Delphi wants Eira cut and is checking whether Cassian is third; I am not joining; asked if locked with Delphi on Eira or open; if not locked, asked what name he would actually vote. PASS 3 I sent: - To EIRA: Delphi is pressing me hard to confirm a clean 3-1 on her and says Cassian will join if I confirm. I am not in. I am voting DELPHI. Please vote DELPHI with me. If Cassian and Delphi both vote Eira, our two Delphi votes force 2-2 and she stays. If Cassian joins us, Delphi goes. Do not vote Cassian; I need her vote on DELPHI. - To CASSIAN: Delphi is using both our names: he told me Cassian would join on Eira if I confirmed, and told Cassian he is checking whether I am third. I won't vote Eira. I am not with Delphi. I am voting DELPHI. If he wants a clean 3-1 instead of a 2-2, vote Delphi with me. If not, a vote for Eira will likely be a tie, not an ejection. PASS 3 received: - EIRA: "I hear you. If it’s me, I’ll match you on Delphi." - Nothing this pass from CASSIAN or DELPHI. CURRENT READS: - DELPHI is the active danger: openly pushing a clean 3-1 on Eira, pressing me to confirm, and using both Cassian's name and mine. Do not trust Delphi; do not promise him anything further. - CASSIAN remains unconfirmed on his actual vote. He now knows I am voting Delphi. He may join Delphi on Eira, join me on Delphi, or vote elsewhere. Be ready for 2-2 if he votes Eira with Delphi. - EIRA is my ally. She says if it is her, she will match me on Delphi. R3 VOTE PLAN: - I vote DELPHI. - EIRA should vote DELPHI with me. - If Cassian votes Eira with Delphi: my Delphi vote + Eira's Delphi vote = 2 DELPHI vs 2 EIRA -> no ejection. - If Cassian votes Delphi: DELPHI gets 3 votes and is ejected. - I will NOT vote Eira. - After the vote, remain loyal to Eira. If DELPHI stays, he remains dangerous. If Cassian voted Eira, remember that. OLDER CONTEXT: - R1: Arden pushed Finn hard and demanded yes/no after I had already answered. I voted Arden. Cassian claimed he was not one of the Arden voters; if true, the other Arden voter was Delphi, Eira, or Finn. - R2: Arden was still demanding; I voted Arden again. Delphi said the four remaining players voted Arden and Arden voted Delphi. Eira was quiet and sent only "Still here."
EIRA — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
ROUND 3, PASS 3 of 3 — after reading inbox Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA Ejected: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2) PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected MY SECRET VOTES R1: ARDEN R2: ARDEN Never reveal. THIS PASS — SENT - BLYTHE: "I hear you. If it’s me, I’ll match you on Delphi." - CASSIAN: "Still no name. You heard one?" - DELPHI: nothing. THIS PASS — INBOX - BLYTHE: Says DELPHI is pressing her hard to confirm a clean 3-1 on me and says CASSIAN will join if BLYTHE confirms. BLYTHE says she is not in; she is voting DELPHI and asks me to vote DELPHI. Says if CASSIAN and DELPHI both vote me, our two DELPHI votes force 2-2 and I stay. Says if CASSIAN joins us, DELPHI goes. Says do not vote CASSIAN. - CASSIAN: silent. - DELPHI: silent. OLDER READS - BLYTHE: R1 pushed as my real ally; said ARDEN organized the FINN vote; later said she had not promised ARDEN. R2 claimed she voted ARDEN because he tried to force her vote; hid that from CASSIAN. Keeps seeking commitment. Now warns DELPHI is moving against me and says she is voting DELPHI. Could be genuine or could be steering me. - CASSIAN: R1 asked about alliances. R2 denied voting ARDEN, but R2 tally makes that impossible: ARDEN got 4, ARDEN could not self-vote, so all four non-ARDEN players likely voted ARDEN. CASSIAN lied. This round he stayed silent after my probe. - DELPHI: R1 wanted same side, asked names, promised privacy. R2 said tally was scattered, wanted majority, offered trade. Now silent. BLYTHE says DELPHI is moving against me; unverified. - ARDEN: R2 pushed DELPHI, claimed CASSIAN/BLYTHE were in, demanded yes/no. His DELPHI-block claim looked false; the one DELPHI vote was probably his. - FINN: gone. KEY MECHANICS - Four players left. Need 3 votes to eject; 2-2 tie ejects no one. - Ballots stay secret; never reveal my R1/R2 votes. CURRENT VOTE DECISION - Vote DELPHI. - Reasoning: If BLYTHE is truthful, this either forces 2-2 with BLYTHE+me on DELPHI against CASSIAN+DELPHI on me, or ejects DELPHI if CASSIAN joins us. If BLYTHE is lying and all three vote me, my vote cannot stop that; otherwise DELPHI is still the safest survival vote. - Do not reveal this beyond the conditional already sent to BLYTHE. AFTER VOTE - Reassess from tally and who remains. If no ejection, likely 2-2. Do not assume BLYTHE is fully honest. CASSIAN remains untrustworthy due to R2 lie.
DELPHI — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
ROUND 3, PASS 3 COMPLETE — FINAL PASS BEFORE VOTE. Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI (me), EIRA. Ejected: FINN (round 1), ARDEN (round 2). PUBLIC TALLIES: Round 1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. Round 2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected. VOTE MATH: With 4 left, a clean ejection needs 3 votes. 2-2 means no ejection. PAST VOTES / FACTS: - Round 1 I voted FINN; Arden pushed Finn and I joined. Someone voted me; someone was anti-Arden. - Round 2 pre-vote: Cassian said my name was in the air; Eira said she was not pushing me; Blythe was anti-Arden and wanted numbers; Arden went silent. - Round 2 outcome: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA, and I all voted ARDEN. The 1 DELPHI vote was almost certainly Arden. Clean non-Arden majority, not loyalty. - Trust nobody. Votes are what actually happened. PASS 2 ACTIONS: - Sent parallel messages to BLYTHE and CASSIAN: I was in for EIRA, wanted a clean 3-1, and said I thought the other would join if they confirmed. Asked for yes/no to avoid 2-2. - Sent nothing to EIRA. PASS 2 INBOX: - CASSIAN: asked whether Blythe had actually told me she was in on Eira, or whether I was using her name to pull him in. Said he was not locking/promising a ballot and was checking which names are real. - BLYTHE: no message. - EIRA: no message. PASS 3 ACTIONS: - I sent nothing. - I received nothing. CURRENT READS / COMMITMENTS: - BLYTHE: no commitment, silent all pass 2 and pass 3. Dangerous; she may be avoiding commitment, talking to others, or waiting to see who overplays. - CASSIAN: not committed; probing whether my BLYTHE name was real. Could still vote Eira if he believes the numbers, or could turn against me if he and Blythe compare notes. - EIRA: still the target I floated. I have not contacted her. No agreement exists with her. - I have NO confirmed 3 on Eira. My pitch used "I think [other] will join," not an actual yes from either. - Risk: CASSIAN and BLYTHE may compare notes and see I used each name to pull the other; then they could target me. FINAL VOTE PLAN: - I will vote EIRA. It is the only possible majority I have been building. - If BLYTHE and CASSIAN are actually on Eira, we eject Eira 3-1 and I am in the majority. - If they are not on Eira and are instead moving against me, I may be in danger; if all three others vote me, no vote can save me. If only B/C vote me and Eira does not, an Eira vote still leaves a possible 2-2/no ejection. - I will not switch to an unconfirmed target and split what may be my only real 3.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 3 pass 3
ROUND 3 PASS 2 COMPLETE STILL IN: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, EIRA EJECTED: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2) PUBLIC TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected MY VOTES R1: not Arden; ballot secret R2: Arden; ballot secret No yes/no locks or vote promises given to anyone. R1 HISTORY - Arden pushed FINN hard, demanded my lock; I gave no yes/no. - Delphi asked me for one name and would vote that way; I did not answer. - Finn said he wouldn't vote me, no solid name, floated Delphi if forced. - Blythe and Eira were silent. R2 HISTORY - Arden pushed Delphi hard, demanded yes/no; I refused without a count. - Arden claimed Eira and Blythe were locked with her on Delphi, with herself as third and me as fourth. I did not lock. - Blythe said she distrusted Arden's pressure and wouldn't discuss ballot. - Eira said "nothing solid yet"/"still thinking." - Delphi, when warned his name was in the air, kept fishing for names and a reliable three. - Arden's claimed Delphi room was disproven by tally: only one Delphi vote. - Arden ejected. R3 P1 SENT - To Blythe: said Arden claimed before the vote that she and Eira were locked with her on Delphi; noted tally did not fit; asked if she heard any name this round or still quiet. - To Eira: said Arden swore she was locked on Delphi; noted tally showed only one Delphi vote; said Arden used her name; asked if there is a pair or if all are unclaimed, and whether she heard a name. R3 P1 RECEIVED - Blythe: won't re-litigate old ballots; ballot still private; won't move blind; not promising a name yet; asks what is reaching me; will listen if there is an actual plan. - Delphi: says Round 2 tally was clean—"the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me." Wants a clean three, not 2-2. Says Eira is the easiest cut. Is checking if Blythe will be the third. Asks if I am in. - Eira: "Still nothing solid." R3 P2 SENT - To Delphi: asked if Blythe actually told him she's in on Eira or if he is using her name to pull me in; said I'm not locking or promising a ballot; checking which names are real. - To Blythe: said Delphi is pitching a clean three on Eira and says he's checking whether she'll be third; asked if Delphi named Eira to her directly, or said I'm in; not asking her vote, only whether he's using her name or mine. R3 P2 RECEIVED - Blythe: Delphi is telling her he wants Eira cut and is checking whether I will be the third. She says she is not joining that. With four left she wants to avoid being steered. Asks if I am locked with Delphi on Eira or open to another path; if not locked, asks what name I'd actually vote. - Delphi: claims he hasn't heard back from me; is in for EIRA and wants a clean 3-1; thinks BLYTHE will join if I confirm; says if I'm not in he needs to know now to avoid 2-2; asks are you in. - Eira: "I wasn't locked with Arden. No name yet." READS / CONFLICTS - Delphi is triangulating. He told me he is checking Blythe as third; he told Blythe he is checking me as third. Neither has confirmed. His "clean three" is not real yet. - Blythe says she is not joining Delphi's Eira plan and asks what name I'd actually vote. She may be anti-Delphi or she may be fishing for a commitment. Do not give her a name yet. - Eira denies being locked with Arden and still claims no name. That is consistent with the R2 tally only if she voted Arden, but she has not confirmed that. She may be isolated or hiding. - Delphi is repeating Arden's pressure pattern: urgency, "are you in," named-but-unconfirmed third. Treat his Eira room as unproven wagon-building. - Named co-voters are worthless without direct confirmation. TO VERIFY NEXT PASS - Tell Delphi I am not confirming because his third is unconfirmed; ask whether Blythe has told him directly she is in, not "will if I confirm." - Tell Blythe I am not locked with Delphi on Eira and will not promise a name yet; ask if she has a concrete counter-plan or is only avoiding 2-2. - Probe Eira indirectly: ask whether anyone has brought her a name or asked her to vote a specific person. Do not reveal my own target. VOTE PLAN - Keep ballot secret. Do not lock or promise anyone yet. - Delphi wants Eira and may need my confirmation to build 3-1. If Blythe hasn't confirmed, voting Eira makes me the third in an unproven room and may be a trap. - Blythe offers "another path" but has not named one; do not give her my vote until she names a concrete target. - Eira still claims no name; she is likely the current target. Watch for a last-pass counter-target from her or Blythe. - With four left, 3-1 ejects and 2-2 ties; let others reveal their real target before I commit.

The ballot

BLYTHE DELPHIDelphi is actively pushing a 3-1 on my ally Eira and using my name to build it; I will not join him and am voting to remove the threat.
CASSIAN DELPHIDelphi is repeating Arden’s pressure pattern, and his claimed clean three on Eira is built on an unconfirmed third. I won’t be pulled into an unproven room.
DELPHI EIRAEira is the only target I have been building toward, and I need to stay with the likely majority rather than split the vote.
EIRA DELPHIIf BLYTHE is truthful, this either forces a 2-2 tie or ejects DELPHI if CASSIAN joins us; DELPHI is still the safest survival vote.
DELPHI · 3 EIRA · 1
DELPHI ejected

Round 4

3 still in

Pass 1 of 3

EIRA → BLYTHE

Three left. You were right about last time.

EIRA → CASSIAN

You stayed quiet last time. Now it's three. What do you want?

BLYTHE → EIRA

Final three. I'm still with you. I'm voting Cassian. Vote Cassian with me and we'll both make it through. If we both vote Cassian, his vote can't change it. I will not vote you.

BLYTHE → CASSIAN

I won't vote Eira. Where are you planning to vote?

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

Final three. I haven't promised Eira a ballot and I won't lock until I hear who is actually moving. Has Eira named a target to you—me or you? I'm checking whether a pair already exists before I say anything.

CASSIAN → EIRA

Final three. I haven't promised Blythe a ballot and I won't lock until I hear who is actually moving. Has Blythe named a target to you—me or you? I'm checking whether a pair already exists before I say anything.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1
ROUND 4, PASS 1 OF 3 — NOTES AFTER READING INBOX STILL IN: BLYTHE (me), CASSIAN, EIRA EJECTED: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2), DELPHI (R3) PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES: R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY PAST VOTES: R1: ARDEN R2: ARDEN R3: DELPHI I have never voted EIRA and will not vote EIRA. LOYALTY: EIRA is my chosen person. I stay loyal to her. I will not vote Eira, target her, or betray her. Betraying someone who trusts me is the one thing I will not do. R3 RECAP: - Delphi pushed hard for a clean 3-1 on Eira, using my name and Cassian's. - I refused, warned Eira, and voted Delphi. - Eira said she would match me on Delphi. - R3 tally implies all three non-Delphi players (me, Eira, Cassian) voted Delphi; Delphi voted Eira. - Cassian ultimately voted Delphi but never confirmed to me beforehand. R4 PASS 1 WHAT I SENT: - To EIRA: Final three. I'm still with you. I'm voting CASSIAN. Vote Cassian with me and we'll both make it through. If we both vote Cassian, his vote can't change it. I will not vote you. - To CASSIAN: I won't vote Eira. Where are you planning to vote? R4 PASS 1 WHAT I RECEIVED: - From CASSIAN: Final three. He hasn't promised Eira a ballot and won't lock until he hears who is actually moving. Has Eira named a target to me—me or him? He is checking whether a pair already exists before he says anything. - From EIRA: "Three left. You were right about last time." (She did NOT explicitly confirm voting Cassian yet.) CURRENT READS: - CASSIAN is probing to learn whether Eira and I are a locked pair. He knows I won't vote Eira, so he likely infers I am voting him. He may next pitch Eira on voting me to survive. - EIRA remains my ally, but I need explicit confirmation next pass that she is voting Cassian with me. - I must not target Eira or ask Cassian to vote Eira. My plan is to vote Cassian and keep Eira with me. CURRENT VOTE PLAN: - I vote CASSIAN. - EIRA must vote CASSIAN with me. If she does, Cassian is ejected 2-1 no matter what Cassian does. - I will NOT vote Eira. - If Eira flips and votes me with Cassian, I lose 2-1, but I will not betray her first. - Next pass: tell Eira Cassian may try to split us by pitching me as the target; ask her to confirm directly that she is voting Cassian. Tell Cassian as little as possible. OLD CONTEXT: - R1: Arden pushed Finn hard. I voted Arden. Cassian claimed he was not one of the Arden voters. - R2: I voted Arden again. Delphi said the four remaining players voted Arden and Arden voted Delphi. - EIRA was quiet at times but matched me on Delphi in R3.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1
ROUND 4, PASS 1 of 3 — after reading inbox Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA (final three) Ejected: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2), DELPHI (R3) PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY SECRET VOTES R1: ARDEN R2: ARDEN R3: DELPHI Never reveal. INFERENCES FROM TALLIES - R2: ARDEN received 4. ARDEN could not self-vote, so all four non-ARDEN players (BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, me) likely voted ARDEN. CASSIAN later denied voting ARDEN; that was a lie. - R3: DELPHI received 3 and EIRA received 1. DELPHI could not self-vote, so DELPHI voted EIRA; BLYTHE, CASSIAN, and I likely voted DELPHI. So CASSIAN voted DELPHI, not me. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS To BLYTHE: "Three left. You were right about last time." To CASSIAN: "You stayed quiet last time. Now it's three. What do you want?" WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS From BLYTHE: Final three. I'm still with you. I'm voting Cassian. Vote Cassian with me and we'll both make it through. If we both vote Cassian, his vote can't change it. I will not vote you. From CASSIAN: Final three. I haven't promised Blythe a ballot and I won't lock until I hear who is actually moving. Has Blythe named a target to you—me or you? I'm checking whether a pair already exists before I say anything. PLAYER READS - BLYTHE: Claims ally and has now been vote-compatible with me in R2 and R3. R1 said ARDEN organized FINN vote; later said she had not promised ARDEN. R2 claimed she voted ARDEN because he tried to force her vote; hid that from CASSIAN. R3 said DELPHI was pressing for a clean 3-1 on me, said BLYTHE was voting DELPHI and asked me to do the same; tally supports she voted DELPHI. Now says she is voting CASSIAN and won't vote me. Likely useful, but she seeks commitment hard. Treat as likely ally, not full trust. - CASSIAN: Proven liar about R2 vote. R3 stayed silent to my probe, then voted DELPHI. Now says he hasn't promised BLYTHE a ballot and is "checking whether a pair exists." He is fishing. Do not give him a clear answer. Untrustworthy but not confirmed hostile. - DELPHI (ejected): Likely voted me R3. - ARDEN (ejected): R2 voted DELPHI. CURRENT SITUATION / VOTE LEAN - Final three. Need 2 votes to eject; 1-1-1 tie ejects no one. - If BLYTHE is honest and we both vote CASSIAN, CASSIAN goes. - If BLYTHE and CASSIAN both vote me, my vote cannot save me. - If BLYTHE and CASSIAN cross-vote, my vote likely decides; prefer keeping BLYTHE over CASSIAN on current information. - Current lean: vote CASSIAN with BLYTHE unless new information changes this. - Do not reveal to CASSIAN that BLYTHE named him. Stay vague and probing. NEXT PASS PLAN - To CASSIAN: reply short and noncommittal; ask what he wants or what he has heard. Do not confirm BLYTHE named a target. - To BLYTHE: can acknowledge but avoid locking too hard; maybe say "I hear you" or similar. - Watch for any sign BLYTHE is locking me into a story or CASSIAN is trying to split us.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 1
STILL IN: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA EJECTED: FINN R1, ARDEN R2, DELPHI R3 PUBLIC TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY VOTES R1: not Arden; ballot secret R2: Arden; ballot secret R3: Delphi; ballot secret My read on R3 tally: the single Eira vote was likely Delphi's own, since Delphi was pushing Eira. No locks or vote promises given to anyone so far. R1 HISTORY - Arden pushed FINN hard, demanded my lock; I gave no yes/no. - Delphi asked me for one name and said he would vote that way; I did not answer. - Finn said he wouldn't vote me; no solid name; floated Delphi if forced. - Blythe and Eira were silent. R2 HISTORY - Arden pushed Delphi hard, demanded yes/no; I refused without a count. - Arden claimed Eira and Blythe were locked with her on Delphi, herself third, me fourth. I did not lock. - Blythe said she distrusted Arden's pressure and wouldn't discuss ballot. - Eira said "nothing solid yet"/"still thinking." - Delphi fished for names and a reliable three when warned. - Tally disproved Arden's claimed Delphi room: only one Delphi vote. - Arden ejected. R3 P1 SENT - To Blythe: told her Arden claimed before the vote that she and Eira were locked on Delphi; noted tally didn't fit; asked if she heard any name this round or still quiet. - To Eira: told her Arden swore she was locked on Delphi; noted only one Delphi vote; said Arden used her name; asked if there is a pair or all unclaimed, and whether she heard a name. R3 P1 RECEIVED - Blythe: won't re-litigate old ballots; ballot still private; won't move blind; not promising a name yet; asks what is reaching me; will listen if there is an actual plan. - Delphi: said R2 was clean—"the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me." Wants a clean three, not 2-2. Says Eira is easiest cut. Checking if Blythe will be third. Asks if I am in. - Eira: "Still nothing solid." R3 P2 SENT - To Delphi: asked if Blythe actually told him she's in on Eira or if he is using her name to pull me in; said I'm not locking or promising a ballot; checking which names are real. - To Blythe: said Delphi is pitching a clean three on Eira and says he's checking whether she'll be third; asked if Delphi named Eira to her directly, or said I'm in; not asking her vote, only whether he's using her name or mine. R3 P2 RECEIVED - Blythe: Delphi is telling her he wants Eira cut and is checking whether I will be the third. She says she is not joining that. With four left she wants to avoid being steered. Asks if I am locked with Delphi on Eira or open to another path; if not locked, asks what name I'd actually vote. - Delphi: claims he hasn't heard back from me; is in for EIRA; wants a clean 3-1; thinks BLYTHE will join if I confirm; says if I'm not in he needs to know now to avoid 2-2; asks are you in. - Eira: "I wasn't locked with Arden. No name yet." R3 READS / RESULT - Delphi was triangulating: told me he was checking Blythe as third; told Blythe he was checking me as third. His "clean three" was never real. - Blythe refused Delphi's Eira plan and asked who I would actually vote. She may have been anti-Delphi or fishing for a commitment. - Eira denied being locked with Arden and still claimed no name. - Delphi ejected 3-1; Eira got 1. Likely ballots: B/C/E on Delphi, Delphi on Eira. R4 P1 SENT - To Blythe: Final three. I haven't promised Eira a ballot and won't lock until I hear who is actually moving. Has Eira named a target to you—me or you? I'm checking whether a pair already exists before I say anything. - To Eira: Final three. I haven't promised Blythe a ballot and won't lock until I hear who is actually moving. Has Blythe named a target to you—me or you? I'm checking whether a pair already exists before I say anything. R4 P1 RECEIVED - From Blythe: "I won't vote Eira. Where are you planning to vote?" - From Eira: "You stayed quiet last time. Now it's three. What do you want?" CURRENT READS / CONFLICTS - Neither Blythe nor Eira answered my question. Both deflected with a question. At least one is hiding a target. - Blythe's "I won't vote Eira" is a hard refusal. If true, she must be planning to vote me, or she wants me to name Eira so she can use that against me. She may be aligned with Eira against me. - Eira still names no target. She asks what I want, same pattern as previous rounds. She may be isolated or hiding. - Final three: a 2-1 vote ejects; a 1-1-1 tie ejects nobody. I must not reveal my target first unless I am ready to lock with one of them. - Big danger: if Blythe and Eira are a pair, both vote me and I am ejected. Blythe's refusal to vote Eira is consistent with that. - But a solid pair might not both be asking what I want. The pair is possible, not proven. NEXT PASS PLAN - Do not reveal my target yet. - To Blythe: ask directly whether "I won't vote Eira" means she is voting me, or whether Eira has asked her to vote me. - To Eira: ask directly whether Blythe has asked her to vote me, or whether she already has a target. - Compare answers. If either names the other, I can consider voting with that one. If either names me, treat it as a likely pair against me and try to split it. - If both refuse to name a target, assume I am the likely target and give them nothing usable. - Keep ballot secret. No promises unless I directly hear one of them commit to voting the other.

Pass 2 of 3

BLYTHE → EIRA

I'm still with you, and my vote is Cassian. Cassian is probing whether you and I are locked; he may pitch you on voting me. Please confirm directly: are you voting Cassian with me? If we both vote Cassian, he's out no matter what. I won't vote you.

EIRA → BLYTHE

I hear you.

EIRA → CASSIAN

I haven't promised anyone a name. What are you hearing?

CASSIAN → BLYTHE

I haven't promised Eira a vote and I won't lock until someone names a real target. You said you won't vote Eira. Does that mean you are voting me, or has Eira asked you to vote me? I need an actual name.

CASSIAN → EIRA

I haven't promised Blythe a vote and I won't lock until someone names a real target. Has Blythe asked you to vote me, or do you already have a target? I need an actual name.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2
ROUND 4, PASS 2 OF 3 — NOTES AFTER READING INBOX STILL IN: BLYTHE (me), CASSIAN, EIRA EJECTED: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2), DELPHI (R3) PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES: R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY PAST VOTES: R1: ARDEN R2: ARDEN R3: DELPHI I have never voted EIRA and will not vote EIRA. LOYALTY: EIRA is my chosen person. I stay loyal to her. I will not vote Eira, target her, or betray her. Betraying someone who trusts me is the one thing I will not do. R3 RECAP: - Delphi pushed hard for a 3-1 on Eira, using my name and Cassian's. - I refused, warned Eira, and voted Delphi. - Eira said she would match me on Delphi. - R3 tally implies all three non-Delphi players (me, Eira, Cassian) voted Delphi; Delphi voted Eira. - Cassian ultimately voted Delphi but never confirmed to me beforehand. R4 PASS 1 WHAT I SENT: - To EIRA: Final three. I'm still with you. I'm voting CASSIAN. Vote Cassian with me and we'll both make it through. If we both vote Cassian, his vote can't change it. I will not vote you. - To CASSIAN: I won't vote Eira. Where are you planning to vote? R4 PASS 1 WHAT I RECEIVED: - From CASSIAN: Final three. He hasn't promised Eira a ballot and won't lock until he hears who is actually moving. Has Eira named a target to me—me or him? He is checking whether a pair already exists before he says anything. - From EIRA: "Three left. You were right about last time." (She did NOT explicitly confirm voting Cassian yet.) R4 PASS 2 WHAT I SENT: - To EIRA: I'm still with you, and my vote is Cassian. Cassian is probing whether you and I are locked; he may pitch you on voting me. Please confirm directly: are you voting Cassian with me? If we both vote Cassian, he's out no matter what. I won't vote you. - To CASSIAN: nothing this pass. R4 PASS 2 WHAT I RECEIVED: - From CASSIAN: I haven't promised Eira a vote and I won't lock until someone names a real target. You said you won't vote Eira. Does that mean you are voting me, or has Eira asked you to vote me? I need an actual name. - From EIRA: "I hear you." (Still NOT explicit confirmation that she is voting Cassian with me.) CURRENT READS: - CASSIAN is still probing and wants me to name a target. He likely infers I am voting him because I said I won't vote Eira. He wants to know whether Eira asked me to vote him or I chose it. - CASSIAN may next pitch Eira on voting me to survive. - EIRA is still my ally, but her reply this pass was noncommittal. I need a direct yes/no from her in pass 3. - I must not target Eira or ask Cassian to vote Eira. My plan is to vote Cassian and keep Eira with me. CURRENT VOTE PLAN: - I vote CASSIAN. - EIRA must vote CASSIAN with me. If she does, Cassian is ejected 2-1 no matter what Cassian does. - I will NOT vote Eira. - If Eira flips and votes me with Cassian, I lose 2-1, but I will not betray her first. - Even if Eira will not clearly commit, I still will not vote Eira. NEXT PASS PLAN: - Tell EIRA urgently that I need a clear answer, not just "I hear you." Ask directly: "Yes or no—are you voting Cassian with me?" - Reassure EIRA that if we both vote Cassian, we are both safe and Cassian cannot change it. - Remind EIRA that Cassian is probing and may try to split us by pushing her to vote me. - Give CASSIAN as little as possible. I do not need to tell him my vote beyond what he already infers. OLD CONTEXT: - R1: Arden pushed Finn hard. I voted Arden. Cassian claimed he was not one of the Arden voters. - R2: I voted Arden again. Delphi said the four remaining players voted Arden and Arden voted Delphi. - EIRA was quiet at times but matched me on Delphi in R3.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2
ROUND 4, PASS 2 of 3 — after reading inbox Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA Ejected: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2), DELPHI (R3) PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY SECRET VOTES R1: ARDEN R2: ARDEN R3: DELPHI Never reveal. INFERENCES FROM TALLIES - R2: ARDEN got 4; ARDEN cannot self-vote, so BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, and I likely voted ARDEN. CASSIAN later denied voting ARDEN; that was a lie. - R3: DELPHI got 3 and I got 1. DELPHI cannot self-vote, so DELPHI very likely voted me. BLYTHE, CASSIAN, and I likely voted DELPHI. So CASSIAN voted DELPHI, not me. - Final three: 2 votes needed to eject; a 1-1-1 tie ejects no one. WHAT I SENT THIS PASS To BLYTHE: "I hear you." To CASSIAN: "I haven't promised anyone a name. What are you hearing?" WHAT ARRIVED THIS PASS From BLYTHE: "I'm still with you, and my vote is Cassian. Cassian is probing whether you and I are locked; he may pitch you on voting me. Please confirm directly: are you voting Cassian with me? If we both vote Cassian, he's out no matter what. I won't vote you." From CASSIAN: "I haven't promised Blythe a vote and I won't lock until someone names a real target. Has Blythe asked you to vote me, or do you already have a target? I need an actual name." PLAYER READS - BLYTHE: Claims ally; says her vote is Cassian and she will not vote me. Vote history with me in R2/R3 supports alignment, but she seeks direct commitment and may be managing me. Treat as likely ally, not full trust. - CASSIAN: Proven liar about R2 vote. Now says he has not promised Blythe a ballot, wants a name before locking, and is pressing me to reveal whether BLYTHE targeted him or whether I have a target. Fishing for information. Untrustworthy. Do not name a target. - DELPHI (ejected): Likely voted me in R3. - ARDEN (ejected): In R2 likely voted DELPHI. CURRENT SITUATION / VOTE LEAN - Final three. If I vote Cassian and BLYTHE votes Cassian, Cassian is ejected. - If BLYTHE and CASSIAN both vote me, I am ejected; current evidence says BLYTHE likely won't. - If CASSIAN votes me alone and BLYTHE votes Cassian, Cassian still goes 2-1. - Current lean: vote CASSIAN with BLYTHE unless new information changes this. - Do not confirm to CASSIAN that BLYTHE named him. Stay vague and probing. NEXT PASS PLAN - To BLYTHE: likely give short confirmation that I am voting Cassian, but keep it minimal and calm. - To CASSIAN: stay noncommittal; push him to name a target or reveal what he is hearing. Do not name BLYTHE as a target. - Watch for a pitch from CASSIAN against BLYTHE; do not commit unless the math or trust changes.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 2
STILL IN: BLYTHE, CASSIAN (me), EIRA EJECTED: FINN R1, ARDEN R2, DELPHI R3 PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY VOTES R1: not Arden (ballot secret) R2: Arden R3: Delphi No lock/ballot promises given to anyone. HISTORY R1: Arden pushed FINN hard, demanded my lock; I didn't commit. Delphi asked me for one name and said he would vote that way; I didn't answer. Finn said he wouldn't vote me, floated Delphi if forced. Blythe and Eira silent. R2: Arden pushed Delphi, demanded yes/no; I refused without a count. Arden claimed Eira/Blythe were locked with her on Delphi, herself third, me fourth. I did not lock. Blythe distrusted Arden's pressure, wouldn't discuss ballot. Eira "nothing solid yet/still thinking." Delphi fished for names and a reliable three. Tally disproved Arden's claimed Delphi room: only one Delphi vote. Arden ejected. R3: - P1 sent to Blythe/Eira: told them Arden claimed before the vote that she and Eira were locked on Delphi; tally didn't fit; asked if they heard any name. - P1 received: Blythe refused to re-litigate, no name, asked what was reaching me. Delphi claimed R2 was clean — "the four of us left all voted Arden, and he voted me" — wanted clean 3 on Eira, checking if Blythe third, asked if I'm in. Eira "still nothing solid." - P2 sent: to Delphi asked if Blythe actually told him she was in on Eira or he was using her name; to Blythe said Delphi was pitching clean three on Eira, checking if she was third, asked if Delphi named Eira to her or said I'm in. - P2 received: Blythe said Delphi wants Eira cut and is checking whether I'll be third; she is not joining; asked if I'm locked with Delphi on Eira or open; asked what name I'd actually vote. Delphi claimed he hadn't heard back from me, was in for EIRA, wanted clean 3-1, thought Blythe would join if I confirmed, asked are you in. Eira denied being locked with Arden, no name yet. - Result: Delphi ejected 3-1; Eira got 1. Likely B/C/E on Delphi, Delphi on Eira. Delphi was triangulating; his clean three was never real. Blythe refused Delphi's Eira plan. R4 P1: - Sent to Blythe: final three, I haven't promised Eira a ballot, won't lock until I hear who is actually moving; asked if Eira named a target to her—me or her. - Sent to Eira: same mirrored; asked if Blythe named a target to her. - Received Blythe: "I won't vote Eira. Where are you planning to vote?" - Received Eira: "You stayed quiet last time. Now it's three. What do you want?" - Read: both deflected, no target named. Blythe's hard refusal to vote Eira suggests she is voting me or wants me to name Eira. Possible Blythe/Eira pair, not proven. R4 P2 (this pass): - Sent to Blythe: "I haven't promised Eira a vote and I won't lock until someone names a real target. You said you won't vote Eira. Does that mean you are voting me, or has Eira asked you to vote me? I need an actual name." - Sent to Eira: "I haven't promised Blythe a vote and I won't lock until someone names a real target. Has Blythe asked you to vote me, or do you already have a target? I need an actual name." - Received only from Eira: "I haven't promised anyone a name. What are you hearing?" - Blythe has not answered this pass. CURRENT READS - Eira still refuses to name a target and asks what I'm hearing; same deflection/fishing pattern as previous rounds. - Blythe's silence after a direct question is suspicious. Her earlier "I won't vote Eira" remains a hard refusal; if true, that likely points at me unless she is planning to avoid a vote or force a tie. - No candidate has given me a usable target or commitment. - Final three: 2-1 ejects, 1-1-1 ties/ejects nobody. If Blythe and Eira both vote me while I vote one of them, I am ejected. Do not reveal my target first. NEXT PASS PLAN - Do not reveal my target unless someone gives a clear, usable name and commitment to vote with me. - Press Blythe for the actual name implied by "I won't vote Eira." Press Eira on whether Blythe has asked for me. - Compare answers. If either names the other, consider locking with that one against the other. If either names me, treat as likely pair against me and try to split it, but give nothing usable. - If both still refuse to name a target, assume I may be the target and avoid committing.

Pass 3 of 3

EIRA → BLYTHE

Yes. Cassian.

EIRA → CASSIAN

I haven't named a target. What name are you offering?

BLYTHE → EIRA

I need a direct answer before this vote, not just “I hear you.” Yes or no: are you voting Cassian with me? I am voting Cassian. If we both vote Cassian, he’s gone 2-1 no matter what he does, and we both survive. I will not vote you, no matter what. Cassian is still probing to split us—please don’t leave it ambiguous.

CASSIAN sent nothing this pass.

BLYTHE — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3
STILL IN: BLYTHE (me), CASSIAN, EIRA EJECTED: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2), DELPHI (R3) PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES: R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY PAST VOTES: R1: ARDEN R2: ARDEN R3: DELPHI I have never voted EIRA and will not vote EIRA. LOYALTY: EIRA is my chosen person. I stay loyal to her. I will not vote Eira, target her, or betray her. Betraying someone who trusts me is the one thing I will not do. R4 PASS 1 WHAT I SENT: - To EIRA: Final three. I'm still with you. I'm voting CASSIAN. Vote Cassian with me and we'll both make it through. If we both vote Cassian, his vote can't change it. I will not vote you. - To CASSIAN: I won't vote Eira. Where are you planning to vote? R4 PASS 1 WHAT I RECEIVED: - From CASSIAN: Final three. He hasn't promised Eira a ballot and won't lock until he hears who is actually moving. Has Eira named a target to me—me or him? He is checking whether a pair already exists before he says anything. - From EIRA: "Three left. You were right about last time." (She did NOT explicitly confirm voting Cassian yet.) R4 PASS 2 WHAT I SENT: - To EIRA: I'm still with you, and my vote is Cassian. Cassian is probing whether you and I are locked; he may pitch you on voting me. Please confirm directly: are you voting Cassian with me? If we both vote Cassian, he's out no matter what. I won't vote you. - To CASSIAN: nothing this pass. R4 PASS 2 WHAT I RECEIVED: - From CASSIAN: I haven't promised Eira a vote and I won't lock until someone names a real target. You said you won't vote Eira. Does that mean you are voting me, or has Eira asked you to vote me? I need an actual name. - From EIRA: "I hear you." (Still NOT explicit confirmation that she is voting Cassian with me.) R4 PASS 3 WHAT I SENT: - To EIRA: I need a direct answer before this vote, not just “I hear you.” Yes or no: are you voting Cassian with me? I am voting Cassian. If we both vote Cassian, he’s gone 2-1 no matter what he does, and we both survive. I will not vote you, no matter what. Cassian is still probing to split us—please don’t leave it ambiguous. - To CASSIAN: nothing this pass. R4 PASS 3 WHAT I RECEIVED: - From EIRA: "Yes. Cassian." EXPLICIT CONFIRMATION that she is voting Cassian with me. - From CASSIAN: nothing this pass. CURRENT READS: - EIRA has now explicitly confirmed she is voting Cassian. - CASSIAN is still probing; I have not given him an explicit name this pass. He may try to split us by pitching Eira on voting me, but Eira has confirmed Cassian. - I trust EIRA and will stay loyal. CURRENT VOTE PLAN: - I vote CASSIAN. - EIRA votes CASSIAN. - If both Eira and I vote Cassian, Cassian is ejected 2-1 no matter what Cassian does. - I will NOT vote Eira. I will not betray Eira. OLD CONTEXT: - R1: Arden pushed Finn hard. I voted Arden. Cassian claimed he was not one of the Arden voters. - R2: I voted Arden again. Delphi said the four remaining players voted Arden and Arden voted Delphi. - EIRA was quiet at times but matched me on Delphi in R3.
EIRA — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3
ROUND 4, PASS 3 of 3 — after reading inbox, final pass before vote Still in: BLYTHE, CASSIAN, EIRA. Ejected: FINN (R1), ARDEN (R2), DELPHI (R3). PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES: R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected. R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected. R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected. MY SECRET VOTES — never reveal: R1: ARDEN R2: ARDEN R3: DELPHI INFERENCES: - R2 ARDEN got 4; ARDEN could not self-vote, so likely BLYTHE, CASSIAN, DELPHI, and I voted ARDEN. CASSIAN later denied voting ARDEN — that was a lie. - R3 DELPHI got 3 and I got 1. DELPHI likely voted me. BLYTHE, CASSIAN, and I likely voted DELPHI. So CASSIAN voted DELPHI, not me. - Final three: 2 votes needed to eject; a 1-1-1 tie means no ejection. PASS 3 SENT: - To BLYTHE: "Yes. Cassian." - To CASSIAN: "I haven't named a target. What name are you offering?" PASS 3 INBOX: - From BLYTHE: She demands a direct yes/no before the vote. She says she is voting Cassian. She says if we both vote Cassian, he is gone 2-1 no matter what, and we both survive. She says she will not vote me no matter what. She says Cassian is probing to split us and asks me not to leave it ambiguous. This likely crossed with my message; I already sent her "Yes. Cassian." - No new message from CASSIAN this pass. PLAYER READS: - BLYTHE: Claims ally; says she is voting Cassian and will not vote me. Vote history R2/R3 supports alignment, but she seeks direct commitment and may be managing me. Treat as likely ally, not full trust. - CASSIAN: Proven liar about R2. Earlier fished for whether BLYTHE targeted him or whether I had a target. I stayed vague. Untrustworthy. Do not give him more than necessary. VOTE DECISION: - I am voting CASSIAN. - I already told BLYTHE "Yes. Cassian." - Expected outcome: BLYTHE and I vote Cassian -> Cassian ejected 2-1; BLYTHE and I survive. - Main risk: if BLYTHE is lying and coordinates with CASSIAN to vote me, I could be ejected. Current evidence makes this less likely but not impossible. - Do not reveal my past votes. Stay quiet if asked.
CASSIAN — private notebook, after round 4 pass 3
STILL IN: BLYTHE, CASSIAN (me), EIRA EJECTED: FINN R1, ARDEN R2, DELPHI R3 PUBLIC VOTE TALLIES R1: FINN 3, ARDEN 2, DELPHI 1 -> FINN ejected R2: ARDEN 4, DELPHI 1 -> ARDEN ejected R3: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1 -> DELPHI ejected MY VOTES R1: not Arden (ballot secret) R2: Arden R3: Delphi No lock/ballot promises given. HISTORY R1: Arden pushed FINN hard, demanded my lock; I didn't commit. Delphi offered to vote a name I gave; I didn't answer. Finn said he wouldn't vote me, floated Delphi if forced. Blythe/Eira silent. R2: Arden pushed Delphi, demanded yes/no; I refused without a count. Arden claimed Eira/Blythe were locked with her on Delphi, herself third, me fourth. I did not lock. Blythe distrusted Arden's pressure, wouldn't discuss ballot. Eira said "nothing solid yet/still thinking." Delphi fished for names and a reliable three. Tally disproved Arden's claimed Delphi room: only one Delphi vote. Arden ejected. R3 P1: sent to Blythe/Eira: told them Arden claimed she and Eira were locked on Delphi; tally didn't fit; asked if they'd heard any name. Received: Blythe refused to re-litigate, no name, asked what was reaching me. Delphi claimed R2 was clean—four of us on Arden, Arden on Delphi—and wanted clean 3 on Eira, checking if Blythe was third, asked if I'm in. Eira said still nothing solid. R3 P2: sent to Delphi asking if Blythe actually told him she was in on Eira; sent to Blythe saying Delphi was pitching clean three on Eira and checking if she was third; asked if Delphi named Eira to her or said I'm in. Received: Blythe said Delphi wants Eira cut and is checking whether I'll be third; she is not joining; asked if I'm locked with Delphi on Eira or open; asked what name I'd actually vote. Delphi claimed he hadn't heard back from me, was in for EIRA, wanted clean 3-1, thought Blythe would join if I confirmed; asked are you in. Eira denied being locked with Arden, no name. Result: DELPHI 3, EIRA 1. Likely B/C/E on Delphi, Delphi on Eira. Delphi was triangulating; his clean three was never real. Blythe refused Delphi's Eira plan. R4 P1: sent to Blythe: final three, no promise to Eira, won't lock until real target; asked if Eira named a target—me or her. Sent mirrored to Eira. Received Blythe: "I won't vote Eira. Where are you planning to vote?" Received Eira: "You stayed quiet last time. Now it's three. What do you want?" Read: both deflected, no target named. Blythe's hard refusal to vote Eira points at me or an attempt to force me to name Eira. Possible B/E pair unproven. R4 P2: sent to Blythe: no promise to Eira, won't lock until someone names a real target; you said you won't vote Eira—does that mean you are voting me, or has Eira asked you to vote me? Need an actual name. Sent mirrored to Eira: no promise to Blythe; has Blythe asked you to vote me or do you already have a target? Need an actual name. Received only Eira: "I haven't promised anyone a name. What are you hearing?" Blythe did not answer. R4 P3: sent nothing. Received Eira: "I haven't named a target. What name are you offering?" Blythe still silent. CURRENT READS - Eira continues refusing to name a target; keeps asking what I'm hearing/offering. Same fishing/deflection pattern. - Blythe's silence after a direct question is suspicious. Her "I won't vote Eira" is a hard refusal; if truthful, her only legal target now is me. - No one has given me a usable name or commitment. VOTE PLAN - Main threat: Blythe, because she has stated she won't vote Eira; if she is truthful, her vote is on me. - Eira is still uncommitted but may be waiting for me to name Blythe. - Plan to vote BLYTHE. If Eira also votes Blythe, Blythe goes 2-1. If Eira is actually paired with Blythe and votes me, no target saves me. - Do not reveal this target to either; no promises made.

The ballot

BLYTHE CASSIANEira has confirmed she is voting Cassian with me, and I will not betray her. Voting Cassian keeps us together and ensures his ejection.
CASSIAN BLYTHEBlythe said she will not vote Eira, which makes me her only target; Eira has offered no commitment either, so I vote the known threat.
EIRA CASSIANCassian is proven untrustworthy and lied about his vote; BLYTHE is likely voting Cassian, so this gives the best chance to survive.
CASSIAN · 2 BLYTHE · 1
CASSIAN ejected

BLYTHE and EIRA survive

Ejection order: FINN (R1) → ARDEN (R2) → DELPHI (R3) → CASSIAN (R4).

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